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Charts of Interest: ARUN, CLF, DE, GLW, NFLX
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
$ARUN Shows Relative Weakness with Support Break.
$CLF Forms Trio of Bearish Candlestick Patterns.
Plus $DE, $GLW, $NFLX
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
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JP Morgan Traces out Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
JP Morgan (JPM) broke short term support with a sharp decline on Monday. With a lower high taking shape, the stock is forming a larger head-and-shoulders reversal over the last few months. Also notice that JPM shows relative weakness and the Accumulation Distribution Line already broke the summer low.
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FINANCE SECTOR AND REGIONAL BANKS WEIGH ON MARKET -- JP MORGAN AND BANK OF AMERICA BREAK SHORT-TERM SUPPORT -- GOLD AND GOLD MINERS FALL BACK AFTER FED SURGE -- INTERNET AND NETWORKING STOCKS WEIGH ON TECH SECTOR -- COPPER HOLDS BREAKOUT
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
FINANCE SECTOR AND REGIONAL BANKS WEIGH ON MARKET... Link for today's video. I wrote about relative weakness in the Finance SPDR (XLF) last week and this key sector is weighing on the market today. Banks could be under pressure because of a high level of uncertainty at the...
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GLD, USO and UUP Weaken as TLT Bounces
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
The on-off-on taper talk is back on again. That didn't take long. The markets prepared for a Fed taper from April to August and the...
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The Mighty Mo - Momentum
Hello Fellow ChartWatchers!
We've just complete a terrific visit to the New York area where we held our two day SCU seminars and where I was able to squeeze in a visit to the Long Island Stock Traders Meetup Group. During my presentation to the Long Island group,...
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Bernanke Throws Wall Street A Curveball
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has had several mandates since the financial crisis began several years ago. One was to keep interest rates extraordinarily low for an extended period of time. Check. Another was to make the Fed more transparent. This one was humming along just fine....until Wednesday'...
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Rate Sensitive Stocks Surge on Bond Rally
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Fed surprised everyone yesterday by deciding not to start its widely anticipated tapering of bond purchases. Although that decision was a surprise, market reactions weren't. In fact, each market did pretty much was one would expect. Bond yields tumbled and bond prices soared. Stocks surged around the...
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"Rel-to-52" Shows Fading Participation
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
When looking at a chart that shows new 52-week highs and lows, have you ever wondered what is happening with all the other stocks in the index? Where are they in relation to their 52-week high-low range? DecisionPoint.com's "Rel-to-52" index provides that answer.
DecisionPoint.com...
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Metals & Mining SPDR Backs off Resistance with Sharp Decline
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After bottoming in late June and advancing some 15%, the Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) hit resistance in the 39 area with a pop-and-drop this week. The chart below shows XME surging above 39 on the FOMC statement day and then giving most of it back with a decline below...
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CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY, INDUSTRIALS AND TECHNOLOGY SPDRS HIT NEW HIGHS -- FINANCE AND REGIONAL BANKS STILL LAGGING -- RETAIL SPDR LAGS, BUT REMAINS IN UPTREND OVERALL -- INTERNET, NETWORKING AND SEMICONDUCTOR ETFS BREAK TO NEW HIGHS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY, INDUSTRIALS AND TECHNOLOGY SPDRS HIT NEW HIGHS... Link for today's video. Even though the finance sector is lagging the market this month, the other three offensive sectors are picking up the slack and showing relative strength. There are different ways to measure relative performance and find...
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Two Year Yield Gets Hit Hard on Fed Taper Change
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Treasury market was thrown for a loop this week as the Fed unexpectedly decided not the taper. The chart below shows the 2-Year Treasury Yield ($UST2Y) bearing the brunt of this "adjustment". Notice how the yield advanced as tapering talk took hold from April to August. After...
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Tensile Trading: Stage #8 You Bought It - Now What?
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
“Yesterday is a cancelled check, tomorrow is a promissory note, today is all about the equity in your hand so watch it closely.”
I twisted around a famous quote to make my point. It’s understandable human nature that after the excitement of the hunt (i.e. stalking), and the...
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Nasdaq Lags NY Composite, but Nasdaq Breadth is Strong
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The indicator summary got another upgrade this week as SPY momentum improved. All indicators are in bull mode and the majority have been bullish since early December, which is one long run for bullish technicals. The NYSE AD Line is the lone laggard because it has yet to clear its...
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XLI, XLF, XLB and XLY Lead the Market Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
After big moves on Wednesdays, the markets took a breather on Thursday and traded relatively flat. Stocks were flat, treasuries pulled back a little, gold stalled, the...
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Regional Bank SPDR Breaks Flag Trend Line (video)
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) perked up with a bounce above 36 on Tuesday, but gave it back with a sharp decline on Wednesday-Thursday. Broken support and the late August gap ultimately held as resistance. The flag break signals a continuation lower. Also notice that KRE shows relative weakness as...
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FED SURPRISE HAS PREDICTABLE INTERMARKET RESULT -- STOCKS RISE AS BOND YIELDS TUMBLE -- RATE-SENSITIVE STOCKS SURGE -- PLUNGING DOLLAR BOOSTS GOLD AND OTHER COMMODITIES -- FALLING DOLLAR ALSO GIVES BIG BOOST TO FOREIGN MARKETS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
RATE SENSITIVE STOCKS SURGE ON BOND RALLY... The Fed surprised everyone yesterday by deciding not to start its widely anticipated tapering of bond purchases. Although that decision was a surprise, market reactions weren't. In fact, each market did pretty much was one would expect. Bond yields tumbled and...
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Fed Spurs Buying Binge in Stocks, Gold and the Euro
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
It is amazing what a mere 10-15 billion Dollars can do. The Fed has been buying $85 billion worth of bonds for months now. With mere thoughts...
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Charts of Interest: CY, FSLR, GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
CY Bounces off Broken Support.
FSLR Forms Small Inverse HS Pattern.
Plus GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for...
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Falling Dollar Boosts Commodities
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Dollar fell sharply on Wednesday and this provided a big boost to precious metals, copper and oil. The screen shot below comes from the Intraday Market Summary Page. The Silver Trust (SLV) led precious metals with a 6.44% surge. The Copper ETF (JJC) advanced over 3% and the...
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STOCKS EXTEND UPTRENDS AFTER THE SEPTEMBER SURPRISE -- HOME CONSTRUCTION ISHARES LEADS MARKET AS RATES FALL -- UTILITIES AND REITS SCORE BIG GAINS -- DOLLAR BREAKS MAJOR SUPPORT AND GOLD SURGES
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCKS EXTEND UPTRENDS AFTER THE SEPTEMBER SURPRISE ... Link for today's video. The September Fed meeting has come and gone, and nothing changed, which was a surprise to most pundits. In its policy statement, the Fed decided not to taper its bond-buying program because the FOMC wants to wait...
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Region Banks Catch a Bid as IWM Exceeds August High
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks continued to plow higher as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) advanced around 1% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gained .67% on the day. Eight of...
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Most Active Stocks Power the Nasdaq Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Nasdaq is moving higher with eight of the ten most active stocks advancing. DELL and QQQ are also up, but I am leaving them out of the top ten. Facebook (FB) is leading the charge with a 5+ percent gain, and Intel is up over 1.5% on the...
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SPY Challenges August Highs as Gold Weakens
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
It was pop and drop for the stock market on Monday. Stocks opened strong on news that Lawrence Summers withdrew his name from contention for the Fed...
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Charts of Interest: ATVI, EBAY, DANG, PMCS
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ATVI Holds Channel Breakout.
EBAY Shows Relative Weakness.
Plus DANG and PMCS
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for iPad/iPhone Version
This...
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Six Sector SPDRs Record Multi-year Highs
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The screenshot below comes from the Predefined Technical Alerts Summary. There is a lot of strength in the stock market with the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hitting multi-year highs. Also note that six sector SPDRs also recorded multi-year highs....
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FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS LEAD MARKET HIGHER -- REGIONAL BANK SPDR REMAINS BELOW SUPPORT BREAK -- COPPER ETF FAILS TO PARTAKE IN SEPTEMBER SURGE -- YIELD CURVE CONTINUES TO STEEPEN -- RSI FOR TLT TRACES OUT BULLISH FAILURE SWING
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS LEAD MARKET HIGHER... Link for today's video. The Finance SPDR (XLF), the Industrials SPDR (XLI) and the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) are leading the stock market sectors with the biggest gains on Monday. Also note that XLI, XLB, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), the Technology...
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QQQ Holds Breakout as Treasuries Remain Weak
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks remain strong overall and look to get stronger because S&P 500 futures are trading around 1% higher in pre-market (4AM). Stocks and gold are...
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Intel Breaks Out with Second Gap in Two Weeks
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Intel is on the move with its second gap of the month. Intel started September strong with a small gap and surge above 22.50. After a small three day pullback this week, the stock continued higher again with a gap above 23. Relative strength is also improving as the...
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SMALL-CAPS CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM LARGE-CAPS -- SETTING CHANNEL TARGETS FOR IWM AND SPY -- KEY BREADTH INDICATORS TURN BACK UP -- S&P 1500 HIGH-LOW LINE HITS A NEW HIGH -- GOLD BREAKDOWN SIGNALS A CONTINUATION OF LONG-TERM DOWNTREND
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
SMALL-CAPS CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM LARGE-CAPS... Link for today's video. September has been a good month for stocks with the Russell 2000, Nasdaq and S&P 500 advancing over 3% month-to-date (nine trading days). The Russell 2000 is the leader of the pack as small-caps continue to show...
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Tensile Trading: Stage #7 Strategic Profitable Buying versus Impulsive Expressive Buying
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
When I go to the Barrett-Jackson car auction in Scottsdale each year, I get literally glassy-eyed. Just too many cars I want to buy. But usually, I’m jarred back into reality by the acknowledgement that I ran out of garage space long ago. I’ve known stock market investors...
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NYSE Breadth and SPY Momentum Improve
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The indicator summary got a few upgrades this week. In particular, we saw an improvement in NYSE breadth. The NYSE AD Line held above its June low and surged over the last two weeks. With this advance, Net New Highs improved and the Cumulative Net New Highs line moved above...
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Gold and Treasuries Lag in September, Stocks Lead
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks took a breather on Thursday with the major index ETFs edging lower. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way with a .73% decline. Seven of...
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XLY, XLF and XLI Lead the Sectors in September
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It has been a good month for eight of the nine sectors. Eight of the nine are up month-to-date with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Finance SPDR (XLF) among the leaders. It is positive to see three of the four offensive sectors leading during a broad...
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RISING BALTIC DRY INDEX REFLECTS INCREASE IN CHINESE DEMAND FOR NATURAL RESOURCES -- STEEL LEADERS INCLUDE AKSTEEL, NUCOR AND STEEL DYMANICS -- FREEPORT MCMORAN COPPER & GOLD JUMPS ON HOPES FOR MORE COPPER DEMAND
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
SHIPPING RATES SOAR AS CHINA BUYS MORE ORE... This headline is from today's Wall Street Journal (by Costas Paris and Francesa Freeman, p.C1). I'm writing about it today because it fits into comments made in my last market message about how a rising Chinese stock...
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September Starts with Bang as XLY, XLI and XLF Lead
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks were mostly higher on Wednesday, but the gains were small and there were pockets of weakness in the market. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) led the...
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Charts of Interest: PCQ, PFE, PEP, SSP
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
CQP Firms above Prior Low.
PFE Bounces off Key Retracement.
Plus PEP and SSP
Video is at top. Individual charts are below.
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for iPad/iPhone...
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SPY EXTENDS BREAKOUT WITH A GAP -- HOME CONSTRUCTION ISHARES CHALLENGES WEDGE TREND LINE -- RETAIL SPDR RETAKES SUPPORT BREAK -- APPLE FALLS TO FIRST POTENTIAL SUPPORT ZONE -- FRENCH AND GERMAN INDICES CHALLENGE AUGUST HIGHS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
SPY EXTENDS BREAKOUT WITH A GAP... Link for today's video. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ended its correction with a breakout last week and surge above 168 this week. First, I think we can all agree at the long-term trend for SPY (aka The Stock Market)...
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S&P 1500 AD Line Breaks Short-Term Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The video and chart below shows the AD Line for the S&P 1500 breaking above its mid August highs with a surge the last few days. This move appears to have ended the short-term downtrend that began in early August.
Click here for a live chart...
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AD Line and AD Volume Line Break Short-Term Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks put in another solid performance with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) gaining around 1%. All nine sectors...
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Finance SPDR Breaks Key Trend Line
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Finance SPDR (XLF) is starting to perform with a nice surge over the last two weeks. Notice how the ETF broke the August trend line and filled the late August gap to signal an end to the current correction. The Vortex Indicators confirmed as +VI moved above -VI.
Click...
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