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Charts of Interest: ARUN, CLF, DE, GLW, NFLX

Charts of Interest: ARUN, CLF, DE, GLW, NFLX

$ARUN Shows Relative Weakness with Support Break. $CLF Forms Trio of Bearish Candlestick Patterns. Plus $DE, $GLW, $NFLX Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click...   READ MORE 

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JP Morgan Traces out Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)

JP Morgan Traces out Bearish Reversal Pattern (video)

JP Morgan (JPM) broke short term support with a sharp decline on Monday. With a lower high taking shape, the stock is forming a larger head-and-shoulders reversal over the last few months. Also notice that JPM shows relative weakness and the Accumulation Distribution Line already broke the summer low. Click...   READ MORE 

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FINANCE SECTOR AND REGIONAL BANKS WEIGH ON MARKET -- JP MORGAN AND BANK OF AMERICA BREAK SHORT-TERM SUPPORT -- GOLD AND GOLD MINERS FALL BACK AFTER FED SURGE -- INTERNET AND NETWORKING STO...

FINANCE SECTOR AND REGIONAL BANKS WEIGH ON MARKET -- JP MORGAN AND BANK OF AMERICA BREAK SHORT-TERM SUPPORT -- GOLD AND GOLD MINERS FALL BACK AFTER FED SURGE -- INTERNET AND NETWORKING STOCKS WEIGH ON TECH SECTOR -- COPPER HOLDS BREAKOUT

FINANCE SECTOR AND REGIONAL BANKS WEIGH ON MARKET... Link for today's video. I wrote about relative weakness in the Finance SPDR (XLF) last week and this key sector is weighing on the market today. Banks could be under pressure because of a high level of uncertainty at the...   READ MORE 

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GLD, USO and UUP Weaken as TLT Bounces

GLD, USO and UUP Weaken as TLT Bounces

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** The on-off-on taper talk is back on again. That didn't take long. The markets prepared for a Fed taper from April to August and the...   READ MORE 

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The Mighty Mo - Momentum

The Mighty Mo - Momentum

Hello Fellow ChartWatchers! We've just complete a terrific visit to the New York area where we held our two day SCU seminars and where I was able to squeeze in a visit to the Long Island Stock Traders Meetup Group.  During my presentation to the Long Island group,...   READ MORE 

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Bernanke Throws Wall Street A Curveball

Bernanke Throws Wall Street A Curveball

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has had several mandates since the financial crisis began several years ago.  One was to keep interest rates extraordinarily low for an extended period of time.  Check.  Another was to make the Fed more transparent.  This one was humming along just fine....until Wednesday'...   READ MORE 

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Rate Sensitive Stocks Surge on Bond Rally

Rate Sensitive Stocks Surge on Bond Rally

The Fed surprised everyone yesterday by deciding not to start its widely anticipated tapering of bond purchases. Although that decision was a surprise, market reactions weren't. In fact, each market did pretty much was one would expect. Bond yields tumbled and bond prices soared. Stocks surged around the...   READ MORE 

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"Rel-to-52" Shows Fading Participation

"Rel-to-52" Shows Fading Participation

When looking at a chart that shows new 52-week highs and lows, have you ever wondered what is happening with all the other stocks in the index? Where are they in relation to their 52-week high-low range? DecisionPoint.com's "Rel-to-52" index provides that answer. DecisionPoint.com...   READ MORE 

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Metals & Mining SPDR Backs off Resistance with Sharp Decline

Metals & Mining SPDR Backs off Resistance with Sharp Decline

After bottoming in late June and advancing some 15%, the Metals & Mining SPDR (XME) hit resistance in the 39 area with a pop-and-drop this week. The chart below shows XME surging above 39 on the FOMC statement day and then giving most of it back with a decline below...   READ MORE 

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CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY, INDUSTRIALS AND TECHNOLOGY SPDRS HIT NEW HIGHS -- FINANCE AND REGIONAL BANKS STILL LAGGING -- RETAIL SPDR LAGS, BUT REMAINS IN UPTREND OVERALL -- INTERNET, NETWORKI...

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY, INDUSTRIALS AND TECHNOLOGY SPDRS HIT NEW HIGHS -- FINANCE AND REGIONAL BANKS STILL LAGGING -- RETAIL SPDR LAGS, BUT REMAINS IN UPTREND OVERALL -- INTERNET, NETWORKING AND SEMICONDUCTOR ETFS BREAK TO NEW HIGHS

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY, INDUSTRIALS AND TECHNOLOGY SPDRS HIT NEW HIGHS... Link for today's video. Even though the finance sector is lagging the market this month, the other three offensive sectors are picking up the slack and showing relative strength. There are different ways to measure relative performance and find...   READ MORE 

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Two Year Yield Gets Hit Hard on Fed Taper Change

Two Year Yield Gets Hit Hard on Fed Taper Change

The Treasury market was thrown for a loop this week as the Fed unexpectedly decided not the taper. The chart below shows the 2-Year Treasury Yield ($UST2Y) bearing the brunt of this "adjustment". Notice how the yield advanced as tapering talk took hold from April to August. After...   READ MORE 

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Tensile Trading: Stage #8 You Bought It - Now What?

Tensile Trading: Stage #8 You Bought It - Now What?

“Yesterday is a cancelled check, tomorrow is a promissory note, today is all about the equity in your hand so watch it closely.” I twisted around a famous quote to make my point.  It’s understandable human nature that after the excitement of the hunt (i.e. stalking), and the...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq Lags NY Composite, but Nasdaq Breadth is Strong

Nasdaq Lags NY Composite, but Nasdaq Breadth is Strong

The indicator summary got another upgrade this week as SPY momentum improved. All indicators are in bull mode and the majority have been bullish since early December, which is one long run for bullish technicals. The NYSE AD Line is the lone laggard because it has yet to clear its...   READ MORE 

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XLI, XLF, XLB and XLY Lead the Market Higher

XLI, XLF, XLB and XLY Lead the Market Higher

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** After big moves on Wednesdays, the markets took a breather on Thursday and traded relatively flat. Stocks were flat, treasuries pulled back a little, gold stalled, the...   READ MORE 

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Regional Bank SPDR Breaks Flag Trend Line (video)

Regional Bank SPDR Breaks Flag Trend Line (video)

The Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) perked up with a bounce above 36 on Tuesday, but gave it back with a sharp decline on Wednesday-Thursday. Broken support and the late August gap ultimately held as resistance. The flag break signals a continuation lower. Also notice that KRE shows relative weakness as...   READ MORE 

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FED SURPRISE HAS PREDICTABLE INTERMARKET RESULT -- STOCKS RISE AS BOND YIELDS TUMBLE -- RATE-SENSITIVE STOCKS SURGE -- PLUNGING DOLLAR BOOSTS GOLD AND OTHER COMMODITIES -- FALLING DOLLAR A...

FED SURPRISE HAS PREDICTABLE INTERMARKET RESULT -- STOCKS RISE AS BOND YIELDS TUMBLE -- RATE-SENSITIVE STOCKS SURGE -- PLUNGING DOLLAR BOOSTS GOLD AND OTHER COMMODITIES -- FALLING DOLLAR ALSO GIVES BIG BOOST TO FOREIGN MARKETS

RATE SENSITIVE STOCKS SURGE ON BOND RALLY... The Fed surprised everyone yesterday by deciding not to start its widely anticipated tapering of bond purchases. Although that decision was a surprise, market reactions weren't. In fact, each market did pretty much was one would expect. Bond yields tumbled and...   READ MORE 

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Fed Spurs Buying Binge in Stocks, Gold and the Euro

Fed Spurs Buying Binge in Stocks, Gold and the Euro

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** It is amazing what a mere 10-15 billion Dollars can do. The Fed has been buying $85 billion worth of bonds for months now. With mere thoughts...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CY, FSLR, GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY

Charts of Interest: CY, FSLR, GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY

CY Bounces off Broken Support. FSLR Forms Small Inverse HS Pattern. Plus GIS, SCTY, WDC, WY Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for...   READ MORE 

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Falling Dollar Boosts Commodities

Falling Dollar Boosts Commodities

The Dollar fell sharply on Wednesday and this provided a big boost to precious metals, copper and oil. The screen shot below comes from the Intraday Market Summary Page. The Silver Trust (SLV) led precious metals with a 6.44% surge. The Copper ETF (JJC) advanced over 3% and the...   READ MORE 

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STOCKS EXTEND UPTRENDS AFTER THE SEPTEMBER SURPRISE -- HOME CONSTRUCTION ISHARES LEADS MARKET AS RATES FALL -- UTILITIES AND REITS SCORE BIG GAINS -- DOLLAR BREAKS MAJOR SUPPORT AND GOLD S...

STOCKS EXTEND UPTRENDS AFTER THE SEPTEMBER SURPRISE -- HOME CONSTRUCTION ISHARES LEADS MARKET AS RATES FALL -- UTILITIES AND REITS SCORE BIG GAINS -- DOLLAR BREAKS MAJOR SUPPORT AND GOLD SURGES

STOCKS EXTEND UPTRENDS AFTER THE SEPTEMBER SURPRISE ... Link for today's video. The September Fed meeting has come and gone, and nothing changed, which was a surprise to most pundits. In its policy statement, the Fed decided not to taper its bond-buying program because the FOMC wants to wait...   READ MORE 

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Region Banks Catch a Bid as IWM Exceeds August High

Region Banks Catch a Bid as IWM Exceeds August High

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks continued to plow higher as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) advanced around 1% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gained .67% on the day. Eight of...   READ MORE 

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Most Active Stocks Power the Nasdaq Higher

Most Active Stocks Power the Nasdaq Higher

The Nasdaq is moving higher with eight of the ten most active stocks advancing. DELL and QQQ are also up, but I am leaving them out of the top ten. Facebook (FB) is leading the charge with a 5+ percent gain, and Intel is up over 1.5% on the...   READ MORE 

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SPY Challenges August Highs as Gold Weakens

SPY Challenges August Highs as Gold Weakens

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** It was pop and drop for the stock market on Monday. Stocks opened strong on news that Lawrence Summers withdrew his name from contention for the Fed...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ATVI, EBAY, DANG, PMCS

Charts of Interest: ATVI, EBAY, DANG, PMCS

ATVI Holds Channel Breakout. EBAY Shows Relative Weakness. Plus DANG and PMCS Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for iPad/iPhone Version This...   READ MORE 

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Six Sector SPDRs Record Multi-year Highs

The screenshot below comes from the Predefined Technical Alerts Summary. There is a lot of strength in the stock market with the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hitting multi-year highs. Also note that six sector SPDRs also recorded multi-year highs....   READ MORE 

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FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS LEAD MARKET HIGHER -- REGIONAL BANK SPDR REMAINS BELOW SUPPORT BREAK -- COPPER ETF FAILS TO PARTAKE IN SEPTEMBER SURGE -- YIELD CURVE CONTINUES TO STEEPEN -- RSI...

FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS LEAD MARKET HIGHER -- REGIONAL BANK SPDR REMAINS BELOW SUPPORT BREAK -- COPPER ETF FAILS TO PARTAKE IN SEPTEMBER SURGE -- YIELD CURVE CONTINUES TO STEEPEN -- RSI FOR TLT TRACES OUT BULLISH FAILURE SWING

FINANCIALS AND INDUSTRIALS LEAD MARKET HIGHER... Link for today's video. The Finance SPDR (XLF), the Industrials SPDR (XLI) and the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) are leading the stock market sectors with the biggest gains on Monday. Also note that XLI, XLB, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), the Technology...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Holds Breakout as Treasuries Remain Weak

QQQ Holds Breakout as Treasuries Remain Weak

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks remain strong overall and look to get stronger because S&P 500 futures are trading around 1% higher in pre-market (4AM). Stocks and gold are...   READ MORE 

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Intel Breaks Out with Second Gap in Two Weeks

Intel is on the move with its second gap of the month. Intel started September strong with a small gap and surge above 22.50. After a small three day pullback this week, the stock continued higher again with a gap above 23. Relative strength is also improving as the...   READ MORE 

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SMALL-CAPS CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM LARGE-CAPS -- SETTING CHANNEL TARGETS FOR IWM AND SPY -- KEY BREADTH INDICATORS TURN BACK UP -- S&P 1500 HIGH-LOW LINE HITS A NEW HIGH -- GOLD BREAKDOWN S...

SMALL-CAPS CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM LARGE-CAPS -- SETTING CHANNEL TARGETS FOR IWM AND SPY -- KEY BREADTH INDICATORS TURN BACK UP -- S&P 1500 HIGH-LOW LINE HITS A NEW HIGH -- GOLD BREAKDOWN SIGNALS A CONTINUATION OF LONG-TERM DOWNTREND

SMALL-CAPS CONTINUE TO OUTPERFORM LARGE-CAPS... Link for today's video. September has been a good month for stocks with the Russell 2000, Nasdaq and S&P 500 advancing over 3% month-to-date (nine trading days). The Russell 2000 is the leader of the pack as small-caps continue to show...   READ MORE 

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Tensile Trading: Stage #7 Strategic Profitable Buying versus Impulsive Expressive Buying

Tensile Trading: Stage #7 Strategic Profitable Buying versus Impulsive Expressive Buying

When I go to the Barrett-Jackson car auction in Scottsdale each year, I get literally glassy-eyed.  Just too many cars I want to buy.  But usually, I’m jarred back into reality by the acknowledgement that I ran out of garage space long ago.  I’ve known stock market investors...   READ MORE 

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NYSE Breadth and SPY Momentum Improve

NYSE Breadth and SPY Momentum Improve

The indicator summary got a few upgrades this week. In particular, we saw an improvement in NYSE breadth. The NYSE AD Line held above its June low and surged over the last two weeks. With this advance, Net New Highs improved and the Cumulative Net New Highs line moved above...   READ MORE 

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Gold and Treasuries Lag in September, Stocks Lead

Gold and Treasuries Lag in September, Stocks Lead

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks took a breather on Thursday with the major index ETFs edging lower. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way with a .73% decline. Seven of...   READ MORE 

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XLY, XLF and XLI Lead the Sectors in September

It has been a good month for eight of the nine sectors. Eight of the nine are up month-to-date with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Finance SPDR (XLF) among the leaders. It is positive to see three of the four offensive sectors leading during a broad...   READ MORE 

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RISING BALTIC DRY INDEX REFLECTS INCREASE IN CHINESE DEMAND FOR NATURAL RESOURCES -- STEEL LEADERS INCLUDE AKSTEEL, NUCOR AND STEEL DYMANICS -- FREEPORT MCMORAN COPPER & GOLD JUMPS ON HOPE...

RISING BALTIC DRY INDEX REFLECTS INCREASE IN CHINESE DEMAND FOR NATURAL RESOURCES -- STEEL LEADERS INCLUDE AKSTEEL, NUCOR AND STEEL DYMANICS -- FREEPORT MCMORAN COPPER & GOLD JUMPS ON HOPES FOR MORE COPPER DEMAND

SHIPPING RATES SOAR AS CHINA BUYS MORE ORE... This headline is from today's Wall Street Journal (by Costas Paris and Francesa Freeman, p.C1). I'm writing about it today because it fits into comments made in my last market message about how a rising Chinese stock...   READ MORE 

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September Starts with Bang as XLY, XLI and XLF Lead

September Starts with Bang as XLY, XLI and XLF Lead

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks were mostly higher on Wednesday, but the gains were small and there were pockets of weakness in the market. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) led the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: PCQ, PFE, PEP, SSP

Charts of Interest: PCQ, PFE, PEP, SSP

CQP Firms above Prior Low. PFE Bounces off Key Retracement. Plus PEP and SSP Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for iPad/iPhone...   READ MORE 

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SPY EXTENDS BREAKOUT WITH A GAP -- HOME CONSTRUCTION ISHARES CHALLENGES WEDGE TREND LINE -- RETAIL SPDR RETAKES SUPPORT BREAK -- APPLE FALLS TO FIRST POTENTIAL SUPPORT ZONE -- FRENCH AND G...

SPY EXTENDS BREAKOUT WITH A GAP -- HOME CONSTRUCTION ISHARES CHALLENGES WEDGE TREND LINE -- RETAIL SPDR RETAKES SUPPORT BREAK -- APPLE FALLS TO FIRST POTENTIAL SUPPORT ZONE -- FRENCH AND GERMAN INDICES CHALLENGE AUGUST HIGHS

SPY EXTENDS BREAKOUT WITH A GAP... Link for today's video. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) ended its correction with a breakout last week and surge above 168 this week. First, I think we can all agree at the long-term trend for SPY (aka The Stock Market)...   READ MORE 

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S&P 1500 AD Line Breaks Short-Term Resistance

The video and chart below shows the AD Line for the S&P 1500 breaking above its mid August highs with a surge the last few days. This move appears to have ended the short-term downtrend that began in early August. Click here for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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AD Line and AD Volume Line Break Short-Term Resistance

AD Line and AD Volume Line Break Short-Term Resistance

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks put in another solid performance with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) gaining around 1%. All nine sectors...   READ MORE 

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Finance SPDR Breaks Key Trend Line

Finance SPDR Breaks Key Trend Line

The Finance SPDR (XLF) is starting to perform with a nice surge over the last two weeks. Notice how the ETF broke the August trend line and filled the late August gap to signal an end to the current correction. The Vortex Indicators confirmed as +VI moved above -VI. Click...   READ MORE