The 20+ YR T-Bond ETF Gets the Squeeze
The 20+ YR T-Bond ETF (TLT) went ballistic in mid October with a surge above 125 and then sharply reversed with a close below 122 the next day. The ETF has since worked its way lower and volatility has seriously contracted. Notice that Bollinger BandWidth is at its lowest level in over six months. This means the distance between the two bands is the narrowest in over six months. The price pattern over the last three weeks looks like a small descending triangle, which is a bearish continuation pattern. A break below 118, therefore, would signal a continuation of the late October decline.
Click this image for a live chart.
