PHLX SOX INDEX SHOWS TWO ASCENDING TRIANGLES -- THE TECHNOLOGY SPDR AND QQQ SHOW SIMILAR BULLISH PATTERNS -- THE QQQ/SPX RATIO IS ALSO TRIANGULATING BETWEEN ITS APRIL HIGH AND MAY LOW
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX IS FORMING TWO TRIANGLES... A lot has been written lately about the formation of triangular patterns. Here are couple more applied to the same group. Chart 1 shows the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ($SOX) moving up to test its flat trendline drawn over its July/September/October highs. The rising trendline drawn under its August/October lows forms the bottom half of the ascending triangle pattern. That combination of a flat resistance line and a rising support line is usually a bullish pattern; and increases the likelihood of an upside breakout. Applied Materials (AMAT) and Lam Research (LRCX) are already hitting new records today. But the SOX also appears to be forming a second triangle.

A SECOND ASCENDING TRIANGLE?... Chart 2 plots a ratio of the SOX divided by the S&P 500. And it covers a longer time frame. The first peak was formed near the end of April which was six months ago. The triangle in Chart 1 covers the last three months. But the message is essentially the same. The upper flat line is drawn over the April/October highs. While the rising lower line has been rising since late May. And it looks like a potential ascending triangle. That too favors an eventual move to new highs.

TECHNOLOGY SPDR AND QQQ LOOK THE SAME...Here are two more bullish triangles in the making. Chart 3 shows the Technology SPDR (XLK) approaching the flat upper line drawn over its July/October highs. Combined with the rising lower trendline drawn under its August/October lows, that also looks like a bullish ascending triangle. That also increases the technical odds for an upside breakout. So does the Invesco QQQ in Chart 4 (which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index). Chart 5 shows one more.


QQQ/SPX RATIO IS ALSO TRIANGULAR...Chart 5 plots a ratio of the Nasdaq 100 QQQ divided by the S&P 500. The combination of a falling trendline starting from its April high and rising trendline starting from its late May low has the shape of a symmetrical triangle. And it's breaking through the upper resistance line. That's also a bullish continuation pattern. All of those triangles carry a positive message for the technology sector and indexes tied to it; and should be positive for the rest of the market.
