Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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GE Takes the Lead with a 3-month High

GE Takes the Lead with a 3-month High

I featured GE in mid-May as it attempted to break out of a falling wedge (DITC on May 15th). The breakout failed as the stock fell back in May, but a higher low formed and a triangle evolved. Overall, some sort of bullish consolidation formed from February to June and...   READ MORE 

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SystemTrader - Scanning for Consistent Uptrends with Limited Pullbacks

SystemTrader - Scanning for Consistent Uptrends with Limited Pullbacks

... As a trend-momentum kind of guy, my first task is to find stocks with strong uptrends and this starts with a scan. Chartists looking for scan ideas should first find several visually appealing price charts and then study these charts carefully. Stocks like Autozone (AZO), Gallagher (AJG), Abbot Labs (ABT)...   READ MORE 

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Illumina Rises above the Biotech Crowd

Illumina Rises above the Biotech Crowd

It has been a rough three months for many biotechs and the Biotech iShares (IBB), but Illumina (ILMN) rose above the crowd with a big gain and three month high. The long-term chart also looks bullish. The table below shows the Biotech iShares and the top ten stocks (sans Celgene)...   READ MORE 

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Are Small-caps Really the Canaries in the Coal Mine?

Are Small-caps Really the Canaries in the Coal Mine?

Many a pundit considers small-caps as the canaries in the coal mine and this implies that relative weakness in small-caps is negative for the broader market. As Missanei of Game of Thrones might say: It is known. Known, yes, but is it actually true? In the interest of full disclosure,...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - The Long and Rocky Road

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - The Long and Rocky Road

* The Long and Rocky Road. * S&P 500 Maintains Bullish Bias. * Index Breadth Table Improves. * MDY and IWM Break Out of Wedges. * Sector Breadth Table Gets Four New Signals. * Healthcare Perking Up. * Big Six Sectors Trigger Breakouts. * Utes, REITs and Staples Remain Strong. * Art's Charts ChartList Update....   READ MORE 

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SPY Holds 50-day - Biotech ETFs Set Up - Chinese ETFs Diverge - ChartList Update

SPY Holds 50-day - Biotech ETFs Set Up - Chinese ETFs Diverge - ChartList Update

* Long-term Uptrend Still Dominates. * SPY Holds Wedge Breakout and 50-day. * Biotech ETFs Firm in Reversal Zones. * Chinese ETFs Diverge. * Art's Charts ChartList. * On Trend on SCCTV and Youtube. ... Long-term Uptrend Still Dominates ... Let's break down the S&P 500 by starting with the bigger trend....   READ MORE 

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Ford Shines within a Rather Dull Auto Group

Ford Shines within a Rather Dull Auto Group

It has been a tough three months for most auto stocks with the Global Auto ETF (CARZ) falling around 1.22%. In contrast, the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is up 4.21% since March 11th. Within the group, Ford (F) Daimler-Chrysler (DDAIF) and Toyota (TM) show gains during...   READ MORE 

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Mind the Gap in JP Morgan

Mind the Gap in JP Morgan

Stocks moved sharply higher last week with several bouncing off broken resistance levels with gap reversals. JP Morgan is one such stock and last week's gap becomes the first area to watch going forward. The chart shows JPM breaking out in mid April with a surge to the...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Assessing the June Rebound

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Assessing the June Rebound

* Small-caps Still Lagging. * S&P 500 Establishes Clear Support Zone. * Breadth Falls Short and Fades. * $SPX Close + 200-day SMA = NOISE! * A Mixed, but Bullish, Indicator Table. * Sector Table Remains Firmly Bullish. * New Highs Surge within S&P 500. * New Highs in Finance Sector. * Medical Devices, Defense and Solar...   READ MORE 

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A Bullish Continuation Pattern Evolves for Accenture

A Bullish Continuation Pattern Evolves for Accenture

Semiconductor stocks fell hard in May, but many software names held up quite well in May and simply consolidated. Accenture is one such name as the stock held above the breakout zone and simply consolidated the last five weeks. First and foremost, the long-term trend is up because Accenture (ACN)...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Toys with 200-day - Two Emerging Market ETFs To Watch

S&P 500 Toys with 200-day - Two Emerging Market ETFs To Watch

* S&P 500 Crosses 200-day for Umpteenth Time. * The S&P 500 versus a Slew of Negative Charts. * Vietnam ETF Tests Breakout Zone. * Frontier Markets ETF Nears Breakout. ... There sure is a lot of negativity out there as the S&P 500 toys with its 200-day SMA....   READ MORE 

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Hexcel Bucks the Selling and Holds the Break Zone

Hexcel Bucks the Selling and Holds the Break Zone

May was a tough month for the broad market indexes and nine of the eleven sectors. Only the Utilities SPDR and Real Estate SPDR advanced in May as the other nine sectors fell. Stocks that closed higher in May bucked some serious selling pressure and could be worth a second...   READ MORE 

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Key Moving Average Rolls Over for S&P 500

Key Moving Average Rolls Over for S&P 500

The 200-day moving averages for the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and the S&P Small-Cap 600 are already trending lower and this key moving average for the S&P 500 turned lower over the past week. This puts all three indexes below their falling 200-day SMAs and...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Bearish Evidence Proliferates

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Bearish Evidence Proliferates

* Key Moving Average Turns Lower. * Mid-caps Trigger Bearish Breadth Signal. * Small-caps Lead New Low Expansion. * Four New Signals on Sector Table. * Risk Aversion Indicators Surge. * Treasury Bonds Extend Surge. * Consumer Discretionary Sector Breaks Down. * Oil Extends Decline. * Gold Forms a Bull Wedge. * Art's Charts ChartList Update. ... Stocks are...   READ MORE 

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SPY and SOXX Become Oversold near Support

SPY and SOXX Become Oversold near Support

* Oversold and at the 200-day. * Pennant Evolves into Wedge. * SOXX and Semis Hit Support. * A Correction within Uptrend for PALL. ... Oversold and at the 200-day ... The S&P 500 and S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) are at interesting junctures because both are oversold and both are at their...   READ MORE 

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Cardiovascular Systems Breaks from Pennant

Cardiovascular Systems Breaks from Pennant

Cardiovascular Systems (CSII) shows bullish price action with signs of accumulation that could lead to higher prices. First and foremost, the long-term trend is up because CSII recorded a new high in early March and is above the 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMA (green) is also above the 200-day SMA...   READ MORE 

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Walking Down the Lower Bollinger Band

Walking Down the Lower Bollinger Band

* Walking Down the Lower Band. * Swings are Getting Bigger. * Selling Pressure Expands to Defensive Sectors. * Bearish Breadth Thrust for XLP and XLV. * On Trend on Youtube. ...Walking Down the Lower Band ...Even though the weight of the evidence has yet to turn bearish for the S&P 500, the...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-caps, Retail and Oil Lead Lower

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-caps, Retail and Oil Lead Lower

* Retail, Banks, Semis and Oil. * S&P 500 Corrects with Bigger Uptrend. * Index Breadth Table Remains Net Bullish. * AD Percent Down Days Weigh in May. * Small-caps Lead the Way Lower. * Charts to Measure Risk On/Off. * Sector Shift in May. * Sector Breadth Table Remains Bullish. * Healthcare ETFs Hold Up...   READ MORE 

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A Medical Device Stock with Strong Volume Trends

A Medical Device Stock with Strong Volume Trends

An existing uptrend and short-term breakout on high volume point to higher prices for Boston Scientific. The chart below show BSX hitting a new high in early March and then falling rather sharply into mid April. A volume spike punctuates the plunge below 35 and this looks like a selling...   READ MORE 

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A Momentum Break for Ross Stores

A Momentum Break for Ross Stores

Ross Stores (ROST) recently bounced off its rising 200-day SMA with a bullish candlestick pattern and short-term RSI broke to its highest level of the month. It looks like the short-term pullback is ending and the bigger uptrend is resuming. ROST plunged in November-December with a sharp decline below the...   READ MORE 

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A Bearish Failure Swing for the Russell 2000

A Bearish Failure Swing for the Russell 2000

The bearish failure swing is a bearish RSI signal from Welles Wilder, creator of RSI. Note that this signal is NOT the same as a bearish divergence, even though a bearish divergence is also possible at the same time. A bearish failure swing has four parts: RSI moves above 70...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Risk Aversion in the Air

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Risk Aversion in the Air

* Defensive Sectors Have Strongest Charts. * Offensive Sectors Have Yet to Break Down. * S&P 500 Gets a Bounce. * A Bearish Failure Swing for the Russell 2000. * Large-caps Lead New High List. * Discretionary and Communication Sectors Take Hits. * Housing versus Retail. * Software versus Semis. * Treasury Bonds Extend on Breakouts. * Measuring...   READ MORE 

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Is GE for Real This time?

Is GE for Real This time?

General Electric (GE) is one of the worst performing stocks over the last two years, but the stock is perking up in 2019 and outperforming in May. The S&P 500 is down 3.8% so far this month and GE is up 1.5% after a big surge...   READ MORE 

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Four Steps Up and One Step Back - Another 90% Down Day - Breadth Update

Four Steps Up and One Step Back - Another 90% Down Day - Breadth Update

* Triple 90% Down Volume Day. * Breadth Table Update. * Four Steps Up and One Step Back. * SPY Hits Support and Becomes Oversold. * Interest in Tariffs and Fed. Triple 90% Down Volume Day Stocks were hit with strong selling pressure again on Monday with the S&P 500 SPDR falling 2....   READ MORE 

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AMD Holds Up Well with Semiconductor Group

AMD Holds Up Well with Semiconductor Group

The S&P 500 was down 2% last week and the Nasdaq fell 3%. Stocks that gained on the week showed relative and absolute strength. Stocks that fell less than 2% showed relative strength. The average semiconductor stock within the S&P 1500 was down 5% last week...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Weighing the Evidence and the Nerve

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Weighing the Evidence and the Nerve

* Small-caps and 3 Sectors Weigh. * Everywhere and Nowhere. * Immediate Trend is Still Up. * Another Possible Support Zone. * Index Breadth Table Survives 90% Down Days. * Yield Spread Remains Positive for Stocks. * Mean-Reversion Setup Brewing. * Art's Charts ChartList Update. ... Small-caps and 3 Sectors Weigh Stocks came under broad pressure in...   READ MORE 

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Micron Fails at Break Zone

Micron Fails at Break Zone

A basic concept of technical analysis is that broken support turns into future resistance. This concept is proving true for Micron (MU) as it returned to broken support in April and backed off the last two weeks. The chart shows MU breaking down with a support break in September and...   READ MORE 

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A Shot Across the Bow with a Triple 90% Down Day - What to Watch Next

A Shot Across the Bow with a Triple 90% Down Day - What to Watch Next

Triple 90% Down Day It is way too early to call for a major top, but we do have a short-term breadth signal that points to further downside. The chart below shows AD Percent for the S&P 500, S&P Mid-Cap 400 and S&P Small-Cap...   READ MORE 

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Ebay Holds the Gap and the Break

Ebay Holds the Gap and the Break

Ebay (EBAY) reversed its downtrend with a reversal pattern and break above the 200-day SMA in late January and early February. After digesting its gains with a corrective pattern in March-April the stock broke out again with a gap and appears headed higher. The stock formed a rare island reversal...   READ MORE 

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Improving the Best Six Months Strategy by Adding Months and Timing

Improving the Best Six Months Strategy by Adding Months and Timing

The "Best Six Months" strategy suggests that the best time to own stocks is from November to April, and the worst time is from May to October. Testing over the last 25 years confirms the performance differences between these two periods, but this strategy still leaves money on...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-cap ETFs Hold Breakouts

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-cap ETFs Hold Breakouts

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Docusign Breaks from Consolidation Pattern

Docusign Breaks from Consolidation Pattern

Docusign (DOCU), a company that provides e-signature solutions, started trading on August 27th and surged over 30% on its IPO. The stock advanced another 65% after this initial gain and then fell back to the IPO price in October. Notice that the six month lockup period ended on October 24th...   READ MORE 

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Palo Alto Readies for its Next Move

Palo Alto Readies for its Next Move

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is a leading cyber-security stock that fits into the technology sector. Needless to say, the Technology SPDR (XLK) and the EW Technology ETF (RYT) are the leading sectors here in 2019. PANW took a break with a consolidation over the last eight weeks, and this could...   READ MORE 

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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - 3000 and then What?

Weekly Market Review & Outlook - 3000 and then What?

* S&P 500 Reaches 2018 Highs. * Watch the Immediate Uptrend. * IWM Holds Flag Breakout. * Small-caps Breadth Indicators Net Bearish. * %Above 200-day EMA Hits Milestone for XLF. * Utilities Correct within Bigger Uptrend. * Stock Performance During Earnings Season. * ChartList Updates. * About the Art's Charts ChartList. ...  S&P 500...   READ MORE 

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Can IWM Follow Through on Bounce? - ChartList Update

Can IWM Follow Through on Bounce? - ChartList Update

* Cup-with-handle Taking Shape in IWM. * Bond ETFs Reach Potential Reversal Zone. * Art's Charts ChartList Update (SMTC added). Art's Charts featured IWM on Monday with a bullish chart and a lagging price. Even though IWM remains well below its September highs, the ETF broke out of a...   READ MORE 

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COUP Flies the Flag after Big Gain

COUP Flies the Flag after Big Gain

Coupa Software is one of the best performing stocks in 2019 with a 50% advance year-to-date. In addition, the stock is up over 80% from its late December low. Too far too fast you might say? Perhaps, but the stock digested its gains with a consolidation the last two months...   READ MORE 

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Ciena Hits Potential Reversal Zone

Ciena Hits Potential Reversal Zone

The ideal scenario for traders is to buy after a pullback for a good reward-to-risk ratio. When the long-term trend is up, I look for indications of support and signs that an upturn is in the making. The chart for Ciena sports a classic setup with a confluence of indicators...   READ MORE 

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Small-caps Lag, but Large-caps Keep Market Bullish - ChartList Update

Small-caps Lag, but Large-caps Keep Market Bullish - ChartList Update

* Small-caps Continue to Lag. * S&P 500 Nears All Time High. * IWM Tests Breakout Zone. * Index Breadth Table Update. * Industrials and Finance Come to Life. * Art's Charts ChartList Update. Back in the Saddle After a vacation and market hiatus, today's commentary will review the broader...   READ MORE 

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Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence

Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence

This article will provide links and symbols for some of the charts used in the On Trend episode focusing on breadth indicators (Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence). Episode details are shown below and you can watch a recording on our Youtube channel. The idea behind these indicators is...   READ MORE 

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Finding, Tracking and Analyzing Growth Stocks

Finding, Tracking and Analyzing Growth Stocks

Learning about and tracking growth stocks in unique industry groups is an ongoing process that can help traders and investors outperform the broader market. This article will provide links to some of the resources from the On Trend episode focusing on growth stocks (Finding, Tracking and Analyzing Growth Stocks). A...   READ MORE