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GE Takes the Lead with a 3-month High
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
I featured GE in mid-May as it attempted to break out of a falling wedge (DITC on May 15th). The breakout failed as the stock fell back in May, but a higher low formed and a triangle evolved. Overall, some sort of bullish consolidation formed from February to June and...
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SystemTrader - Scanning for Consistent Uptrends with Limited Pullbacks
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
... As a trend-momentum kind of guy, my first task is to find stocks with strong uptrends and this starts with a scan. Chartists looking for scan ideas should first find several visually appealing price charts and then study these charts carefully. Stocks like Autozone (AZO), Gallagher (AJG), Abbot Labs (ABT)...
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Illumina Rises above the Biotech Crowd
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It has been a rough three months for many biotechs and the Biotech iShares (IBB), but Illumina (ILMN) rose above the crowd with a big gain and three month high. The long-term chart also looks bullish.
The table below shows the Biotech iShares and the top ten stocks (sans Celgene)...
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Are Small-caps Really the Canaries in the Coal Mine?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Many a pundit considers small-caps as the canaries in the coal mine and this implies that relative weakness in small-caps is negative for the broader market. As Missanei of Game of Thrones might say: It is known. Known, yes, but is it actually true?
In the interest of full disclosure,...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - The Long and Rocky Road
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* The Long and Rocky Road.
* S&P 500 Maintains Bullish Bias.
* Index Breadth Table Improves.
* MDY and IWM Break Out of Wedges.
* Sector Breadth Table Gets Four New Signals.
* Healthcare Perking Up.
* Big Six Sectors Trigger Breakouts.
* Utes, REITs and Staples Remain Strong.
* Art's Charts ChartList Update....
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SPY Holds 50-day - Biotech ETFs Set Up - Chinese ETFs Diverge - ChartList Update
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Long-term Uptrend Still Dominates.
* SPY Holds Wedge Breakout and 50-day.
* Biotech ETFs Firm in Reversal Zones.
* Chinese ETFs Diverge.
* Art's Charts ChartList.
* On Trend on SCCTV and Youtube.
... Long-term Uptrend Still Dominates
... Let's break down the S&P 500 by starting with the bigger trend....
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Ford Shines within a Rather Dull Auto Group
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It has been a tough three months for most auto stocks with the Global Auto ETF (CARZ) falling around 1.22%. In contrast, the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is up 4.21% since March 11th. Within the group, Ford (F) Daimler-Chrysler (DDAIF) and Toyota (TM) show gains during...
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Mind the Gap in JP Morgan
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved sharply higher last week with several bouncing off broken resistance levels with gap reversals. JP Morgan is one such stock and last week's gap becomes the first area to watch going forward.
The chart shows JPM breaking out in mid April with a surge to the...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Assessing the June Rebound
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Small-caps Still Lagging.
* S&P 500 Establishes Clear Support Zone.
* Breadth Falls Short and Fades.
* $SPX Close + 200-day SMA = NOISE!
* A Mixed, but Bullish, Indicator Table.
* Sector Table Remains Firmly Bullish.
* New Highs Surge within S&P 500.
* New Highs in Finance Sector.
* Medical Devices, Defense and Solar...
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A Bullish Continuation Pattern Evolves for Accenture
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Semiconductor stocks fell hard in May, but many software names held up quite well in May and simply consolidated. Accenture is one such name as the stock held above the breakout zone and simply consolidated the last five weeks.
First and foremost, the long-term trend is up because Accenture (ACN)...
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S&P 500 Toys with 200-day - Two Emerging Market ETFs To Watch
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* S&P 500 Crosses 200-day for Umpteenth Time.
* The S&P 500 versus a Slew of Negative Charts.
* Vietnam ETF Tests Breakout Zone.
* Frontier Markets ETF Nears Breakout.
... There sure is a lot of negativity out there as the S&P 500 toys with its 200-day SMA....
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Hexcel Bucks the Selling and Holds the Break Zone
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
May was a tough month for the broad market indexes and nine of the eleven sectors. Only the Utilities SPDR and Real Estate SPDR advanced in May as the other nine sectors fell. Stocks that closed higher in May bucked some serious selling pressure and could be worth a second...
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Key Moving Average Rolls Over for S&P 500
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The 200-day moving averages for the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and the S&P Small-Cap 600 are already trending lower and this key moving average for the S&P 500 turned lower over the past week. This puts all three indexes below their falling 200-day SMAs and...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Bearish Evidence Proliferates
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Key Moving Average Turns Lower.
* Mid-caps Trigger Bearish Breadth Signal.
* Small-caps Lead New Low Expansion.
* Four New Signals on Sector Table.
* Risk Aversion Indicators Surge.
* Treasury Bonds Extend Surge.
* Consumer Discretionary Sector Breaks Down.
* Oil Extends Decline.
* Gold Forms a Bull Wedge.
* Art's Charts ChartList Update.
... Stocks are...
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SPY and SOXX Become Oversold near Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Oversold and at the 200-day.
* Pennant Evolves into Wedge.
* SOXX and Semis Hit Support.
* A Correction within Uptrend for PALL.
... Oversold and at the 200-day
... The S&P 500 and S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) are at interesting junctures because both are oversold and both are at their...
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Cardiovascular Systems Breaks from Pennant
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Cardiovascular Systems (CSII) shows bullish price action with signs of accumulation that could lead to higher prices.
First and foremost, the long-term trend is up because CSII recorded a new high in early March and is above the 200-day SMA. The 50-day SMA (green) is also above the 200-day SMA...
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Walking Down the Lower Bollinger Band
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Walking Down the Lower Band.
* Swings are Getting Bigger.
* Selling Pressure Expands to Defensive Sectors.
* Bearish Breadth Thrust for XLP and XLV.
* On Trend on Youtube.
...Walking Down the Lower Band
...Even though the weight of the evidence has yet to turn bearish for the S&P 500, the...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Small-caps, Retail and Oil Lead Lower
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Retail, Banks, Semis and Oil.
* S&P 500 Corrects with Bigger Uptrend.
* Index Breadth Table Remains Net Bullish.
* AD Percent Down Days Weigh in May.
* Small-caps Lead the Way Lower.
* Charts to Measure Risk On/Off.
* Sector Shift in May.
* Sector Breadth Table Remains Bullish.
* Healthcare ETFs Hold Up...
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A Medical Device Stock with Strong Volume Trends
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
An existing uptrend and short-term breakout on high volume point to higher prices for Boston Scientific.
The chart below show BSX hitting a new high in early March and then falling rather sharply into mid April. A volume spike punctuates the plunge below 35 and this looks like a selling...
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A Momentum Break for Ross Stores
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Ross Stores (ROST) recently bounced off its rising 200-day SMA with a bullish candlestick pattern and short-term RSI broke to its highest level of the month. It looks like the short-term pullback is ending and the bigger uptrend is resuming.
ROST plunged in November-December with a sharp decline below the...
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A Bearish Failure Swing for the Russell 2000
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The bearish failure swing is a bearish RSI signal from Welles Wilder, creator of RSI. Note that this signal is NOT the same as a bearish divergence, even though a bearish divergence is also possible at the same time.
A bearish failure swing has four parts: RSI moves above 70...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Risk Aversion in the Air
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Defensive Sectors Have Strongest Charts.
* Offensive Sectors Have Yet to Break Down.
* S&P 500 Gets a Bounce.
* A Bearish Failure Swing for the Russell 2000.
* Large-caps Lead New High List.
* Discretionary and Communication Sectors Take Hits.
* Housing versus Retail.
* Software versus Semis.
* Treasury Bonds Extend on Breakouts.
* Measuring...
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Is GE for Real This time?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
General Electric (GE) is one of the worst performing stocks over the last two years, but the stock is perking up in 2019 and outperforming in May. The S&P 500 is down 3.8% so far this month and GE is up 1.5% after a big surge...
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Four Steps Up and One Step Back - Another 90% Down Day - Breadth Update
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Triple 90% Down Volume Day.
* Breadth Table Update.
* Four Steps Up and One Step Back.
* SPY Hits Support and Becomes Oversold.
* Interest in Tariffs and Fed.
Triple 90% Down Volume Day
Stocks were hit with strong selling pressure again on Monday with the S&P 500 SPDR falling 2....
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AMD Holds Up Well with Semiconductor Group
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 was down 2% last week and the Nasdaq fell 3%. Stocks that gained on the week showed relative and absolute strength. Stocks that fell less than 2% showed relative strength. The average semiconductor stock within the S&P 1500 was down 5% last week...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - Weighing the Evidence and the Nerve
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Small-caps and 3 Sectors Weigh.
* Everywhere and Nowhere.
* Immediate Trend is Still Up.
* Another Possible Support Zone.
* Index Breadth Table Survives 90% Down Days.
* Yield Spread Remains Positive for Stocks.
* Mean-Reversion Setup Brewing.
* Art's Charts ChartList Update.
... Small-caps and 3 Sectors Weigh
Stocks came under broad pressure in...
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Micron Fails at Break Zone
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
A basic concept of technical analysis is that broken support turns into future resistance. This concept is proving true for Micron (MU) as it returned to broken support in April and backed off the last two weeks.
The chart shows MU breaking down with a support break in September and...
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A Shot Across the Bow with a Triple 90% Down Day - What to Watch Next
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Triple 90% Down Day
It is way too early to call for a major top, but we do have a short-term breadth signal that points to further downside. The chart below shows AD Percent for the S&P 500, S&P Mid-Cap 400 and S&P Small-Cap...
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Ebay Holds the Gap and the Break
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Ebay (EBAY) reversed its downtrend with a reversal pattern and break above the 200-day SMA in late January and early February. After digesting its gains with a corrective pattern in March-April the stock broke out again with a gap and appears headed higher.
The stock formed a rare island reversal...
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Improving the Best Six Months Strategy by Adding Months and Timing
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The "Best Six Months" strategy suggests that the best time to own stocks is from November to April, and the worst time is from May to October. Testing over the last 25 years confirms the performance differences between these two periods, but this strategy still leaves money on...
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Docusign Breaks from Consolidation Pattern
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Docusign (DOCU), a company that provides e-signature solutions, started trading on August 27th and surged over 30% on its IPO. The stock advanced another 65% after this initial gain and then fell back to the IPO price in October. Notice that the six month lockup period ended on October 24th...
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Palo Alto Readies for its Next Move
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is a leading cyber-security stock that fits into the technology sector. Needless to say, the Technology SPDR (XLK) and the EW Technology ETF (RYT) are the leading sectors here in 2019. PANW took a break with a consolidation over the last eight weeks, and this could...
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Weekly Market Review & Outlook - 3000 and then What?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* S&P 500 Reaches 2018 Highs.
* Watch the Immediate Uptrend.
* IWM Holds Flag Breakout.
* Small-caps Breadth Indicators Net Bearish.
* %Above 200-day EMA Hits Milestone for XLF.
* Utilities Correct within Bigger Uptrend.
* Stock Performance During Earnings Season.
* ChartList Updates.
* About the Art's Charts ChartList.
... S&P 500...
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Can IWM Follow Through on Bounce? - ChartList Update
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Cup-with-handle Taking Shape in IWM.
* Bond ETFs Reach Potential Reversal Zone.
* Art's Charts ChartList Update (SMTC added).
Art's Charts featured IWM on Monday with a bullish chart and a lagging price. Even though IWM remains well below its September highs, the ETF broke out of a...
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COUP Flies the Flag after Big Gain
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Coupa Software is one of the best performing stocks in 2019 with a 50% advance year-to-date. In addition, the stock is up over 80% from its late December low. Too far too fast you might say? Perhaps, but the stock digested its gains with a consolidation the last two months...
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Ciena Hits Potential Reversal Zone
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The ideal scenario for traders is to buy after a pullback for a good reward-to-risk ratio. When the long-term trend is up, I look for indications of support and signs that an upturn is in the making. The chart for Ciena sports a classic setup with a confluence of indicators...
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Small-caps Lag, but Large-caps Keep Market Bullish - ChartList Update
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Small-caps Continue to Lag.
* S&P 500 Nears All Time High.
* IWM Tests Breakout Zone.
* Index Breadth Table Update.
* Industrials and Finance Come to Life.
* Art's Charts ChartList Update.
Back in the Saddle
After a vacation and market hiatus, today's commentary will review the broader...
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Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
This article will provide links and symbols for some of the charts used in the On Trend episode focusing on breadth indicators (Using Breadth Indicators to Weigh the Evidence). Episode details are shown below and you can watch a recording on our Youtube channel. The idea behind these indicators is...
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Finding, Tracking and Analyzing Growth Stocks
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Learning about and tracking growth stocks in unique industry groups is an ongoing process that can help traders and investors outperform the broader market. This article will provide links to some of the resources from the On Trend episode focusing on growth stocks (Finding, Tracking and Analyzing Growth Stocks). A...
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