Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Breaks Range, IWM Lags and USO Hits New Low

SPY Breaks Range, IWM Lags and USO Hits New Low

Stocks were hit with selling pressure on Thursday with QQQ leading the way lower. Actually, the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) led with a 2% decline because selling pressure in the technology sector was quite broad. Healthcare and consumer discretionary, which have been leaders, also came under selling pressure. The...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

QQQ and Tech Start to Lead - TLT Tests Support

QQQ and Tech Start to Lead - TLT Tests Support

Stocks caught an early bid and even held their gains to close positive. There was no follow through to the morning pop so traders can read into this as they please. The bears will point to no follow through, while the bulls will point to the ability to hold gains....   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Growth Whips Up on Value with the Usual Suspects to Blame

Growth Whips Up on Value with the Usual Suspects to Blame

The S&P 1500 can be divided into the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400 and the S&P SmallCap 600. These three ETFs can be further divided into their growth and value components to create six different index styles (small-growth, small-value, mid-growth, mid-value, large-growth,...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

UUP Bounces off Support - TLT Remains in Steep Uptrend

UUP Bounces off Support - TLT Remains in Steep Uptrend

Stocks were all mixed up with no place to go on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW), which treats Apple as a mere mortal, managed a small gain to lead the major index ETFs. The rest were down fractionally. The sectors were mixed with fractional gains and fractional losses....   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Adheres to Trading Range - TLT Surges as USO Drops

SPY Adheres to Trading Range - TLT Surges as USO Drops

Let the choppiness begin. Or rather, let the choppiness continue. Stocks started flat, moved lower around noon and then bounced in the final hour. The major index ETFs still finished down on the day, but the declines were fractional and they managed to close off their lows. Even so, note...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Delta Leads as SCTRs Pop for Four Airline Stocks

Delta Leads as SCTRs Pop for Four Airline Stocks

Stocks were mostly lower in afternoon trading, but a few airlines bucked the trend with gains and big moves in their StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). The table below shows the SCTRs for large-caps and the table is sorted by "change". Just click the column heading to sort. Notice...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Hits Middle of Range as TLT Extends Uptrend

SPY Hits Middle of Range as TLT Extends Uptrend

It was a choppy week, but the major index ETFs managed to finish with small gains. The S&P MidCap SPDR (MDY) led with a 1.85% advance and QQQ lagged with a .77% gain. The sectors were mostly higher with industrials, materials and healthcare leading. Healthcare has been...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

S&P 500 Hasn't Done this in over 20 Years

S&P 500 Hasn't Done this in over 20 Years

The S&P 500 is locked in a 100 point trading range (2040-2140) since March because of a serious split in sector performance. At less than 5% this is the narrowest range in several years. Note that Bollinger Bandwidth on the weekly chart reached a 20+ year low in...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Holds Short-term Uptrend, UUP Holds Break and TLT Tests Support

SPY Holds Short-term Uptrend, UUP Holds Break and TLT Tests Support

The major index ETFs closed fractionally higher in listless trading. QQQ led with a .48% bounce. MSFT and GILD lifted QQQ and have bullish looking charts. The sectors were mixed with energy and consumer staples losing ground. The consumer discretionary, finance and materials sectors gained. Of note, the Home Construction...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Leads Again, IWM and QQQ Lag, GLD Forms Mini-Flag

SPY Leads Again, IWM and QQQ Lag, GLD Forms Mini-Flag

Stocks moved higher on Wednesday, but the bounce was rather lopsided. Large-cap techs weighed on QQQ as the ETF gained .38%. The Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW), in contrast, gained .93% on the day. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) gained just .28% and continues to lag. The S&P...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Merck Forms Key Outside Reversal on High Volume

Merck Forms Key Outside Reversal on High Volume

The HealthCare SPDR (XLV) has been one of the strongest sectors in 2015, but Merck (MRK) has lagged both the market and the sector. The first chart shows the HealthCare SPDR (XLV) relative to the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) using the price relative (XLV:SPY ratio). This ratio...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Leads Oversold Bounce - UUP Tests Uptrend Support

SPY Leads Oversold Bounce - UUP Tests Uptrend Support

Stocks bounced with gains across the board. Most of the major index ETFs gained over 1%, but the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) lagged with a .85% gain. All sectors were up with the oversold sectors getting the biggest bounces (energy, materials and industrials). The finance, consumer discretionary and technology sectors...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Breadth Becomes Short-Term Oversold

Breadth Becomes Short-Term Oversold

Stocks were hit with further selling pressure on Monday, but selling pressure was rather contained. IWM, QQQ and SPY declined between .50% and 1%. Eight of the nine sectors were down with utilities bucking the selling pressure. Healthcare and consumer staples also held up relatively well with fractional declines. The...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Chinese Holdings Weigh on Global X Social Media ETF

Chinese Holdings Weigh on Global X Social Media ETF

The Social Media Global ETF (SOCL) fell sharply on Monday to signal a continuation of the prior decline. The chart below shows SOCL breaking support with a sharp decline in late June and early July. This is the break that broke the bull's back. Notice how the ETF...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Leads Lower and QQQ Tests Resistance Break

IWM Leads Lower and QQQ Tests Resistance Break

Stocks were hit with selling pressure last week as the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) fell 3.32% and the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) declined 2.11%. IWM is in a short-term downtrend because it is already testing the early July low. QQQ is holding up the best and...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Fills mid July Gap and TLT Breaks Out

IWM Fills mid July Gap and TLT Breaks Out

Stocks were hit with selling pressure on Thursday as the major index ETFs fell across the board. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) led the way with a 1.1% decline. All sector SPDRs were down and eight of the nine equal-weight sector ETFs were down. The EW Energy ETF was...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Finance Leads, IWM Hits Gap Zone and TLT Nears Resistance

Finance Leads, IWM Hits Gap Zone and TLT Nears Resistance

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday with QQQ taking a big hit and IWM getting a small bounce. The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) finished modestly lower and the S&P MidCap SPDR (MDY) managed a small gain. It is pretty amazing that small and mid caps were lagging...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Airline Index Perks Up with a Reversal Pattern

Airline Index Perks Up with a Reversal Pattern

The Airline Index ($XAL) has been a real dog in 2015, but the index is showing signs of support and a double bottom could be emerging. The chart below shows $XAL peaking in January and moving lower the last six months. The 10-day EMA is below the 100-day EMA and...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Tests the Gap and RGI Weakens

IWM Tests the Gap and RGI Weakens

Stocks were weak across the board with the Dow Industrials leading the way lower. Big declines in IBM and UTX weighed on the senior Average. Both stocks are above $100 and the Dow is a price weighted average. This means the stocks with the highest price carry the most weight....   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM and RSP Lag, USO and GLD Extend Downtrends

IWM and RSP Lag, USO and GLD Extend Downtrends

Stocks were mixed on Monday with small gains and small losses in the major index ETFs. DIA and QQQ edged higher, while IWM and MDY edged lower. Small-caps and mid-caps continue to show relative weakness. Note that QQQ hit a new high and SPY is challenging its May high, but...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

An Island Reversal for DIA

An Island Reversal for DIA

With a gap and big surge, the Dow Diamonds (DIA) triggered a series of bullish signals that remain valid until proven otherwise. First, let's look at the bullish signals. DIA bounced off support in the 174-175 area in early July and broke resistance with a surge above 178....   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

QQQ Leads, IWM Lags, USO and GLD Extend Downtrends

QQQ Leads, IWM Lags, USO and GLD Extend Downtrends

Stocks surged last week with a rather lopsided advance. QQQ surged over 5% and SPY was up around 2.45%. IWM lagged with a 1.31% gain and MDY gained just .35%. Small-caps and mid-caps lagged as large-caps led. Among the sectors, technology and healthcare led as energy and materials...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Home Construction ETF Leads and Holds Breakout

Home Construction ETF Leads and Holds Breakout

The mixed performance of ten key industry group ETFs reflects the flat performance in the S&P 500 since early May. Note that the S&P 500 is virtually unchanged since April 30. As the PerfChart below shows, six of the industry group ETFs are up and four...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

QQQ is Stymied by Performance Split and 3 Consolidations Hold the Key

QQQ is Stymied by Performance Split and 3 Consolidations Hold the Key

A look at performance for the top holdings in the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) explains a lot about performance since March. The PerfChart below shows the percentage change for QQQ and its top nine holdings. Note that this chart does not include Wednesday's price data, which is still...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

QQQ and IWM Firm at Support and USO Trends Lower

QQQ and IWM Firm at Support and USO Trends Lower

Stocks managed to firm after Monday's rout and several ETFs formed inside days, which signal indecision. The Russell 2000 Growth iShares (IWO) and Russell MicroCap iShares (IWC) led the rebound and gained around .90% each. The sectors were mixed with energy, consumer discretionary and finance finishing with modest...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY and QQQ Break Support, Euro Holds Firm, Bonds Bounce

SPY and QQQ Break Support, Euro Holds Firm, Bonds Bounce

Stocks were hit with broad selling pressure as the major index ETFs fell sharply and all sectors moved lower. The declines in the major index ETFs were pretty even with each losing around 2%. DIA held up the best with a 1.95% decline and IJR fared the worst with...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

FTSE Hits Fibonacci Cluster Zone and LLoyds Forms Bull Flag

FTSE Hits Fibonacci Cluster Zone and LLoyds Forms Bull Flag

Today's post is for our UK traders because it focuses on the FTSE and three of the biggest banks in the UK. Shares in Europe were sharply lower in early trading on Monday with the German DAX Index ($DAX) and French CAC Index ($CAC) losing around 3%. The...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY and QQQ Reverse within Trading Ranges - UUP Challenges Resistance

SPY and QQQ Reverse within Trading Ranges - UUP Challenges Resistance

Last week was almost the week that wasn't. There wasn't much change in the major index ETFs and there was no solution for Greece. There were some other significant moves though. The Home Construction iShares (ITB) and the Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) had a good week...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Forms Lower High, USO Flags Lower and UUP Challenges Resistance

SPY Forms Lower High, USO Flags Lower and UUP Challenges Resistance

The S&P 500 surged on Monday morning with a move from 2110 to 2130. That was it for the buying pressure. The index peaked late Morning on Monday and fell the next three and a half days. $SPX closed near 2102.5 on Thursday and is down slightly...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

SPY Tests Breakout, USO Flags and GLD Channels Lower

SPY Tests Breakout, USO Flags and GLD Channels Lower

Stocks opened weak and closed with with the S&P 500 losing around .74% on the day. Selling pressure was contained, but across the board as all sectors declined and most industry-group ETFs lost ground. The Materials SPDR (XLB) led the sectors lower with a 1.27% decline. It...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

A Classic Sector Breadth Oscillator Surges to Highest Level of 2015

A Classic Sector Breadth Oscillator Surges to Highest Level of 2015

StockCharts users have access to the McClellan Oscillators and Summation Indices for the nine sector SDDRs and the major stock indices. Before showing how to find these symbols, let's take a look at the McClellan Oscillator and McClellan Summation Index for the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY). The chart...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

UUP Surges to Resistance - USO Forms Smaller Flag

UUP Surges to Resistance - USO Forms Smaller Flag

Stocks meandered on Tuesday with the major index ETFs finishing mixed. The Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) and Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) edged lower, while the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) edged higher. The sectors were also mixed with weakness in...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Hits Another New High - GLD Fails to Hold Breakout

IWM Hits Another New High - GLD Fails to Hold Breakout

Stocks surged out of the gate and then settled into a trading range the rest of the day. The gains were modest, but they held with QQQ and IWM leading the way. Note that the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 both hit new highs again on Monday. It is hard to...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Vertex Goes for a Continuation Break

Vertex Goes for a Continuation Break

Vertex (VRTX) is part of the healthcare sector, which is one of the strongest sectors in the market. It is also part of the biotech industry, which is one of the strongest industry groups in the healthcare sector. This puts strong sector and industry group performance in its favor. On...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Leads as USO and UUP Trend Lower

IWM Leads as USO and UUP Trend Lower

There sure was a lot of noise last week, but this noise was not enough to affect small-caps and techs. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hit new highs and this is bullish for the market overall. Despite a mixed week, the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) and the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

Flags Fall for Light Crude and Brent

Flags Fall for Light Crude and Brent

Oil surged in early June and looked poised to break flag resistance. A little follow through last week was all that was needed. US stocks did their part as the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hit new highs. The Dollar did its part as the US Dollar Index fell 2.8%...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Leads with New High - USO Remains Subdued - GLD Breaks Out

IWM Leads with New High - USO Remains Subdued - GLD Breaks Out

Stocks surged with the major index ETFs gaining over 1% on the day. IWM and QQQ led with 1.5% advances. DIA and SPY gained around 1%. Eight of the nine sectors were up with solid gains coming from consumer discretionary, finance and healthcare. Energy lagged as oil remained in...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Leads with Higher High - USO Trends Lower with Flag

IWM Leads with Higher High - USO Trends Lower with Flag

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday with QQQ and SPY posting small gains, and IWM and MDY posting small losses. The sectors were mixed with small gains coming in consumer discretionary, materials and consumer staples. The beaten down utilities sector got the biggest bounce, but it remains in a downtrend overall....   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

A Key Gauge to Watch for Signs of Contagion

A Key Gauge to Watch for Signs of Contagion

Many of us remember the financial crisis in 2008 when Lehman collapsed and the credit markets froze. The S&P 500 plunged some 40% and the 20+ YR T-Bond ETF (TLT) surged over 30% in a flight to quality. This was a true financial crisis and the markets reflected...   READ MORE 

MEMBERS ONLY

IWM Continues to Lead, SPY Fills One Gap, UUP Turns Quiet

IWM Continues to Lead, SPY Fills One Gap, UUP Turns Quiet

June has been anything but dull for the stock market, on a short-term basis at least. SPY sports three swings of at least 2% over the last ten days. After gapping down on Monday, stocks firmed and rallied from Monday morning to Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday's bounce was enough...   READ MORE