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SPY Forms Lower High, USO Flags Lower and UUP Challenges Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 surged on Monday morning with a move from 2110 to 2130. That was it for the buying pressure. The index peaked late Morning on Monday and fell the next three and a half days. $SPX closed near 2102.5 on Thursday and is down slightly...
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SPY Tests Breakout, USO Flags and GLD Channels Lower
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak and closed with with the S&P 500 losing around .74% on the day. Selling pressure was contained, but across the board as all sectors declined and most industry-group ETFs lost ground. The Materials SPDR (XLB) led the sectors lower with a 1.27% decline....
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A Classic Sector Breadth Oscillator Surges to Highest Level of 2015
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
StockCharts users have access to the McClellan Oscillators and Summation Indices for the nine sector SDDRs and the major stock indices. Before showing how to find these symbols, let's take a look at the McClellan Oscillator and McClellan Summation Index for the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY). The chart...
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UUP Surges to Resistance - USO Forms Smaller Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks meandered on Tuesday with the major index ETFs finishing mixed. The Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) and Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) edged lower, while the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) edged higher. The sectors were also mixed with...
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IWM Hits Another New High - GLD Fails to Hold Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged out of the gate and then settled into a trading range the rest of the day. The gains were modest, but they held with QQQ and IWM leading the way. Note that the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 both hit new highs again on Monday. It is hard to...
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Vertex Goes for a Continuation Break
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Vertex (VRTX) is part of the healthcare sector, which is one of the strongest sectors in the market. It is also part of the biotech industry, which is one of the strongest industry groups in the healthcare sector. This puts strong sector and industry group performance in its favor. On...
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IWM Leads as USO and UUP Trend Lower
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There sure was a lot of noise last week, but this noise was not enough to affect small-caps and techs. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hit new highs and this is bullish for the market overall. Despite a mixed week, the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) and the Nasdaq 100...
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Flags Fall for Light Crude and Brent
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Oil surged in early June and looked poised to break flag resistance. A little follow through last week was all that was needed. US stocks did their part as the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq hit new highs. The Dollar did its part as the US Dollar Index fell 2.8%...
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IWM Leads with New High - USO Remains Subdued - GLD Breaks Out
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged with the major index ETFs gaining over 1% on the day. IWM and QQQ led with 1.5% advances. DIA and SPY gained around 1%. Eight of the nine sectors were up with solid gains coming from consumer discretionary, finance and healthcare. Energy lagged as oil remained in...
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IWM Leads with Higher High - USO Trends Lower with Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were mixed on Wednesday with QQQ and SPY posting small gains, and IWM and MDY posting small losses. The sectors were mixed with small gains coming in consumer discretionary, materials and consumer staples. The beaten down utilities sector got the biggest bounce, but it remains in a downtrend overall....
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A Key Gauge to Watch for Signs of Contagion
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Many of us remember the financial crisis in 2008 when Lehman collapsed and the credit markets froze. The S&P 500 plunged some 40% and the 20+ YR T-Bond ETF (TLT) surged over 30% in a flight to quality. This was a true financial crisis and the markets...
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IWM Continues to Lead, SPY Fills One Gap, UUP Turns Quiet
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
June has been anything but dull for the stock market, on a short-term basis at least. SPY sports three swings of at least 2% over the last ten days. After gapping down on Monday, stocks firmed and rallied from Monday morning to Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday's bounce was...
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SPY Gaps for Fourth Time, QQQ Tests Support, USO Challenges Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened sharply lower, bounced a bit and then traded flat the rest of the day. The major index ETFs spent the entire day in negative territory and closed with modest losses. Dow futures are down around 100 points at 4:30AM ET on reports that Greece will not submit...
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The Golden State Trade with Oracle and Under Armour
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Two stocks associated with the Golden State Warriors are showing promise as Step Curry leads his team to a 3-2 lead in the series. The Warriors play in the Oracle Arena and Oracle (ORCL) is making waves with an ascending triangle. Admittedly, the pattern is a little long and...
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QQQ Triangulates, IWM Leads, USO Challenges Bull Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved up at the beginning of the week and down towards the end of the week. The end result was mixed for the major index ETFs as QQQ fell around .50% and IWM gained .42%. The sectors were mixed with finance showing strength and energy showing weakness. Strength in...
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SPY Stalls at Resistance - USO Hits Flag Trend Line
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were flat on Thursday as the market digested Wednesday's big gain. The major index ETFs closed slightly higher with IWM gaining .25% and MDY leading with a .60% advance. The sectors were mixed with modest gains in industrials, materials and healthcare. Energy weakened as the USO Oil...
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A Breadth Up Thrust - IWM Leads - USO Challenges Flag Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged with the major index ETFs opening strong and finishing strong. We did not see a pop and drop, and this is positive. The gains were relatively even with IWM gaining 1.25%, QQQ advancing 1.37% and SPY surging 1.20%. All sectors were up with technology and...
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Only One of the Nine Sector SPDRs is up this Month
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Eight of the nine sector SPDRs are down month-to-date and the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is also down (as of the 9-June close). One sector, however, is bucking the trend with a small gain. The Finance SPDR (XLF) is up around a half percent and...
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SPY Downtrend Gets Oversold - IWM Triangulates
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Trading was rather quiet on Tuesday as the S&P 500 dipped in early trading, rebounded into positive territory by noon and then traded flat. The major index ETFs finished flat with fractional losses in IWM (-.30%) and SPY (-.01%). The sectors were mixed with small gains in consumer...
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Sector Balance Tilts to the Bears - IWM Holds Up
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak and remained weak as the S&P 500 extended its two week slide. This slide started with the gap down on Tuesday, May 26th, the day after Memorial Day. Tech stocks led the way lower as QQQ lost around 1%. Small-caps held up relatively well...
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Time Warner and Eastman Chemical Lead SCTR Gainers
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists looking for the "relative strength" movers and shakers of the day can focus on the stocks and ETFs with the biggest changes in their StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). Small tables can be found in the bottom half of the home page and full listings can be found...
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Market Remains Very Mixed - Small-Caps and Mid-Caps Lead Though
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were mixed most of the week and the major index ETFs finished mixed. The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower, while the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM), S&P MidCap SPDR (MDY) and S&P SmallCap iShares (IJR) closed modestly higher...
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Should the Stock Market Worry about Rising Rates?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
There have been four big surges in the 10-year Treasury Yield since the bull market for the S&P 500 began in 2009. These big moves certainly sent shock waves through the bond market, but the stock market was not rattled because the S&P 500 produced...
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QQQ forms Cup with Handle - Oil Fails to Hold Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks just couldn't bear the pressure any longer and sold off on Thursday. The S&P 500 opened weak and finished weak for a .86% decline on the day. Overall, the decline is not that big and the index is still less than 2% from an all...
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Small-caps Lead as IWM Breaks Out - UUP Hits Moment of Truth
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks chopped around again on Wednesday, but managed to hold their early gains and close positive. The S&P 500 surged to 2121 in the first hour, fell back to 2112 around lunchtime and then finished at 2114 for a small gain. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) and the...
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Don't Look Now, but Small-cap SCTRs are Leading
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
May was a strong month for big tech stocks, small caps and mid caps. It was such a big month that the Russell 2000 iShares, S&P SmallCap iShares and S&P MidCap SPDR are in the top third of the SCTR table below. Notice that the Russell...
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Oil Gets a Break, IWM Perks Up and Bonds Break Down
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks chopped around again on Tuesday with the S&P 500 falling to 2100 on the open, bouncing back to 2117 in the early afternoon and settling around 2110 by the close. Overall, the major index ETFs ended the day mixed. DIA and QQQ edged lower, while IWM and...
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Three of Five Sectors in Short-term Downtrends - SPY Triangulates
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks chopped around on Monday with the S&P 500 trading in an 18 point range the entire day. The major index ETFs finished with small gains led by the Russell MicroCap iShares (+.40%). The sectors were mixed with energy, materials and consumer staples showing some weakness. Healthcare, industrials...
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Home Construction ETF Moves Into Leading RRG Quadrant
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Home Construction iShares (ITB) is showing some improvement in relative performance with a move from the improving quadrant to the leading quadrant over the last few days. The image below shows a daily Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) with ten industry group ETFs and the Equal-Weight S&P...
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Breadth Turns Bearish, IWM Contracts and USO Challenges Channel Line
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were all over the place last week. The S&P 500 plunged on Tuesday, rebounded on Wednesday and fell back on Thursday-Friday. For the week, the major index ETFs ended lower by around 1%. All sectors were lower with energy and industrials leading the way down. The...
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Range Narrows for IWM, Industrials Lag and Tech Leads
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks sank on the open, but quickly firmed and rebounded somewhat in the afternoon. For the day, the major index ETFs finished fractionally lower, but the S&P SmallCap iShares (IJR) bucked a little with a fractional gain. The sectors were mostly lower with energy and industrials leading the...
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QQQ Leads Bounce, RYT Hits New High, USO Maintains Downtrend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks swooned on Tuesday and then recovered most of their losses on Wednesday. Techs led the way as the Technology SPDR (XLK) hit a new high and QQQ closed at a new closing high. Semiconductors led the rebound as the Semiconductor SPDR (XSD) surged over 3% and hit a new...
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Palladium Holds Up Better than Gold
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Palladium ETF (PALL) caught my eye on Tuesday because it held up quite well when other metals were getting hit hard. Gold was down around 1.5%, while platinum and silver fell around 2%. PALL was down just .26% and the ETF is edging higher in early trading on...
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IWM Breaks Support, TLT Breaks Resistance and GLD Plunges
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks fell with selling pressure across the board. The major index ETFs were all down around 1% and the declines were pretty even. All sector SPDRs and equal-weight sector ETFs were down. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (-.71%) and the Utilities SPDR (-.63%) were down the least and held up...
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SPY Holds Uptrend, IWM Still Lags, UUP Breaks Out and Oil Trends Lower
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 finished the week with a gain, but was hit with selling pressure in the final hour on Friday. For the week, the index surged on Monday and then traded flat from Tuesday to Friday. Small-caps led Friday's pullback as the Russell 2000...
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SPY Leads with New High, TLT Firms in Oversold Territory and UUP Holds Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 edged higher on Thursday, but market action was mixed overall. QQQ and SPY closed slightly higher, while IWM closed slightly lower. Seven of the nine sector SPDRs were up with energy, industrials and technology leading the way. XLI got a nice bounce from GE, which...
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IWM Starts to Lead, RYH Leads Sectors and UUP Holds Breakout
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks did the old pop and drop as the S&P 500 surged to 2135 after the Fed minutes and then plunged back to its starting point (2125). The index ended the day unchanged and nothing has changed regarding the trend. Yesterday's pop and drop was just...
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What Matters Most for the S&P 500?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 500 is in the midst of one of the strongest and most consistent trends ever. The chart below shows the S&P 500 twice. The top window shows the index with a 7% Zigzag indicator in pink and the bottom window shows a 10% Zigzag....
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TLT Becomes More Oversold, UUP Breaks Out, GLD Fails First Test
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks meandered on Tuesday with the S&P 500 trading on either side of 2130 the entire day. The ETF fell below 2130 in the afternoon and closed at 2127 (-.06%). The sectors were mostly lower with energy leading the decline. The Finance SPDR (XLF) was the strongest sector...
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Small-Caps Start to Lead as Dollar Bounces, SPY Hits New High, GLD Holds Breakout and USO Stalls
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks continued higher with the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials recording new all time highs. They were not the leaders though. The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) led and was the only major index ETF to gain over 1% on the day. Seven of the nine sector SPDRs finished...
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