Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

After a pummeling on Friday, stocks got an oversold bounce on Monday. But the bounce was not that impressive. QQQ gained .29%, SPY was up .41% and IWM gained .44%. Industrials led the sectors higher and energy lagged. Miners were hit hard as the Gold Miners ETF (GDX) plunged 3....   READ MORE 

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Stocks, Bonds, Oil and Gold Get Hit

Stocks, Bonds, Oil and Gold Get Hit

Selling pressure hit both stocks and bonds last week, but bonds more so than stocks. The S&P 500 fell around 1.5% for the week, which is not a drastic decline by any means. The 20+ YR T-Bond ETF (TLT) fell 4.5% last week and is down...   READ MORE 

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Stocks are Down, but Not Broken

Stocks are Down, but Not Broken

Stocks came under selling pressure in early March and this selling pressure intensified on Friday as the S&P 500 lost 1.42%, which was the biggest one day decline since late January. Even so, it is just one week of selling pressure and not enough to affect the...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Stocks meandered as traders treaded water ahead of today's employment report. The S&P 500 popped on the open, dropped around lunchtime and recovered in the afternoon. SPY closed with a fractional gain - and a yawn. Banks got a boost from some positive news on the...   READ MORE 

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Schwab Goes for a Break as Volume Indicator Leads

Schwab Goes for a Break as Volume Indicator Leads

Charles Schwab (SCHW) surged in February and then consolidated the last few weeks with an ascending triangle, which is a bullish continuation pattern. A breakout would signal a continuation of the prior advance and target a move to new highs. The indicator window shows the Accumulation Distribution Line (ACDL) hitting...   READ MORE 

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Short Term Trend Changes for Breadth, SPY and USO

Short Term Trend Changes for Breadth, SPY and USO

The S&P 500 did a repeat of Tuesday as the index opened weak with a plunge below 2090, quickly firmed and then recovered half the plunge with a bounce to the 2099 area. Selling pressure was pretty much across the board, but the declines were modest. Eight of...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Stocks were hit hard on the open as the S&P 500 fell below 2100 for the first time since February 20th. The index rebounded in the afternoon, but only recovered half of its morning loss. $SPX shows a series of lower lows and lower high the last five...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Stocks got right back to their bullish ways with the S&P 500 surging above 2117. The index started with a pop above 2113, dipped below 2100 and finished with a late surge to close near the high of the day. The major index ETFs finished higher with modest...   READ MORE 

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Relative strength in Gasoline and Brent Lifts Two Refiners

Relative strength in Gasoline and Brent Lifts Two Refiners

WTI Crude ($WTIC) remains relatively subdued, but Brent ($BRENT) and Gasoline ($GASO) have been moving higher the last several weeks. The top chart shows gasoline relative to crude using a ratio plot ($GASO:$WTIC), and the second chart shows the BRENT-WTI spread ($BRENT-$WTIC). Both rose sharply from mid February...   READ MORE 

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Breadth Stalls, TLT Tests Breakout, GLD Hits Resistance

Breadth Stalls, TLT Tests Breakout, GLD Hits Resistance

Stocks actually showed some selling pressure last week, but it was relatively mild and only for a few days. The S&P 500 moved above 2119 on Tuesday afternoon and then worked its way lower the rest of the week. With a close below 2105, the index fell around...   READ MORE 

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IWM Perks Up, Dollar Breaks Out and TLT Tests Breakout

IWM Perks Up, Dollar Breaks Out and TLT Tests Breakout

It was a mixed day on Wall Street. Large-cap techs and small-caps led with modest gains. Mid-caps and the equal-weight S&P 500 lagged with modest losses. Energy got slammed again as oil fell. Small-cap performance was impressive because eight of the nine small-caps sector ETFs gained ground. The...   READ MORE 

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Euro ETF Gets a Continuation Signal

Euro ETF Gets a Continuation Signal

After consolidating for four weeks, the Euro ETF (FXE) is making a bid to continue its downtrend with a break below consolidation support. The bottom chart shows FXE forming a triangle after an extended decline. This is a consolidation within a downtrend and it represents a rest within that trend....   READ MORE 

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Breadth Stalls, TLT Holds Breakout and GLD Gets a Bounce

Breadth Stalls, TLT Holds Breakout and GLD Gets a Bounce

The S&P 500 moved to a new high during the session, but selling pressure hit in the afternoon and the index closed with a fractional loss. Wednesday's price action is the first negative price action we have seen in a while. The inability to hold a...   READ MORE 

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Intel Battles Gap and Relative Performance

Intel Battles Gap and Relative Performance

Intel is having a tough time this year. In fact, Intel (INTC) has been having a tough time since early December. The stock peaked around 37.5 in early December, formed a series of lower highs into mid January and then gapped down in late January. This gap-plunge broke support...   READ MORE 

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Some Risk Aversion Creeps in as Breadth Underwhelms

Some Risk Aversion Creeps in as Breadth Underwhelms

Stocks started the day strong as the S&P 500 surged above 2115 in the first ninety minutes. The index pulled back to the 2110 area around midday and rebounded in the afternoon to close above 2115. Once again, the gains for the day were modest across the board....   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

There it is again! Stocks started the day weak as the S&P 500 dropped to the 2104 level in the first hour. After choppy trading most of the day, the index surged in the final hour and closed a whisker below 2110. Selling pressure remains muted and buying...   READ MORE 

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Bristol Myers Gets a Histogram Signal

Bristol Myers Gets a Histogram Signal

Bristol Myers (BMY) is making a bid to turn back up and bounce off support. On the price chart, the stock firmed above the December-January lows in February and moved to its highest level of the month today. The indicator window shows the MACD Histogram turning positive, which means MACD...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Even though the major index ETFs are short-term overbought, stocks continue to exhibit bullish price action overall. For example, the S&P 500 fell over 10 points and dipped below 2087 in the first thirty minutes on Friday, but quickly found its footing and advanced the rest of the...   READ MORE 

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Adding a Systematic Touch with P&F Charts

Adding a Systematic Touch with P&F Charts

Chartists looking to filter small price movements and add a systematic touch to their analysis can turn to Point & Figure charts. Chart 1 shows a 60-minute P&F chart for the **S&P 500** and each box is five points. With a traditional 3-box reversal setting, this...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

The S&P 500 has been flat as a pancake the last three days, but the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 continued higher. Note that the S&P 500 is up .02% this week, the Nasdaq 100 is up .63% and the Russell 2000 is up .39%. The...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Stocks started the day with some mild selling pressure, firmed during the day and then rallied in the final two hours. The rally, however, was not that strong and the major index ETFs closed mixed on the day. QQQ was up a fraction and DIA was down a fraction. The...   READ MORE 

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Pre-defined Technical Alerts Continue Green

Pre-defined Technical Alerts Continue Green

Chartists can regularly check the Pre-defined Technical Alerts page for clues on market trends. Green alerts dominate the last three days and these green alerts come from the stock market. Just today, the Russell 2000 hit an all time high and the Nasdaq hit a 4-year high. Multi-year highs occur...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Stocks opened strong, dipped in the afternoon and then finished strong. Once again, the price action during the day is bullish and buying pressure continues to assert itself. The major index ETFs closed with fractional gains. The sectors were mixed with small gains and losses. Consumer discretionary, utilities and consumer...   READ MORE 

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Breadth Hits an Extreme - TLT Becomes Oversold

Breadth Hits an Extreme - TLT Becomes Oversold

Stocks continued higher last week with the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 hitting new highs on Friday. Techs led the rally as xrt6QQQ gained 3.67% and XLK surged 3.77%. Utilities did not partake as Treasury yields rose again last week. The Home Construction iShares...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Hits New High for 2015 - TLT Hits Key Retracement

QQQ Hits New High for 2015 - TLT Hits Key Retracement

Stocks put in another positive day with bullish price action. The S&P 500 opened strong with a surge above 2080 and then worked its way higher to close at 2088. Once again, we are seeing the ability to start strong and finish strong. Stock market strength was broad...   READ MORE 

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InterActive Corp Shows Signs of Accumulation

InterActive Corp Shows Signs of Accumulation

Interactive Corp (IACI) has turned rather volatile this year with a choppy trading range between 59 and 64. The stock gapped down to range support last week, but immediately firmed and surged off support with good volume. IACI is now in the process of filling the gap and a break...   READ MORE 

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Large-caps Lead - UUP Breaks Out - GLD Extends Downtrend

Large-caps Lead - UUP Breaks Out - GLD Extends Downtrend

It was a choppy day on Wall Street with QQQ edging higher and IWM edging lower. The sectors were mixed with techs and consumer staples producing small gains. Utilities took another hit as the Utilities SPDR (XLU) fell over 2%. Within the tech sector, the Networking iShares (IGN), Semiconductor SPDR...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Takes the Lead and UUP Stalls

QQQ Takes the Lead and UUP Stalls

Stocks put in another good performance on Tuesday. The S&P 500 opened strong and worked its way higher the rest of the day. As with last week, this is the kind of price action the bulls want to see. The consumer discretionary, healthcare and technology sectors led the...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Intermarket Analysis

Selling pressure extended on Monday, but the selling pressure was rather tame and the losses were modest. A little selling pressure after a big advance last week is normal at this stage. Healthcare, utilities and consumer staples led the sectors lower. Energy stocks gained as oil extended its bounce. The...   READ MORE 

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Akamai Forges Candlestick Reversal at Key Retracement

Akamai Forges Candlestick Reversal at Key Retracement

It has been a rough year for Akamai (AKAM), but the decline over the last few months looks like a classic correction. After hitting a new high in late November, the stock retraced 50-62% with a decline to the 57-58 area. This retracement amount is typical for a correction within...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Hold Breakouts, QQQ Lags and TLT Breaks

SPY and IWM Hold Breakouts, QQQ Lags and TLT Breaks

Stocks were hit with some selling pressure on Friday, but the week as a whole showed some pretty positive price action. SPY began its advance on Monday, gapped up on Tuesday and then worked its way higher until Friday morning. Selling pressure hit in the afternoon, but SPY still managed...   READ MORE 

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Three Relative Performance Indicators Turn Up for XLB

Three Relative Performance Indicators Turn Up for XLB

The Materials SPDR (XLB) sprang to life on the price chart and three relative strength indicators broke out. On the price chart, XLB surged in October-November and then consolidated in December-January with a big triangle. Trading was certainly choppy within the triangle, but the ETF finally made a decisive break...   READ MORE 

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$SPX, $NDX, High Low Indicators, Financial ETFs, Materials ETFs, Semi ETF, Yields, Gold, Economic Indicators

$SPX, $NDX, High Low Indicators, Financial ETFs, Materials ETFs, Semi ETF, Yields, Gold, Economic Indicators

-- S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Make Breakout Bids (creating unique charts) -- High-Low Percent Indicators Stay Bullish -- Bounce in T-Yields Lifts Financials -- XSD Shows Chart Strength (finding ETF holdings) -- Materials Sector Springs to Life -- Treasury Yields Bounce -- Dollar Jumps -- Gold Falls...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Gold Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Gold Analysis

The S&P 500 surged late Monday and early Tuesday with a move from 1990 to 2040, and then worked its way higher. This is positive price action because the index held the surge and continued higher. Small-caps led the way on Thursday with IWM gaining 1.29%. All...   READ MORE 

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Keys to the SPY Breakout - GLD Stalls after Break Down

Keys to the SPY Breakout - GLD Stalls after Break Down

After a surge from 1985 to 2050, trading in the S&P 500 turned choppy on Wednesday with a rather tight range. There was, however, some late selling pressure as the index dropped from 2053 to 2040 in the final 30 minutes. Must have been some news event hitting...   READ MORE 

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Technical Ranks Surge for Walgreen and GM

Technical Ranks Surge for Walgreen and GM

The image below shows a screen shot from the home page with SCTR tables for large-caps and ETFs. The "top up" tab was selected to focus on the biggest gainers. Notice that the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) for GM moved above 50 and the SCTR for Walgreens moved...   READ MORE 

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SPY and QQQ Lead with Gaps and Breakouts

SPY and QQQ Lead with Gaps and Breakouts

Stocks started strong with a surge on the open, traded flat for a few hours and then moved higher the entire afternoon. The ability to open strong and finish strong is positive and the S&P 500 finished strong the last two days. Energy led the way as oil...   READ MORE 

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SPY, QQQ and IWM Bounce off Support

SPY, QQQ and IWM Bounce off Support

Stocks started the day weak with selling pressure on the open, but quickly firmed around 10AM and the S&P 500 surged above 2000 before lunch. After an early afternoon swoon, buyers stepped in again and pushed this key benchmark back above 2000. In fact, the index closed above...   READ MORE 

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The Noose Tightens on Monsanto

The Noose Tightens on Monsanto

Monsanto (MON) could be poised for a volatility expansion because BandWidth has narrowed over the last few weeks and volatility has contracted signficantly. The BandWidth indicator tells us that the difference between the upper and lower Bollinger Bands is less than 4%, which is relatively low. John Bollinger theorized that...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Risk Analysis

Short-Term Trend, Breadth and Risk Analysis

Stocks took it on the chin last week with large-caps leading the way lower. QQQ and the S&P 100 ETF (OEF) lost around 3% last week. Big banks and big techs led the way lower as XLK and XLF lost over 3%. The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) held...   READ MORE