Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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A Breadth Indicator Breaks Down - Setting a Near Term Apple Target

A Breadth Indicator Breaks Down - Setting a Near Term Apple Target

Stocks started the day weak and remained under selling pressure most of the day. Even though the overall declines were modest, price action was not positive and we could see more weakness. Also note that the Small-Cap Percent Above 50-day EMA (!GT50SML) broke down and triggered a bearish signal. In...   READ MORE 

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Breadth Indicator Hits Moment-of-Truth - Plus BAC, CSTE, CY, MYL

Breadth Indicator Hits Moment-of-Truth - Plus BAC, CSTE, CY, MYL

It was a mixed day on Wall Street. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged higher, while the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) and Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) edged lower. The gains and losses were fractional. The Energy SPDR (XLE) was high hard as Spot Light Crude ($WTIC) fell to...   READ MORE 

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Spot Silver Forms Large Continuation Pattern

Spot Silver Forms Large Continuation Pattern

The chart below shows Spot Silver ($SILVER) consolidating after a sharp decline. Notice that the metal fell from 35 to 19 and then traded flat from June 2013 until now. With lower highs taking shape, a descending triangle has formed and this is a bearish continuation pattern. A break below...   READ MORE 

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Short-Term Analysis for Stocks, Key Sectors, Gold, Oil, Treasuries and the Dollar

Short-Term Analysis for Stocks, Key Sectors, Gold, Oil, Treasuries and the Dollar

Stocks finished the week on a strong note with modest gains on Friday. Despite this strong finish, the major index ETFs have been in trading ranges the last two weeks. A trading range or consolidation within an uptrend is typically bullish and favors a continuation higher. The CandleGlance charts below...   READ MORE 

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Key Breadth Indicators Affirm Long-term Uptrend

Key Breadth Indicators Affirm Long-term Uptrend

The S&P 1500 AD Line ($SUPADP) and the S&P 1500 AD Volume Line ($SUPUDP) hit new highs to confirm the overall uptrend. This is significant for two reasons. First, a bearish divergence is not possible. A bearish divergence forms when the indicators fail to confirm a...   READ MORE 

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Euro, Gold and Oil Plunge - Stocks Await Non-Farm Payrolls

Euro, Gold and Oil Plunge - Stocks Await Non-Farm Payrolls

And now for the employment report... There is nothing to do but wait for the market's reaction to non-farm payrolls on Friday morning. Given recent data, I would expect non-farm payrolls to meet or exceed expectations. On Thursday, the ISM Services Index hit 59.5, which is very...   READ MORE 

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Technical Ranks Jump for Southern Peru Copper and the Base Metals ETF

Technical Ranks Jump for Southern Peru Copper and the Base Metals ETF

StockCharts users can find the market movers and shakers by checking the SCTR tables on our home page. Click the top up or top down tabs to see securities that show the biggest gains or losses in relative strength. As the table below shows, the StockCharts Technical Ranks (SCTR) for...   READ MORE 

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Small-Cap Breadth Indicator Stalls - Plus GE, PAYX and TM

Small-Cap Breadth Indicator Stalls - Plus GE, PAYX and TM

Stocks started the month overbought and traded flat the last few days. The major index ETFs were again mixed on Wednesday with the Equal-Weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) edging higher and the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) edging lower. The sectors were mixed with five up and...   READ MORE 

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Starbucks Shows Relative and Absolute Weakness

Starbucks Shows Relative and Absolute Weakness

The S&P 500 is up around over 4 percent the last four weeks, but Starbucks is underperforming and is barely positive over the same timeframe. In fact, SBUX is well below its July high and recently broke wedge support. The indicator window shows momentum deteriorating as MACD moves...   READ MORE 

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Five Year Yield Surges and Small-caps Start to Lead

Five Year Yield Surges and Small-caps Start to Lead

It was a mixed day overall, but small-caps and regional banks showed some strength. DIA and SPY edged lower, while IWM and QQQ closely slightly higher. Five of the nine sectors were up with the Finance SPDR (XLF) leading the gainers. The Energy SPDR (XLE) got hammered as Spot Light...   READ MORE 

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GLD Forms Bearish Pattern - Plus BSX, BX, IACI and IP

GLD Forms Bearish Pattern - Plus BSX, BX, IACI and IP

Stocks remain strong. Period. Even though IWM is underperforming SPY, it is trending higher the last four weeks and participating in the broad market advance. Note that QQQ continues to lead with a new high last week. SPY also hit a new high on Tuesday and Friday's close...   READ MORE 

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SPY Stalls within Uptrend - TLT Hits New High

SPY Stalls within Uptrend - TLT Hits New High

Stocks stalled over the last few days, but the short-term uptrends have yet to reverse. In fact, the existing trends for TLT (up), UUP (up), USO (down) and GLD (down) also remain unchanged. SPY is up around 5% since August 7th. This is a very steep advance and the ETF...   READ MORE 

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German DAX Reverses Near Key Retracement

German DAX Reverses Near Key Retracement

The German DAX Index ($DAX) is at an interesting juncture because it broke down in July and then retraced 62% of the prior decline with a bounce in August. Notice that broken support turns into resistance in the 9600 area as well. The index stalled on Wednesday and was trading...   READ MORE 

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TLT Challenges Prior High - Five Chart Setups

TLT Challenges Prior High - Five Chart Setups

Stocks turned mixed on Wednesday with fractional gains and losses in the major index ETFs. The sectors were also mixed, but the Utilities SPDR (XLU) caught a bid and surged 1.09%. Networking stocks weighed on the tech sector as the Networking iShares (IGN) fell .69%. Regional banks weighed on...   READ MORE 

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Watching the TLT Channel - XLU Forms Bearish Candle at Key Retracement

Watching the TLT Channel - XLU Forms Bearish Candle at Key Retracement

Stocks edged higher again with the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) leading the way, though the gain was just .65%. Eight of the nine sectors were higher with the Energy SPDR (XLE) and Finance SPDR (XLF) leading. The Utilities SPDR (XLU) was the lone loser. As the chart below shows, XLU...   READ MORE 

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IWM Holds Rising Channel - Plus Four Chart Setups

IWM Holds Rising Channel - Plus Four Chart Setups

Stocks opened strong and then traded flat the rest of the day. The major index ETFs closed with small gains as the opening surge held. All nine sectors were higher with the Finance SPDR (XLF) and Energy SPDR (XLE) leading the way. Energy is getting an oversold bounce and money...   READ MORE 

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Consumer and Capital Spending Sectors Lead in August

Consumer and Capital Spending Sectors Lead in August

Contrary to seasonal tendencies, August has been a strong month for the stock market. The Sector PerfChart shows the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) up just over 3% since July 31st. Of the nine sectors, the Industrials SPDR (XLI) and the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) are up over 4%...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Rally Picks Up Stream as Treasury Yields Diverge

Stocks Rally Picks Up Stream as Treasury Yields Diverge

Stocks put in another strong performance last week with the Dow Diamonds (DIA) and S&P MidCap SPDR (MDY) gaining over 2%. All sectors were up with the consumer discretionary, technology, finance and industrials sectors gaining over 2%. It is hard to argue with broad strength in the four...   READ MORE 

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Gold Miners Fail to Hold Breakout - TLT Bounces off Channel

Gold Miners Fail to Hold Breakout - TLT Bounces off Channel

Stocks eked out some gains on Thursday to extend the run that started on August 8th. In particular, the Finance SPDR (XLF) led the way with a 1+ percent gain. Banks and brokers were also higher as the Regional Bank SPDR (KRE) advanced over 1%. Gold returned to its roots...   READ MORE 

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Finance Sector Takes the Green on Sector Carpet

Finance Sector Takes the Green on Sector Carpet

The finance sector is showing strength as the annual conference in Jackson Hole gets under way. Fed Chair Janet Yellen will speak tomorrow and this could move Treasury yields and further affect the group. The image below comes from the Sector Carpet and shows the finance sector leading with a...   READ MORE 

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Three Bull Setups, A Bear and Two that Could Go Either Way

Three Bull Setups, A Bear and Two that Could Go Either Way

There are six setups today. First, we start with a healthcare stock forming a triangle after an advance. Second, there is a tech stock with a high volume breakout. Third, we have a regional bank reversing just above a support zone. Fourth, there is an internet stock that did not...   READ MORE 

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TLT Tests Channel Support as SPY Challenges July High

TLT Tests Channel Support as SPY Challenges July High

Stocks were mixed with the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) edging higher and the Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) closing modestly lower. Relative weakness in small-caps is a small concern for two reasons. First, IWM represents a little less than 8% of total market cap for the US stock market....   READ MORE 

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Breakouts Turn Support on S&P 500 P&F Chart

Breakouts Turn Support on S&P 500 P&F Chart

The Point & Figure chart below, which is based on 10 points per box, shows the S&P 500 with successive upside breakouts in April, May and June. A key tenet of technical analysis is that broken resistance turns into support. The green support box, therefore, is based on...   READ MORE 

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SPX AD Line Hits New High as Stocks Surge

SPX AD Line Hits New High as Stocks Surge

Stocks opened strong and remained strong on Tuesday. SPY and IWM are up almost four percent over the last eight days. QQQ is up 4.75% and leading the pack. The advance is getting a little extended for the short-term, but overbought is a sign of strength, not weakness. Of...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Take the Lead as Treasuries Trip

Small-Caps Take the Lead as Treasuries Trip

Stocks opened strong and closed strong with small-caps leading the way. Eight of the nine sectors were higher with industrials and finance leading. The utilities sector lost ground. The Home Construction iShares (ITB) and the Retail SPDR (XRT) lifted the consumer discretionary sector. Strength in these two groups would be...   READ MORE 

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A Big Internatioal Mining Stock Forming a Large Base

A Big Internatioal Mining Stock Forming a Large Base

There are five setups today. First, we have a mining and oil concern with a correction underway. Second, we have an auto parts maker firming within a key retracement zone. Third, there is a shipping stock with a triangle breakout. Fourth, we feature a solar energy stock with a high...   READ MORE 

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Delta Flies Above Key Moving Average

Delta Flies Above Key Moving Average

Delta Airlines (DAL) appears to be ending its two month correction with a surge back above the 50-day moving average. Notice how the stock successfully tested the 35 level twice and did not even test the rising 200-day. The recent move above the June trend line and 50-day moving average...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Extend Uptrend as Gold Declines from Resistance

Stocks Extend Uptrend as Gold Declines from Resistance

If one follows the financial media, it seems as if Ukraine and Iraq are driving the markets these days. While these two regions are certainly a concern, I am not sure how much lasting influence they will have on the overall direction for US stocks. The German DAX Index ($DAX)...   READ MORE 

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What to Watch on the Gold Breakout

What to Watch on the Gold Breakout

Gold broke out with a surge in early August, but stalled the last eight days and failed to follow through. Despite lack of follow through, the breakout is holding and has yet to be proven other wise. Let's see what it would take to prove this bullish signal...   READ MORE 

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XLE Holds its Break Down - GLD Stalls at Resistance

XLE Holds its Break Down - GLD Stalls at Resistance

Stocks edged higher on Thursday with the major index ETFs scoring modest gains. The HealthCare SPDR (and the Utilities SPDR (XLU) led the sectors, while the Energy SPDR (XLE) lagged with a loss. Another break down in Spot Light Crude ($WTIC) weighed on the energy sector. The consumer discretionary sector...   READ MORE 

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WuXi Surges to Form Bullish Reversal Pattern

WuXi Surges to Form Bullish Reversal Pattern

WuXi PharmaTech (WX) is a mid cap stock showing a big gain in its StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) on Thursday. Notice that the SCTR surged above 50 and to its highest level since May. On the price chart, the two lows in the 30.5 area form a possible double...   READ MORE 

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SPY Breaks Flag Trend Line - Gold is on the Verge

SPY Breaks Flag Trend Line - Gold is on the Verge

Stocks advanced on Wednesday with a fairly broad-based rally. Volume was low, but volume is supposed to be low in mid August so I would not read too much into this indicator right now. In addition, exchange volume has not been that great of an indicator for signs of accumulation...   READ MORE 

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Four Bullish Setups and One Bearish Setup

Four Bullish Setups and One Bearish Setup

There are five setups today. First, we have a biotech forming a triangle in an uptrend. Second, there is an auto retailer with a bearish wedge. Third, we have a biotech services company with a triangle breakout. Fourth, there is a steel stock showing signs of accumulation. And finally, we...   READ MORE 

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Major Index ETFs Pull Back with Bull Flags

Major Index ETFs Pull Back with Bull Flags

Stocks surge from early Friday to early Monday and then corrected from Monday afternoon to Tuesday. A four day chart reveals a pattern similar to a 1-2 day surge followed by a 1-2 day falling flag. In other words, this week's pullback may just be a mini correction...   READ MORE 

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Five Stocks with Bullish Chart Patterns

Five Stocks with Bullish Chart Patterns

There are five setups today. First, we have an investment manager with follow through to a big harami. Second, there is an airline making a breakout. Third, we feature a volatile online real estate stock with a bullish consolidation. Fourth, there is a truck part manufacturer with a gap and...   READ MORE 

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IWM Goes for a Breakout as QQQ Stalls in Resistance Zone

IWM Goes for a Breakout as QQQ Stalls in Resistance Zone

Stocks followed up on Friday's gains with a strong open on Monday. There was not much follow through to this strong open, but the gains did hold for the most part. Short-term, I would say the cup is half full (bullish) until proven otherwise. A filling of Monday&...   READ MORE 

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Boeing Hits Big Support Zone and Becomes Oversold

Boeing Hits Big Support Zone and Becomes Oversold

It has been a rough year for Boeing, but the stock may be poised for an oversold bounce. After a big plunge in January, the stock firmed for a few months and then worked its way higher in April-May. BA peaked in early June and fell back to support over...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Remain Weak as Bonds Surge

Stocks Remain Weak as Bonds Surge

I am going straight to the charts, but here is a summary. QQQ, IWM and SPY remain in downtrends. QQQ and SPY held the late July support breaks. IWM, however, is showing some relative strength over the past weeks and chartists should watch for a breakout. Treasuries continue to move...   READ MORE 

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Lam Research Makes Three Bearish Scans $LRCX

Lam Research Makes Three Bearish Scans $LRCX

Chartists can search pre-defined scans to find out if their favorite stock or ETF triggered any scans. The chart below shows Lam Research (LRCX) triggering three bearish scans today. The Elder bar turned red, the stock moved below the lower Bollinger Band and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) moved below...   READ MORE 

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Four Charts Setting Up for a Move

Four Charts Setting Up for a Move

There are four setups today. We start with a big software stock showing weakness near two key moving averages. Second, there is a consumer services stock with a bullish wedge. Third, we feature a tech stock breaking out with strong volume patterns. And finally, there is a social media stock...   READ MORE