Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Semis Weigh as XSD Breaks Flag Support

Semis Weigh as XSD Breaks Flag Support

Stocks corrected the last two days with relatively mild selling pressure. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost .62% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) fell just .22%. IWM continues to show relative weakness over the last six weeks. The sectors were mixed with six down and three up....   READ MORE 

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Under Armour Forms Bearish Candlestick Pattern

Under Armour Forms Bearish Candlestick Pattern

Under Armour (UA) is currently in a long-term uptrend, but the stock stalled over the last three months with a head-and-shoulders pattern taking shape. The right shoulder is under construction with a bearish engulfing marking the high. The September-November lows mark neckline support in the 75-76 area. Click this image...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Leads Late Sell Off - KOL Forms Bearish Engulfing

QQQ Leads Late Sell Off - KOL Forms Bearish Engulfing

Stocks traded relatively flat the first part of the day and then got hit with selling pressure in the afternoon. Techs led the way down with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) losing around 1%. Eight of the nine sectors were down with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Energy SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Charts: CAT, COF, DOW, FB, MOVE, NVR, PEG, RDC

Charts: CAT, COF, DOW, FB, MOVE, NVR, PEG, RDC

CAT Extends Post-Gap Consolidation. COF Shows Relative Weakness as Wedge Forms. Plus DOW, FB, MOVE, NVR, PEG, RDC Individual charts are below the video. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   Click here for iPad/iPhone Version **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should...   READ MORE 

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LinkedIn and Tesla Go their Separate Ways

LinkedIn and Tesla Go their Separate Ways

There was a time when LinkedIn (LNKD) and Tesla (TSLA) were joined at the hip and led the momentum crowd. Both stocks surged from January to September and then corrected from early October to mid November. This relationship appears to be changing as Tesla sank to new lows for the...   READ MORE 

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ITB Reverses Downswing and GLD Bounces off October Low

ITB Reverses Downswing and GLD Bounces off October Low

The bulls continue to press their case as the major index ETFs scored modest gains for the week. It is not as if buying pressure is especially strong. Buying pressure, however, is clearly stronger than selling pressure. In fact, selling pressure is pretty much non-existent. The Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF...   READ MORE 

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Breadth Indicators Confirm with New Highs

Breadth Indicators Confirm with New Highs

When a major index records a new high, I go straight to the key breadth indicators to see if these highs were confirmed. Breadth indicators are sometimes called "internal" indicators because they measure what is happening inside a specific index or ETF. We can see what is happening...   READ MORE 

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Peabody Breaks P&F Support as Coal Loses Favor

Peabody Breaks P&F Support as Coal Loses Favor

Coal stocks were hit with selling pressure after the TVA announced the closing of eight coal-fired power plants. The 60-minute P&F chart shows BTU breaking Quadruple Bottom support and sporting a downside price objective of 18.65. Note that chartists can change the period settings and price fields...   READ MORE 

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Major Index ETFs and NYSE AD Volume Line Hit New Highs

Major Index ETFs and NYSE AD Volume Line Hit New Highs

There is no change in the indicator summary as the bulk of the evidence remains bullish. We saw new highs in SPY, RSP and MDY this week. The NYSE AD Volume Line also hit a new high. Net New Highs surged as buying pressure picked up in November. Volatility remains...   READ MORE 

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SPY and QQQ Hit New Highs, But IWM Drags its Feet

SPY and QQQ Hit New Highs, But IWM Drags its Feet

Stocks got a bounce, but there were some pockets of weakness in the market. Get this. The Russell 1000 iShares (IWB) moved higher, but the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) edged lower. We can blame this on the growth component because the Russell 2000 Value iShares (IWN) was up .22%, but...   READ MORE 

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Zynga Forms Bullish Pattern and Zyngs Higher

Zynga Forms Bullish Pattern and Zyngs Higher

After a bullish engulfing on Tuesday, Zynga (ZNGA) surged to triangle resistance with high volume on Wednesday. Overall, chartists can make a bullish case for this internet-mobile gaming company. A higher low formed in August and the stock surged above the July high with good volume in September. The subsequent...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest Video: BAX, BIIB, CNL, MAS, SIAL, TE, WFC

Charts of Interest Video: BAX, BIIB, CNL, MAS, SIAL, TE, WFC

Video for Art's Charts: BAX Bounces off Support with Good Volume. BIIB Hits an Interesting Juncture. Plus CNL, MAS, SIAL, TE, WFC Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   Click here for iPad/iPhone Version This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This...   READ MORE 

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IWM and QQQ Surge with Double Flag Breakouts

IWM and QQQ Surge with Double Flag Breakouts

Trading started mixed on Wednesday, but stocks caught a midday bid and raced higher to close strong. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way. All sectors were up with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) leading (+1.58%). Strength in Macy's boosted...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: BAX, BIIB, CNL, MAS, SIAL, TE, WFC

Charts of Interest: BAX, BIIB, CNL, MAS, SIAL, TE, WFC

BAX Bounces off Support with Good Volume. BIIB Hits an Interesting Juncture. Plus CNL, MAS, SIAL, TE, WFC Individual charts are below. Sorry but your browser doesn't support HTML5 video.   Click here for iPad/iPhone Version **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq and NYSE Most Actives Go Ten for Ten

Nasdaq and NYSE Most Actives Go Ten for Ten

It was a big day for stocks as the ten most active stocks on the NYSE and Nasdaq advanced. As the Free Charts page shows, both exchanges went ten for ten. Bank of America (BAC) led the NYSE with a 2+ percent gain. Facebook (FB) led the Nasdaq with a...   READ MORE 

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XLF Falls below Breakout Point - QQQ Hits Moment of Truth

XLF Falls below Breakout Point - QQQ Hits Moment of Truth

It was another mixed day for the major index ETFs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged higher, while the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) edged lower. Six of the nine sector SPDRs finished lower with the Finance SPDR (XLF), Energy SPDR (XLE) and Utilities SPDR (XLU) leading the way....   READ MORE 

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Nikkei Breaks Wedge Resistance as Yen Weakens

Nikkei Breaks Wedge Resistance as Yen Weakens

The Nikkei 225 ($NIKK) broke above wedge resistance with a surge to 14589 and extended its long-term uptrend. First, note that the long-term trend is up after the big surge from November to May. Second, this triangle represents a consolidation and the breakout signals a continuation of the uptrend. Third,...   READ MORE 

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SPY Challenges Resistance, but IWM Remains Weak

SPY Challenges Resistance, but IWM Remains Weak

Stocks meandered in slow trading on Monday. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) edged higher. The sectors were mixed with fractional gains and losses. The Retail SPDR (XRT) stood out with a 1% surge that neared its prior highs, while the...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: BRCM, DF, DHI, FNSR, TSO

Charts of Interest: BRCM, DF, DHI, FNSR, TSO

BRCM Firms at 50-62% Retracement. DF Forms Bull Flag after Surge. Plus DHI, FNSR, TSO Video is at top. Individual charts are below. Click here for iPad/iPhone Version **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short...   READ MORE 

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Bollinger Bands Narrow as Copper Consolidates

Bollinger Bands Narrow as Copper Consolidates

Spot Copper ($COPPER) has gone nowhere the last three months and a narrowing consolidation is taking shape. The pink lines show the Bollinger Bands narrowing as volatility contracts. This is confirmed by the bandwidth indicator, which is trading near seven month lows. Traders should watch range for a break to...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Are Mixed with SPY Holding and IWM Folding

Stocks Are Mixed with SPY Holding and IWM Folding

The bulls went on a run after non-farm payrolls beat expectations and prior months were revised higher. Strength in employment put tapering back on the agenda and weighed on bonds. Taper-talk also weighed on gold as the Dollar surged and held last week's breakout. Despite Friday's...   READ MORE 

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Dow SPDR Forms Massive Engulfing Pattern

Dow SPDR Forms Massive Engulfing Pattern

There are bearish engulfing patterns and then there are BEARISH ENGULFING PATTERNS. With a strong open and weak close on Thursday, the Dow SPDR (DIA) formed the latter. This is the second bearish candlestick pattern in two weeks. A follow through break below the early November low would confirm this...   READ MORE 

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How Can I Count the Number of Bars or Days in a Price Move?

This article can be found in the Mailbag blog (click here)....   READ MORE 

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AD Lines and AD Volume Lines Correct Within Uptrends

AD Lines and AD Volume Lines Correct Within Uptrends

The bulk of the evidence remains bullish, but this uptrend is getting long in tooth and the market is ripe for a correction. Note that the majority of technical indicators have been positive for a year now, which is the longest stretch since I began this table. Even though the...   READ MORE 

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IWM Leads Lower as SPY Test Key Level

IWM Leads Lower as SPY Test Key Level

Things that make you go hmm.... Stocks declined and a few media reports blamed a better-than-expected GDP report. Also note that October same-store retail sales were up 4%, which ain't bad considering all that shutdown stuff. The reasoning suggested that strength in the economy would lead to Fed...   READ MORE 

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Twitter Establishes First Support with Consolidation

Twitter Establishes First Support with Consolidation

There is not much historical data for Twitter (TWTR) because it opened for trading just today. However, there are already signs of support near the opening price. The 1-min chart shows TWTR opening at 45.10, surging to 50 and then falling back to the 45 area. Notice how the...   READ MORE 

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Euro, the Dollar and Gold Brace for ECB Meeting

Euro, the Dollar and Gold Brace for ECB Meeting

It was a strange day on Wall Street. The Dow Industrials surged over 100 points, but the Russell 2000 fell .43%. The Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) and Utilities SPDR (XLU) led the market higher, but the Technology SPDR (XLK) also showed relative strength with a 1.01% gain. Strength in...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: LNKD, MDR, MOVE, STX, WIN, YELP

Charts of Interest: LNKD, MDR, MOVE, STX, WIN, YELP

LNKD Forms Bear Flag at Support. MDR Surges with Huge Volume. Plus MOVE, STX, WIN, YELP Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click here for...   READ MORE 

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Facebook Doubles Down with Two Candlestick Patterns in Four Days

Facebook Doubles Down with Two Candlestick Patterns in Four Days

Facebook (FB) came across the bullish engulfing scan twice in the last four days. The stock fell to support last week and then formed a big bullish engulfing pattern on high volume. After a pullback on Friday-Monday, the stock opened weak on Tuesday and closed strong to form another bullish...   READ MORE 

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ITB Hits Key Retracement, but Rising Yields Weigh

ITB Hits Key Retracement, but Rising Yields Weigh

Stocks edged lower on Tuesday with the major index ETFs ending with small losses. The S&P Midcap SPDR (MDY) fell .63% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) lost .32%, but the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) bucked the selling with a fractional gain (+.11%). Eight of the...   READ MORE 

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RSI Breaks Key Level on Carmax Chart

RSI Breaks Key Level on Carmax Chart

Carmax is making a move as it bounces off support and breaks wedge resistance. Support in the 46-47 area extends back to the July low. The breakout is valid as long as it holds and I would watch 47.6 for the first signs of failure. The indicator window shows...   READ MORE 

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IWM Hits Key Retracement and Moment of Truth

IWM Hits Key Retracement and Moment of Truth

Stocks rebounded on Monday with modest gains in the major index ETFs. Small-caps led the recovery as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained 1.15% on the day. Those looking for a rally excuse can point to the beginning of the month phenomenon because Monday was the second trading day...   READ MORE 

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Charts: BBBY, BOOM, EBAY, GTIV, IGT, IMMR, PMTC, RLGY

Charts: BBBY, BOOM, EBAY, GTIV, IGT, IMMR, PMTC, RLGY

BBBY Consolidates After Big Gap. BOOM Turns Volatile on High Volume. Plus EBAY, GTIV, IGT, IMMR, PMTC, RLGY Video is at top. Individual charts are below. **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Click...   READ MORE 

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Paper-Forest Products Lead Industry Group Market Carpet

Paper-Forest Products Lead Industry Group Market Carpet

The Market Carpet shown here focuses on the US industry groups from the Market Summary Market. Chartists can focus on a particular section of a Market Carpet by double clicking a square. Notice that the DJ US Paper-Forest Products Index ($DJUSFR) is the best performer over the last five days....   READ MORE 

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IWM Breaks Down, but SPY and QQQ Hold Strong

IWM Breaks Down, but SPY and QQQ Hold Strong

Stocks finally took a breather last week as small-caps led the correction. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P 500 ETF (SPY) corrected with trading ranges, while the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) corrected with a 2.13% decline. The sectors were mixed last week with the Finance SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Surge in Yields Could Signal Resumption of Bigger Uptrend

Surge in Yields Could Signal Resumption of Bigger Uptrend

Basic Elliott wave teaches us that there are two types of price movements: impulse and corrective. Similarly, Dow Theory teaches us that there are primary price movements and secondary price movements. Impulse and primary moves are in the direction of the bigger trend. Corrective and secondary price moves run counter...   READ MORE 

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Dollar ETF Gains in October as Oil ETF Gets Hit Hard

Dollar ETF Gains in October as Oil ETF Gets Hit Hard

This PerfChart shows ten ETFs that cover the intermarket picture. Notice that nine of the ten moved higher with stocks and gold leading the way. Oil was hit the hardest with a 5+ percent loss. In a surprise, the Dollar and the Euro both gained. Dollar strength can be attributed...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Start to Lag, but AD Lines Keep Pace

Small-Caps Start to Lag, but AD Lines Keep Pace

The indicator summary remains firmly positive, but stocks stumbled this week with small-caps and financials weighing on the market. After big runs the last three weeks, the major index ETFs are again short-term overbought. However, these runs produced new highs to affirm the overall uptrends. Also note that the AD...   READ MORE 

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Surging Dollar Rattles Gold and Oil

Surging Dollar Rattles Gold and Oil

Stocks were mostly weak on Thursday, but selling pressure was modest and there were a few pockets of strength. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way lower with a .58% decline. The Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) managed a .03% gain on the day. Seven of the nine sector...   READ MORE 

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LinkedIn Firms at Key Level as Aroon Indicators Converge

LinkedIn Firms at Key Level as Aroon Indicators Converge

LinkedIn (LNKD) was hit with a high volume decline on Wednesday, but managed to firm near a support zone on Thursday. Support stems from the mid August and early October lows. The indicator window shows the Aroon indicators converging below 30. This convergence suggests little directional movement over the last...   READ MORE