Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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ITB Stalls at Trend Line - GLD Breaks Support

ITB Stalls at Trend Line - GLD Breaks Support

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks meandered on Monday. Trading was listless and volume was light. Yes, the dog days of summer are upon us. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) edged higher,...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AGN, D, HCA, MU, THC

Charts of Interest: AGN, D, HCA, MU, THC

AGN Consolidates at Trend Line Resistance. D Forms Pennant after Big Surge. Plus HCA, MU and THC Video at end of commentary **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**         Click here for iPad/iPhone...   READ MORE 

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Only One Bullish Percent Index is Below 50%

Only One Bullish Percent Index is Below 50%

StockCharts calculates the Bullish Percent Index for over a dozen groups, including several major indices, the main sectors and a few industry groups. A list can be found on the end-of-day market summary page. Notice that all BPIs are at or above 50%, which favors the bulls. The Gold Miners...   READ MORE 

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SPY Holds Breakout as QQQ Leads Market Higher

SPY Holds Breakout as QQQ Leads Market Higher

It was a good week for the stock market. The major index ETFs gained and hit fresh 52-week highs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) led the way with 2+ percent gains. All sectors were up with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and...   READ MORE 

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Key Breadth Indicators Confirm Underlying Strength

Key Breadth Indicators Confirm Underlying Strength

The major stock indices recorded 52-week highs this week and these highs were confirmed by the breadth indicators for the S&P 1500. Note that the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600, Nasdaq 100 and Dow Industrials recorded fresh 52-week highs...   READ MORE 

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Elder Bars Turns Green as ARIA Breaks Flag Resistance

Elder Bars Turns Green as ARIA Breaks Flag Resistance

Chartists looking for stocks on the move can turn to our pre-defined scans page and the Elder bar scans. Stocks with an Elder bar turning green are turning up. Those with an Elder bar turning red are turning down. The chart below shows Ariad Pharma with a big green Elder...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq Scores with New Highs in AD Line and AD Volume Line

Nasdaq Scores with New Highs in AD Line and AD Volume Line

The major index ETFs affirmed their uptrends with new highs this week. In addition, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and the Industrials SPDR (XLI) hit new highs, as did the Nasdaq AD Line and AD Volume Line. There are simply no signs of weakness in the market right now. Breadth...   READ MORE 

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SPY Hits 52-week High as TLT Hits 52-week Low

SPY Hits 52-week High as TLT Hits 52-week Low

Stocks moved higher on positive economic news, and bonds moved lower. The ISM Manufacturing Index rose to 55.40, which is a two year high. Initial jobless claims fell to 326,000, which is the lowest level since January 2008. Stocks took the news well with the major index ETFs...   READ MORE 

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S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Takes the Lead with a New High

S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Takes the Lead with a New High

Stocks surged after Fed day with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) hitting a new high early Thursday. The indicator window shows the price relative (MDY:SPY ratio) hitting a new high as well. Notice that the ETF's Technical Rank (SCTR) has been above 70 the...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Leads with New High - GLD Forms Bullish Flag

QQQ Leads with New High - GLD Forms Bullish Flag

Stocks were all over the place on Wednesday, but the overall range was relatively small and the day-to-day change was miniscule. Stocks surged immediately after the Fed statement, peaked at 3PM and moved lower the final hour. I am not going to read too much into this late decline because...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ATML, CHS, FST, NVDA, SWKS

Charts of Interest: ATML, CHS, FST, NVDA, SWKS

ATML Forms Continuation Pattern. CHS Show Signs of Accumulation. Plus FST, NVDA and SWKS ***Video edition is at the end***         iPad and iPhone Version This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF...   READ MORE 

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Dow and Nasdaq Hit New Highs

Dow and Nasdaq Hit New Highs

Even though stocks were all over the place on Wednesday, the Dow recorded an all time high and the Nasdaq recorded a four year high. Not shabby at all. StockCharts users can keep abreast of these milestones on the Predefined Technical Alerts page. Click this image for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and Gold Await the Fed

Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and Gold Await the Fed

Stocks meandered again on Tuesday. Large techs caught a modest bid with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advancing .70% on the day. The remaining moves were non events. The sectors were mixed with the Technology SPDR (XLK), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Utilities SPDR (XLU) finishing modestly higher. The Basic Materials...   READ MORE 

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Networking iShares Leads Industry Group ETFs on Market Summary Page

Networking iShares Leads Industry Group ETFs on Market Summary Page

The Market Summary (ETF mode) provides a quick overview of performance for groups of ETFs. These include broad market, sector, industry group, international, bond, commodity and currency ETFs. Within the industry group ETFs, the Networking iShares (IGN) is leading with a 1+ percent gain in early trading on Tuesday.  Click...   READ MORE 

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SPY Extends Consolidation - MOO Bounces on Good Volume

SPY Extends Consolidation - MOO Bounces on Good Volume

Stocks edged lower on Monday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (-.70%). Losses were relatively small as selling pressure was contained. Seven of nine sectors were down with the Energy SPDR (XLE) leading the way lower (-.94%). The Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) and the Utilities...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ADSK, AMKR, FSLR, PBI, R, WTW

Charts of Interest: ADSK, AMKR, FSLR, PBI, R, WTW

ADSK Hits Resistance at Retracement Zone. AMKR Corrects with Small Wedge. Plus FSLR, PBI, R, WTW         This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for...   READ MORE 

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Bearish Resistance Line Holds on Alcoa P&F Chart

Bearish Resistance Line Holds on Alcoa P&F Chart

StockCharts gives users the power to chart intraday P&F charts with trend lines. In this example, the 60-minute P&F Chart shows Alcoa (AA) breaking the Bullish Support Line in June (red 6) and moving to new lows. The July bounce carried the stock to the Bearish...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Hold Consolidates ahead of Big Economic Week

SPY and IWM Hold Consolidates ahead of Big Economic Week

The major index ETFs remain in short-term uptrends, but these uptrends stalled over the last two weeks. While a consolidation after an advance is generally considered a bullish continuation pattern, relative weakness in the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK) is a concern. The PerfChart below shows XLY...   READ MORE 

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Technology Market Carpet Separates Winners from Losers

Technology Market Carpet Separates Winners from Losers

It was a rough two weeks for tech stocks as Broadcom (BRCM), AMD (AMD), Microsoft (MSFT) and Seagate (STX) led the way lower with double digit losses.  Micrsoft, Google and Ebay weighed on the sector because they have relatively large market caps. Note that this market carpet is set in...   READ MORE 

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Bulk of the Evidence Remains Bullish

Bulk of the Evidence Remains Bullish

Stocks may be overbought after big moves since late July, but we have yet to see signs of material selling pressure. In fact, we have yet to see even modest selling pressure. There are some pockets of weakness as homebuilders and big techs underperform the broader market. Nevertheless, the bulk...   READ MORE 

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IWM and SPY Stall above Short-term Support

IWM and SPY Stall above Short-term Support

The major index ETFs ended the day higher, but gains were mixed with some pockets of weakness in the market. Small-caps led the way as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained almost 1%. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA), however, only gained .01% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY)...   READ MORE 

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Rising Treasury Yields may be Affecting the Homebuilders

Rising Treasury Yields may be Affecting the Homebuilders

The 10-year Treasury Yield ($TNX) surged from 1.6% to 2.6% and then consolidated for a few weeks. Yields could be starting another leg up as $TNX bounces off support this week. This is having a negative impact on homebuilders. Notice that the correlation between the 10-year Treasury Yield...   READ MORE 

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Treasuries Break Down as Dollar Firms Near Key Retracement

Treasuries Break Down as Dollar Firms Near Key Retracement

Stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost around .83% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) lost around .37%. Techs were mixed with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) adding .32% and the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) losing .63%...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ARO, ARUN, CHRW, FAST, X

Charts of Interest: ARO, ARUN, CHRW, FAST, X

ARO Stalls with Possible H&S Looming. ARUN Hits Key Retracement with Wedge Pattern. Plus CHRW, FAST, X This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Hits Resistance at Gap Zone

QQQ Hits Resistance at Gap Zone

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) got a lift from Apple on Wednesday, but could not hold its early gains as sharp losses in Broadcom (BRCM) and Panera Bread (PNRA) weighed. The chart below shows QQQ gapping down last week and holding this gap the last four days. Notice that the...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Hold Uptrends - UUP Sinks Lower

SPY and IWM Hold Uptrends - UUP Sinks Lower

Stocks meandered again on Tuesday with the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) closing slightly higher and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) edging lower. Large techs were under pressure ahead of Apple earnings as QQQ fell around 3/4 of a percent. Apple moved higher after hours and may provide...   READ MORE 

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Home Construction iShares Battles to Hold the Gap

Home Construction iShares Battles to Hold the Gap

The Home Construction iShares (ITB) broke out with a gap in mid July and this breakout is still holding. The ETF pulled back into the gap zone, but never completely filled the gap to negate the breakout. The indicator window shows RSI moving into the 50-60 zone and stalling. A...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Holds Support Break ahead of Apple Earnings

QQQ Holds Support Break ahead of Apple Earnings

Stocks meandered in quiet trading on Monday. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) lost a fraction, while the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) gained a fraction. SPY and IWM remain in short-term uptrends. QQQ is showing the most vulnerability with a support break last week. This support break is holding...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AAP, AMX, NIHD, NVDA, VRSN

Charts of Interest: AAP, AMX, NIHD, NVDA, VRSN

AAP Consolidates after Breakouts. AMX Stalls at Range Resistance. Plus NIHD, NVDA, VRSN This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves when it...   READ MORE 

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Bollinger Bands Narrow as the Retail SPDR Consolidates

Bollinger Bands Narrow as the Retail SPDR Consolidates

The Retail SPDR (XRT) surged from late June to mid July and then embarked on a rather narrow consolidation. Notice that the ETF traded between 80.3 and 81.6 since July 11th. The overall trend is up, and this favors an upside breakout or continuation higher. Adding a little...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Break Consolidation Resistance

SPY and IWM Break Consolidation Resistance

Stocks started the week in strong uptrends and short-term overbought conditions after big gains the prior three weeks. This did not deter buyers as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) broke consolidation resistance levels mid week. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) was hit...   READ MORE 

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Small-caps Lead the Way and Outperform Large-caps

Small-caps Lead the Way and Outperform Large-caps

The Russell 2000 ($RUT) is leading the market higher with a breakout on July 8th and a series of 52-week highs the last two weeks. This key small-cap index was one of the first of the major indices to break above its May high. Even though the index is looking...   READ MORE 

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HealthCare and Industrials Join the New High Club

HealthCare and Industrials Join the New High Club

The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and the Finance SPDR (XLF) were the first two sectors to reach 52-week highs this month. With big moves over the last few days, the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) and the Industrials SPDR (XLI) join the club. Chart-wise, new highs make these four sectors among the...   READ MORE 

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Net New Highs Surge as Indicator Summary Gets Upgrades

Net New Highs Surge as Indicator Summary Gets Upgrades

With big moves over the last three weeks, the indicator summary improved since its last tally (21-June). The AD Volume Lines hit new highs, the Nasdaq AD Line hit a new high and Net New Highs surged. The finance and consumer discretionary sectors are leading the nine sectors. Even though...   READ MORE 

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Techs UnderPerform Market and Could Weigh on QQQ

Techs UnderPerform Market and Could Weigh on QQQ

Big tech misses are weighing on the market as stock futures trade modestly lower after hours. Both Google and Microsoft missed on their revenue estimates. Even though the short-term and long-term trends for the market are up, stocks are overbought after big moves the last 3-4 weeks and these misses...   READ MORE 

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Big Banks Power XLF with New Highs in BAC, JPM and MS

Big Banks Power XLF with New Highs in BAC, JPM and MS

The Finance SPDR (XLF) surged to a fresh 52-week high with leadership from Morgan Stanley (MS), Bank of America (BAC) and JP Morgan (JPM). The CandleGlance chart below shows these three hitting 52-week highs. It is hard to argue with upside leadership from the second biggest sector in the S&...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Consolidate as Dollar Hits Support Zone

Stocks Consolidate as Dollar Hits Support Zone

Earnings season is turning rather mixed with financials showing strong results and techs more mixed. Morgan Stanley is the latest big financial player to report strong results. Intel, on the other hand, reported weak results with its fourth straight quarterly decline in revenues. Google and Microsoft on are on deck...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AEO, BRCM, IVZ, LULU, MON

Charts of Interest: AEO, BRCM, IVZ, LULU, MON

AEO Breaks Down and Shows Relative Weakness. IVZ Forms Pennant after Support Break. Plus BRCM, LULU and MON.         Download MP4 This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all...   READ MORE 

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Patterson Energy Perks up with Surge and Bullish Continuation Pattern

Patterson Energy Perks up with Surge and Bullish Continuation Pattern

Patternson Energy (PTEN) has been lagging the market and the energy sector the last few months, but shows signs of life with a high volume surge and pennant. A pennant breakout would signal a continuation higher and target a move to the next resistance zone. Note that this is an...   READ MORE 

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SPY Stalls Near May High as Raff Channel Marks Support

SPY Stalls Near May High as Raff Channel Marks Support

Today is just like a Fed day because Chairman Bernanke begins his two day testimony before Congress. I would not expect any fireworks from his prepared testimony, but we could see markets react if there are any surprises during the question and answer session. Overall, major index ETFs remain in...   READ MORE