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Buyers Pull Back as SPY and IWM Consolidate Near Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak and remained weak, but selling pressure was not that intense as the major index ETFs closed modestly lower. The Dow SPDR (DIA) and S&P Midcap SPDR (MDY) led the way by falling around .75 percent. All sectors were lower with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY)...
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Charts of Interest: ACN, AMD, DGX, KMB, TXT
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ACN Breaks Triangle Support with High Volume.
AMD Bounces off Support with Good Volume.
Plus DGX, KMB, TXT
Video at end of commentary
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for iPad/...
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Home Construction iShares Breaks Neckline Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Rising rates are taking their toll on the Home Construction iShares (ITB) as the ETF broke neckline support on Wednesday. The head-and-shoulders pattern extends almost the entire year and today's breakdown confirms the bearish reversal. The indicator window shows the price relative (ITB:SPY ratio) moving to a...
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ITB Tests Neckline Support - No Follow Through for GLD
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks meandered on Tuesday with the major index ETFs finishing mixed on the day. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advanced .56% on the heels of Apple, while the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) fell .13% on the day. Treasuries were the big movers as a positive retail sales report prompted another...
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S&P 1500 AD Line Holds Short-term Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P 1500 AD Line ($SUPADP), which is a key breadth indicator, has yet to break support and remains in bull mode. Notice how the AD Line established lows from mid July to early August. These lows mark a support zone that chartists should watch for clues on...
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SPY Bounces off Support - USO Bounces within Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak on Monday, but quickly recovered and edged into positive territory. The overall gains were rather paltry with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gaining .24% and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) advancing .53%. The sectors were mixed with small gains and losses. The Technology SPDR (XLK) stood out...
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Charts of Interest: CY, DE, FST, INTC, MXIM, SWKS
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
CY Consolidates after Big Surge.
DE Bounces off Support with Good Volume.
Plus FST, INTC, MXIM, SWKS
Video at end of commentary
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for iPad/iPhone...
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US Oil Fund Forms Bull Flag in Uptrend
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
After surging and breaking resistance in July, the US Oil Fund (USO) pulled back with a falling flag the last few weeks. USO made its first move with a surge over the last two days. A follow through breakout above flag resistance would signal a continuation higher. Chartists can also...
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AD Volume Line Breaks Support - GLD Challenges Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Shanghai Composite ($SSEC) and the Hang Seng Index ($HSI) surged over 2% on Monday, but the Nikkei 225 ($NIKK) fell and US stock futures are trading lower. Chinese shares are up because there were some positive economic reports late last week. Gold is also up and going for a...
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Finance Sector Starts Underperforming
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Finance SPDR (XLF) was one of the best performing sectors from April to late July, but was the weakest sector over the last two weeks. The PerfChart below shows XLF with a loss over the last ten trading days. In contrast, notice that the S&P 500, Consumer...
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NYSE Lags Nasdaq, but Technicals Remain Bullish
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks stalled over the last two weeks, but this was not enough to derail any indicators or the overall uptrend in the major index ETFs. Note that the major index ETFs hit new highs over the last two weeks, while XLK, XLY and XLI hit new highs to lead the...
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Greenback Extends Downtrend - Gold Surges
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were all over the place on Thursday. The major index ETFs opened higher, quickly pulled back and then moved back into positive territory in the afternoon. The end result was uneventful as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advanced around 1/2 percent. A gain,...
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Steel ETF Breaks Flag Resistance with Big Surge
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Even though the long-term trend remains down, the Steel ETF (SLX) is making some bullish waves with a flag breakout on Thursday. After an advance from late June to mid July, SLX consolidated with a falling flag, which is a bullish continuation pattern. Today's breakout signals a continuation...
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QQQ Continues to Lead - Yen Surges
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks opened weak, but quickly firmed and consolidated at lower levels the rest of the day. The overall losses were small with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) loosing .71% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) falling just .18%. QQQ continues to lead the major index ETFs and show the most...
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Charts of Interest: AEP, AMX, HD, INTU, SO, TE
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AEP Firms at Broken Resistance.
AMX Surges to Consolidation Highs.
Plus HD, INTU, SO, TE
Video at end of commentary
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for iPad/iPhone Version
This...
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Chuy's Holdings Forms Bearish Engulfing at Key Retracement
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chuy's Holdings came across the intraday bearish engulfing scan on Wednesday. Even though the trading day has just begun, notice that the stock broke down in July and retraced 62% with a bounce back to 40 in August. The gap and 62% retracement mark resistance as the stock...
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Marking Short-Term Support for the SPX AD Line
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks pulled back on Tuesday with the Home Construction iShares (ITB), Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and Biotech SPDR (XBI) leading the way lower. ITB is on the...
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ITB Stalls at Trend Line - GLD Breaks Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Stocks meandered on Monday. Trading was listless and volume was light. Yes, the dog days of summer are upon us. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) edged higher,...
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Charts of Interest: AGN, D, HCA, MU, THC
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
AGN Consolidates at Trend Line Resistance.
D Forms Pennant after Big Surge.
Plus HCA, MU and THC
Video at end of commentary
**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not
be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**
Click here for iPad/iPhone...
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Only One Bullish Percent Index is Below 50%
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
StockCharts calculates the Bullish Percent Index for over a dozen groups, including several major indices, the main sectors and a few industry groups. A list can be found on the end-of-day market summary page. Notice that all BPIs are at or above 50%, which favors the bulls. The Gold Miners...
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SPY Holds Breakout as QQQ Leads Market Higher
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It was a good week for the stock market. The major index ETFs gained and hit fresh 52-week highs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) led the way with 2+ percent gains. All sectors were up with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and...
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Key Breadth Indicators Confirm Underlying Strength
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The major stock indices recorded 52-week highs this week and these highs were confirmed by the breadth indicators for the S&P 1500. Note that the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600, Nasdaq 100 and Dow Industrials recorded fresh 52-week highs...
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Elder Bars Turns Green as ARIA Breaks Flag Resistance
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists looking for stocks on the move can turn to our pre-defined scans page and the Elder bar scans. Stocks with an Elder bar turning green are turning up. Those with an Elder bar turning red are turning down. The chart below shows Ariad Pharma with a big green Elder...
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Nasdaq Scores with New Highs in AD Line and AD Volume Line
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The major index ETFs affirmed their uptrends with new highs this week. In addition, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and the Industrials SPDR (XLI) hit new highs, as did the Nasdaq AD Line and AD Volume Line. There are simply no signs of weakness in the market right now. Breadth...
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SPY Hits 52-week High as TLT Hits 52-week Low
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks moved higher on positive economic news, and bonds moved lower. The ISM Manufacturing Index rose to 55.40, which is a two year high. Initial jobless claims fell to 326,000, which is the lowest level since January 2008. Stocks took the news well with the major index ETFs...
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S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Takes the Lead with a New High
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged after Fed day with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) hitting a new high early Thursday. The indicator window shows the price relative (MDY:SPY ratio) hitting a new high as well. Notice that the ETF's Technical Rank (SCTR) has been above 70 the...
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QQQ Leads with New High - GLD Forms Bullish Flag
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were all over the place on Wednesday, but the overall range was relatively small and the day-to-day change was miniscule. Stocks surged immediately after the Fed statement, peaked at 3PM and moved lower the final hour. I am not going to read too much into this late decline because...
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Charts of Interest: ATML, CHS, FST, NVDA, SWKS
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ATML Forms Continuation Pattern.
CHS Show Signs of Accumulation.
Plus FST, NVDA and SWKS
***Video edition is at the end***
iPad and iPhone Version
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is
not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF...
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Dow and Nasdaq Hit New Highs
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Even though stocks were all over the place on Wednesday, the Dow recorded an all time high and the Nasdaq recorded a four year high. Not shabby at all. StockCharts users can keep abreast of these milestones on the Predefined Technical Alerts page.
Click this image for a live chart...
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Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and Gold Await the Fed
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks meandered again on Tuesday. Large techs caught a modest bid with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advancing .70% on the day. The remaining moves were non events. The sectors were mixed with the Technology SPDR (XLK), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Utilities SPDR (XLU) finishing modestly higher. The Basic Materials...
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Networking iShares Leads Industry Group ETFs on Market Summary Page
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Market Summary (ETF mode) provides a quick overview of performance for groups of ETFs. These include broad market, sector, industry group, international, bond, commodity and currency ETFs. Within the industry group ETFs, the Networking iShares (IGN) is leading with a 1+ percent gain in early trading on Tuesday.
Click...
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SPY Extends Consolidation - MOO Bounces on Good Volume
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks edged lower on Monday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (-.70%). Losses were relatively small as selling pressure was contained. Seven of nine sectors were down with the Energy SPDR (XLE) leading the way lower (-.94%). The Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) and the Utilities...
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Charts of Interest: ADSK, AMKR, FSLR, PBI, R, WTW
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
ADSK Hits Resistance at Retracement Zone.
AMKR Corrects with Small Wedge.
Plus FSLR, PBI, R, WTW
This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is
not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise).
We all need to think for...
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Bearish Resistance Line Holds on Alcoa P&F Chart
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
StockCharts gives users the power to chart intraday P&F charts with trend lines. In this example, the 60-minute P&F Chart shows Alcoa (AA) breaking the Bullish Support Line in June (red 6) and moving to new lows. The July bounce carried the stock to the Bearish...
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SPY and IWM Hold Consolidates ahead of Big Economic Week
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The major index ETFs remain in short-term uptrends, but these uptrends stalled over the last two weeks. While a consolidation after an advance is generally considered a bullish continuation pattern, relative weakness in the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK) is a concern. The PerfChart below shows XLY...
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Technology Market Carpet Separates Winners from Losers
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It was a rough two weeks for tech stocks as Broadcom (BRCM), AMD (AMD), Microsoft (MSFT) and Seagate (STX) led the way lower with double digit losses. Micrsoft, Google and Ebay weighed on the sector because they have relatively large market caps. Note that this market carpet is set in...
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Bulk of the Evidence Remains Bullish
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks may be overbought after big moves since late July, but we have yet to see signs of material selling pressure. In fact, we have yet to see even modest selling pressure. There are some pockets of weakness as homebuilders and big techs underperform the broader market. Nevertheless, the bulk...
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IWM and SPY Stall above Short-term Support
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The major index ETFs ended the day higher, but gains were mixed with some pockets of weakness in the market. Small-caps led the way as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained almost 1%. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA), however, only gained .01% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY)...
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Rising Treasury Yields may be Affecting the Homebuilders
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The 10-year Treasury Yield ($TNX) surged from 1.6% to 2.6% and then consolidated for a few weeks. Yields could be starting another leg up as $TNX bounces off support this week. This is having a negative impact on homebuilders. Notice that the correlation between the 10-year Treasury Yield...
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Treasuries Break Down as Dollar Firms Near Key Retracement
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost around .83% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) lost around .37%. Techs were mixed with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) adding .32% and the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) losing .63%...
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