Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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Buyers Pull Back as SPY and IWM Consolidate Near Support

Buyers Pull Back as SPY and IWM Consolidate Near Support

Stocks opened weak and remained weak, but selling pressure was not that intense as the major index ETFs closed modestly lower. The Dow SPDR (DIA) and S&P Midcap SPDR (MDY) led the way by falling around .75 percent. All sectors were lower with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY)...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ACN, AMD, DGX, KMB, TXT

Charts of Interest: ACN, AMD, DGX, KMB, TXT

ACN Breaks Triangle Support with High Volume. AMD Bounces off Support with Good Volume. Plus DGX, KMB, TXT Video at end of commentary **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**         Click here for iPad/...   READ MORE 

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Home Construction iShares Breaks Neckline Support

Home Construction iShares Breaks Neckline Support

Rising rates are taking their toll on the Home Construction iShares (ITB) as the ETF broke neckline support on Wednesday. The head-and-shoulders pattern extends almost the entire year and today's breakdown confirms the bearish reversal. The indicator window shows the price relative (ITB:SPY ratio) moving to a...   READ MORE 

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ITB Tests Neckline Support - No Follow Through for GLD

ITB Tests Neckline Support - No Follow Through for GLD

Stocks meandered on Tuesday with the major index ETFs finishing mixed on the day. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advanced .56% on the heels of Apple, while the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) fell .13% on the day. Treasuries were the big movers as a positive retail sales report prompted another...   READ MORE 

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S&P 1500 AD Line Holds Short-term Support

S&P 1500 AD Line Holds Short-term Support

The S&P 1500 AD Line ($SUPADP), which is a key breadth indicator, has yet to break support and remains in bull mode. Notice how the AD Line established lows from mid July to early August. These lows mark a support zone that chartists should watch for clues on...   READ MORE 

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SPY Bounces off Support - USO Bounces within Flag

SPY Bounces off Support - USO Bounces within Flag

Stocks opened weak on Monday, but quickly recovered and edged into positive territory. The overall gains were rather paltry with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gaining .24% and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) advancing .53%. The sectors were mixed with small gains and losses. The Technology SPDR (XLK) stood out...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CY, DE, FST, INTC, MXIM, SWKS

Charts of Interest: CY, DE, FST, INTC, MXIM, SWKS

CY Consolidates after Big Surge. DE Bounces off Support with Good Volume. Plus FST, INTC, MXIM, SWKS Video at end of commentary **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**         Click here for iPad/iPhone...   READ MORE 

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US Oil Fund Forms Bull Flag in Uptrend

US Oil Fund Forms Bull Flag in Uptrend

After surging and breaking resistance in July, the US Oil Fund (USO) pulled back with a falling flag the last few weeks. USO made its first move with a surge over the last two days. A follow through breakout above flag resistance would signal a continuation higher. Chartists can also...   READ MORE 

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AD Volume Line Breaks Support - GLD Challenges Resistance

AD Volume Line Breaks Support - GLD Challenges Resistance

The Shanghai Composite ($SSEC) and the Hang Seng Index ($HSI) surged over 2% on Monday, but the Nikkei 225 ($NIKK) fell and US stock futures are trading lower. Chinese shares are up because there were some positive economic reports late last week. Gold is also up and going for a...   READ MORE 

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Finance Sector Starts Underperforming

Finance Sector Starts Underperforming

The Finance SPDR (XLF) was one of the best performing sectors from April to late July, but was the weakest sector over the last two weeks. The PerfChart below shows XLF with a loss over the last ten trading days. In contrast, notice that the S&P 500, Consumer...   READ MORE 

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NYSE Lags Nasdaq, but Technicals Remain Bullish

NYSE Lags Nasdaq, but Technicals Remain Bullish

Stocks stalled over the last two weeks, but this was not enough to derail any indicators or the overall uptrend in the major index ETFs. Note that the major index ETFs hit new highs over the last two weeks, while XLK, XLY and XLI hit new highs to lead the...   READ MORE 

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Greenback Extends Downtrend - Gold Surges

Greenback Extends Downtrend - Gold Surges

Stocks were all over the place on Thursday. The major index ETFs opened higher, quickly pulled back and then moved back into positive territory in the afternoon. The end result was uneventful as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advanced around 1/2 percent. A gain,...   READ MORE 

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Steel ETF Breaks Flag Resistance with Big Surge

Steel ETF Breaks Flag Resistance with Big Surge

Even though the long-term trend remains down, the Steel ETF (SLX) is making some bullish waves with a flag breakout on Thursday. After an advance from late June to mid July, SLX consolidated with a falling flag, which is a bullish continuation pattern. Today's breakout signals a continuation...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Continues to Lead - Yen Surges

QQQ Continues to Lead - Yen Surges

Stocks opened weak, but quickly firmed and consolidated at lower levels the rest of the day. The overall losses were small with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) loosing .71% and the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) falling just .18%. QQQ continues to lead the major index ETFs and show the most...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AEP, AMX, HD, INTU, SO, TE

Charts of Interest: AEP, AMX, HD, INTU, SO, TE

AEP Firms at Broken Resistance. AMX Surges to Consolidation Highs. Plus HD, INTU, SO, TE Video at end of commentary **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**         Click here for iPad/iPhone Version This...   READ MORE 

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Chuy's Holdings Forms Bearish Engulfing at Key Retracement

Chuy's Holdings Forms Bearish Engulfing at Key Retracement

Chuy's Holdings came across the intraday bearish engulfing scan on Wednesday. Even though the trading day has just begun, notice that the stock broke down in July and retraced 62% with a bounce back to 40 in August. The gap and 62% retracement mark resistance as the stock...   READ MORE 

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Marking Short-Term Support for the SPX AD Line

Marking Short-Term Support for the SPX AD Line

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks pulled back on Tuesday with the Home Construction iShares (ITB), Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and Biotech SPDR (XBI) leading the way lower. ITB is on the...   READ MORE 

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ITB Stalls at Trend Line - GLD Breaks Support

ITB Stalls at Trend Line - GLD Breaks Support

**This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities** Stocks meandered on Monday. Trading was listless and volume was light. Yes, the dog days of summer are upon us. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) edged higher,...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: AGN, D, HCA, MU, THC

Charts of Interest: AGN, D, HCA, MU, THC

AGN Consolidates at Trend Line Resistance. D Forms Pennant after Big Surge. Plus HCA, MU and THC Video at end of commentary **This chart analysis is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell or sell-short said securities**         Click here for iPad/iPhone...   READ MORE 

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Only One Bullish Percent Index is Below 50%

Only One Bullish Percent Index is Below 50%

StockCharts calculates the Bullish Percent Index for over a dozen groups, including several major indices, the main sectors and a few industry groups. A list can be found on the end-of-day market summary page. Notice that all BPIs are at or above 50%, which favors the bulls. The Gold Miners...   READ MORE 

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SPY Holds Breakout as QQQ Leads Market Higher

SPY Holds Breakout as QQQ Leads Market Higher

It was a good week for the stock market. The major index ETFs gained and hit fresh 52-week highs. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) and S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) led the way with 2+ percent gains. All sectors were up with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and...   READ MORE 

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Key Breadth Indicators Confirm Underlying Strength

Key Breadth Indicators Confirm Underlying Strength

The major stock indices recorded 52-week highs this week and these highs were confirmed by the breadth indicators for the S&P 1500. Note that the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, S&P SmallCap 600, Nasdaq 100 and Dow Industrials recorded fresh 52-week highs...   READ MORE 

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Elder Bars Turns Green as ARIA Breaks Flag Resistance

Elder Bars Turns Green as ARIA Breaks Flag Resistance

Chartists looking for stocks on the move can turn to our pre-defined scans page and the Elder bar scans. Stocks with an Elder bar turning green are turning up. Those with an Elder bar turning red are turning down. The chart below shows Ariad Pharma with a big green Elder...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq Scores with New Highs in AD Line and AD Volume Line

Nasdaq Scores with New Highs in AD Line and AD Volume Line

The major index ETFs affirmed their uptrends with new highs this week. In addition, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and the Industrials SPDR (XLI) hit new highs, as did the Nasdaq AD Line and AD Volume Line. There are simply no signs of weakness in the market right now. Breadth...   READ MORE 

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SPY Hits 52-week High as TLT Hits 52-week Low

SPY Hits 52-week High as TLT Hits 52-week Low

Stocks moved higher on positive economic news, and bonds moved lower. The ISM Manufacturing Index rose to 55.40, which is a two year high. Initial jobless claims fell to 326,000, which is the lowest level since January 2008. Stocks took the news well with the major index ETFs...   READ MORE 

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S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Takes the Lead with a New High

S&P MidCap 400 SPDR Takes the Lead with a New High

Stocks surged after Fed day with the S&P MidCap 400 SPDR (MDY) hitting a new high early Thursday. The indicator window shows the price relative (MDY:SPY ratio) hitting a new high as well. Notice that the ETF's Technical Rank (SCTR) has been above 70 the...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Leads with New High - GLD Forms Bullish Flag

QQQ Leads with New High - GLD Forms Bullish Flag

Stocks were all over the place on Wednesday, but the overall range was relatively small and the day-to-day change was miniscule. Stocks surged immediately after the Fed statement, peaked at 3PM and moved lower the final hour. I am not going to read too much into this late decline because...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ATML, CHS, FST, NVDA, SWKS

Charts of Interest: ATML, CHS, FST, NVDA, SWKS

ATML Forms Continuation Pattern. CHS Show Signs of Accumulation. Plus FST, NVDA and SWKS ***Video edition is at the end***         iPad and iPhone Version This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF...   READ MORE 

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Dow and Nasdaq Hit New Highs

Dow and Nasdaq Hit New Highs

Even though stocks were all over the place on Wednesday, the Dow recorded an all time high and the Nasdaq recorded a four year high. Not shabby at all. StockCharts users can keep abreast of these milestones on the Predefined Technical Alerts page. Click this image for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and Gold Await the Fed

Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and Gold Await the Fed

Stocks meandered again on Tuesday. Large techs caught a modest bid with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) advancing .70% on the day. The remaining moves were non events. The sectors were mixed with the Technology SPDR (XLK), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Utilities SPDR (XLU) finishing modestly higher. The Basic Materials...   READ MORE 

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Networking iShares Leads Industry Group ETFs on Market Summary Page

Networking iShares Leads Industry Group ETFs on Market Summary Page

The Market Summary (ETF mode) provides a quick overview of performance for groups of ETFs. These include broad market, sector, industry group, international, bond, commodity and currency ETFs. Within the industry group ETFs, the Networking iShares (IGN) is leading with a 1+ percent gain in early trading on Tuesday.  Click...   READ MORE 

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SPY Extends Consolidation - MOO Bounces on Good Volume

SPY Extends Consolidation - MOO Bounces on Good Volume

Stocks edged lower on Monday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (-.70%). Losses were relatively small as selling pressure was contained. Seven of nine sectors were down with the Energy SPDR (XLE) leading the way lower (-.94%). The Basic Materials SPDR (XLB) and the Utilities...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ADSK, AMKR, FSLR, PBI, R, WTW

Charts of Interest: ADSK, AMKR, FSLR, PBI, R, WTW

ADSK Hits Resistance at Retracement Zone. AMKR Corrects with Small Wedge. Plus FSLR, PBI, R, WTW         This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for...   READ MORE 

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Bearish Resistance Line Holds on Alcoa P&F Chart

Bearish Resistance Line Holds on Alcoa P&F Chart

StockCharts gives users the power to chart intraday P&F charts with trend lines. In this example, the 60-minute P&F Chart shows Alcoa (AA) breaking the Bullish Support Line in June (red 6) and moving to new lows. The July bounce carried the stock to the Bearish...   READ MORE 

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SPY and IWM Hold Consolidates ahead of Big Economic Week

SPY and IWM Hold Consolidates ahead of Big Economic Week

The major index ETFs remain in short-term uptrends, but these uptrends stalled over the last two weeks. While a consolidation after an advance is generally considered a bullish continuation pattern, relative weakness in the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK) is a concern. The PerfChart below shows XLY...   READ MORE 

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Technology Market Carpet Separates Winners from Losers

Technology Market Carpet Separates Winners from Losers

It was a rough two weeks for tech stocks as Broadcom (BRCM), AMD (AMD), Microsoft (MSFT) and Seagate (STX) led the way lower with double digit losses.  Micrsoft, Google and Ebay weighed on the sector because they have relatively large market caps. Note that this market carpet is set in...   READ MORE 

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Bulk of the Evidence Remains Bullish

Bulk of the Evidence Remains Bullish

Stocks may be overbought after big moves since late July, but we have yet to see signs of material selling pressure. In fact, we have yet to see even modest selling pressure. There are some pockets of weakness as homebuilders and big techs underperform the broader market. Nevertheless, the bulk...   READ MORE 

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IWM and SPY Stall above Short-term Support

IWM and SPY Stall above Short-term Support

The major index ETFs ended the day higher, but gains were mixed with some pockets of weakness in the market. Small-caps led the way as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) gained almost 1%. The Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA), however, only gained .01% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY)...   READ MORE 

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Rising Treasury Yields may be Affecting the Homebuilders

Rising Treasury Yields may be Affecting the Homebuilders

The 10-year Treasury Yield ($TNX) surged from 1.6% to 2.6% and then consolidated for a few weeks. Yields could be starting another leg up as $TNX bounces off support this week. This is having a negative impact on homebuilders. Notice that the correlation between the 10-year Treasury Yield...   READ MORE 

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Treasuries Break Down as Dollar Firms Near Key Retracement

Treasuries Break Down as Dollar Firms Near Key Retracement

Stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost around .83% and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) lost around .37%. Techs were mixed with the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) adding .32% and the Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight ETF (QQEW) losing .63%...   READ MORE