Arthur Hill

Arthur Hill


Arthur is Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focused primarily on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within and setting key price levels has made him an industry-leading technician. Learn More 

Archived News

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ITB Hits New High - GLD Triangulates

ITB Hits New High - GLD Triangulates

Stocks extended their gains on Thursday as the S&P 500 moved within spitting distance of its 2007 high. Small-caps led the way as the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) surged 1%. All sectors were up, but their gains were muted. The Energy SPDR (XLE) was the only sector SPDR...   READ MORE 

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The StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) Surges for Fossil and Ebay

The StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) Surges for Fossil and Ebay

SCTR scores provides a technical ranking for all 500 stocks in the S&P 500. Chartists can view the complete ranking in table format and sort by change to find the biggest movers. Fossil and Ebay are showing big moves today, which means their price charts could warrant a...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Extends Consolidation - USO and TLT Forms Rising Flags

QQQ Extends Consolidation - USO and TLT Forms Rising Flags

Boosted by a better-than-expected retail sales report, overbought stocks extended their advance with small gains. The major index ETFs were up fractionally with the S&P Small Cap iShares (+.55%) leading the way. The sectors were mixed with the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), Industrials SPDR (XLI) and Utilities SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CA, CAT, FB, GT, MAR, NBR

Charts of Interest: CA, CAT, FB, GT, MAR, NBR

CA Consolidates after Breakout. CAT Confirms Bearish Continuation Pattern. Plus FB, GT, MAR, NBR This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves when...   READ MORE 

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Brent Crude ETF Confirms Bearish Continuation Pattern

Brent Crude ETF Confirms Bearish Continuation Pattern

The Brent Crude ETF (BNO) plunged in February and then consolidated with a pennant in early March. This consolidation affirmed support near the trend line extending up from the early November low. With a sharp decline the last two days, BNO broke support to signal a continuation lower. Also notice...   READ MORE 

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ITB Turns Back at Resistance - GLD Breaks Bollinger Band

ITB Turns Back at Resistance - GLD Breaks Bollinger Band

Stocks took a breather on Tuesday as the major index ETFs edged lower. The declines were small, very small. The sectors were mixed with the Basic Materials SPDR (XLB), Energy SPDR (XLE) and Healthcare SPDR (XLV) bucking the market and scoring small gains. XLV hit a new high as Merck...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq 100 Sets Support with Four Bounces on P&F Chart

Nasdaq 100 Sets Support with Four Bounces on P&F Chart

Point & Figure charts are great for identifying support and resistance levels. The chart below shows the Nasdaq 100 ($NDX) bouncing off the 2790 level four times in the past week as a consolidation takes shape. The bulls have a clear edge as long as this level holds. Note that...   READ MORE 

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Bollinger Bands Narrow on GLD - USO Hits Resistance

Bollinger Bands Narrow on GLD - USO Hits Resistance

Stocks started the day weak with some selling pressure on the open, but quickly firmed as the major index ETFs worked their way higher the rest of the day. SPY and MDY closed near their highs for the day, which also happen to be 52-week highs. On a percentage basis,...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ALTR, AMCC, KSS, MRK, RDC

Charts of Interest: ALTR, AMCC, KSS, MRK, RDC

ALTR Consolidates near Trend Line Support. AMCC Bounces off Key Retracement. KSS, MRK and RDC This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think for ourselves...   READ MORE 

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Silver Trust Consolidates at Channel Trend Line

Silver Trust Consolidates at Channel Trend Line

The Silver Trust (SLV) has been working its way lower since early October with a falling channel taking shape. After plunging in February, the ETF firmed near the lower trend line with a pennant. A break below 27.50 would signal a continuation lower, while a break above 28.50...   READ MORE 

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XRT Hits New High - USO Bounces and Ignores Dollar

XRT Hits New High - USO Bounces and Ignores Dollar

With a better-than-expected jobs report, stocks extended their gains on Friday and Treasuries dropped sharply. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) hit another new high, while the 20+ Year T-Bond ETF (TLT) closed at its lowest level since May 2012. Stocks are as overbought as Treasuries are oversold, but...   READ MORE 

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Bank of America Forms Bearish Candlestick Pattern at Interesting Level

Bank of America Forms Bearish Candlestick Pattern at Interesting Level

With a strong open and sharp move lower, Bank of America (BAC) is gracing the intraday candlestick scan with a dark cloud as we head into the close on Friday. Note that this bearish reversal pattern is taking shape near resistance from the prior highs. Also notice that a broadening...   READ MORE 

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AD Lines and AD Volume Lines Hit New Highs

AD Lines and AD Volume Lines Hit New Highs

With a massive eight day surge, the major index ETFs moved to new highs and the offensive sectors got back in gear. The AD Lines and AD Volume Lines also moved to new highs, and Net New Highs expanded once again. New highs are bullish, but the size of this...   READ MORE 

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IWM Makes it Eight Days Straight - GLD Extends Consolidation

IWM Makes it Eight Days Straight - GLD Extends Consolidation

Stocks continued on their merry Thursday with the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) leading the way (+.61%). Note that IMW is up eight days straight. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is trading at its highest level of the year as the market went from short-term oversold to short-term overbought...   READ MORE 

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March Madness Comes Early as the S&P 500 Breaks Out on P&F Chart

March Madness Comes Early as the S&P 500 Breaks Out on P&F Chart

60-minute P&F charts provide a nice medium-term perspective on broad market movements. This S&P 500 chart is based on 5-points per box and a 3-box reversal. Notice that it extends back to June and shows three big price swings. After the January surge, $SPX consolidated in...   READ MORE 

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IWM Forms Doji Near February Highs - SPY Has NR7 Day

IWM Forms Doji Near February Highs - SPY Has NR7 Day

After big moves on Tuesday, stocks took a breather on Wednesday as the major index ETFs consolidated. The Dow SPDR (DIA) edged higher, while the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) edged lower. The sectors were also mixed with the biggest moves coming from the Materials SPDR (+88%) and the Finance SPDR...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ANF, BSBR, BRCM, DNDN, HST

Charts of Interest: ANF, BSBR, BRCM, DNDN, HST

ANF Bounces off Support with Rising Wedge. BRBR Breaks Resistance with Surging Volume. Plus BRCM, DNDN, HSL This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think...   READ MORE 

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Russell 2000 ETF Turns Indecisive At February High

Russell 2000 ETF Turns Indecisive At February High

The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is up seven days straight and is now trading near potential resistance from the February high. Notice that an indecisive doji formed on Wednesday. A doji and surge above 90 started this seven day rally. A doji and move below 90 would reverse this seven...   READ MORE 

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QQQ Surges to New High for 2013 - TLT Tests Support Zone

QQQ Surges to New High for 2013 - TLT Tests Support Zone

Stocks surged out of the gate with big gains in the first 30 minutes. The ISM Services Index beat expectations at 10AM and this kept the bid in stocks for the rest of the day. The major index ETFs finished the day with gains ranging from .90% for the Dow...   READ MORE 

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Genworth and Apollo Lead on the Sector Market Carpet

Genworth and Apollo Lead on the Sector Market Carpet

The Sector Market Carpet is showing lots of green as stocks surge with a broad-based rally. All sectors are up with industrials, finance and technology leading the way. Genworth (GNW) is the biggest gainer in the S&P 500, and Apollo (APOL) sports the second largest gain. Click this...   READ MORE 

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Defensive Sectors, and XLY, Lead with New Highs

Defensive Sectors, and XLY, Lead with New Highs

You have to give the bulls credit for resilience. Stocks treaded water in the early going and then surged in the afternoon. The major index ETFs closed at or near their highs for the day. On the 60 minute charts, IWM broke falling channel resistance, SPY is challenging neckline resistance...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: ARIA, BBBY, CTSH, CTXS, F, PCS

Charts of Interest: ARIA, BBBY, CTSH, CTXS, F, PCS

ARIA Forms Bull Wedge Near Breakout. CTXS Bounces off Gap Support Zone. Plus BBBY, CTXS, F, PCS This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to think...   READ MORE 

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Delta and UAL Lead Airline ETF to another Breakout

Delta and UAL Lead Airline ETF to another Breakout

The Guggenheim Airline ETF (FAA) continues to lead the transports with another big move. Note that Delta (DAL) and United Continental Broke consolidations today. AMR has a falling wedge working and could be next. Click this image for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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Small-Caps Underperform for a Week - SPY Momentum Turns

Small-Caps Underperform for a Week - SPY Momentum Turns

On a closing basis, the Dow SPDR (DIA) closed the week at its highest level in years. Even though Friday's intraday high did not exceed Thursday's intraday high, Friday's close was significant for DIA and the Dow Industrials. Or was it? Of the five...   READ MORE 

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Dollar Breakout Could Foreshadow a Return to Risk-Off

Dollar Breakout Could Foreshadow a Return to Risk-Off

The Dollar Bullish ETF (UUP) extended its advance with a break above the mid November high this week and a fresh six month high. UUP is at levels not seen since August 2012 and this surge could weigh on stocks because the Dollar and stock market have been negatively correlated...   READ MORE 

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Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF Forms Small Rising Wedge

Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF Forms Small Rising Wedge

After a sharp decline last week, the Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) formed with a small rising wedge the last six days. These are typically bearish continuation pataterns and a break below 34.5 would signal a continuation lower. The indicator window shows the KST momentum oscillator moving below its...   READ MORE 

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Defensive Sectors Outperform as SPY Momentum Wanes

Defensive Sectors Outperform as SPY Momentum Wanes

The majority of indicators remain bullish, but offensive sector performance got a downtrend. The technology and consumer discretionary sectors underperformed in February, but the finance and industrials sectors outperformed. In addition, note that the defensive sectors outperformed in February. This combination points to risk-aversion in the stock market. The SPY...   READ MORE 

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QQQ and IWM Turn Back at Resistance

QQQ and IWM Turn Back at Resistance

Stocks were strong in the first half of the day, but sold off in the second half, especially in the last hour. The Dow came within 15 points of its all time high and then fell over 90 points with the afternoon sell off. The senior average closed near its...   READ MORE 

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Sears Holdings Traces out Huge Outside Reversal Day

Sears Holdings Traces out Huge Outside Reversal Day

Sears Holdings (SHLD) started the day strong, but sold off hard to form an outside reversal day. In fact, today's price action encompassed the high-low range of the last five days. This reversal also occurred on high volume to further reinforce resistance at 49. Click this image for...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CVC, CY, IBM, USB, VRTX

Charts of Interest: CVC, CY, IBM, USB, VRTX

IBM Breaks Wedge Resistance with Good Volume. VRTX Surges off Support with High Volume. Plus CVC, CY, USB This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need to...   READ MORE 

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DIA Leads with a New High, but IWM and SPY Fall Short

DIA Leads with a New High, but IWM and SPY Fall Short

The Dow led the market on Wednesday with a surge above 14000. Despite some sizable moves in the major index ETFs, only the Dow SPDR (DIA) cleared its prior highs and closed at its highest level for the month. Note that SPY, RSP, MDY, IWM and QQQ have yet to...   READ MORE 

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Lockheed Martin Crosses the Bullish CCI Scan

Lockheed Martin Crosses the Bullish CCI Scan

Big defense contractors got slammed in late January as the market priced in a worst-case sequester scenario in about seven trading days. LMT firmed after this sharp decline and then surged with a long hollow candlestick on Wednesday. This move was strong enough to push CCI above 100 and trigger...   READ MORE 

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IWM Firms with Doji - TLT Holds Breakout

IWM Firms with Doji - TLT Holds Breakout

Stocks were quite oversold after Monday's big plunge and managed to bounce on Tuesday. Even though the market was ripe for this bounce, there were a few fundamental factors contributing to the rebound. Bernanke brought his doves to capital hill, the Home Construction iShares (ITB) surged almost 4%...   READ MORE 

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Natural Gas Surges off Key Retracement

Natural Gas Surges off Key Retracement

Don't look now, but Natural Gas ($NATGAS) held support near the 62% retracement and broken resistance near 3.10 this year. $NATGAS bounced twice off this level with the second surge sending it above 3.40 this week. The US Natural Gas Fund (UNG) also held support from...   READ MORE 

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Charts of Interest: CVX, DLTR, FISV, FLEX, HST, SKS, SNA, TIF

Charts of Interest: CVX, DLTR, FISV, FLEX, HST, SKS, SNA, TIF

CVX Forms Big Bearish Engulfing at Resistance. DLTR Bases with Large Triangle Plus FISV, FLEX, HST, SKS, SNA, TIF This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise). We all need...   READ MORE 

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DIA Forms the Mother of All Bearish Engulfings

DIA Forms the Mother of All Bearish Engulfings

Stocks surged on the open, quickly weakened and then plunged in the final hour. We all know where the blame went. Even though the Italian elections took the rap, note that the Euro has been falling since 4-Feb and Italian stocks are down around 10% over the past month. US...   READ MORE 

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February has been Rough for the Consumer Discretionary SPDR

February has been Rough for the Consumer Discretionary SPDR

After big gains in January, the market is having a tough time in February with relative weakness coming from the Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) and Technology SPDR (XLK). Also notice that the defensive sectors are starting to outperforming (XLP, XLU and XLV). Click this image for a live chart...   READ MORE 

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XLU and XLP End Week Strong - IWM Hits Retracemet

XLU and XLP End Week Strong - IWM Hits Retracemet

It was a short, but wild, week for stocks. The major index ETFs started strong on Tuesday, plunged on Wednesday-Thursday and then rebounded on Friday. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) hit a new low for 2013 during Thursday's dip, while the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and S&...   READ MORE 

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RSI Hits Support Zone for the Biotech SPDR

RSI Hits Support Zone for the Biotech SPDR

XBI surged the first two weeks of January, and then corrected the next six weeks with a falling channel. The fall is ever so slight though. A move above 96.5 would break the channel trend line and signal a continuation of the bigger uptrend. The indicator window shows RSI...   READ MORE 

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AD Lines and AD Volume Lines Pullback after Extended Moves

AD Lines and AD Volume Lines Pullback after Extended Moves

The major index ETFs and indicators took hits this week, but there is no change in the overall picture. The major index ETFs, AD Lines and AD Volume Lines hit multi-month highs this month and pulled back sharply this week. Stocks were quite overextended after big moves from mid November...   READ MORE