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Larry Williams' 2024 Market Outlook
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
On this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, legendary trader and author Larry Williams joins Dave to share his lessons learned in 2023, his outlook for stocks in 2024, and which cycles he feels all investors should be following into the new year.
This video originally premiered on...
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Small-Caps Rocket to the Upside, Leave Large-Caps in the Dust
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
On this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar,Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research points out that growth vs. value is now more of a small vs. large question, with small caps rocketing to the upside in December. Host David Keller, CMT recaps the top charts of the...
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Blow-Off Top?! Market Reacts to the FED Announcement
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Happy Fed Day on this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar. There was quite a bit of movement leading into the FOMC announcement, with exceptional amounts of movement afterwards. Markets continued to push aggressively to the upside, with the S&P 500 closing the day out above...
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This Industry Group Outperformed the S&P 500 by OVER 120% in 2023!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research shares his biggest takeaway from investing in 2023 and also conducts a deep dive in the Consumer Discretionary sector with a focus on four stocks: SIG, TSLA, RL, and ABNB. Meanwhile, Dave unveils...
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Renewed UPTREND for Semis -- SMH and SOXX ETFs Breaking Out!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave recaps the renewed uptrend for semis, with ETFs like SMH and SOXX breaking out despite a lack of participation from the largest semiconductor name, Nvidia (NVDA). He answers viewer questions on QQQ, Netflix (NFLX), Resmed (RMD), Avis Budget Group...
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Will the S&P 500 Push Above 4600 Before Year-End?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The S&P 500 index has stalled out at its July high around 4600, and overbought readings from RSI indicate a likely pullback.
* Breadth indicators have reached bullish extreme readings, confirming the long-term bullish, short-term bearish thesis.
* Individual stocks from both growth and value sectors...
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Top 10 Charts to Watch in December 2023
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave is joined by StockCharts' own Grayson Roze as they break down the trends for the top ten stocks and ETF charts for December 2023. Together, they identify key levels and signals to watch for using technical analysis tools...
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Lift Off! Aerospace and Defense Stocks Showing Multi-Year Breakout
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investment Partners highlights one industry within the Industrial sector showing a multi-year breakout, and lays out the bull case for gold in 2024. Dave reviews travel and tourism charts, speaks to the strength...
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High Risk of Market Downside in December?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kosar, CMT of Asbury Research updates his Asbury Six tactical market model and shares how investors can be better positioned for market uncertainty into 2024. Host Dave highlights the strong rally in financials and airlines, and reveals one...
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Trend Channels Help Define Stock Pullback Scenarios
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Sam Burns, CFA of Mill Street Research focuses on strength in financials, weakness in crude oil, and key macro themes he'll be tracking into 2024. Meanwhile, Dave tracks the relentless upswing for Bitcoin, the pullback in gold...
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Is Every Stock on the Planet Overbought?!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, host David Keller, CMT shows how mega-cap growth stocks like NFLX and GOOGL have pulled back from overbought conditions, and reviews how other market segments like gold and small caps are experiencing a similar pattern of upside exhaustion. He...
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Pullback Imminent for Nasdaq 100
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The recent upside gap around $380 was a key moment for the QQQ, but if leading growth stocks continue to drop, this level may come into question.
* While a new all-time high for the Nasdaq 100 is a possibility over the next six to eight weeks, the...
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Follow This Powerful Seasonal Playbook in Election Years
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Hirsch of theStock Trader's Almanacshares the suggested seasonal pattern for 2024 and breaks down how previous election years have played out. Host David Keller, CMT highlights a breakout in gold miners, regional banks breaking above their...
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Market Secrets Revealed! Final Bar Mailbag -- US Dollar, S&P 500 ETF, Fibonacci Pivots
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave devotes the show to the Mailbag. He answers viewer questions about the impact of the US Dollar on the stock market, why he uses the S&P 500 ETF rather than the S&P Index for relative...
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Breadth Analysis Suggests Pullback From S&P 4600
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave reviews the latest market breadth indicators, some of which are indicating a likely pullback from resistance around the 4600 level for the S&P 500. He also focuses on stocks with actionable patterns including GOOGL, NFLX, SPOT, NVDA,...
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A NEW ERA of Growth Leadership?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mary Ann Bartels of Sanctuary Wealth describes how falling interest rates could pave the way for another leadership by mega-cap growth stocks, including semiconductors. Host David Keller, CMT breaks down two market breadth indicators to watch into December...
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Magnificent 7 Stocks Testing HUGE Resistance
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the technical setups on all of the Magnificent 7 stocks, addressing the balance between strong trends and overbought conditions. He answers viewer questions on investor sentiment, trailing stops, potential upside for TSLA, and the latest thinking on...
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My Market Trend Model is Pretty Bulled Up
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* We use a series of weekly exponential moving averages to define the trend on three time frames.
* The medium-term model just turned bullish, suggesting a risk-on environment for stocks.
* Our Market Trend Model had a similar setup in March 2022, before a downturn eliminated the bullish...
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Cutting-Edge Seasonality Insights & Bitcoin 2024 Halving Impact
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this special edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adrien Zduńczyk, CMT, of The Birb Nest shares a groundbreaking seasonality study he created with Jeff Hirsch ofStock Trader's Almanac. Adrien and Dave explain how November and December tend to be seasonably strong for Bitcoin, why...
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The Case for Small-Caps as Major Indexes Test Overbought Conditions
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Craig Johnson, CFA CMT of Piper Sandler shares his long-term charts of the S&P 500 and 10-Year Treasury Yield and makes the case for small caps through year-end 2023. Dave shares one breadth indicator reaching...
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Three Ways to Stay on the Right Side of the Market
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com reveals his three charts to define the market trend, limit losses, and stay on the right side of the market. Host David Keller, CMT targets names trading higher and testing key resistance, including TGT,...
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Stocks and Bonds SOAR After October CPI
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Pete Carmasino of Chaikin Analytics puts this week's action into long-term perspective using his charts of bond prices, interest rates, unemployment, and regional banks. Dave highlights three stocks with actionable signals this week: ROST, FSLR, and...
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Finding Setups as Markets Wait for October CPI
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave identifies bullish and bearish momentum divergences as the equity and bond markets await the October CPI reading on Tuesday morning. He answers questions covering Brent crude oil prices, uranium stocks, inverse head and shoulders patterns, and upside potential for...
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Why is S&P 4400 So Important Right Now?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Charles Dow first popularized the concept of trends as defined by the pattern of peaks and valleys in price action.
* We can create shaded areas on a chart based on traditional support and resistance levels to create a "stoplight" effect to better define the market phase....
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Decoding Bear Markets, Divergences, & More! A Q&A with David Keller, CMT
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave dives deep into the world of market dynamics and technical analysis to answer YOUR burning questions! He talks topics like point and figure charts, moving averages, Nomura Holdings (NMR), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), and more!
This video...
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Top Ten Hidden Features of StockCharts, Features 6-10
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave takes a closer look at some key features on StockCharts and how to use them in new and improved ways, in order to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and price behavior. You might even stumble upon some...
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Top Ten Hidden Features of StockCharts, Features 1-5
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave takes a closer look at some key features on StockCharts and how to use them in new and improved ways, in order to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and price behavior. You might even stumble upon some...
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Why are Higher Interest Rates a Big Deal?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mike Singleton of Invictus Research describes the impact of higher interest rates on consumer spending and growth stock valuations. Host David Keller, CMT charts the breakout for the QQQ and reviews stocks reporting earnings, including DKNG, UBER, and more....
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This Key Resistance Level is Crucial for the S&P 500
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the charts of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 with a focus on the downtrend channel for the QQQ and key resistance at 4400 for the S&P 500. He answers viewer questions on...
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Trading the QQQ in Three Timeframes
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The short-term trend for the QQQ is positive after this week's rally, but price is now at the upper edge of a downtrend channel.
* On the medium-term timeframe, the downtrend channel is still intact, and the momentum reading is still in line with a...
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Top Ten Charts to Watch in November 2023
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, join Dave and Grayson as they break down the trends for the top ten stocks and ETF charts for November 2023. Watch as they identify key levels and signals to keep an eye out for using the power of StockCharts&...
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What Can the VIX Reveal To Us In November 2023?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Tim Hayes of Ned Davis Research shares an outlook for interest rates in 2024, and explains why a VIX over 28.5 could mean disaster for risk assets. Host David Keller, CMT updates charts of stocks reporting earnings including SBUX,...
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Signs of Top in Rates As Fed Says NO CHANGE
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Katie Stockton, CMT of Fairlead Strategies shares her weekly charts of the S&P 500, VIX, and XLK and identifies three areas of opportunity through year-end 2023. Dave breaks down this week's Fed meeting from a...
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Stock Market Hinges on the Ten Year Interest Rate
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Tony Dwyer of Canaccord Genuity breaks down four charts that speak to a potential tactical rally for the S&P 500, and explains why this market is still all about interest rates. Meanwhile, Dave charts the downtrend channel for...
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Countertrend Rally in the Works for SPX? What the Charts Reveal
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave discusses implications for this week's earnings releases, the November Fed meeting, and geopolitical events. He answers live viewer questions on volume-based indicators, downside targets for the S&P 500 chart, possibilities for a countertrend rally...
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My Downside Targets for the S&P 500
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The S&P 500 has almost reached the minimum downside objective based on the head and shoulders topping pattern.
* SPX 3800 would mean represent a 38.2% retracement level of the March 2020 to January 2022 bull market phase.
If you've been fighting the mounting...
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Where to Find Stock Opportunities in Bear Territory
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, host Dave wraps a bearish week with a discussion on downtrend conditions, trendline resistance, deteriorating breadth, and finding opportunities in a bearish landscape. He answers viewer questions on inverted yield curves, recessionary periods, and leading vs. lagging technical indicators.
This...
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Late-Hour Selloff Confirms Downtrend Phase!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Tom Bowley of EarningsBeats shares his chart of key ratios illustrating how growth still has held its ground relative to value stocks. Host David Keller, CMT focuses in on distribution in the last hour of trading and highlights one...
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NASDAQ NOSEDIVES, Down Over 2% At The Close!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Mary Ellen McGonagle of MEM Investment Research shares three stocks showing promise during a period of severe market distribution. Dave focuses in on the S&P 500 testing Fibonacci support and breaks down earnings for Microsoft, Alphabet, Spotify,...
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How Mega-Cap Names Dominate Through Market Cap
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares how growth over value is less about the types of companies and more about the market cap represented in the largest benchmark names. He breaks down today's pop-and-drop for Bitcoin and answers questions from...
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