David Keller

David Keller


David is President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC, where he helps active investors make better decisions using behavioral finance and technical analysis. He is a former President of the CMT Association. Learn More 

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Defrosting the Markets: Thoughts on the January Barometer

Defrosting the Markets: Thoughts on the January Barometer

I’ve written several articles regarding seasonal trends in the markets, including the four-year Presidential Cycle, the “Sell in May” phenomenon, and even general thoughts on cyclical patterns in price. This time of year, we’re faced with a very interesting anomaly known as the January Barometer. This is different...   READ MORE 

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Forget the Price and Anchor to the Trend

Forget the Price and Anchor to the Trend

Anchoring is a behavioral phenomenon wherein we, as people, lock in to a specific reference point that then affects our subsequent decisions. When I taught technical analysis at Brandeis University, I asked one group of students to tell me where the S&P 500 would be at the end...   READ MORE 

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Investors Don't Like to Lose

Investors Don't Like to Lose

Everyone believed they had a sound approach to investment during the extended bull market of 2009-2018.  When everything’s gaining in price, slowly and steadily, it’s easy for confidence in your process to become overconfidence in your process. To quote a phrase, “Never confuse brains with a bull market....   READ MORE 

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Seasonal Trends Are Not Seasonal Certainties

Seasonal Trends Are Not Seasonal Certainties

“We’re entering the seasonally strongest part of the year.” “The New Year tends to be very good for small caps.” “Year three of the Presidential Cycle tends to be good for stocks.” “The Friday after Thanksgiving is usually a bullish day on lighter volume.” How many of these quotes...   READ MORE 

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When Emotions Take Over

When Emotions Take Over

I recently returned from a 10-day trip to Kuala Lumpur and Singapore. This was my first time in Malaysia, where I spoke at the IFTA Annual Conference along with my fellow StockCharts commentators Julius de Kempenaer and Martin Pring. After the conference, when I was checking out of the hotel...   READ MORE 

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The S&P's Sudden Loss of Altitude

The S&P's Sudden Loss of Altitude

I was panicked. On my previous training flight, I had put the Cessna 172 into a nose dive.  That’s right, in my attempt to demonstrate a power-off stall, I had literally pointed the airplane directly at the ground.  Which is not a good idea if you want to remain...   READ MORE 

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Beating Biases With Behavioral Checklists

Beating Biases With Behavioral Checklists

During my ChartCon 2018 presentation entitled “The Mindless Investor and the Mindful Investor”, I shared the technical checklist that I use to teach a disciplined process for technical analysis. I received a question after the session on whether I had a “behavioral checklist” to help minimize the impact of behavioral...   READ MORE 

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Welcome to The Mindful Investor

Welcome to The Mindful Investor

It is with great pleasure that I welcome you to my new blog on StockCharts.com entitled The Mindful Investor.  I have been a StockCharts.com user for years but have become even more impressed as I’ve gotten to know the great people behind this website.  I’m honored...   READ MORE