David Keller

David Keller


David is President and Chief Strategist at Sierra Alpha Research LLC, where he helps active investors make better decisions using behavioral finance and technical analysis. He is a former President of the CMT Association. Learn More 

Archived News

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The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops an all-mailbag episode featuring viewer questions on the Hindenburg Omen, ascending triangle patterns, Fibonacci Retracements, projecting upside targets for stocks like NVDA, and the best technical indicator long-term investors should use! This video originally premiered on February 23,...   READ MORE 

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NVDA SCREAMS BULL With Earnings Breakout

NVDA SCREAMS BULL With Earnings Breakout

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave identifies key resistance levels for QQQ and HYG, along with a technical analysis downtrend checklist for charts in confirmed bear phases. Guest Larry Tentarelli of Blue Chip Daily Trend Report shares two stocks he's tracking along with...   READ MORE 

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Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings

Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the latest market breadth indicators, ranging from bullish (S&P 500 advance-decline line) to bearish (Bullish Percent Indexes breaking down) to everything in between.  He also analyzes key growth names including SMCI, PANW, AMZN, and NVDA....   READ MORE 

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The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!

The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on AAPL which closed below its 200-day moving average as it tests key price support. Guest Jesse Felder of The Felder Report reports on the Titanic Syndrome, a market breadth indicator similar to the Hindenburg Omen that suggests...   READ MORE 

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Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support

Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The NYFANG+ index of leading growth stocks is up about 12% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have gained only 5%. * All three of these growth stocks show similar patterns, with a recent gap higher.  But they have now all stalled out. * If these...   READ MORE 

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What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)

What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the Money Flow Index, using RSP vs. SPY for relative strength analysis, strategies for names in extended uptrends like NVDA, applying Fibonacci retracements to charts like KRE, and more. This video originally premiered on February...   READ MORE 

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SMCI Breaks $1,000 Level - What's Next?

SMCI Breaks $1,000 Level - What's Next?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Bob Lang of Explosive Options shares three charts he's following as the S&P 500 continues to hold the crucial 5,000 level. Host David Keller, CMT highlights key stocks on the earnings list, including DKNG, COIN,...   READ MORE 

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Market Pullback? Follow These Charts!

Market Pullback? Follow These Charts!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500 back above 5K, Bitcoin back above 50K, and why NFLX, META, & AMZN may be the most important names to follow in the coming weeks. Guest Mish Schneider of MarketGauge breaks down the...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K!

S&P 500 Plunges Below 5K!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how the S&P 500 is just barely holding trendline support as his short-term Market Trend Model threatens to turn bearish this week. Guest Sean McLaughlin of All Star Charts talks through how he's playing...   READ MORE 

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Catch BIGGER GAINS by Fishing for Alpha

Catch BIGGER GAINS by Fishing for Alpha

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights breakouts in home builders and Bitcoin and reviews key names reporting earnings including ABNB, SHOP, and MAR. He also shares an equity scan he uses every week to identify the next potential breakout candidates. Stay tuned until the...   READ MORE 

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Beware the Hindenburg Omen!

Beware the Hindenburg Omen!

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Jim Miekka created the Hindenburg Omen after studying the conditions present at previous market peaks. * The Hindenburg Omen triggered an initial signal this week, just as the S&P 500 finally closed above 5000 for the first time. * If we see a second signal in the next...   READ MORE 

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Your Questions, Answered! Price Gaps, Bull Flags, Inverse Patterns, and MORE

Your Questions, Answered! Price Gaps, Bull Flags, Inverse Patterns, and MORE

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave digs into The Final Bar Mailbag and answers questions on price patterns like bull flags, what price gaps actually represent on the chart, and why analyzing earnings trends could help you anticipate subsequent moves for stocks like META. This...   READ MORE 

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3 Expert Earnings Plays: Maximizing Reward, Minimizing Risk

3 Expert Earnings Plays: Maximizing Reward, Minimizing Risk

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading. Danielle highlights three earnings plays she's focused on this week, and shares how she combines multiple time frames in her trading to better define risk vs. reward. Dave laments the weakening...   READ MORE 

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Why the NAAIM Exposure Index Matters to Your Investments

Why the NAAIM Exposure Index Matters to Your Investments

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes Ryan Redfern, ChFC, CMT of Shadowridge Asset Management and President of NAAIM. Ryan provides a primer on the NAAIM Exposure Index, including what it is, how it's calculated, and how it can be used to measure...   READ MORE 

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Three Things I WISH I'd Known About Trading

Three Things I WISH I'd Known About Trading

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave speaks to weakening short-term breadth conditions as the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bearish level this week. Guest Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com drops some serious trader wisdom and also shares what he does first thing every morning to...   READ MORE 

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Market Breadth Divergence Says NO BULL!

Market Breadth Divergence Says NO BULL!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave demonstrates how the market's recent upswing has left mid-caps and small-caps in the dust, with deteriorating breadth conditions suggesting an increased risk of downside for the S&P 500. He also unveils the latest enhancements to...   READ MORE 

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Tesla Tests Key Support: Is This a Trade? Or an Investment?

Tesla Tests Key Support: Is This a Trade? Or an Investment?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tesla is an outlier from the other Magnificent 7 stocks, remaining in a downtrend channel for the last six months. * RSI oversold conditions, along with Fibonacci retracements, suggests a return to the upper end of the trend channel. * TSLA shows a "confluence of resistance" above current...   READ MORE 

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Top Ten Charts to Watch for February 2024

Top Ten Charts to Watch for February 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson and Dave run through charts they feel present actionable opportunities based on their technical analysis setups. They'll cover breakout strategies, moving average techniques, relative strength, and much more. And you'll have ten new charts to...   READ MORE 

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Bullish Buyers Return After Market Selloff

Bullish Buyers Return After Market Selloff

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Jay Woods, CMT of Freedom Capital Markets brings the energy of the NYSE floor to the show, relating today's market rebound to longer term themes for small caps and regional banks.  Dave shares one breadth indicator recognizing broad...   READ MORE 

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Betting Against the Fed is RISKY!

Betting Against the Fed is RISKY!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Tony Dwyer of Canaccord Genuity shares insights on today's Fed meeting and what data he's following to anticipate rate cuts through 2024. Dave tracks mega cap growth stocks, including MSFT and GOOGL, which are in pullback...   READ MORE 

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Market Wisdom from the Godfather of Technical Analysis

Market Wisdom from the Godfather of Technical Analysis

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, legendary technical analyst Ralph Acampora, CMT visit StockCharts HQ to share lessons learned in the 1970s secular bear market, what he learned about simplicity from the late Alan Shaw, and how leadership rotation may be the theme for the coming...   READ MORE 

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Will Catalysts Push Markets HIGHER or Drag Them LOWER?

Will Catalysts Push Markets HIGHER or Drag Them LOWER?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500 as it pushes to a new high above 4900, while the McClellan Oscillator rotates to a bullish reading. He breaks down earnings plays this week, including XOM, MSFT, and more. This video originally...   READ MORE 

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Magnificent 7 Stocks: Overheated or Just Getting Started?

Magnificent 7 Stocks: Overheated or Just Getting Started?

One of the key themes, if not THE theme, of 2023 was the dominance of the mega-cap growth trade. The Magnificent 7 stocks handily outperformed our equity benchmarks through the course of 2023, and, so far in 2024, it's been more of the same. With Netflix (NFLX) gapping...   READ MORE 

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How to Avoid Huge Drawdowns from High-Flying Stocks

How to Avoid Huge Drawdowns from High-Flying Stocks

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts an all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), how ETFs like QTEC have outperformed benchmarks including the Nasdaq 100, and how to avoid painful losses in leading names like NVDA, PANW, and ADBE. This...   READ MORE 

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Unlocking the Power of Technical Indicators

Unlocking the Power of Technical Indicators

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the chart of Intel Corp (INTC) to demonstrate the benefits of three important technical indicators: Moving Averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Relative Strength. He shares why a disciplined process of interpreting these indicators can help investors...   READ MORE 

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Macro Model Gives Mixed Signals as NFLX LIGHTS UP!

Macro Model Gives Mixed Signals as NFLX LIGHTS UP!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kosar, CMT of Asbury Research shares his proprietary Asbury Six macro model, which suggests caution based on weak fund flows and breadth conditions.  Dave focuses in on crude oil and gold charts, and also reviews key earnings plays...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Still SUPER Undervalued!

S&P 500 Still SUPER Undervalued!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Ari Wald, CFA CMT of Oppenheimer lays out a bull case for the S&P 500 based on valuations and forward returns given strong breadth conditions. Dave reviews stocks reporting earnings this week, including LOGI, LMT, PG, DHI,...   READ MORE 

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Small Caps Surge Higher As S&P 500 Stalls

Small Caps Surge Higher As S&P 500 Stalls

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave observes the S&P 500 index pressing higher after achieving new all-time highs on Friday. While large caps have dominated small caps so far in January, days like today suggest small-cap strength as a potential emerging trend.  He...   READ MORE 

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Three Behavioral Biases You're Probably Struggling With Right Now

Three Behavioral Biases You're Probably Struggling With Right Now

I've spent much of my career helping investors become more like pilots. Why is this such an important mindset to adopt? Well, pilots have to maintain good situational awareness, understanding what is happening around them. They need to make difficult decisions and recognize when conditions are changing. And,...   READ MORE 

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Viewer Questions: How Does the Fed Manipulate the Yield Curve?

Viewer Questions: How Does the Fed Manipulate the Yield Curve?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts a special all-mailbag edition, answering viewer questions on leading vs. lagging indicators, arithmetic vs. log scale charts, and how the Fed manipulates the yield curve.  He digs into specific trading strategies using RSI, MACD, On Balance Volume, and...   READ MORE 

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Why SMALL CAPS MATTER in January 2024

Why SMALL CAPS MATTER in January 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kolovos, CFA CMT of Macro Risk Advisors describes how the market is reacting to "good overbought" conditions in late 2023, and why the Russell 2000 small cap ETF may be the chart to watch in Q1...   READ MORE 

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The Case for a Tactical Stock Selloff

The Case for a Tactical Stock Selloff

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adam Turnquist of LPL Financial lays out the case for a tactical selloff for stocks, as well as why long-term indicators remain constructive in early 2024.  Dave breaks down the bearish momentum divergence prevalent in the technology sector, and...   READ MORE 

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S&P 4300 by End of February?

S&P 4300 by End of February?

We kicked off the new year of 2024 with an overheated stock market, excessively bullish breadth indicators, and euphoric sentiment levels. While the first week in January felt like a "wake-up call" pullback for awestruck bulls, this last week saw the S&P 500 push right back...   READ MORE 

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Your Questions Answered! Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Inflation & More

Your Questions Answered! Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Inflation & More

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a special all-mailbag episode, answering viewer questions on simple vs. exponential moving averages, the benefits of analyzing sector rotation, and a good first chart for beginners learning technical analysis. This video originally premiered on January 12, 2024. Watch...   READ MORE 

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From Selloff to Surge: Growth Stocks Rebound After CPI

From Selloff to Surge: Growth Stocks Rebound After CPI

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights three leading growth stocks continuing to push to new swing highs. He also breaks down key market sentiment indicators, including the VIX, AAII survey, NAAIM Exposure Index, Rydex fund flows, and put/call ratios. This video originally premiered...   READ MORE 

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SPOT ETFs APPROVED!! The Technical Case for Bitcoin

SPOT ETFs APPROVED!! The Technical Case for Bitcoin

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Adrian Zduńczyk, CMT of The Birb Nest discusses upside potential for Bitcoin and Ethereum based on expectations around new Bitcoin ETFs, as well as a bullish technical configuration. Dave highlights leading growth stocks, like META scoring new 52-week highs, as...   READ MORE 

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Don't Miss Out! 2 Promising Sectors in Early 2024

Don't Miss Out! 2 Promising Sectors in Early 2024

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Julius de Kempenaer of RRG Research talks stocks over bonds and highlights two sectors with upside potential based on improvements in their relative strength. Dave unveils a bearish momentum divergence for Netflix and reveals two technology stocks that could still...   READ MORE 

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January 2024: The Final Bar's Top 10 Must See Charts

January 2024: The Final Bar's Top 10 Must See Charts

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Grayson Roze and Dave break down the trends for the top ten stocks and ETF charts for December 2023. They'll identify key levels and signals to watch for using technical analysis tools including moving averages, relative strength, RSI,...   READ MORE 

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Three Charts to Track Impending Doom

Three Charts to Track Impending Doom

KEY TAKEAWAYS * January through March is the weakest three-month period for stocks in an election year. * The McClellan Oscillator turned bearish this week, suggesting at least a short-term pullback for stocks. * The VIX remains low, but a push above 15 could indicate further downside, retracing the gains from Q4. Okay,...   READ MORE 

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Growth Stocks Drop Again -- and That's Just the Beginning?!?

Growth Stocks Drop Again -- and That's Just the Beginning?!?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Jeff Huge, CMT of JWH Investments speaks to how extreme breadth conditions, sky-high valuations and overly bullish sentiment readings could indicate the beginning of a bear phase in 2024. Dave highlights two value sectors showing renewed signs of strength...   READ MORE