On Friday, the NDX logged a new ST Trend Model BUY signal. Currently DP indicators are looking bullish and seeing improvement in the technology sector is encouraging for the market in general. I did point out on today's MarketWatchers LIVE show that one could make a case for... READ MORE
I'm sure many have heard the phrases, "Bull Market Rules Apply" or "Bear Market Rules Apply". I thought today I'd give you two examples of how these "rules" interact with chart patterns. In particular, a previous reverse head and shoulders... READ MORE
First and foremost I am pointing out the new ST Trend Model Neutral signal that arrived today on the NDX. Despite attempting to rally from the recent decline, price was unable to move high enough to prevent this Neutral signal from appearing. Today I discussed with Tom thoughts on whether... READ MORE
The energy sector has been on a bit of a rollercoaster the three months, moving from deep lows in August to a new trading range of large percentage highs and lows. I'm starting to see signs that the trading range is going to be history as price now... READ MORE
Two important signal changes arrived today that you need to know about. First, the Dow Industrials triggered a new ST PMO BUY signal. Talk about a bifurcated market, the NDX gets a PMO SELL signal yesterday and today the Dow continues its parabolic rise and logs a BUY signal. The... READ MORE
Technology fell apart today as money appeared to be rotating out of technology and into financials which had a brilliant day. The PMO was yanked down below its signal line on the NDX. Yesterday, the PMO was rising and price looked strong. What a difference a day can make. Meanwhile,... READ MORE
After today's rallies and big breakouts, it shouldn't surprise anyone that the OEX and SPX finally shed their PMO SELL signals. What is interesting is the Dow's 'laggard' status on triggering a PMO BUY signal. It is the last SELL signal standing.... READ MORE
I have a few DecisionPoint charts that are "must-see" right now. Anytime I look at my ChartLists and a chart smacks me in the face, I always try to share it. Today during the MarketWatchers LIVE show, two of those charts got me and the third, Carl slid... READ MORE
You know you're in trouble when you wake up and find a snarky tweet about the timeliness of a particular signal change. That was the case this morning when I got the tweet about the NDX PMO SELL signal that arrived after the market closed yesterday. Today, the... READ MORE
As promised to the MarketWatchers LIVE viewers and my DecisionPoint Faithful, I am updating you on the latest DP Scoreboard signal change. The NDX's momentum finally deteriorated enough to generate a PMO SELL Signal. The other three indexes (SPX, OEX, INDU) triggered PMO SELL signals earlier this month.... READ MORE
Sentiment charts haven't been all that enlightening with mostly neutral readings. However, we are reaching bearish levels that generally result in a rally. Here's my interpretation of the latest sentiment from the put/call ratios, AAII, NAAIM and Rydex Ratio. What I pointed out in today&... READ MORE
I had this article in the queue yesterday with the headline "S&P 600 Nearing Important Support". Well, it turned out to be a bounce off that support today. Small-caps have been hit hard while most large-cap indexes spent the last month consolidating and moving slightly lower.... READ MORE
Since November 9th, the DP Scoreboards have been quiet. It isn't surprising to see the weakness on these Scoreboards to be short-term momentum given the recent decline. The SPY/SPX have now dropped below rising trend channels, but support remains. With DP indicators looking bearish, we could be... READ MORE
As part of the MarketWatchers LIVE show (airs M-F, 12p-1:30p - You'll find today's recording under the "Webinars" tab), Tom Bowley and I come up with set-ups on Monday. We call the segment "Monday Set-Ups". This segment has an eye toward... READ MORE
Today's decline was enough to push the OEX and Dow PMO BUY signals off the DP Scoreboards. The NDX is still looking good with the PMO actually rising right now. However, if the other indexes continue to decline, it is very likely the NDX will follow suit. Gold... READ MORE
As noted, a new technical alert arrived in my email inbox this afternoon. I was surprised that I didn't receive word of any DP Scoreboard PMO signal changes, but seeing TLT grab an ITTM BUY signal wasn't surprising. I think TLT is at an interesting "... READ MORE
Yes, the PMO BUY signal on the SPX has already disappeared. Unfortunately with the margin so thin between the PMO and its signal line (thousandths of a point), this likely will change again tomorrow if the SPX can close higher. What is interesting...the SPY never managed a PMO BUY... READ MORE
It's official! All four DecisionPoint Scoreboards are on BUY signals in all three timeframes on the PMO and Trend Models. Tom Bowley and I continue to discuss during the MarketWatchers LIVE show about the hurricane force bull market winds. If these Scoreboards don't convince you, I&... READ MORE
I've been expecting a new PMO BUY signal on both the SPX and the OEX. The OEX managed to wrangle the PMO above its signal line, but the SPX is struggling to garner its PMO BUY signal. Big news on Oil! We just got a new Long-Term Trend... READ MORE
I know we all have seen the commercials for the newest or best investment of the decade. Now we are getting emails flooding our inboxes claiming to have an "investment of a lifetime"! I'm not saying that these are traps or always bad, but I can... READ MORE
I promised to inform you when the Swenlin Trading Oscillators bottom in a concerted move to the upside and it happened already today. I pointed out in yesterday's blog article that the Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STOs) were now hitting oversold territory. This is exactly what we want to... READ MORE
The Swenlin Trading Oscillator (STO) is an overbought/oversold indicator that can assist in identifying short-term tops and bottoms. There are two versions, one using advances and declines (STO-B), and one using advancing and declining volume (STO-V). DecisionPoint analysis considers these to be short-term indicators. Right now they are quickly... READ MORE
As I was preparing for today's MarketWatchers LIVE broadcast this morning, Tom asked me to take a look at a handful of large cap breakout charts. The one that jumped out at me was that of Intel Corp (INTC). The chart pattern is worrisome. The recent move from... READ MORE
Just a quick headline! NDX whipsawed back into a PMO BUY signal after two days on a SELL. After today's brilliant move by the technology sector, the PMO was yanked back up above its signal line. This was a beautiful breakout today with a gap up to form... READ MORE
I updated the DecisionPoint Scoreboards yet again today. Yesterday saw the new PMO SELL signals on the NDX and OEX and today the SPX has followed suit by generating its own PMO SELL signal. You'll note that "one of these things is not like the others"... READ MORE
Two important changes occurred on our DP Scoreboards today. The OEX and NDX both logged new PMO SELL signals as their PMOs crossed below their signal lines. I had expected the SPX to follow suit, but by an incredibly thin margin, its PMO BUY signal survived. The SPY wasn'... READ MORE
On Friday, Gold minted a new IT Trend Model Neutral signal, so it isn't surprising to see the opposite occur for the Dollar. Looking at the chart of UUP, there are plenty of bullish characteristics. This new IT Trend Model BUY signal is a great confirmation of the... READ MORE
I recently wrote about Gold in the DecisionPoint blog. We saw the 20-EMA pull out of its decline to keep its ITTM BUY signal. However, the gravitational pull of price after it couldn't hold support at 1300 was too much and the 20-EMA finished just below the 50-EMA... READ MORE
Tom Bowley and I have been talking on MarketWatchers LIVE about sector rotation and how the healthcare sector is getting more "healthy". Today I got confirmation that this sector is back in favor. A PMO BUY signal was generated on both the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) and on the... READ MORE
The short-term rally in large-cap indexes like the SPX, OEX and INDU was not contagious for the S&P 600 or Russell 2000. Below I've annotated their associated ETFs, IJR and IWM to show you the new PMO SELL signals. Although these SELL signals arrived today, a... READ MORE
Teflon rally, perma-rally, overbought rally, irrational exuberance...whatever you call it, our indicators are suggesting at a least pause in the action, if not a pullback. Looking at the DP Scoreboards, we see all green arrows (buy signals) except for the IT PMO signal on the NDX. Although the NDX&... READ MORE
A MarketWatchers LIVE viewer emailed me today and suggested I revisit the Put/Call Ratio chart. Upon recommendation, I did just that and was glad that he pointed it out to me so that I could point it out to you. I'll be talking about it in more... READ MORE
Carl and I have been watching the Gold chart carefully for a likely Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) Neutral Signal. However, with the rally of the last two days, both the 20-EMA and 50-EMA have slowed their descent. A negative 20/50-EMA crossover will trigger that ITTM Neutral signal. Why not... READ MORE
No changes to the DP Scoreboards today, but you can see that every signal is a BUY signal except the IT PMO signal on the NDX. Check out my ChartWatchers article to learn more about why that is the case. Ultra-short-term indicators had pointed to a possible "rally pop&... READ MORE
Today all but the NDX garnered new PMO BUY signals in the intermediate term. The intermediate-term PMO signals are gathered from the weekly chart PMOs and their crossovers. I'll give you a peek at the NDX weekly chart too, but it is much further away from a new... READ MORE
It took the NDX two weeks to a month more to update its Short-Term PMO to a BUY signal in comparison to its peers. The dates underneath the signals on the Scoreboard tell the story of a difficult decline and then rally run for the NDX and technology in general.... READ MORE
Developed by Sherman and Marian McClellan, the McClellan Summation Index is a breadth indicator derived the McClellan Oscillator, which is a breadth indicator based on Net Advances (advancing issues less declining issues). The Summation Index is simply a running total of the McClellan Oscillator values. Even though it is called... READ MORE
No new changes on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards at this time, but we should see the IT PMO signals change on Friday. I was notified by my Technical Alert that weekly PMO crossovers occurred on all but the NDX. These signals will need to stay intact at the end of trading... READ MORE
Wanted to update readers on two new signal changes that triggered after the close today. You'll see that the NDX DecisionPoint Scoreboard has logged yet another change for the NDX. This time a ST Trend Model BUY signal. The NDX triggered an ST Trend Model BUY signal today... READ MORE
Within the past week, we've seen the $NDX beaten up. However, it really has been the result of a few large-cap stocks that have taken the NDX so low. I think this can be most clearly seen when you compare the equal-weight NDX ETF (QQEW) with the $NDX.... READ MORE