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DP Alert: "Missed it By 'That' Much"
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It's clear looking at the NDX Scoreboard that technology has been taking it on the chin. Today, tech titans like Micron (MU), Apple (AAPL) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) had a great day and consequently pushed the NDX upward. It wasn't enough to clear the ST...
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Another BUY Signal Bites the Dust for the NDX - New ITTM SELL Signal for UNG
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The Nasdaq 100 lost its PMO BUY signal on Friday and today it loses its ST Trend Model BUY signal (along with important support!). Natural Gas (UNG) had just picked up an IT Trend Model BUY signal, but it has whipsawed away into an ITTM SELL signal.
Today's...
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Technology Hit Hard, Results in PMO SELL Signal on Nasdaq 100
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
As you can see below, the NDX's steep decline has thrown the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) below its signal line. I don't expect to see similar readings from the other indexes as they haven't been hit as hard as techs on the latest declines....
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Equal-Weight ETFs Log New ITTM BUY Signals
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
DecisionPoint tracks not only the sector SPDRS, but we also follow the equal-weight versions. For more information about the benefits of trading equal-weight ETFs, you can read this article written by Carl. Today is a teachable moment with these three IT Trend Model BUY signals arriving on the same day....
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DP Alert: Short-Term Overbought Conditions Suggest Upcoming Pause/Pullback
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It may seem strange that all of the Scoreboards are green except in the area of intermediate-term PMO signals. A look at the weekly charts for all four indexes reveals all but the NDX weekly PMO are rising up toward IT PMO BUY signals. The margin is still rather large...
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On Fire! Energy, Small- and Mid-Caps, Financials All Trigger ITTM BUY Signals
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The last two days have issued SIX new Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) BUY signals. It shouldn't be a surprise that the Energy SPDR (XLE) and Natural Gas (UNG) triggered given the buzz around that sector last week on MarketWatchers LIVE and headlines on our StockCharts.com Blogs page....
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Who Do You Trust More? Active Money Managers or Individual Investors?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
This week sentiment was mixed. Typically we see the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) exposure index give the same message. However when I pulled up the charts to present during the sentiment segment of MarketWatchers LIVE, I saw the dissonance.
The...
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DP Alert: Market Takes a Pause
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
A day passed with no signal changes for the DP Scoreboards, but also for the SPDRs and their equal-weight counterparts that DecisionPoint follows. The market is taking a short pause. I suspect with options expiration tomorrow, we will see more flat trading though with higher volume.
The purpose of the...
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DP Bulletin: PMO BUY Signal Finally Triggers on $INDU - New PMO Signals TLT, UUP - ITTM BUY Signals IWM, XLP
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Lots of new signals today! Three important PMO signals arrived on the Dow, Bonds (TLT) and Dollar (UUP); not to mention two important Intermediate-Term Trend Model BUY signals on Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP). Feast your eyes on these charts!
First and foremost, I must talk...
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DP Alert: IT Trend Model BUY Signal for equal-weight Industrials ETF (RGI) - Gold & Bonds Pullback
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
No changes to the DP Scoreboards. We're just waiting on the Dow to log a PMO BUY signal. Reviewing the chart of the Dow we can see that a PMO BUY signal should trigger on the next positive close, if not sooner. Today's breakout to new...
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DP Bulletin: Whipsaw ST Trend Model BUY Signal on Dow Industrials ($INDU)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The Dow's 5/20-EMAs have been braiding and unfortunately that causes whipsaw signals. Today saw the recent 9/6 ST Trend Model Neutral signal fall away in favor of a new BUY signal. With the market hitting new all-time highs, this wasn't a surprise to anyone...
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DP Bulletin: USO PMO BUY Signal - UUP PMO SELL Signal - XLF ITTM Neutral Signal
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Signal changes keep coming in with three important new ones today. USO had already logged a new IT Trend Model BUY signal this week and today gets to add a PMO positive crossover BUY signal to the chart. The Dollar has struggled mightily and continues to fall so it was...
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DecisionPoint BULLETIN: New! IT Trend Model BUY for Oil and ST Trend Model Neutral for Dow
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
My email inbox presented two new important signals. First is the Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) BUY signal for USO. We've been watching it as it managed to find support and rallied strongly. Second is the Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) Neutral signal on the Dow Industrials. I've...
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DP Alert: PMO BUY Signals on Scoreboards and SPY - Bonds Break Out, Holding Support
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
A few new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY signals appeared on the DP Scoreboards Thursday and Friday. Friday, the SPY generated a PMO BUY signal as well. You'll note on the charts below the Scoreboards, that these three major indexes had difficult days, but price managed to stay...
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Bearish Sentiment Suggests Market Will Move Higher
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
As I prepared for the MarketWatchers LIVE segment on sentiment today, I was surprised to see investors and money managers are getting very bearish. Put/Call ratios show a bearish bias as well. It is important to remember that sentiment is a "contrarian" indicator. It works a bit...
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Scoreboard Indexes and "Big Four" Monthly Chart Analysis
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It's the last day of the month so all of our monthly charts have "gone final". First, here are the DecisionPoint Scoreboards currently (you can add these to your member dashboard!). You'll note two new Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) BUY signals arrived on the...
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DP Alert: New STTM BUY Signals for Dow and NDX - IT Trend Model SELL Signal on USO
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
As you can see on the DecisionPoint Scoreboard summary, we had two new Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) BUY signals on the Dow and NDX. I've annotated the charts below the Scoreboards. Of particular note on those charts are the breakouts above the declining tops trendlines. The PMO on...
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Is that PMO Overbought or Oversold?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
First, thank you to all of the live MarketWatchers LIVE webinar viewers! You've been making writing my blog articles easy by posing excellent questions in the chat room during the live show. Today's question was how I determine if a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) is overbought...
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DP Alert: Dollar, Gold and Bonds All at a Decision Point
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
No changes to report on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards and based on the charts in the DecisionPoint ChartList (link at top of the DecisionPoint blog page), I only see the Intermediate-Term Trend Model signals nearing Neutral signals on the daily chart. 20-EMAs are steadily dropping toward negative crossovers the 50-EMAs.
The...
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Determining the Health of the Market in the Intermediate and Long Terms
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today was my first day back on the MarketWatchers LIVE show (you'll find the recording under the "Webinars" tab) and it was so much fun to reconnect with all the fans in the chat room and on Twitter. During our "Mailbag" segment, I was...
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DP Alert: SPY Bounces Off Rising Bottoms Support - IT Indicators Reaching Near-Term Oversold Territory
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
After a wonderful wedding and honeymoon, I have finally returned! It took some time to review and update my annotations and I see that we've had quite a few signal changes while I was gone. The market has been meandering lower this month since I left and consequently...
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Erin's Hits: Another PMO Scan for MarketWatchers
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
During the MarketWatchers LIVE program (airs 12:00p - 1:30p EST M/W/F), Tom Bowley and I have started a segment called "Anatomy of a...
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Erin's Hits: Bear Market PMO Scan Screens a Few "Dogs"
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
With the market overbought and ready for at least a pullback, I decided to run one of my bear market Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) scans to see if...
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Erin's Hits: What's the Difference Between an Ascending Wedge and an Ascending Triangle?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
I recently received a question from one of the attendees of yesterday's webinar (recording available here). I was reviewing the charts in our DP Chart Gallery...
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Erin's Hits: 5-EMA/PMO Scan Produces Interesting Short-Term Opportunities
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
With the market bottoming and taking a positive turn, I decided it might be a good time to review the results of one of my favorite and nicely...
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Erin's Hits: PMO + CandleGlance = Smart Money
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
The definition of "Smart Money": Money bet or invested by people with expert knowledge. I won't claim expert knowledge, but the pursuit of getting...
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Erin's Hits: Creating a Workflow ChartList
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
With the release of several DecisionPoint ChartPacks (to learn more about them and how to install them click here), many users have expressed that they are overwhelmed by...
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Erin's Hits: Customizing Gallery View Charts
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
** While Erin is away, we will be posting some of her "greatest hits" educational blogs. Some information may be dated **
One of the features that I used frequently on the DecisionPoint.com website was Gallery View in the ChartTool. I was happy to learn that you can not...
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DP Bulletin: Dow Industrials ($INDU) Trigger PMO SELL Signal
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today the Dow Industrials ($INDU) lost its recent PMO BUY signal from 7/14 and has logged a PMO SELL signal on the DP Scoreboard. The chart is below.
It looks like a short-term double-top in the thumbnail. Support is holding at 21500, but this recent PMO SELL signal and...
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DP Bulletin: NDX Triggers IT PMO BUY Signal - Equal-Weight Consumer Discretionary (RCD) IT Trend Model BUY Signal
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today the Nasdaq 100 Scoreboard turned completely green. Well, it lost the only red arrow it was clinging to on the intermediation-term Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO). The equal-weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD) also triggered a new Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) BUY signal. The charts are below for your review.
With...
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DP Alert: SPY Closes on All-Time High - Utilities ETFs ITTM BUY Signals - PMO BUY Signal on Gold
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
No new changes on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards although I happen to know there is an intermediate-term PMO BUY signal waiting in the wings on the NDX. That signal will not go final until after Friday's trading. Utilities SPDR (XLU) and the equal-weight Utilities ETF (RYU) both garnered IT...
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DP Alert: All-Time Highs Create New Support Level for SPY
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
No new changes to report on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, although if you didn't read about it last Friday, we did see FOUR new PMO BUY signals on all four indexes. The only "red" on the Scoreboards are on the IT PMO signals which are found on...
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DP Bulletin: FOUR New Short-Term PMO BUY Signals on All Scoreboards
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
There were four new Short-Term PMO BUY signals generated on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards today. The new signal summary is below as well as the charts for your review. Have a great weekend!
Helpful DecisionPoint Links:
DecisionPoint Shared ChartList and DecisionPoint Chart Gallery
Trend Models
Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO)
On Balance...
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Update on Sentiment - AAII, NAAIM and Rydex Ratio
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On Fridays during the MarketWatchers LIVE show (12:00p - 1:30p EST), I do a regular segment that checks what weekly sentiment charts are telling us. Three of the best sentiment charts from DecisionPoint are the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) sentiment poll, the National Association of Active...
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DP Alert: Indicators Looking Bullish in Short and Intermediate Terms - XLU Triggers IT Trend Model Neutral Signal
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
No changes on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. They all look the same which might be a little confusing given the bifurcated market we have witnessed over the past few weeks. While most indexes are testing all-time highs, the NDX needs more help and today it couldn't get past the...
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Short-Term Trend Model Whipsaws Plague DecisionPoint Scoreboards
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Yet again, more whipsaw on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. The Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) is highly sensitive given that it is based on 5/20-EMA crossovers. However, the main problem we have is consolidation. Price hit all-time highs, but has continued to meander sideways. This will draw the EMAs together and...
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DP Alert: Rounded Top Concerning - Gold Breaks Through Neckline
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
No new signal changes on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, but we did see three new Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) Neutral signals generate on three different sectors. Utilities, Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples. It's odd to see both Consumer Staples and Discretionary hitting bearish signals, but I think that is...
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DP Bulletin: New IT PMO SELL Signal on NDX - ST Trend Model Neutrals for SPX and OEX
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We have three new signals to report on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards and none of them are good. Momentum was already waning with PMO SELL signals coming in late June, but now we are seeing the destruction of upward price trends. Admittedly, the Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) is based on 5/...
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Short-Term Price Trend Turning Up? Equal-Weight Consumer Staples ETF (RHS) ITTM Neutral Signal
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It happened so fast that I missed it on Monday. Both the SPX and OEX generated ST Trend Model Neutral signals Friday and Monday, but today those signals have already bitten the dust as new ST Trend Model BUY signals came back to roost on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. Those aren&...
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DecisionPoint Bulletin: New PMO SELL Signal on Weekly Chart for SPX
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Price trends may be up, but momentum is clearly down in the in the short and intermediate terms. The NDX escaped a weekly PMO negative crossover SELL signal by only a small amount and that is because techs had a great run over the past month or so. FYI -...
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