Erin Swenlin

Erin Swenlin


Erin launched the DecisionPoint daily blog, specializing in charting and indicators, alongside Carl Swenlin in 2009. She serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at StockCharts. Learn More 

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DP Alert: Signals Galore! New PMO SELL Signals on Dow, Dollar and Bonds - IT Trend Model Neutral on Gold

DP Alert: Signals Galore! New PMO SELL Signals on Dow, Dollar and Bonds - IT Trend Model Neutral on Gold

Today brought a plethora of new DecisionPoint timing signals...all bearish. As far as the DP Scoreboards are concerned, the Dow initiated a PMO SELL signal on the daily chart today. This puts all four indexes on PMO SELL signals. I've included the daily chart of the Dow...   READ MORE 

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One PMO Scan to Rule Them All!

One PMO Scan to Rule Them All!

I love to use the Advanced Scanning Workbench and find it absolutely invaluable in my investment mining process. Every other Monday, I review the PMO scan that I've chosen for the day and use the results to create my "Monday Set-Ups" symbol list. "Monday Set-Ups&...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: NDX Posts New ST Trend Model Neutral Signal - TLT Fake Out Breakout

DP Alert: NDX Posts New ST Trend Model Neutral Signal - TLT Fake Out Breakout

As annotated on the DecisionPoint Scoreboard Summary, the Nasdaq 100 just triggered a new Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) Neutral signal as the 5-EMA crossed below the 20-EMA on the daily chart. Today's breakdown took out support at the May high and closed just below the 50-EMA. The PMO...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: NEW PMO SELL Signals on $OEX and $SPX - TLT Closing the Gap

DP Alert: NEW PMO SELL Signals on $OEX and $SPX - TLT Closing the Gap

The S&P 500 triggered a new PMO SELL signal yesterday at the close. Today, the S&P 100 joined in with its own PMO SELL signal. At this point, the Dow is the only one holding onto a PMO BUY signal, but a quick peek at the...   READ MORE 

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What's Up With Techs? Price

What's Up With Techs? Price

Today on MarketWatchers LIVE (airs M/W/F Noon - 1:30p EST) during the regular market updates, I noticed technology was rallying strongly. If you recall, the Nasdaq has been taking it on the chin more than the other major indexes on declines which is why the NDX is...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Dollar (UUP) ST Trend Model BUY Signal - Oil Hits Last Chance Support

DP Alert: Dollar (UUP) ST Trend Model BUY Signal - Oil Hits Last Chance Support

No new signals yet on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, but with index PMOs in decline, I suspect we will see some more if the bulls can't get a rally to stick. Last Friday, the OEX weekly PMO had a negative crossover SELL signal. The purpose of the DecisionPoint Alert...   READ MORE 

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S&P 100 Flips Back to IT PMO SELL Signal - DP Scoreboard Weekly Charts

S&P 100 Flips Back to IT PMO SELL Signal - DP Scoreboard Weekly Charts

On the last trading day of the week, the DecisionPoint IT Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signals go "final". Today saw a new weekly PMO SELL signal on the OEX. Some may recall that just last Friday the OEX triggered a weekly PMO BUY signal. Don't let...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Gold Triggers PMO SELL Signal

DP Alert: Gold Triggers PMO SELL Signal

No new signal changes to report, but I do want to mention that the PMO for the NDX continues lower with no hesitation. For the other three indexes, the PMO BUY signals are intact, but short-term PMOs are now all declining. The purpose of the DecisionPoint Alert Daily Update is...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Dollar Recovering - Gold and Bonds Lose Favor

DP Alert: Dollar Recovering - Gold and Bonds Lose Favor

Yesterday saw the addition of a PMO SELL signal in the short term (daily chart) for the Nasdaq 100. Interestingly, if you look at the other three, their PMOs have turned up today. Despite a slowing market, Gold has struggled since its unsuccessful test of overhead resistance and now Bonds...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq 100 New PMO SELL Signal - New ITTM BUY Signal for Financial SPDR (XLF)

Nasdaq 100 New PMO SELL Signal - New ITTM BUY Signal for Financial SPDR (XLF)

As the market closed, I received a Technical Alert that the NDX had triggered a PMO SELL signal. Additionally, I received notice that a new Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) BUY signal just occurred today on the Financial SPDR (XLF). I've updated the NDX Scoreboard. It is the first...   READ MORE 

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DP News Bulletin: New Weekly PMO BUY Signal on $OEX

DP News Bulletin: New Weekly PMO BUY Signal on $OEX

As the week closes, we did see one new signal change on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards that I wanted to point out. The S&P 100 (OEX) triggered a new PMO BUY signal on the weekly chart. I wouldn't get overly excited given the PMO has flattened and...   READ MORE 

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Oil Hammered Today - Time for a Bottom?

Oil Hammered Today - Time for a Bottom?

During today's MarketWatchers LIVE Show (12:00 - 1:30p MWF), the big news was the correction on Oil. Oil prices dropped more than 5 percent after the government reported an unexpected increase in crude inventories. After global producers cut inventories, the hope had been that supplies would...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Gold Breaks Above Declining Tops Line Formed in 2012

DP Alert: Gold Breaks Above Declining Tops Line Formed in 2012

The markets have been backing off this week but so far it hasn't shifted any short-term timing signals on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. Gold rallied today and finally hurdled long-term overhead resistance along a declining tops trendline that originally formed in 2012. Price has made numerous attempts at pushing...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 and SPY Trigger New Weekly PMO BUY Signals

S&P 500 and SPY Trigger New Weekly PMO BUY Signals

The S&P 500 garnered a new PMO BUY signal on the weekly chart. Now we have two Scoreboards that are completely green. Technology has been a darling for quite some time so it is no surprise to see the oldest BUY signals residing on its Scoreboard. The two...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Rally Pop! Internal Strength Prevails - S&P 600 (IJR) New ITTM BUY Signal

DP Alert: Rally Pop! Internal Strength Prevails - S&P 600 (IJR) New ITTM BUY Signal

Admittedly I was surprised that the market had just a brilliant day given the very bearish configuration of short-term market indicators. Apparently I should have paid more attention to the short-term buy signals that were produced over the past week or two. The rally brought the S&P 600...   READ MORE 

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Monthly Chart Review - Large Caps, Small Caps, Big Four

Monthly Chart Review - Large Caps, Small Caps, Big Four

It's the last day of the month and consequently time to review the monthly charts that have just gone final. There are some interesting configurations, especially on the Dollar and Bonds which I'll cover later in the blog. I'd like to start first with...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Market Pauses - Indicators Suggest a Bearish Week

DP Alert: Market Pauses - Indicators Suggest a Bearish Week

No new changes to report today. Although we are seeing BUY signals on all of the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, the short-term picture is not that bullish according to our other market indicators. The purpose of the DecisionPoint Alert Daily Update is to quickly review the day's action, internal condition,...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: New PMO BUY Signals on All Four Scoreboards Too Late? - LT Trend Model SELL on Dollar

DP Alert: New PMO BUY Signals on All Four Scoreboards Too Late? - LT Trend Model SELL on Dollar

As noted in the DP Scoreboard Summary below, all four major indexes triggered PMO BUY Signals today as the PMO crossed above its signal line. This certainly confirms the ST Trend Model BUY signals that appeared after yesterday's strong rally. You'll note in their charts below...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: STTM BUY Signals for Dow and OEX - Oil Shoots Higher

DP Alert: STTM BUY Signals for Dow and OEX - Oil Shoots Higher

The market recovery since Wednesday has been remarkable. With this steady rally, last week's bearish signals are being erased. I did mention in yesterday's blog that ST Trend Model signals will whipsaw quite a bit but they do help us to characterize the market in the...   READ MORE 

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Gold's New BUY Signals - SPX Triggers ST Trend Model BUY Signal

Gold's New BUY Signals - SPX Triggers ST Trend Model BUY Signal

I received some very important alerts this afternoon. Gold triggered a new IT Trend Model BUY signal as the 20-EMA crossed above the 50-EMA. In addition, Gold also saw a new PMO BUY signal; and, like the SPX, a new Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) BUY signal was triggered as the...   READ MORE 

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Bearish Signals Continue to Mount

Bearish Signals Continue to Mount

It was a rough finish to the week and it has shaken up the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. Additionally, the Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) generated a Neutral signal on the equal-weight Financials ETF (RYF) and a weekly Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signal popped on the equal-weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RCD). Believe...   READ MORE 

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DP Scoreboards PMO SELL Signals Reflect Big Shift in Momentum

DP Scoreboards PMO SELL Signals Reflect Big Shift in Momentum

You'll likely notice the significant changes to the DP Scoreboards (which you can now find on your member homepage in the drop down in the "Market Movers" box!). A clear shift in momentum is taking place. Yesterday the short-term Price Momentum Oscillators (PMOs) were all rising...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: PMO SELL Signal on Dollar - PMO BUY Signal on Oil

DP Alert: PMO SELL Signal on Dollar - PMO BUY Signal on Oil

No changes to report on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. They remain green in all timeframes (with the exception of the Dow IT PMO SELL signal). I suspect we will see some IT PMO SELL signals this Friday, barring a major rally. The OEX is currently configured for an IT PMO SELL...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: New IT Trend Model NEUTRAL Signal for GOLD

DP Alert: New IT Trend Model NEUTRAL Signal for GOLD

No new changes to the DP Scoreboards to report...except that you can now find the DP Scoreboards on your member homepage! I'll be writing about how to quickly access it in tomorrow's blog. While everything remains green on most of the boards, I did note...   READ MORE 

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Catching Up with Small- and Mid-Cap ETFs (IJH, IJR, IWM)

Catching Up with Small- and Mid-Cap ETFs (IJH, IJR, IWM)

I realized that I haven't really reviewed the small and mid-cap ETFs in some time. You'll find these charts in the DecisionPoint LIVE shared ChartList if you want to keep an eye on them with my annotations. The chart patterns for these ETFs aren't...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Indicators Mixed but Leaning Bullish - Record Lows for VIX

DP Alert: Indicators Mixed but Leaning Bullish - Record Lows for VIX

The DP Scoreboards continue to show bullishness in all three time frames as far as price trends and momentum. The only outcast is the Dow which is still waiting on the weekly PMO to have a positive crossover. Unfortunately, the PMO on the weekly chart is still in decline. It...   READ MORE 

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Whipsaw Intermediate-Term PMO BUY Signals on SPX and OEX

Whipsaw Intermediate-Term PMO BUY Signals on SPX and OEX

I had already figured out what I would write about in today's ChartWatchers article, but that was put on hold when I received a Technical Alert in my email box telling me that we had IT Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signal changes on both the S&P...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Flat Trading - USO Crash - Gold Correcting

DP Alert: Flat Trading - USO Crash - Gold Correcting

The market hasn't really done much this week which is keeping the DP Scoreboards in a holding pattern. I've been getting regular 'technical alerts' that the OEX IT Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) signal has changed, meaning that whipsaw is happening daily. We won'...   READ MORE 

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Another PMO Scan - Got You Covered MarketWatchers LIVE Fans!

Another PMO Scan - Got You Covered MarketWatchers LIVE Fans!

During the MarketWatchers LIVE program (airs 12:00p - 1:30p EST M/W/F), Tom Bowley and I have started a segment called "Anatomy of a Trade" where we go through our process for identifying investment prospects. I use Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) scans to start every...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Resistance Hit and Held - Energy Sector LT SELL Signals

DP Alert: Resistance Hit and Held - Energy Sector LT SELL Signals

No new changes to report on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards (found in the DecisionPoint Chart Gallery link on the homepage). The market has hit overhead resistance at all-time highs and is struggling to overcome. Meanwhile the defensive Energy Sector just logged LT Trend Model SELL signals, effectively moving them into an...   READ MORE 

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Singapore ETF (EWS) Breaks Out - Upside Potential

Singapore ETF (EWS) Breaks Out - Upside Potential

During today's MarketWatchers LIVE show (Tune in MWF 12:00-1:30p EST) Tom Bowley and I looked at "Monday Set-Ups". Check the MarketWatchers Recap here to see the list. I found the Singapore ETF (EWS) through a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) Scan that I like to...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Market Pausing - Calm Before the Storm?

DP Alert: Market Pausing - Calm Before the Storm?

The short term remains bullish in terms of the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. The long term also is showing all bullish BUY signals. Momentum looks to be a problem in the intermediate term. The SELL signals on all but the NDX come from the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) on the weekly chart....   READ MORE 

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S&P 100 Joins the Gang with a New PMO BUY Signal

S&P 100 Joins the Gang with a New PMO BUY Signal

The DecisionPoint Scoreboards have been flipping out! I mean the signals are flipping quickly on all of the Boards! I wrote about the five signal changes we got yesterday in the DP Alert article here. The short term picture is very bullish with all four major indexes showing "green&...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: New Signals on DP Scoreboards - Market Follows-Through on Rally

DP Alert: New Signals on DP Scoreboards - Market Follows-Through on Rally

We already saw some shake up on the DP Scoreboards on Friday with the new intermediate-term PMO SELL signals on all but the NDX. With the recent rally, we are now seeing the Scoreboards flip back to bullish in the short term. The S&P 100 is a hair...   READ MORE 

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Three New IT PMO SELL Signals on DecisionPoint Scoreboards!

Three New IT PMO SELL Signals on DecisionPoint Scoreboards!

We had three new signal changes hit the DecisionPoint Scoreboards on Friday (4/21). When I reviewed the weekly charts on Friday, I noted that the Price Momentum Oscillators (PMOs) had finally crossed below their signal lines on all but the NDX (which retains its current BUY signal). One positive...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: New ST Trend Model BUY for NDX - Gold Pulls Back

DP Alert: New ST Trend Model BUY for NDX - Gold Pulls Back

Today the Nasdaq 100 triggered a new Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) BUY signal. This replaces a Neutral signal from exactly one week ago. In the thumbnail of the chart below the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, you can that the Neutral signal was the victim of whipsaw. I've been bearish on...   READ MORE 

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Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) Shows Promise

Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) Shows Promise

During today's MarketWatchers LIVE show (12:00p - 1:30p EST MWF), Tom will review and annotate ten charts in ten minutes at ten minutes to one. We call it the "Ten in Ten to One". One of the first charts he reviewed was Ionis Pharmaceuticals...   READ MORE 

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DP Alert: Indicators Turn South - UUP New PMO SELL Signal

DP Alert: Indicators Turn South - UUP New PMO SELL Signal

A look at the DecisionPoint Scoreboards reminds us that the short term is weak. Don't be fooled by the IT PMO BUY signals on the boards right now, I happen to know we have negative crossovers showing up on the weekly charts for three of these indexes. It&...   READ MORE 

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Possible Selling Exhaustion Lining Up on Breadth and VIX Indicators

Possible Selling Exhaustion Lining Up on Breadth and VIX Indicators

Tom Bowley and I host the MarketWatchers LIVE webcast M/W/F 12:00p - 1:30p EST. During Monday's second market update, I like to review the DecisionPoint indicators to look at indicator expectations for the week. The chart that really stood out to me was the...   READ MORE 

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Scoreboard Weekly PMO SELL Signals Approaching Fast!

Scoreboard Weekly PMO SELL Signals Approaching Fast!

One look at the DP Scoreboards and it is apparent there are problems in the short term. It appears that the intermediate term is sitting comfortably on BUY signals. That is true for the IT Trend Models (20/50-EMA crossover signals on daily chart), but momentum had already starting waining...   READ MORE