Erin Swenlin

Erin Swenlin


Erin launched the DecisionPoint daily blog, specializing in charting and indicators, alongside Carl Swenlin in 2009. She serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at StockCharts. Learn More 

Archived News

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Market/Sector Summary Getting Bullish - Minus Lagging Technology SPDR (XLK)

Market/Sector Summary Getting Bullish - Minus Lagging Technology SPDR (XLK)

With the post-election rally continuing to march ahead, only a few sectors are lagging; the majority, however, are moving to Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) BUY Signals. BUY signals are triggered when the 20-EMA crosses above the 50-EMA. The Market/Sector Summary posture table is located in the DP Reports blog...   READ MORE 

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Dow Smashes Records, But Where's the Nasdaq 100?

Dow Smashes Records, But Where's the Nasdaq 100?

This week has been volatile for the market and the country. After Dow Futures were down well over 5% and even 8% at one point Tuesday night, the Dow surprised everyone with a solid rally on Wednesday. Today that rally was followed by a breakout to new all-time highs. The...   READ MORE 

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What Does the Presidential Election Cycle Tell Us?

What Does the Presidential Election Cycle Tell Us?

Technical analysis is a vast discipline that covers many different analysis processes. Through my continuing studies, I remembered reading about the "Presidential Election Cycle" and its effect on the markets. I thought this was a timely article given today is voting day. In this article I'll...   READ MORE 

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NDX at Breaking Point

NDX at Breaking Point

If you look at the DP Scoreboards by themselves, you would note that the NDX appears to have internal strength given that two July BUY signals are still intact in the intermediate term. However, a look at the charts reveals those signals are about to break. The Intermediate-Term Trend Model...   READ MORE 

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Big Box Costco (COST) and Big Coffee Starbucks (SBUX) in Big Trouble

Big Box Costco (COST) and Big Coffee Starbucks (SBUX) in Big Trouble

With major support being broken on the SPY (see today's DP Alert blog article for more on the SPY), I decided to run my "dogs" scan. It picks up S&P 500 stocks that have a negative Trend Model configuration (20-EMA < 50-EMA < 200-EMA)...   READ MORE 

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IWM Breaks Below Important Support

IWM Breaks Below Important Support

In Perry Kaufman's book, Trading Systems and Methods, he discusses a relationship between small-caps and large-caps: "Investors shift from small-cap stocks to the S&P 500 and then to the Dow when they are looking for safety." A quick comparison of the daily charts of...   READ MORE 

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Gold Recovering Short Term - New Oversold PMO BUY Signal Encouraging

Gold Recovering Short Term - New Oversold PMO BUY Signal Encouraging

Interestingly, Gold has put in a short-term bottom and has held onto it even through the Dollar's magnificent rally. This shows there is likely short-term internal strength and this current support could hold. There are still plenty of obstacles for Gold in the longer term as you'...   READ MORE 

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March Intermediate-Term BUY Signals Abort

March Intermediate-Term BUY Signals Abort

The DecisionPoint Scoreboards had significant changes this week. Note the difference between last Friday's DP Scoreboard and today's. Scoreboards went from very bullish to very bearish in one week. The intermediate-term BUY signals that were replaced on the SPX and OEX had been in place since...   READ MORE 

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New Intermediate-Term Trend Model Neutral Signal Triggers on SPX

New Intermediate-Term Trend Model Neutral Signal Triggers on SPX

The DecisionPoint Scoreboards have been flipping out. Whipsaw has wreaked havoc on the Short-Term Trend Models (STTMs) and Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO). However, today's signal change is from the Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM). Whipsaw isn't out of the question, but typically it doesn't happen...   READ MORE 

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New Long-TermTrend Model BUY Signal for Natural Gas (UNG)

New Long-TermTrend Model BUY Signal for Natural Gas (UNG)

I recently received a request from a webinar viewer to make a comparison between Natural Gas (UNG) and US Oil Fund (USO). As I pulled up the daily chart for UNG, I noted a very important signal. The 50-EMA just crossed above the 200-EMA! This triggers a Long-Term Trend Model...   READ MORE 

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Technical Alerts Go Hand in Hand with DP Scoreboards

Technical Alerts Go Hand in Hand with DP Scoreboards

In Tuesday's blog, "YOU to Can Create DP Scoreboards - Visually Stunning", I explained to you how to find the signals on the charts to create your own DP Scoreboards like the ones located in the DP Chart Galleries. The questions that followed were how to...   READ MORE 

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YOU Too Can Create Your Own DecisionPoint Scoreboards - Visually Stunning

YOU Too Can Create Your Own DecisionPoint Scoreboards - Visually Stunning

Since the DecisionPoint Scoreboards launched over a year ago, they have been wildly popular. The most current Scoreboards are below. Each of the four Scoreboards headline each index's Chart Gallery. These Scoreboards provide a very quick visual look at what the current trends and momentum readings are in...   READ MORE 

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New Long-Term PMO BUY Signal for $TSX

New Long-Term PMO BUY Signal for $TSX

Hopefully I won't be stepping on Greg Schnell's Canadian toes, but as I was going through charts from last Wednesday's webinar, I saw that $TSX just had a new LONG-TERM Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY Signal. These are incredibly infrequent; for the last twenty...   READ MORE 

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TLT Illustrates the Profitable Marriage of the PMO and the SCTR

TLT Illustrates the Profitable Marriage of the PMO and the SCTR

I loved ChartCon 2016 for many reasons, chief among them was education--the education of you and me. Our education is inevitable when you can network with or watch John Murphy, Martin Pring, Greg Morris, Arthur Hill...and so on! Greg Schnell is another "tech titan" who presented at...   READ MORE 

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Thrust/Trend Model Chart Warns of More Decline

Thrust/Trend Model Chart Warns of More Decline

A comment on a recent DecisionPoint Alert blog article prompted me to review the Thrust/Trend Model indicator chart. During Friday's webinar I brushed over it as time was quickly disappearing. I promised to go over it in more detail in my ChartWatchers article. So here we go!...   READ MORE 

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Why I'm a ChartWatcher

Why I'm a ChartWatcher

It happened all in the same day. I was talking to my dad, Carl Swenlin exclaiming how I think I'm "chart pattern crazy". Then, I received a chart via email from one of my "DecisionPoint Report" webinar viewers. He actually sent the chart to...   READ MORE 

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Using DecisionPoint Timing Signals to Improve your Portfolio

Using DecisionPoint Timing Signals to Improve your Portfolio

If today's blog title is enticing, then you definitely should consider signing up for ChartCon 2016 - September 23/24. This is the title of my presentation. Obviously, I don't have the time or space to write about this in detail, but I did want to...   READ MORE 

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A Trip to Financial Sense

A Trip to Financial Sense

I was recently interviewed on FinancialSense.com regarding the DecisionPoint outlook in the short, intermediate and long terms. What seemed to get the most notice was that I said that it wasn't out of the question that we could be preparing for a new bull market leg. Admittedly,...   READ MORE 

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Rydex Cashflow and NAAIM Chart Suggest Market Liquidity

Rydex Cashflow and NAAIM Chart Suggest Market Liquidity

Liquidity can be equated to the availability of money. In terms of the market, when there is money on the sidelines, it is available for investing and could boost the market when/if it is invested. There are many measures, but I like using the Rydex Cashflow Ratio chart as...   READ MORE 

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Natural Gas ETF (UNG) Lights Up and Triggers PMO BUY Signal

Natural Gas ETF (UNG) Lights Up and Triggers PMO BUY Signal

Oil has been enjoying a strong rally. I wrote about a possible bull flag forming on Oil in today's DecisionPoint Alert blog that you may want to review. Natural gas, on the other hand, has not had the advantages that Oil has had. However, it may be lighting...   READ MORE 

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Small-Cap ETFs Reveal Bullish Bias

Small-Cap ETFs Reveal Bullish Bias

An increase in bullishness on small-cap stocks is needed to support a new bull market move. Small-cap participation or better yet, small-cap leadership can help determine the health of the market in general. While reviewing the small-cap ETFs in the DecisionPoint LIVE public ChartList, I noticed some bullish characteristics, especially...   READ MORE 

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NDX New PMO SELL Signal

NDX New PMO SELL Signal

The DecisionPoint Scoreboards have been quiet since the beginning of the month when we saw the OEX, SPX and Dow all switch to short-term Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signals. The NDX which has been enjoying a steep rally, has stalled. In so doing, momentum switched negative and hence the...   READ MORE 

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Technology ETF (XLK) Ready for a Pullback

Technology ETF (XLK) Ready for a Pullback

While reviewing the DecisionPoint Market/Sector Summary today, I noticed the Technology SPDR (XLK) triggered a new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signal. When I get these "attention flags", I immediately want to check out the chart. XLK's daily chart shows a distinct rounded top formation...   READ MORE 

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Rydex Assets Question - New DecisionPoint LIVE ChartList

Rydex Assets Question - New DecisionPoint LIVE ChartList

StockCharts.com members got a sneak peek yesterday at the new DecisionPoint LIVE Public ChartList. There you will find all of the charts that I analyze during my webinars. They will be updated prior to my webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays. Additionally, I'll include a Chart Spotlight or...   READ MORE 

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No Manure - Agribusiness ETF (MOO) Corralled Using DP ETF Tracker

No Manure - Agribusiness ETF (MOO) Corralled Using DP ETF Tracker

DecisionPoint Reports are created everyday but not many know how to use them to quickly find investments. While reviewing the ETF Tracker spreadsheet, I realized there were some interesting attention flags. Let me enlighten you on a very underused investment tool available to members. While Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) scans...   READ MORE 

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Three New DP Scoreboard PMO SELL Signals

Three New DP Scoreboard PMO SELL Signals

As you can see on the DP Scoreboards, this week has brought three new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signals to the Dow, SPX and today, OEX. The question is whether this spells DOOM for all. "Doom" is likely too strong an adjective to describe what is being...   READ MORE 

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Monthly PMO SELL Signals Vulnerable?

Monthly PMO SELL Signals Vulnerable?

The DecisionPoint Scoreboards stopped changing on July 8th as the final BUY signal was added to the Nasdaq 100's Scoreboard. The question is how much longer before the other four SELL signals are erased? The Long-Term Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) Signal is generated on the monthly charts which...   READ MORE 

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Topping or Pausing?

Topping or Pausing?

One look at the DecisionPoint Scoreboards and a review of the DP Market/Sector Summary and you'll see the plethora of BUY signals and green paint. Yet the market is traveling sideways and has been for 12 days. Should we expect an upside break or downside break? Read...   READ MORE 

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Nasdaq 100 Catching Up to All-Time Highs - What Could This Mean for Market?

Nasdaq 100 Catching Up to All-Time Highs - What Could This Mean for Market?

The Nasdaq 100 has been running toward its all-time highs while the S&P 500 already surpassed its all-time high a few weeks ago. The SPX has been consolidating sideways and rounding ever since the breakout; whereas, the NDX continued to stretch upward. It's visible more clearly...   READ MORE 

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Halfway to Bond Timer of the Year

Halfway to Bond Timer of the Year

DecisionPoint timing models are tracked by Timer Digest, a professional journal for technical analysis timing. Per their website, "Timer Digest monitors over 100 of the nations leading market timing models, ranking the top stock, bond, and gold timers according to the performance of their recommendations over the previous 52...   READ MORE 

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Long-Term Cycle Chart Suggests Higher Prices

Long-Term Cycle Chart Suggests Higher Prices

Let me first profess that I am not an avid follower of cycle charts. They generally take too much tinkering for my taste as they never quite fit over the long haul. However, as I was flipping through some of my longer-term charts, I ran into a chart I created...   READ MORE 

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Pay Attention to Price Momentum Oscillator Ranges!

Pay Attention to Price Momentum Oscillator Ranges!

The Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) is mostly bounded oscillator. The PMO can be calculated for any stock, index, ETF, etc. Interestingly, each of them have their own "normal" ranges. The PMO is particularly useful in determining overbought and oversold conditions, but you can many times be fooled as...   READ MORE 

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Market Looking Toppy - Short-Term Indicators Confirm

Market Looking Toppy - Short-Term Indicators Confirm

There is no denying it, the market experienced an amazing rally this past week after the waterfall correction initiated by Brexit. Now prices are where they were before the landmark vote. The question is whether this rally will persist now that price is reaching strong overhead resistance once again. Looking...   READ MORE 

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On Balance Volume Indicator Suite - SPY v. NDX

On Balance Volume Indicator Suite - SPY v. NDX

The free DecisionPoint Market Indicator (DPMI) ChartPack includes numerous indicator sets for major indexes and sectors. Today I'm concentrating on the On Balance Volume indicator set which is made up of the Climactic Volume Indicator (CVI), Short-Term Volume Oscillator (STVO) and the Volume Trend Oscillator (VTO). Generally, I...   READ MORE 

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Buying Exhaustion Likely

Buying Exhaustion Likely

Today's rally was impressive after three days of consolidation, but indicators suggest it won't last. Below I've annotated ultra-short-term and short-term indicator charts for the S&P 500. See if you agree with my conclusion. Reading ultra-short-term indicator charts can be tricky. First,...   READ MORE 

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Cincinnati Bell (CBB) Revisited

Cincinnati Bell (CBB) Revisited

I wrote an article on Cincinnati Bell (CBB) at the end of May. I stated back then that a move to $4.00 was likely. The Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) had bottomed but had yet to deliver a BUY signal. Since then CBB has gone through a few changes. The...   READ MORE 

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PMO SELL Signal Triggers on S&P 600 ($SML)

PMO SELL Signal Triggers on S&P 600 ($SML)

We saw on Tuesday four new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signals on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards which I wrote about in Tuesday's article. It isn't surprising to see Small Caps share a similar fate. I've annotated the new PMO SELL signal on the daily...   READ MORE 

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Decline Shakes Up the DP Scoreboards

Decline Shakes Up the DP Scoreboards

Nearly all of the short-term BUY signals on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards (found in the DP Chart Gallery) were lost today. It is a result of the rather steep decline yanking 5-EMAs and Price Momentum Oscillators (PMOs) downward. However, they have arrived just as the indexes have landed close to support...   READ MORE 

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TLT Hits New All-Time High - More to Come?

TLT Hits New All-Time High - More to Come?

Yesterday it appeared that TLT had formed a reverse island formation. However, with the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) on a BUY signal, the SCTR with a healthy 75+ reading and an OBV line trending higher, I knew it wasn't a good fit. I suggested it might be a...   READ MORE 

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Only Sector with Declining Momentum is... the Financial (XLF, RYF) Sector

Only Sector with Declining Momentum is... the Financial (XLF, RYF) Sector

I have been watching the DecisionPoint Market/Sector Summary Daily Report (located in the "DP Reports" blog) closely, actually, one table in particular. The "PMO Crossover Signals" table identifies whether a particular sector is on a Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) BUY or SELL Signal. You'...   READ MORE