Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer


Julius is the creator of Relative Rotation Graphsâ„¢. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities was first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in 2011 and released on StockCharts in 2014. Learn More 

Archived News

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A Review of the RRG L/S Baskets

A Review of the RRG L/S Baskets

Earlier today in Sector Spotlight, I discussed the various stocks inside the Long/Short baskets as I show them from time to time. The two RRGs above show both baskets as they currently are after the updates in Sector Spotlight. Long On the Long side, I removed EBAY and replaced...   READ MORE 

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A Battle for Breadth on Relative Rotation Graphs

A Battle for Breadth on Relative Rotation Graphs

This past Thursday, I was one of the guest hosts to fill in for David Keller on The Final Bar, as Dave was enjoying a week off. Of course I brought RRG to the show, but I also wanted to add a bit of educational content on how to use...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: 8 Sectors at New Closing Highs

Sector Spotlight: 8 Sectors at New Closing Highs

It is the last Tuesday of the month, and that means looking at seasonality! In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, it's time to go over some monthly charts! As usual, Julius brings two batches of monthly charts to the show: one for Asset Classes,...   READ MORE 

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Over 90% of "The Market" is in an Uptrend

Over 90% of "The Market" is in an Uptrend

Every first Tuesday of the month, I look at Asset Classes and Sectors' developments using monthly charts. This start-of-the-month routine keeps me on track of the longer-term developments in terms of price trends. Yes, Relative Rotation Graphs are all about relative trends and relative strength. And I consider that...   READ MORE 

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US Moving Towards Leading Quadrant vs. the World..... oh, and Canada Too

US Moving Towards Leading Quadrant vs. the World..... oh, and Canada Too

With the S&P 500 jumping to new highs, it's interesting to see how that impacts the position and the rotation of the US vs. the rest of the world. The RRG above visualizes that. The highlighted area shows both the S&P and the Candian...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Tech is a Drag

Sector Spotlight: Tech is a Drag

It is the last Tuesday of the month, and that means looking at seasonality! In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after an overview of last week's rotations and performances for asset classes and sectors, I bring up his 3-D visualization for sector seasonality and...   READ MORE 

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Comm is Da Bomb

Comm is Da Bomb

The seasonal trends for sectors vs. the S&P 500 going into April show many 50/50 odds for out- or underperformance. But the two sectors that stand out are interesting and important ones. Seasonality for Communication services shows that this sector outperformed 67% of the time in April...   READ MORE 

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Tech Is a Drag

Tech Is a Drag

There is no doubt about it; Tech(nology) is an important sector. As a matter of fact, it is a crucial sector. At 26% weight inside the S&P 500 index, technology is twice as big as the next biggest sector -- Health Care at 13% -- and number...   READ MORE 

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Is the Dow Theory Sending Us a Message?

Is the Dow Theory Sending Us a Message?

The Dow theory is more than 100 years old, but still holds value today. Sometimes simple things can help you paint a clearer picture for yourself. One of the principles of the Dow Theory is that "Indices Must Confirm Each Other." Basically, this means that signals or trends...   READ MORE 

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Taking FB and FCX from The RRG L/S Basket

Taking FB and FCX from The RRG L/S Basket

The two RRGs above show the long positions in the RRG L/S basket on the left and the short positions on the right. Going over these rotations, combined with the recent performance (dropping around 4% in a few days), two tails stood out. On the long side, we have...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Rising Real Estate

Sector Spotlight: Rising Real Estate

Last week, I spent a lot of time on answering a question from the mailbag. This week is all about charts! In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I starting with a look back at the rotations as they unfolded in various asset classes and US sectors....   READ MORE 

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Real Nice Stocks in the Real Estate Sector

Real Nice Stocks in the Real Estate Sector

Every last Tuesday of the month in Sector Spotlight, I review the seasonality for US sectors and try to match the historical performance with the current performance as it is playing out on the Relative Rotation Graph. For March (see episode 68, "Seasonal Surprise for XLRE"), the Real...   READ MORE 

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HD Popping From Consolidation and TRV Pushing to New High

HD Popping From Consolidation and TRV Pushing to New High

I started at the Market movers (%up) widget for Dow Jones stocks on my dashboard for today's chart(s). When I requested the RRG for these ten stocks, the RRG below showed up. These then stocks are all moving higher today, but their relative trends differ significantly, as...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: A Scan and a Trading Plan

Sector Spotlight: A Scan and a Trading Plan

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I begin with a quick look at last week's rotations in asset classes and sectors. Then, I look into the RRG mailbag and present in-depth discussion of a recent 3-part question that came in. All three elements that...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Sector Rotating Back Towards Leading; the Equal Weight Sector, That Is...

Consumer Discretionary Sector Rotating Back Towards Leading; the Equal Weight Sector, That Is...

The Equal Weight version of the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows an interesting divergence in rotation for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Two weeks ago, 3/2, I showed the RRG for small-cap sectors and analyzed the discrepancies between the small-cap and the large-cap sector rotations. Here also, the...   READ MORE 

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The Name is Value, Growth to Value....

The Name is Value, Growth to Value....

The Growth/Value relationship is always interesting to keep an eye on -- but even more so recently. For a long period of time, roughly from late 2018 until Q3 2020, Growth stocks were beating Value hands down. The chart above shows the Growth/Value relationship in the big pane...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: USD Strength and Tech Weakness

Sector Spotlight: USD Strength and Tech Weakness

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with a look at what happened last week in terms of rotation for asset classes and sectors. After that, I put these rotations in longer-term perspective using weekly charts and Relative Rotation Graphs while overlaying the 12-month rolling...   READ MORE 

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KTB Holds while SLY, SPY and PSCD Drop

KTB Holds while SLY, SPY and PSCD Drop

Recently, I have been talking and writing about small-cap sectors and especially how the small cap segment in the consumer discretionary sector, the PSCD ETF, is currently diverging from its large cap counterpart, XLY. For this article I have collected the top 50 members in PSCD (Invesco), and there are...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Small Caps Secret Message

Sector Spotlight: Small Caps Secret Message

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I go over the rotations for asset classes and sectors as they were traced out last week. While talking about the short-term rotations, I bring in the weekly RRGs and charts to find matching and therefore more reliable trends. After...   READ MORE 

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Playing Consumer Discretionary Through PSCD

Playing Consumer Discretionary Through PSCD

In my article for last weekend's ChartWatchers newsletter, I wrote about a set of ETFs representing small-cap sectors and how they can be used in a Relative Rotation Graph. I also talk about it in this week's episode of Sector Spotlight. The crux is that looking...   READ MORE 

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When the Tails are Diverging, Opportunities Arise

When the Tails are Diverging, Opportunities Arise

Last week, Friday 2/19, Tom Bowley invited me to be his guest in a webinar he did with EarningsBeats.com. Of course, I talked about RRG in general and we applied it to international markets, crypto-currencies and US sectors. All good fun. After I presented my bit on sectors...   READ MORE 

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Value Small Caps Are Breaking to New Highs

Value Small Caps Are Breaking to New Highs

One of the predefined RRGs allows you to bring up a universe of growth, value and size indexes, and this can help you to spot how the various parts of the market are positioned against each other and how they are rotating. Ths small RRG shows the tail of the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Surprise for XLRE

Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Surprise for XLRE

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, since it's the last Tuesday of the month, I dive into the seasonal outlook for the month(s) ahead. Communication Services seems on track with its current rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph. But a surprise could be...   READ MORE 

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Communication Services on Seasonal Track

Communication Services on Seasonal Track

Looking at the 3-D seasonality chart above, most of the sectors have a 50/50 history of outperforming SPY in the coming month of March. Both Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary are showing an upcoming string of months that are historically strong for them. XLC starts with 62% in March,...   READ MORE 

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WAB Triggers Turtle Soup Buy Setup

WAB Triggers Turtle Soup Buy Setup

One of the BIG improvements or advantages in ACP is the fact that I can run a scan in the side-bar, then immediately click on the symbol to bring up the chart. One of the scans that I use frequently is the 'Turtle Soup" scan on intraday data....   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: This Bull Has Legs to Run

Sector Spotlight: This Bull Has Legs to Run

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after a review of last week's rotations in asset classes and sectors, I take a deep dive into the Sector Rotation Model, bringing together all different elements of the Sector Rotation Model using Relative Rotation Graphs to gauge...   READ MORE 

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Using RRG to Find a Match Between Theory and Reality

Using RRG to Find a Match Between Theory and Reality

This article appeared in last weekend's ChartWatchers newsletter with the title "Sector Rotation Model Suggests Bull Market in Stocks Ongoing". As I feel that it is one of the more important/better articles showing how to use Relative Rotation Graphs in combination with other analysis techniques,...   READ MORE 

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Sector Rotation Model Suggests Bull Market in Stocks Ongoing

Sector Rotation Model Suggests Bull Market in Stocks Ongoing

From time to time, I like to check the macro environment and try to see if I can find meaningful clues to draw conclusions from generally accepted theories/models. The Sector Rotation Model (From Sam Stovall's guide to sector rotation) is one of those models that I like...   READ MORE 

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These Two Relationships Point to Ongoing Strength for Stocks

These Two Relationships Point to Ongoing Strength for Stocks

The RRG above shows the rotations for two relationships that can help you get a handle for the market as a whole: * Growth vs Value: Generally, when growth stocks are doing well and outperforming value, that is good for the market - whereas, vice versa, when value stocks are outperforming...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Three Sectors That Will Drive SPY Higher

Sector Spotlight: Three Sectors That Will Drive SPY Higher

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I walk you through the current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs. On the weekly RRG for sectors, I note three that are rotating back into the leading quadrant. And when these sectors are outperforming,...   READ MORE 

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Rebalancing a Portfolio is Important

Rebalancing a Portfolio is Important

Good money management can help you a great deal in managing portfolios. Rebalancing is a very important part of that discipline. In this article, I am reviewing the current RRG Long/Short basket, replacing XLB and FTI with EBAY and MSFT while at the same time bringing all positions back...   READ MORE 

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EBAY Popping to New High and Unlocking More Upside Potential

EBAY Popping to New High and Unlocking More Upside Potential

One of my routines to gauge the current market action is to start at the StockCharts.com Dashboard and take a look at the Market Movers - Most Active for the S&P 500. The link at the bottom left of that widget allows me to open up the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Stealth Rotation for Healthcare

Sector Spotlight: Stealth Rotation for Healthcare

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I attack the monthly charts to monitor the long-term trends that are in play. With this knowledge, I then build this into a "view" using the investment pyramid that covers the market from asset classes all the way...   READ MORE 

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US Stocks are Lagging the World, and a Clear Preference for Short-Dated Bonds

US Stocks are Lagging the World, and a Clear Preference for Short-Dated Bonds

In today's episode of Sector Spotlight, I cover, or at least try to, the complete investment landscape from asset allocation, all the way down to stocks at sector level. With the monthly bars for January just completed, I stuck to my guns, looking at the long-term trends on...   READ MORE 

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Finding Winners in a Pool of Mud

Finding Winners in a Pool of Mud

At the start of this week in my weekly StockCharts TV show Sector Spotlight, I discussed the re-emerging strength of Consumer Discretionary and Technology stocks. In the second half of the week, markets started to shift a bit and, as usual, the question is whether this down move, which we...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: AMZN Ready to Lead Rotation

Sector Spotlight: AMZN Ready to Lead Rotation

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at current rotations in asset classes and sectors and highlight some changes in relative movements against the S&P 500 index. After the break, I bring up my 3-D visualization of (sector) seasonality and see if any...   READ MORE 

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(Big) Tech is Back on Track

(Big) Tech is Back on Track

The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows an interesting clustering of sectors close to the benchmark at the start of this week. I have highlighted this cluster in the RRG above. The chart below zooms in on those three sectors that are more or less overlaid on each other...   READ MORE 

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Breaking the Dow(n)... in Theory

Breaking the Dow(n)... in Theory

The most widely followed Dow Jones index is the Dow Jones Industrials Average. But, in reality, this is only one of three averages that make up the Dow Jones Composite average. The other two are the Dow Jones Transportation and the Dow Jones Utility averages. The RRG above shows the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Core Satellite Approach with RRG

Sector Spotlight: Core Satellite Approach with RRG

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the rotations of last week and zoom in on a few sectors to put things in a slightly longer perspective. After the break, I answer two questions from the mailbag, explaining how you can find the symbols covering...   READ MORE 

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RRG Basket Update: Swapping SEE & INTC for EWC & COST

RRG Basket Update: Swapping SEE & INTC for EWC & COST

In today's episode of Sector Spotlight, I promised, time permitting, to have at least one change in the RRG L/S basket that I am maintaining in the show and my blogs. Obviously, time did not permit me to cover it during the show, so I am writing...   READ MORE