Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer


Julius is a CMT and the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in 2011 and later on StockCharts in 2014. Learn More 

Archived News

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Recap of Long/Short Baskets, adding CRM (+) and SWKS (-)

Recap of Long/Short Baskets, adding CRM (+) and SWKS (-)

In today's episode of Sector Spotlight, I did a full review of all stocks that we are monitoring in the RRG L/S baskets. Both baskets (Long and Short) with the stocks on watch are shown in the RRGs above; the members of the Long basket are on...   READ MORE 

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The Big Turnaround in Commodities Continues, Favoring Energy and Agricultural

The Big Turnaround in Commodities Continues, Favoring Energy and Agricultural

The improvement of commodities started already back in early 2020. Looking at long-term (monthly) charts, that rally seems like one straight move higher. This chart shows $GNX and GSG stacked on top of each other. ($GNX is the S&P GSCI Commodity Index and GSG is the iShares S&...   READ MORE 

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This Health Care Provider is Ready to Pop

This Health Care Provider is Ready to Pop

In this week's episode of Sector Spotlight, I discussed the outlook for the Health Care sector based on the current alignment of the rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph and the seasonal expectation for the sector. Over the last 20 years, the Health Care sector outperformed the S&...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: It's Healthcare Season

Sector Spotlight: It's Healthcare Season

On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for the first Tuesday of the month, I combine the usual look at long-term trends on the monthly charts with the seasonal expectations along with current rotations as they are visible on the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors. For...   READ MORE 

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Specialty REITs are Surfacing Inside a Strong Real-Estate Sector

Specialty REITs are Surfacing Inside a Strong Real-Estate Sector

Going over the monthly charts, I noticed the confirmation of the upward break visible at the end of April. During May, that upward break managed to hold up above the breakout level, record a new high during the month and close the month at a new closing high. These are...   READ MORE 

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From Sector to Industry to Agilent Technologies

From Sector to Industry to Agilent Technologies

The Health Care sector is one of the defensive sectors in the S&P 500 which is on a positive trajectory inside the improving quadrant and heading towards leading. The RRG for sectors, highlighting XLV, is on the left above. The RRG on the right shows the industries inside...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Rotation to Defense Continues

Sector Spotlight: Rotation to Defense Continues

On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the rotations in asset classes and US sectors as they played out last week and then put things into a longer-term perspective. The warning signals that already popped up over the last few weeks are persisting. In today&...   READ MORE 

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Value to Growth Rotation is Slowing Down

Value to Growth Rotation is Slowing Down

The Big Growth to Value Rotation, which has been going on for months, seems to be slowing down. NOT REVERSING, yet, but slowing down! In the RRG Long/Short baskets, we have IVE on the Long side and IVW on the Short side since September 2020. Looking at the RRG...   READ MORE 

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Is Equal-Weight Really Equal Weight When it Comes to Sectors?

Is Equal-Weight Really Equal Weight When it Comes to Sectors?

The Relative Rotation Graph shows the rotation of the Invesco family of equal-weight ETFs. These sector ETFs are often used to eliminate the dominating weight of some individual stocks in specific sectors. Think AAPL  and MSFT in Technology, AMZN and (to a lesser extent) TSLA in Consumer Discretionary and FB...   READ MORE 

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A Long Tail on Utilities Signals Power for Defense

A Long Tail on Utilities Signals Power for Defense

A great way to keep an eye on offense vs. defense is using the Relative Rotation Graph above, which shows the three main Dow indexes against the Dow Jones Composite Average. This RRG is available from the drop-down on the RRG page under <DJ Composite 65>. As the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Discretionary Danger

Sector Spotlight: Discretionary Danger

On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with the usual overview of last week's rotations in asset classes and sectors, blending those observations in with a look at the weekly Relative Rotation Graphs to identify meaningful relative trends. On the Asset Class side,...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: It's Not Good Under the Hood

Sector Spotlight: It's Not Good Under the Hood

On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I kicksoff the show with an overview of last week's rotation in asset classes, immediately blending them with a longer term picture using the weekly RRGs and price charts. After that, the focus is on stock sectors, starting...   READ MORE 

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RRG Tails Have a Story to Tell

RRG Tails Have a Story to Tell

One of the main characteristics of a Relative Rotation Graph is the "tail," which shows us the sector's trajectory through recent history. Tails illustrate how the security ended up in the position where it currently is, helping us to view current rotations and create a big...   READ MORE 

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While Everything is Going Digital, This Stock is Breaking Higher

While Everything is Going Digital, This Stock is Breaking Higher

The Relative Rotation Graph for sectors shows XLB, the Materials sector, powering into the leading quadrant. The RRG at the top of the article shows the rotations of the individual stocks in the Industrials sector, with the tail for IP highlighted. After entering the leading quadrant in October, IP traveled...   READ MORE 

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Europe is Ready to Turn Around a Long Period of Underperformance

Europe is Ready to Turn Around a Long Period of Underperformance

From time to time, I keep an eye on the Relative Rotation Graph showing the rotations of various world markets against the DJ Global Index. The tail on Europe ($E1DOW) has just crossed into the leading quadrant after a quick improving-lagging-improving rotation, setting it up for a powerful rotation into...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Short-Term Weakness Ahead

Sector Spotlight: Short-Term Weakness Ahead

On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start the month with an overview of rotations in asset classes and sectors last week using Relative Rotation Graphs. The main theme remains intact; the stock market is in a long-term uptrend and stocks continue to outperform bonds. However,...   READ MORE 

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Seasonality Shows Weakness Ahead For Financials

Seasonality Shows Weakness Ahead For Financials

Looking at the 3D visualization for US sectors going into May, one sector stands out negatively. That sector is Financials, the fourth largest sector at ~11% of market cap. For May and June, the historical record is that the Financial sector outperforms the S&P 500 only 35% of...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Stars Aligning

Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Stars Aligning

It's all about tails on this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. For the last Tuesday of the month, I examine the seasonal patterns for sectors and compare them to the current rotations on Relative Rotation Graphs. Five sectors are worth a further investigation based on...   READ MORE 

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Forget Bitcoin, There is a New Kid on The Block(chain)

Forget Bitcoin, There is a New Kid on The Block(chain)

Another wild ride in crypto space this week. Bitcoin dropped almost 10% in value against the US Dollar in the past five days, while market darling DOGE lost a whopping 27%, as did TRON, Bitcoin SV, EOS and a few other major coins. If you are ever looking for action,...   READ MORE 

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XLB and XLI Show Strong Rotations, But What About the Industries Inside?

XLB and XLI Show Strong Rotations, But What About the Industries Inside?

Currently, two sectors stand out on the Relative Rotation Graph for sectors -- Industrials and Materials. Both tails are pushing further into the leading quadrant after a rotation through weakening and back into leading. Such a rotation usually signals a new up-leg in an already established rising relative trend. If...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: The Tale of the Tails

Sector Spotlight: The Tale of the Tails

It's all about tails on this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. After a short look at last week's rotations for asset classes and sectors, I dive into the meaning of the tails on the Relative Rotation Graphs. What do they represent? How to...   READ MORE 

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Can XLK hold without participation of AAPL & MSFT?

Can XLK hold without participation of AAPL & MSFT?

Developments in the technology sector keep me busy, but above all alert. First of all it's the biggest sector in the S&P 500 and therefore by default an important one to watch. Primarily because you need a lot of power to push the S&P...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Strong Rotation for Industrials

Sector Spotlight: Strong Rotation for Industrials

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at last week's rotations for asset classes and sectors and review the daily rotations on the Relative Rotation Graph in combination with the weekly picture, aligning these with the current trends on the price charts. Caution...   READ MORE 

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A Review of the RRG L/S Baskets

A Review of the RRG L/S Baskets

Earlier today in Sector Spotlight, I discussed the various stocks inside the Long/Short baskets as I show them from time to time. The two RRGs above show both baskets as they currently are after the updates in Sector Spotlight. Long On the Long side, I removed EBAY and replaced...   READ MORE 

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A Battle for Breadth on Relative Rotation Graphs

A Battle for Breadth on Relative Rotation Graphs

This past Thursday, I was one of the guest hosts to fill in for David Keller on The Final Bar, as Dave was enjoying a week off. Of course I brought RRG to the show, but I also wanted to add a bit of educational content on how to use...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: 8 Sectors at New Closing Highs

Sector Spotlight: 8 Sectors at New Closing Highs

It is the last Tuesday of the month, and that means looking at seasonality! In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, it's time to go over some monthly charts! As usual, Julius brings two batches of monthly charts to the show: one for Asset Classes,...   READ MORE 

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Over 90% of "The Market" is in an Uptrend

Over 90% of "The Market" is in an Uptrend

Every first Tuesday of the month, I look at Asset Classes and Sectors' developments using monthly charts. This start-of-the-month routine keeps me on track of the longer-term developments in terms of price trends. Yes, Relative Rotation Graphs are all about relative trends and relative strength. And I consider that...   READ MORE 

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US Moving Towards Leading Quadrant vs. the World..... oh, and Canada Too

US Moving Towards Leading Quadrant vs. the World..... oh, and Canada Too

With the S&P 500 jumping to new highs, it's interesting to see how that impacts the position and the rotation of the US vs. the rest of the world. The RRG above visualizes that. The highlighted area shows both the S&P and the Candian...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Tech is a Drag

Sector Spotlight: Tech is a Drag

It is the last Tuesday of the month, and that means looking at seasonality! In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after an overview of last week's rotations and performances for asset classes and sectors, I bring up his 3-D visualization for sector seasonality and...   READ MORE 

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Comm is Da Bomb

Comm is Da Bomb

The seasonal trends for sectors vs. the S&P 500 going into April show many 50/50 odds for out- or underperformance. But the two sectors that stand out are interesting and important ones. Seasonality for Communication services shows that this sector outperformed 67% of the time in April...   READ MORE 

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Tech Is a Drag

Tech Is a Drag

There is no doubt about it; Tech(nology) is an important sector. As a matter of fact, it is a crucial sector. At 26% weight inside the S&P 500 index, technology is twice as big as the next biggest sector -- Health Care at 13% -- and number...   READ MORE 

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Is the Dow Theory Sending Us a Message?

Is the Dow Theory Sending Us a Message?

The Dow theory is more than 100 years old, but still holds value today. Sometimes simple things can help you paint a clearer picture for yourself. One of the principles of the Dow Theory is that "Indices Must Confirm Each Other." Basically, this means that signals or trends...   READ MORE 

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Taking FB and FCX from The RRG L/S Basket

Taking FB and FCX from The RRG L/S Basket

The two RRGs above show the long positions in the RRG L/S basket on the left and the short positions on the right. Going over these rotations, combined with the recent performance (dropping around 4% in a few days), two tails stood out. On the long side, we have...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Rising Real Estate

Sector Spotlight: Rising Real Estate

Last week, I spent a lot of time on answering a question from the mailbag. This week is all about charts! In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I starting with a look back at the rotations as they unfolded in various asset classes and US sectors....   READ MORE 

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Real Nice Stocks in the Real Estate Sector

Real Nice Stocks in the Real Estate Sector

Every last Tuesday of the month in Sector Spotlight, I review the seasonality for US sectors and try to match the historical performance with the current performance as it is playing out on the Relative Rotation Graph. For March (see episode 68, "Seasonal Surprise for XLRE"), the Real...   READ MORE 

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HD Popping From Consolidation and TRV Pushing to New High

HD Popping From Consolidation and TRV Pushing to New High

I started at the Market movers (%up) widget for Dow Jones stocks on my dashboard for today's chart(s). When I requested the RRG for these ten stocks, the RRG below showed up. These then stocks are all moving higher today, but their relative trends differ significantly, as...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: A Scan and a Trading Plan

Sector Spotlight: A Scan and a Trading Plan

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I begin with a quick look at last week's rotations in asset classes and sectors. Then, I look into the RRG mailbag and present in-depth discussion of a recent 3-part question that came in. All three elements that...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Sector Rotating Back Towards Leading; the Equal Weight Sector, That Is...

Consumer Discretionary Sector Rotating Back Towards Leading; the Equal Weight Sector, That Is...

The Equal Weight version of the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows an interesting divergence in rotation for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Two weeks ago, 3/2, I showed the RRG for small-cap sectors and analyzed the discrepancies between the small-cap and the large-cap sector rotations. Here also, the...   READ MORE 

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The Name is Value, Growth to Value....

The Name is Value, Growth to Value....

The Growth/Value relationship is always interesting to keep an eye on -- but even more so recently. For a long period of time, roughly from late 2018 until Q3 2020, Growth stocks were beating Value hands down. The chart above shows the Growth/Value relationship in the big pane...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: USD Strength and Tech Weakness

Sector Spotlight: USD Strength and Tech Weakness

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with a look at what happened last week in terms of rotation for asset classes and sectors. After that, I put these rotations in longer-term perspective using weekly charts and Relative Rotation Graphs while overlaying the 12-month rolling...   READ MORE