Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer


Julius is a CMT and the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in 2011 and later on StockCharts in 2014. Learn More 

Archived News

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KTB Holds while SLY, SPY and PSCD Drop

KTB Holds while SLY, SPY and PSCD Drop

Recently, I have been talking and writing about small-cap sectors and especially how the small cap segment in the consumer discretionary sector, the PSCD ETF, is currently diverging from its large cap counterpart, XLY. For this article I have collected the top 50 members in PSCD (Invesco), and there are...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Small Caps Secret Message

Sector Spotlight: Small Caps Secret Message

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I go over the rotations for asset classes and sectors as they were traced out last week. While talking about the short-term rotations, I bring in the weekly RRGs and charts to find matching and therefore more reliable trends. After...   READ MORE 

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Playing Consumer Discretionary Through PSCD

Playing Consumer Discretionary Through PSCD

In my article for last weekend's ChartWatchers newsletter, I wrote about a set of ETFs representing small-cap sectors and how they can be used in a Relative Rotation Graph. I also talk about it in this week's episode of Sector Spotlight. The crux is that looking...   READ MORE 

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When the Tails are Diverging, Opportunities Arise

When the Tails are Diverging, Opportunities Arise

Last week, Friday 2/19, Tom Bowley invited me to be his guest in a webinar he did with EarningsBeats.com. Of course, I talked about RRG in general and we applied it to international markets, crypto-currencies and US sectors. All good fun. After I presented my bit on sectors...   READ MORE 

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Value Small Caps Are Breaking to New Highs

Value Small Caps Are Breaking to New Highs

One of the predefined RRGs allows you to bring up a universe of growth, value and size indexes, and this can help you to spot how the various parts of the market are positioned against each other and how they are rotating. Ths small RRG shows the tail of the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Surprise for XLRE

Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Surprise for XLRE

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, since it's the last Tuesday of the month, I dive into the seasonal outlook for the month(s) ahead. Communication Services seems on track with its current rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph. But a surprise could be...   READ MORE 

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Communication Services on Seasonal Track

Communication Services on Seasonal Track

Looking at the 3-D seasonality chart above, most of the sectors have a 50/50 history of outperforming SPY in the coming month of March. Both Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary are showing an upcoming string of months that are historically strong for them. XLC starts with 62% in March,...   READ MORE 

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WAB Triggers Turtle Soup Buy Setup

WAB Triggers Turtle Soup Buy Setup

One of the BIG improvements or advantages in ACP is the fact that I can run a scan in the side-bar, then immediately click on the symbol to bring up the chart. One of the scans that I use frequently is the 'Turtle Soup" scan on intraday data....   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: This Bull Has Legs to Run

Sector Spotlight: This Bull Has Legs to Run

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after a review of last week's rotations in asset classes and sectors, I take a deep dive into the Sector Rotation Model, bringing together all different elements of the Sector Rotation Model using Relative Rotation Graphs to gauge...   READ MORE 

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Using RRG to Find a Match Between Theory and Reality

Using RRG to Find a Match Between Theory and Reality

This article appeared in last weekend's ChartWatchers newsletter with the title "Sector Rotation Model Suggests Bull Market in Stocks Ongoing". As I feel that it is one of the more important/better articles showing how to use Relative Rotation Graphs in combination with other analysis techniques,...   READ MORE 

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Sector Rotation Model Suggests Bull Market in Stocks Ongoing

Sector Rotation Model Suggests Bull Market in Stocks Ongoing

From time to time, I like to check the macro environment and try to see if I can find meaningful clues to draw conclusions from generally accepted theories/models. The Sector Rotation Model (From Sam Stovall's guide to sector rotation) is one of those models that I like...   READ MORE 

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These Two Relationships Point to Ongoing Strength for Stocks

These Two Relationships Point to Ongoing Strength for Stocks

The RRG above shows the rotations for two relationships that can help you get a handle for the market as a whole: * Growth vs Value: Generally, when growth stocks are doing well and outperforming value, that is good for the market - whereas, vice versa, when value stocks are outperforming...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Three Sectors That Will Drive SPY Higher

Sector Spotlight: Three Sectors That Will Drive SPY Higher

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I walk you through the current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs. On the weekly RRG for sectors, I note three that are rotating back into the leading quadrant. And when these sectors are outperforming,...   READ MORE 

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Rebalancing a Portfolio is Important

Rebalancing a Portfolio is Important

Good money management can help you a great deal in managing portfolios. Rebalancing is a very important part of that discipline. In this article, I am reviewing the current RRG Long/Short basket, replacing XLB and FTI with EBAY and MSFT while at the same time bringing all positions back...   READ MORE 

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EBAY Popping to New High and Unlocking More Upside Potential

EBAY Popping to New High and Unlocking More Upside Potential

One of my routines to gauge the current market action is to start at the StockCharts.com Dashboard and take a look at the Market Movers - Most Active for the S&P 500. The link at the bottom left of that widget allows me to open up the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Stealth Rotation for Healthcare

Sector Spotlight: Stealth Rotation for Healthcare

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I attack the monthly charts to monitor the long-term trends that are in play. With this knowledge, I then build this into a "view" using the investment pyramid that covers the market from asset classes all the way...   READ MORE 

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US Stocks are Lagging the World, and a Clear Preference for Short-Dated Bonds

US Stocks are Lagging the World, and a Clear Preference for Short-Dated Bonds

In today's episode of Sector Spotlight, I cover, or at least try to, the complete investment landscape from asset allocation, all the way down to stocks at sector level. With the monthly bars for January just completed, I stuck to my guns, looking at the long-term trends on...   READ MORE 

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Finding Winners in a Pool of Mud

Finding Winners in a Pool of Mud

At the start of this week in my weekly StockCharts TV show Sector Spotlight, I discussed the re-emerging strength of Consumer Discretionary and Technology stocks. In the second half of the week, markets started to shift a bit and, as usual, the question is whether this down move, which we...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: AMZN Ready to Lead Rotation

Sector Spotlight: AMZN Ready to Lead Rotation

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at current rotations in asset classes and sectors and highlight some changes in relative movements against the S&P 500 index. After the break, I bring up my 3-D visualization of (sector) seasonality and see if any...   READ MORE 

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(Big) Tech is Back on Track

(Big) Tech is Back on Track

The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows an interesting clustering of sectors close to the benchmark at the start of this week. I have highlighted this cluster in the RRG above. The chart below zooms in on those three sectors that are more or less overlaid on each other...   READ MORE 

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Breaking the Dow(n)... in Theory

Breaking the Dow(n)... in Theory

The most widely followed Dow Jones index is the Dow Jones Industrials Average. But, in reality, this is only one of three averages that make up the Dow Jones Composite average. The other two are the Dow Jones Transportation and the Dow Jones Utility averages. The RRG above shows the...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Core Satellite Approach with RRG

Sector Spotlight: Core Satellite Approach with RRG

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the rotations of last week and zoom in on a few sectors to put things in a slightly longer perspective. After the break, I answer two questions from the mailbag, explaining how you can find the symbols covering...   READ MORE 

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RRG Basket Update: Swapping SEE & INTC for EWC & COST

RRG Basket Update: Swapping SEE & INTC for EWC & COST

In today's episode of Sector Spotlight, I promised, time permitting, to have at least one change in the RRG L/S basket that I am maintaining in the show and my blogs. Obviously, time did not permit me to cover it during the show, so I am writing...   READ MORE 

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The World is Outperforming the US

The World is Outperforming the US

Relative Rotation Graphs, or RRGs, can help you get a better view of the big picture. One of the RRGs I often use to get a handle on international developments on stock markets around the world is to pull up the Relative Rotation Graph for international stock market indexes, as...   READ MORE 

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Brazil is Beating the US! (and We're Not Talking About Soccer...)

Brazil is Beating the US! (and We're Not Talking About Soccer...)

One of the Relative Rotation Graphs that I like to keep an eye, in order to monitor the bigger picture, is the RRG that shows the rotations for international stock market indexes against the DJ Global index, as shown above. What we see here is a cluster of markets inside...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Energy & Financials Beating SPY

Sector Spotlight: Energy & Financials Beating SPY

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I talk you through the recent rotations in asset classes and US sectors, then look at growth vs value rotation, as well as the rotation of the US vis-a-vis international stock markets. After the break, I dive into the current...   READ MORE 

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Value Starts to Accelerate Away from Growth

Value Starts to Accelerate Away from Growth

This week, the tails for Growth and Value are crossing over. Value is moving into the leading quadrant while Growth crosses from weakening into lagging. This rotation has been going on for quite some time already and was picked up by the RRG Lines and the rotation of the tails...   READ MORE 

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CF Industries Confirms Uptrend as it Moves Into Leading Quadrant on RRG

CF Industries Confirms Uptrend as it Moves Into Leading Quadrant on RRG

On the weekly RRG, XLB is inside weakening but rotating back towards the leading quadrant. On the daily RRG, XLB is pushing rapidly into leading from improving. This alignment makes the sector very interesting to watch in the coming days/weeks. It is one of the seven sectors that are...   READ MORE 

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Seasonality is Nice but Reality Rules

Seasonality is Nice but Reality Rules

Happy New Year!!! Those of you who watch my weekly show Sector Spotlight on StockCharts TV will know that, towards the end of every month, I look at the seasonality for sectors going into the new month and then try to combine that with the actual rotations that are taking...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: 7 Sectors in Monthly Uptrends

Sector Spotlight: 7 Sectors in Monthly Uptrends

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at the rotations that took place in Asset Classes and Sectors during the last two weeks of December. After the break, I dive into the long-term trends for those asset classes and sectors using monthly charts....   READ MORE 

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Financials En-Route For a Strong Start in 2021

Financials En-Route For a Strong Start in 2021

My first article for the Chartwatchers newsletter going into the new year... 2021!! First of all, I wish all readers and watchers of Sector Spotlight a very happy and, above all, healthy new year. That "Healthy" part all of a sudden has gotten a whole new meaning after...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Using RRG Top-Down

Sector Spotlight: Using RRG Top-Down

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I work my way down the investment pyramid and show how I use RRG as a tool to get from Asset Allocation all the way down to individual stocks to build a portfolio. You should be able to pick and...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: How CB3 Uses RRG in Portfolio Management

Sector Spotlight: How CB3 Uses RRG in Portfolio Management

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I interview Charles Brown of CB3 Financial. Charles is an early adopter and long time user of Relative Rotation Graphs, which he actively promotes and uses in the investment process that he uses to manage his client portfolios. This video...   READ MORE 

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PG is Ready to GO..... !

PG is Ready to GO..... !

Into the lagging quadrant on the RRG and to the short side of the RRG Long/Short baskets. Before diving into the PG chart, let's go over the current symbols on both lists. At the moment, both the Long and the Short basket have six names in them....   READ MORE 

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Getting Your Options Right Around Communication Services

Getting Your Options Right Around Communication Services

Over the last weeks, the Communication Services sector continued to improve and recently moved back into the leading quadrant after rotating through weakening and, very briefly, through lagging. This rotation, especially the increase in RRG-Velocity (the distances between the week-to-week observations), make XLC an interesting sector to keep your eyes...   READ MORE 

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It's All About Da Base......

It's All About Da Base......

With Bitcoin up around 10% and breaking beyond $20k, there can only be one chart today that should not be ignored. BTC moved back to the forefront of financial markets and press recently. Dave Keller recently wrote about it and sent out this tweet (to the right) today. And I...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Performance and Trends in Performance

Sector Spotlight: Performance and Trends in Performance

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I review last week's rotations for asset classes and sectors, then answer questions from the mailbag. I explain the difference between outright performance and "trends in performance" and discuss potential entry points using Relative Rotation Graphs....   READ MORE 

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Four RRGs That Give You a Clear Overview of What is Going On in the Markets

Four RRGs That Give You a Clear Overview of What is Going On in the Markets

Asset Classes Starting at Asset Class level, the first Relative Rotation Graph shows the rotation of various asset classes (ETFs) against VBINX (the benchmark). The relationship that stands out here is the very clear preference for stocks. It is the only tail that is inside the leading quadrant. As an...   READ MORE 

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MTB is Ready to Break Resistance and Push Into The Leading Quadrant

MTB is Ready to Break Resistance and Push Into The Leading Quadrant

On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, the Financial sector is gradually improving more and more, with the tail having just crossed over into the leading quadrant. Zooming in on the RRG for the constituents of the Financial sector against XLF, we see a high concentration of banking...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Stocks Massively Beating Bonds

Sector Spotlight: Stocks Massively Beating Bonds

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I spend a big part of the show going over the (completed) monthly (bar-) charts for November, in order to get a handle on the long-term trends that are in play for both asset classes and sectors. In particular, the...   READ MORE