It's Friday morning in Amsterdam and I just dropped my daughter off at school. On the way to my office, I usually stop at the local Coffee Company for a cappuccino and reading some, market-related, news, blogs etc. For some reason, I noticed a lot of talk and... READ MORE
Visa is showing up, just, inside the leading quadrant on the Relative Rotation Graph vs $INDU above. These images are zoomed in from the RRG holding all the 30 DJ Industrials stocks (benchmark $INDU). The tail in the chart on the left above shows 30 weeks of rotation and as... READ MORE
With the US stock market declining investors (may) need to look for alternatives in order to preserve capital. Sure enough, there are good opportunities in the US with bonds, IEF is doing very well, and cash is a very viable alternative if you do not "need" to be... READ MORE
With the US stock market declining investors (may) need to look for alternatives in order to preserve capital. Sure enough, there are good opportunities in the US with bonds, IEF is doing very well, and cash is a very viable alternative if you do not "need" to be... READ MORE
The above chart shows the stocks/bonds ratio using monthly bars since 2004. IMHO this is one of the most useful charts to decide on an important portion of the asset allocation in your portfolio. Should you invest in stocks or in bonds. In other words, "Risk ON"... READ MORE
Yesterday, on boxing day, the Dow jumped 1000 points from its 52-week low which, coincidentally, was also set yesterday. Never a dull moment. But, what does it mean? Looking at the weekly chart above, at least IMHO, it means only a (small) recovery of the damage that has been done... READ MORE
In my previous post, I highlighted both the Real-Estate and the Utilities sectors as (strong) outperformers during this weak period for stocks in general. This "Double + for Utilities and Real Estate on Relative Rotation Graph" pointed to the position inside the leading quadrant for both sectors on both... READ MORE
The Utilities sector is acting as a safe haven for a lot of investors that need to park their money in the stock market because they cannot, or are not allowed to, hold all or significant amounts of cash when markets are going down. These are the periods when relative... READ MORE
The "Yield Curve" is a term often used in finance and refers to the relationship between (government) bonds with various maturities. The "Normal" relationship between the yield on various maturities is that the longer you lend money to someone. In this case the US government, the... READ MORE
On the Relative Rotation Graph, the Real-estate sector is one of the better performing sectors vis-a-vis the S&P 500 index. The RRG above shows the rotation of all the stocks in XLRE against XLRE. This gives us a picture of the relative positions for all these stocks against... READ MORE
The market keeps throwing us curve balls on a daily basis. The Relative Rotation Graph above translates these curve balls into (sector-) rotational patterns. The weekly chart above shows continuing strength for Utilities and Real Estate as they continue to move higher on both axes of the RRG. Staples and... READ MORE
The yield curve has become a popular subject recently. Also, a few commentators on the site have mentioned the yield curve and its recent movements in their blogs recently. Read articles by Chief John, Greg Schnell, and Arthur Hill. In my DITC contribution of 18 October, I showed how Relative... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graphs shows the rotation of various asset classes around a balance benchmark portfolio (VBINX). The message could not be more clear. Stocks (SPY) just crossed over from weakening into the lagging quadrant while ALL other asset classes are inside the leading quadrant. This is a pretty clear... READ MORE
After finishing the previous article on plotting breadth indicators on Relative Rotation Graphs I have spent hours and hours on studying probably a couple of thousand different RRGs holding various groups of sectors in combination with their breadth equivalents. And although I did not find the perfect prediction tool or... READ MORE
The recent rally of the S&P 500 index off the lows near 2600-2625 is nice but is it sustainable? The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation of the 11 SPDR sector ETFs against SPY and the message is very clear! There is a clear split between the... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for the technology stocks in XLK (Technology select sector SPDR) shows one big outlier that recently went through a big rotation. It crossed from improving to leading in June then pushed to a JdK RS-Ratio value over 140 before rolling over. Three weeks ago the rotation... READ MORE
In my contribution to last week's Chartwatchers newsletter, I mentioned my current experiment on using breadth indicators on a Relative Rotation Graph. In this article, I want to take a look at a few of these setups side by side and see if there is indeed a leading... READ MORE
Various breadth indicators are used to analyze the underlying strength or weakness of a broad market index like the S&P 500 index or NYSE. Over the years a number of different breadth indicators have been developed and/or used in their work by well known technical analysts. A... READ MORE
There are many indexes available to monitor and analyze the stock market. The S&P500, together with Daddy "Dow" being among the more popular ones. But the S&P 500, although covering 500 stocks, is only looking at one segment of the total market. Only large-cap... READ MORE
The relative rotation graph above shows the rotation of the 30 DJ Industrials stocks. Watching the interaction on the canvas, a few rotations catch the eye. Inside the lagging quadrant IBM, HD, and DWDP are clearly moving deeper into negative territory. On the opposite side inside the leading quadrant, we... READ MORE
While browsing through some Relative Rotation Graphs, looking for DITC candidates, my eye fell on TTWO inside the Communications Services sector. XLC itself is inside the weakening quadrant vs SPY but very close to the benchmark, meaning that the performance of the sector is very close to that of SPY.... READ MORE
The relative rotation graph above shows a selection of stocks in the utilities sector. I have created this zoomed in version for better visibility. The fully populated RRG can be found here. In this post, I will highlight a few of the stocks shown in the picture. As XLU is... READ MORE
In this blog post, I want to do a quick top-down analysis to arrive at a few stocks that could help investors to provide shelter in case the current hiccup in the market is ..... well a "hiccup." The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation of various asset... READ MORE
On the Relative Rotation Graph holding the 30 stocks in the DJ Industrials index, McDonald's (MCD) is one of the names that pop up as potentially interesting. The stock is positioned inside the improving quadrant for a few weeks now and moving towards the leading quadrant at a... READ MORE
When markets are in transition and the bigger picture needs our attention it is always good to keep an eye on the yield curve. The absolute yield levels of the various maturities on the curve, starting at 3-Months all the way out to 20+ years are important to monitor. But... READ MORE
The general market conditions for the various major indexes have been commented on extensively by other commentators here on the site. There is no doubt that there is more rumble in the markets now than we have seen for a long time. IMHO this makes it an interesting time for... READ MORE
When markets around the world start to rumble it's usually a good exercise how all these moves compare against one another. The Relative Rotation Graph shows the relative picture for a number of major world equity markets against the Dow Jones World Index as the benchmark. The Indian... READ MORE
This article is an extended and updated version of the article that appeared in last weekend's Chartwatchers newsletter. The Indian $NIFTY Index dropped out of an almost three-year uptrend at the close of last week. The rising support line that started at the low in early 2016 did... READ MORE
The Indian $NIFTY Index dropped out of an almost three-year uptrend at the close of last week. The rising support line that started at the low in early 2016 did not manage to hold up and was clearly broken during last week's market action. This move changes the... READ MORE
After yesterday's close (10/4) I ran a Relative Rotation Graph of the Top-10 Market Movers inside the S&P-500 index. One of the names that popped up as potentially interesting was AT&T (T) as it is inside the improving quadrant and moving towards the... READ MORE
One of the names that popped up today on my alert for potential "Turtle Soup" setups is KIM. After opening up the chart for further inspection I noticed an interesting situation. It is very clear that the stock is in a trading range since June. The upper boundary... READ MORE
The Healthcare sector is getting a lot of attention lately. Not surprisingly as it is THE leading sector at the moment. Yesterday when I was working on my most recent RRG blog, XLV made it to the headline. And for good reasons. At the moment it is the only sector... READ MORE
On the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, the Healthcare sector continues strong into the leading quadrant at a steady pace (RS Momentum). Two sectors that are showing a sudden weakness in relative strength, and therefore deserve our attention, are Materials (XLB) and Financials (XLF). Summary * Healthcare (XLV) moving further... READ MORE
On the daily Relative Rotation Graph above, the new XLC sector is positioned inside the improving quadrant. XLC moved into the improving from lagging 5 trading days ago and is now heading higher on both scales at a positive RRG-Heading. Measured on the JdK RS-Ratio scale (horizontal axis), XLC is... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for Canadian sectors is showing a very distinct move for the Healthcare sector. It is inside the leading quadrant and powering further into it at a strong RRG-Heading at a very long tail. All ingredients for more strength ahead and worth a closer look on a... READ MORE
While browsing through some pre-populated RRGs on the site I stumbled upon the chart holding Canadian sectors. What immediately triggered me was the sharp move of the Healthcare sector into the leading quadrant at almost 45 degrees which means that the sector is moving higher on both axes which is... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph shows the relative positions of various asset classes (ETFs) against VBINX, a Vanguard balanced index fund, as the benchmark. The long tails for Real Estate and Commodities stand out, as well as the cluster of fixed income related asset classes inside the red oval. The strongest... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph shows the relative positions of various asset classes (ETFs) against VBINX, a Vanguard balanced index fund, as the benchmark. The long tails for Real Estate and Commodities stand out, as well as the cluster of fixed income related asset classes inside the red oval. The strongest... READ MORE
In one of my recent articles, I high lighted that Relative Rotation Graphs can do (much) more than just show equity sector rotation by showing how RRG can be used to analyze rotation among the different commodity groups against a broad commodity index. This post expands on a recent article... READ MORE
In one of my recent articles, I high lighted that Relative Rotation Graphs can do (much) more than just show equity sector rotation by showing how RRG can be used to analyze rotation among the different commodity groups against a broad commodity index. In this post, I want to expand... READ MORE