Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer


Julius is a CMT and the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in 2011 and later on StockCharts in 2014. Learn More 

Archived News

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Once again, strong rotation for SPY vs other asset classes on RRG

Once again, strong rotation for SPY vs other asset classes on RRG

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds six ETF that represent various asset classes. The picture gives you the big picture of what is going on at asset class level on a relative basis against VBINX which is a Vanguard balanced index fund (60% equity / 40% bonds). This one frame immediately...   READ MORE 

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Using RRG to pick Ford from "most active" table

Using RRG to pick Ford from "most active" table

In the top-right corner of the homepage at StockCharts.com, there is a table that holds "Market Movers". It defaults to the top10 "most active" in the S&P 500 but you can change that using the buttons and drop-downs. Below the table, you will...   READ MORE 

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RRG suggests sector rotation out of Real Estate (XLRE) into Industrials (XLI)

RRG suggests sector rotation out of Real Estate (XLRE) into Industrials (XLI)

The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows seven sectors clustered around the benchmark in the middle of the graph (SPY) and three of them further away. XLE is more or less detached from the rest of the universe while XLP and XLY are breaking away together and heading deeper...   READ MORE 

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RRG says you need to keep an eye on Small Caps!

RRG says you need to keep an eye on Small Caps!

The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation of the three size indices that make up the S&P Composite 1500 index. Although the S&P 500 large cap index ($SPX) is still clearly on the right-hand side of the RRG, making very small rotations close to the...   READ MORE 

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INTC and PFE expected to dominate relative rotation in $INDU while NKE, DIS, and TRV are lagging

INTC and PFE expected to dominate relative rotation in $INDU while NKE, DIS, and TRV are lagging

Plenty of actionable rotation towards the edges of the Relative Rotation Graph above. The RRG holds the 30 members of the Dow Jones Industrials index. Scanning around the outside of the chart the following stocks draw the attention. In the weakening quadrant, MCD is at the lowest JdK RS-Momentum reading...   READ MORE 

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Pair trade opportunity in XLV/XLK and potentially strong (rare) rotational pattern for XLI

Pair trade opportunity in XLV/XLK and potentially strong (rare) rotational pattern for XLI

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the ten sector SPDR ETFs that make up the complete S&P 500 index (SPY). At the moment the positioning of the various sectors and their rotational patterns are relatively evenly spread over the RRG canvas except for XLE which is far away...   READ MORE 

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"Boring" Utilities moving up to main stage

"Boring" Utilities moving up to main stage

Bringing up the Relative Rotation Graph that holds all members of the Utilities sector (XLU) gives the picture above. With NRG all the way up in the top-right corner of the leading quadrant and SCG in the lower left-hand corner of the lagging quadrant, the remaining stocks in the sector...   READ MORE 

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Is TECHNOLOGY now a defensive sector?

Is TECHNOLOGY now a defensive sector?

The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the US sector universe based on S&P 500 indices (ETFs). Two sectors stand out on this chart. These are Energy (XLE) inside the improving quadrant but at low levels on the JdK RS-Ratio axis, and Financials (XLF) inside the Leading quadrant which...   READ MORE 

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PG and PFE at similar location on RRG but one of them looks much stronger

PG and PFE at similar location on RRG but one of them looks much stronger

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrials Index and compares their relative rotation to $INDU. From the first observation of this chart, a few tails/stocks catch the eye. First, there is BA in the top-right, leading, quadrant still powering further...   READ MORE 

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SPY returning to leading quadrant on Relative Rotation Graph!

SPY returning to leading quadrant on Relative Rotation Graph!

The above Relative Rotation Graph holds some ETFs representing various asset classes and compares the against VBINX, a balanced index fund that holds 60% equities and 40% bonds. The most striking observation is the fact that there is only one asset class on the right-hand side of the plot AND...   READ MORE 

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What's going on in Materials? (XLB)

What's going on in Materials? (XLB)

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the constituents of the Materials sector (XLB). The picture shows a fairly evenly distributed pattern with no real stocks standing out, maybe with the exception of MOS as it has the longest tail of all stocks on the graph while being at the lowest...   READ MORE 

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Which metals hold the most value at the moment?

Which metals hold the most value at the moment?

The above Relative Rotation Graph holds the main commodity groups (BCOM family) and uses the Bloomberg Commodity Index as the benchmark. The opposite directions in the rotations of Industrial metals ($BCOMINTR) and Precious metals ($BCOMPRTR) stand out for me. As they are both on the right-hand side of the graph...   READ MORE 

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A FOREX pair trade idea from Relative Rotation Graphs

A FOREX pair trade idea from Relative Rotation Graphs

The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the relative rotation, on a weekly basis, for the G10 currencies using the USD as the base. For a better understanding of how to use RRGs to monitor currency rotation please refer to this blog article on the subject. Looking at the RRG above...   READ MORE 

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Strong (relative) momentum based rotations among S&P 500 sectors, powerful tail for XLF

Strong (relative) momentum based rotations among S&P 500 sectors, powerful tail for XLF

The almost vertical tails on the above Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors indicates a very clear (relative) momentum rotation, sending some sectors from North to South and vice versa. The two most obvious tails on the RRG are for XLE, far away on the left while sharply hooking upward,...   READ MORE 

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AAPL rotating opposite to BA on Relative Rotation Graph for $INDU

AAPL rotating opposite to BA on Relative Rotation Graph for $INDU

Watching the 30 members of the Dow Jones Industrials index on a Relative Rotation Graph always provides a great insight into what's going on under the hood of that universe. The first quick takes from the graph above are a fairly evenly spread universe with no big outliers...   READ MORE 

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Commodities completely detached from other asset classes and equities picking up over bonds again

Commodities completely detached from other asset classes and equities picking up over bonds again

This Relative Rotation Graph for Asset Classes shows Commodities (DJP) far away in the bottom-left corner of the chart, completely detached from the others. At, by far, the lowest readings on the JdK RS-Ratio axis, DJP moved higher on the JdK RS-Momentum axis for a few weeks but recently turned...   READ MORE 

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Are you looking at Industrial (XLI) stocks? ..Maybe you should.

Are you looking at Industrial (XLI) stocks? ..Maybe you should.

This Relative Rotation Graph holds the top 50 (based on market cap) members of the S&P 500 Industrials sector index (XLI). This sector accounts for just over 10% of the S&P 500 market cap and is the fifth largest sector in this index. At the moment...   READ MORE 

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Will Technology (XLK) continue to lead the market higher?

Will Technology (XLK) continue to lead the market higher?

The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows four sectors with rotational patterns that catch the eye and deserve a further investigation. Inside the lagging quadrant, these are Energy (XLE) and Financials (XLF) and inside the leading quadrant, I am looking at Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY). The balance...   READ MORE 

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Tech stocks inside $INDU looking good on RRG but avoid IBM and financials.

Tech stocks inside $INDU looking good on RRG but avoid IBM and financials.

The Relative Rotation Graph for the 30 DJ Industrials (INDU) stocks once again presents us with some interesting insights. From the picture above we can read that AAPL is still the strongest stock in this universe with the highest JdK RS-Ratio reading and still inside the leading quadrant. Inside the...   READ MORE 

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No asset class in leading quadrant on RRG but SPY still strongest!

No asset class in leading quadrant on RRG but SPY still strongest!

The Relative Rotation Graph for asset classes shows that not a single category is inside the leading quadrant at the moment and only one asset class, equities (SPY), is on the right-hand side of the plot. The quick take from this reading is that only SPY, asset class equities, is...   READ MORE 

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Utilities (XLU) moving into leading quadrant, what are the strongest (and the weakest) stocks for this sector?

Utilities (XLU) moving into leading quadrant, what are the strongest (and the weakest) stocks for this sector?

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the stocks that, together, make up the Utilities sector index (XLU). The keen observer may notice that there is one stock, NRG, positioned in the "gutter" of the chart. This is done on purpose as NRG is so far out to the...   READ MORE 

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RRG suggests favoring Europe over US and Hong Kong over Japan

RRG suggests favoring Europe over US and Hong Kong over Japan

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds some the major world market indices and compares them to the FTSE all world index ($FAW) as the benchmark. Straight from the RRG above we can make a few interesting observations. Starting in the lagging quadrant, we find continued weakness for China ($FTX) and...   READ MORE 

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Precious metals shining on Relative Rotation Graph

Precious metals shining on Relative Rotation Graph

Most of the time Relative Rotation Graphs are used to visualize stock-related universes but please "Don't Ignore the fact" that RRGs can be used to visualize the rotation of any universe that holds comparable securities. In the chart above I have plotted the rotations for all...   READ MORE 

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Three breaks and you're out .....

Three breaks and you're out .....

This post looks at the rotation of US sectors again. The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the ETFs that track the performance of US sectors. Pretty much immediately the attention goes out to the Energy sector (XLE) and the Financials sector (XLF) as they stand out because of the length...   READ MORE 

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There are two Energy stocks inside $INDU.....

There are two Energy stocks inside $INDU.....

... And they both show very weak rotations on the Relative Rotation Graph of the DJ Industrials components. XOM rotated negatively while inside the lagging quadrant and CVX just crossed over into the lowe-left part coming from weakening. These are the two names to avoid in this universe. They are closely...   READ MORE 

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Double divergence building up in SPY:IEF ratio and commodities need another rotation through lagging.

Double divergence building up in SPY:IEF ratio and commodities need another rotation through lagging.

Summary * Opposite rotations for Equities and Bonds on both weekly and daily RRGs * Rapid weakening of commodities over past six weeks * Current positioning of SPY suggests some short-term weakness before resuming trend * IEF in consolidation pattern after breaking long-term uptrend * Double divergence in SPY:IEF ratio points to potential corrective...   READ MORE 

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Bye bye NVDA, WDC, MU and Hello, ADBE, AAPL, SWKS

Bye bye NVDA, WDC, MU and Hello, ADBE, AAPL, SWKS

Summary * XLK only sector inside leading quadrant for S&P 500 universe * QCOM nosediving inside Lagging quadrant * NVDA rapidly losing its top position within the sector * WDC tracking MU lower into the weakening quadrant * GLW providing excellent example of stable uptrend (price and relative) * ADBE pushing into leading from...   READ MORE 

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Sector rotation from Energy to Utilities, market in transition

Sector rotation from Energy to Utilities, market in transition

Summary * NO sectors inside the lagging quadrant and only one in leading * Sector rotation suggests market in transition * Financials continue to loose ground vs Healthcare * Technology picking up against Materials * Sector rotation from Energy to Utilities starting to shape up Quick scan A first look at the Relative Rotation Graph...   READ MORE 

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AAPL starting to lead technology sector rotation again

AAPL starting to lead technology sector rotation again

Summary * Inside Financials, money is shifting from GS & JPM to V * AAPL turning back up towards leading quadrant, makes it leading stock in technology * XOM and CVX confirm weak rotation for Energy sector * Opposite rotations for DIS and WMT inside Staples sector Quick scan The Relative Rotation Graph above...   READ MORE 

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RRG shows money flowing into commodities!

RRG shows money flowing into commodities!

The Relative Rotation Graph holding a number of asset class ETFs is showing a strong push of commodities (DJP) into the leading quadrant. Together with Real Estate (VNQ), these two asset classes are showing the most powerful headings in combination with the longest tails. They deserve a further investigation. Summary...   READ MORE 

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Is JNJ the pink elephant in the XLV room?

Is JNJ the pink elephant in the XLV room?

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the constituents of the XLV (Health Care) ETF. In this post, I want to follow up on my previous article which pointed at the potential rotation from Financials into Health Care and take a look at the relative rotation of individual stocks that make...   READ MORE 

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Rotation from Financials into Health care? Two sectors at extremes.

Rotation from Financials into Health care? Two sectors at extremes.

The Relative Rotation Graph below holds the sector ETFs that make up the S&P 500 universe and uses the S&P 500 index ETF (SPY) as its benchmark in the center of the graph. Four rotational patterns, two pairs, capture my attention when I look at this...   READ MORE 

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Tech stocks losing IT

Tech stocks losing IT

From July to November of this year Tech stocks have dominated the performance of the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($INDU) but then came November! The Relative Rotation Graph of all DJ Industrials stocks below shows the rotational pattern of all $INDU members with a three-week tail. The recent weakness for...   READ MORE 

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US equities are good, Japanese are better - for now.

US equities are good, Japanese are better - for now.

The Relative Rotation Graph above holds a number of (world) equity indices compared to the FTSE all world index as the benchmark, using daily data. For those of you who are following my regular RRG blog, this means a shorter-term view than you are used to from me. The rotations...   READ MORE 

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What the ....happened in the week ending 11 November?

What the ....happened in the week ending 11 November?

My last article on asset allocation was posted just before election day (11/8), and I was not happy about the rotation for equities against bonds... What a difference a week makes. The relative rotation graph above shows the rotation of various asset classes, represented by ETFs, over the past...   READ MORE 

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Put some focus on the materials sector (XLB) but be aware of which stocks to avoid.

Put some focus on the materials sector (XLB) but be aware of which stocks to avoid.

Last weeks RRG blog looked at the sector ETFs that make up the S&P 500 index. Materials, the XLB ETF, came out as one of the, more promising, sectors on its way to the leading quadrant. In this post, I will look into the individual stocks that make...   READ MORE 

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Very clear rotational picture in US sectors! Watching XLE, XLI and XLB for opportunities

Very clear rotational picture in US sectors! Watching XLE, XLI and XLB for opportunities

The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotational picture for US sectors. For a change the rotations are well defined and clearly visible, which immediately raises the question; " For how long?" I will try to answer the question, but no-one ever said it was easy.. ;) Summary * Well defined...   READ MORE 

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Financials are leading but they are not all equally good

Financials are leading but they are not all equally good

After the dust has settled, it is time to assess what is going on under the hood. The above Relative Rotation Graph holds the 30 Dow Jones Industrials components. As usual, they are fairly evenly spread out over the canvas of the RRG plot. From the RRG of the US...   READ MORE 

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How to use Relative Rotation Graphs to monitor your portfolio.

How to use Relative Rotation Graphs to monitor your portfolio.

As (many of) you may know my fellow commentator Arthur Hill lives in Belgium. That makes him, geographically, my closest StockCharts.com colleague. On Tuesday 8 November, indeed election day, the Amsterdam chapter of the MTA (Market Technicians Association) had Katie Stockton of BTIG over as a guest speaker for...   READ MORE 

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Bond market charts look horrible but they show positive rotation on RRG

Bond market charts look horrible but they show positive rotation on RRG

The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation of various asset classes against VBINX, a balanced index fund holding 60% in equities and 40% in bonds. The current rotational picture is highlighting a pretty clear rotational picture for various (groups of) asset classes. The most important observation is that all...   READ MORE