The rough ride down in the markets last Friday was something that was probably expected by many but still came as a surprise. I am not a big fan of “calling tops”, or troughs for that matter. Mainly because many of these “predictions” have had many failed attempts to “call... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph shows the positions of US sectors against SPY as of 26 Jan. Sometimes the rotational patterns are not so clear but in this example, there is one observation sending a screaming message: Avoid Real-Estate and Utilities. At the other end of the spectrum inside the leading... READ MORE
In my last blog, we looked at the 30 components of the Dow Jones Industrials Index and more specifically at the relative positioning and relative rotation of these 30 stocks around their common denominator the DJ Industrials index ($INDU). And despite the fact that this is valuable information you may... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph shows the members of the DJ Industrials index against $INDU. This is a so-called closed universe which means that all elements that make up the universe are present in the plot. If we would calculate all the distances (vectors) from the center of the chart to... READ MORE
As 2017 draws to an end, the Relative Rotation Graph for asset classes is sending a very clear message! Equities are leading the way into 2018! The RRG above shows some ETFs representing various asset classes and uses VBINX, a balanced index fund, as the benchmark. With only SPY, representing... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors is showing us three sectors to avoid but also two which may offer good potential. Inside the leading quadrant, we find XLK and XLF still being the strongest sector in US equity market based on their JdK RS-Ratio reading. Energy (XLE) started heading... READ MORE
Last week Wednesday (29 November) I was the guest of Tom and Erin in the Market Watchers Live show. During the show, we talked a lot about RRG, Relative Rotation Graphs, covering some basics and some new(er) techniques and interpretations that I have been working on. If you missed... READ MORE
Above is the Relative Rotation Graph for the DJ Industrials index, comparing the relative rotation of all members around $INDU. On this chart, a few stocks stand out because of their clear directional moves. Inside the leading quadrant, INTC, CSCO, and WMT are pulling away from the crowd further into... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows all the members of the S&P 500 Energy sector against XLE, the ETF that tracks the Energy sector price index. The main reason for looking at this universe at the moment is the fact that the sector (XLE) on the RRG for... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above plots a number of world equity markets against the FTSE all-world index and shows their relative rotation around this benchmark. With all the chatter going around on the S&P 50o index camping in the nose-bleed area this gives a refreshing angle to look... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above holds six ETF that represent various asset classes. The picture gives you the big picture of what is going on at asset class level on a relative basis against VBINX which is a Vanguard balanced index fund (60% equity / 40% bonds). This one frame immediately... READ MORE
In the top-right corner of the homepage at StockCharts.com, there is a table that holds "Market Movers". It defaults to the top10 "most active" in the S&P 500 but you can change that using the buttons and drop-downs. Below the table, you will... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows seven sectors clustered around the benchmark in the middle of the graph (SPY) and three of them further away. XLE is more or less detached from the rest of the universe while XLP and XLY are breaking away together and heading deeper... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation of the three size indices that make up the S&P Composite 1500 index. Although the S&P 500 large cap index ($SPX) is still clearly on the right-hand side of the RRG, making very small rotations close to the... READ MORE
Plenty of actionable rotation towards the edges of the Relative Rotation Graph above. The RRG holds the 30 members of the Dow Jones Industrials index. Scanning around the outside of the chart the following stocks draw the attention. In the weakening quadrant, MCD is at the lowest JdK RS-Momentum reading... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the ten sector SPDR ETFs that make up the complete S&P 500 index (SPY). At the moment the positioning of the various sectors and their rotational patterns are relatively evenly spread over the RRG canvas except for XLE which is far away... READ MORE
Bringing up the Relative Rotation Graph that holds all members of the Utilities sector (XLU) gives the picture above. With NRG all the way up in the top-right corner of the leading quadrant and SCG in the lower left-hand corner of the lagging quadrant, the remaining stocks in the sector... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the US sector universe based on S&P 500 indices (ETFs). Two sectors stand out on this chart. These are Energy (XLE) inside the improving quadrant but at low levels on the JdK RS-Ratio axis, and Financials (XLF) inside the Leading quadrant which... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrials Index and compares their relative rotation to $INDU. From the first observation of this chart, a few tails/stocks catch the eye. First, there is BA in the top-right, leading, quadrant still powering further... READ MORE
The above Relative Rotation Graph holds some ETFs representing various asset classes and compares the against VBINX, a balanced index fund that holds 60% equities and 40% bonds. The most striking observation is the fact that there is only one asset class on the right-hand side of the plot AND... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the constituents of the Materials sector (XLB). The picture shows a fairly evenly distributed pattern with no real stocks standing out, maybe with the exception of MOS as it has the longest tail of all stocks on the graph while being at the lowest... READ MORE
The above Relative Rotation Graph holds the main commodity groups (BCOM family) and uses the Bloomberg Commodity Index as the benchmark. The opposite directions in the rotations of Industrial metals ($BCOMINTR) and Precious metals ($BCOMPRTR) stand out for me. As they are both on the right-hand side of the graph... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the relative rotation, on a weekly basis, for the G10 currencies using the USD as the base. For a better understanding of how to use RRGs to monitor currency rotation please refer to this blog article on the subject. Looking at the RRG above... READ MORE
The almost vertical tails on the above Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors indicates a very clear (relative) momentum rotation, sending some sectors from North to South and vice versa. The two most obvious tails on the RRG are for XLE, far away on the left while sharply hooking upward,... READ MORE
Watching the 30 members of the Dow Jones Industrials index on a Relative Rotation Graph always provides a great insight into what's going on under the hood of that universe. The first quick takes from the graph above are a fairly evenly spread universe with no big outliers... READ MORE
This Relative Rotation Graph for Asset Classes shows Commodities (DJP) far away in the bottom-left corner of the chart, completely detached from the others. At, by far, the lowest readings on the JdK RS-Ratio axis, DJP moved higher on the JdK RS-Momentum axis for a few weeks but recently turned... READ MORE
This Relative Rotation Graph holds the top 50 (based on market cap) members of the S&P 500 Industrials sector index (XLI). This sector accounts for just over 10% of the S&P 500 market cap and is the fifth largest sector in this index. At the moment... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows four sectors with rotational patterns that catch the eye and deserve a further investigation. Inside the lagging quadrant, these are Energy (XLE) and Financials (XLF) and inside the leading quadrant, I am looking at Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY). The balance... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for the 30 DJ Industrials (INDU) stocks once again presents us with some interesting insights. From the picture above we can read that AAPL is still the strongest stock in this universe with the highest JdK RS-Ratio reading and still inside the leading quadrant. Inside the... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph for asset classes shows that not a single category is inside the leading quadrant at the moment and only one asset class, equities (SPY), is on the right-hand side of the plot. The quick take from this reading is that only SPY, asset class equities, is... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the stocks that, together, make up the Utilities sector index (XLU). The keen observer may notice that there is one stock, NRG, positioned in the "gutter" of the chart. This is done on purpose as NRG is so far out to the... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph above holds some the major world market indices and compares them to the FTSE all world index ($FAW) as the benchmark. Straight from the RRG above we can make a few interesting observations. Starting in the lagging quadrant, we find continued weakness for China ($FTX) and... READ MORE
Most of the time Relative Rotation Graphs are used to visualize stock-related universes but please "Don't Ignore the fact" that RRGs can be used to visualize the rotation of any universe that holds comparable securities. In the chart above I have plotted the rotations for all... READ MORE
This post looks at the rotation of US sectors again. The Relative Rotation Graph above holds the ETFs that track the performance of US sectors. Pretty much immediately the attention goes out to the Energy sector (XLE) and the Financials sector (XLF) as they stand out because of the length... READ MORE
... And they both show very weak rotations on the Relative Rotation Graph of the DJ Industrials components. XOM rotated negatively while inside the lagging quadrant and CVX just crossed over into the lowe-left part coming from weakening. These are the two names to avoid in this universe. They are closely... READ MORE
Summary * Opposite rotations for Equities and Bonds on both weekly and daily RRGs * Rapid weakening of commodities over past six weeks * Current positioning of SPY suggests some short-term weakness before resuming trend * IEF in consolidation pattern after breaking long-term uptrend * Double divergence in SPY:IEF ratio points to potential corrective... READ MORE
Summary * XLK only sector inside leading quadrant for S&P 500 universe * QCOM nosediving inside Lagging quadrant * NVDA rapidly losing its top position within the sector * WDC tracking MU lower into the weakening quadrant * GLW providing excellent example of stable uptrend (price and relative) * ADBE pushing into leading from... READ MORE
Summary * NO sectors inside the lagging quadrant and only one in leading * Sector rotation suggests market in transition * Financials continue to loose ground vs Healthcare * Technology picking up against Materials * Sector rotation from Energy to Utilities starting to shape up Quick scan A first look at the Relative Rotation Graph... READ MORE
Summary * Inside Financials, money is shifting from GS & JPM to V * AAPL turning back up towards leading quadrant, makes it leading stock in technology * XOM and CVX confirm weak rotation for Energy sector * Opposite rotations for DIS and WMT inside Staples sector Quick scan The Relative Rotation Graph above... READ MORE
The Relative Rotation Graph holding a number of asset class ETFs is showing a strong push of commodities (DJP) into the leading quadrant. Together with Real Estate (VNQ), these two asset classes are showing the most powerful headings in combination with the longest tails. They deserve a further investigation. Summary... READ MORE