In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the markets from an asset allocation perspective using various RRGs. Stocks are (still) beating bonds, while commodities are rotating out of favor and the USD is losing steam. BTC is jumping higher off support, and the Yield Curve is steepening against... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius continues to look at the narrowing market breadth and puts things into (another) perspective. The conclusion remains the same: it's a Risk-ON market, but the Risk is BIG. This video was originally broadcast on July 9, 2024. Click anywhere on the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Today, we're looking at market breadth from a different perspective * In this article, we'll plot major US stockmarket indices on a Relative Rotation Graph * Even inside the NYFANG index, the base is narrow There's been much chatter and mentions of weak or... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the long-term trends as they are playing out on the monthly S&P 500 sector charts. He takes a look into the future using the expected seasonal trends for the month of July. Markets are still going higher, but the path... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotation among growth/value and size segments, followed by a look at current sector rotation. He detects an intraday sector rotation he has never seen before, which could be the prelude for a larger move. This video was originally... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The number of new 52-week highs is declining * The percentages of stocks trading above 200-,50-, and 20-day Exp Moving Averages are declining * Despiote narrowing breadth, the S&P continues higher While the S&P 500 continues to move higher, the number of stocks participating to... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius shares a rare RRG rotational pattern that he's never seen before! He then follows up with a breakdown of the current sector rotation into offensive, defensive, and sensitive, and finds that only one sector is on a positive relative trajectory... which... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius examines the theoretical sector rotation model and aligns it with current state of sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, and the phase of the economy. He makes some interesting observations and highlights some flashing warning signals. Check out Julius' Macroeconomic Variables/Metrics... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Only Large-Cap Growth is on a positive RRG-Heading * No segment, except LC Growth, has managed to take out its late March high * $DJUSGL setting up for negative divergences Breaking Down Into Growth / Value Using Relative Rotation Graphs to help break down the US stock market into various segments... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius uses the S&P 500 Sector Indexes to assess the long term price trends on the completed monthly charts for May, then discusses the long-term relative trends on a monthly RRG. Julius highlights the continued relative strength for Technology, Communication Services and... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the differences in rotation between cap-weighted and equal-weighted sectors and sees a warning signal for GOOGL. He also examines the Communications Sector vs. the Equal-Weighted ETF. This video was originally broadcast on May 28, 2024. Click anywhere on the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Defensive sector rotation remains a concern. * AMZN & TSLA are both strong, but XLY remains in relative downtrend. * Large Cap Growth is the only segment on a strong RRG-Heading. Concerns Remain My concerns about current market developments, which I voiced in last week's article, are still... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the quality of the breakout in the S&P 500, using sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, the volume pattern in the S&P 500 and the relationship between stocks and bonds. This video was originally broadcast on May 20,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector rotation still pointing to defense * Upward break in SPY not supported by volume * Asset class rotation starting to rotate in favor of bonds No Confirmation In Volume This week, the S&P 500 is breaking out above its previous high, undeniably a bullish sign. After the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * XLF on strong RRG-Heading, rotating back into leading quadrant * XLF price approaching overhead resistance after short setback * Three major financial stocks ready for upward breaks to lead the sector higher The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows long tails for XLE and XLU. Both are on a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Comparing equal-weighted and cap-weighted sectors on a Relative Rotation Graph can offer interesting insights * When the trajectory of the tails and their position on the chart differ significantly, further investigation is warranted * At the moment, two sectors are showing such divergences All on the Same Track... or? The... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Value stocks are taking over the lead from Growth * When Value beats Growth, the S&P 500 usually does not do too well * The strength of Value is surfacing across all size segments of the market * Important support areas for SPY at 480 and 460 Value Taking... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The energy sector remains on a very strong rotational path * A completed top formation in Healthcare opens up significant downside risk * Smaller Technology stocks are taking over from mega-cap names A Sector Rotation Summary A quick assessment of current sector rotation on the weekly Relative Rotation Graph: XLB:... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy sector is breaking higher on price chart * XLE's RRG tail is continuing to pick up steam * The exploration & production industry is leading inside the energy sector Strong Rotation on the Weekly RRG For a few weeks now, the improvement in the energy sector (XLE)... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Consumer Discretionary Beating Staples * Sectors Pushing Against Major Resistance Levels Summary The Relative Rotation Graph for US Sectors for this week mainly shows a continuation of the rotations as they were underway last week. XLB: This is moving from lagging into improving at a strong RRG-Heading, underscoring the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Energy sector showing relative strength in three timeframes * The sector is nearing a heavy resistance area * A long-term turnaround in relative strength appears to be underway Energy Improving in Three Time Frames Watching the sector rotation at the start of this week shows a continued improvement for the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * NYFANG+ Index at elevated levels in strong uptrend. * New long positions are exposed to high risk. * I found a pair trading opportunity within the NYFANG universe to avoid directional market risk. It is no secret that the NYFANG+ Index is still in in incredible up-run after bottoming out... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I separate the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive, assessing their group rotational patterns to see if there is any alignment with the current technical condition of the S&P 500. After... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Looking at Risk ON / OFF through BETA * RRG shows mixed rotations * SPY Uptrend intact with limited downside risk BETA One of the Risk ON/OFF metrics I like to keep an eye on is BETA. From Investopedia: —systematic risk— I have updated my spreadsheet with last year'... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with an assessment of the daily and weekly charts for SPY, trying to put recent developments into perspective. Then, I go over various Relative Rotation Graphs slicing the market down into various-size segments, as well as growth and... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Bring the New Market Factors Panel to a Relative Rotation Graph * Same approach using different index family shows a different image With the release of the new Panels feature on the StockCharts dashboard, there are a lot of ways that users of RRG charts can take advantage! Let&... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I review the monthly charts for January 2024, in combination with the Relative Rotation on the Monthly RRGs for asset classes and sectors. At asset class level, the preference for stocks over bonds remains clearly visible. Looking at the monthly... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Not all is what it looks like inside the Consumer Discretionary Sector * Using Cap-weighted vs. Equal-Weighted Sectors on RRG reveals underlying differences * Mega-cap Stocks are dragging XLY down * Using a Simple Scan Leads to four interesting charts Cap-Weighted vs. Equal-Weighted Sometimes, you need to look a little further.... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after a quick look at asset class rotation and sector rotation for US stocks, I dive into a comparison of cap-weighted sectors vs. equal-weighted sectors and find a big difference for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which underscores and supports the... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the short-term weakness in BTC, the price strength in USD, and the clear strength of stocks over all other asset classes. In sectors, I analyze the continuing rotation out of defensive sectors, which is another positive for stocks... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Commodities and USD rotating deep inside the lagging quadrant, indicating weak relative strength * Bitcoin is in a strong relative uptrend vs all other asset classes, but going through a corrective phase * Stocks are the clear winner in this asset allocation battle The RRG above shows the rotation of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * EUR/USD executes bearish flag formation * Leaves rising trend channel by breaking rising support line as a result After a rally from $1.045 to a high of $1.1140 from October to December 2023, the EUR/USD exchange rate has now executed a bearish flag formation, which... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at asset class rotation and examine the continued preference for stocks over bonds. After that, I move on to sector rotation and the Technology sector, breaking it down into industry groups and plotting them on a Relative Rotation... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Using RRG to see Large-Cap vs Small-Cap sector rotation * The current strength for Small-Cap stocks vs Large-Caps is evident At the end of last year, I wrote a blog article about the relationship between Large-Cap and Equal-Weight sectors. It involved plotting the ratios of the large-cap sector ETFs... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Stocks Showing Relative Strength in All Time Frames on RRG On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, 2024's first episode, I dive into both Asset Class and Sector Rotation to set the stage for 2024. Today, I focus on a synchronized rotation of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY is testing, maybe breaking, short-term support * Next support in 455 area * Financials sector tails on daily and weekly RRG moving back in sync * All banks inside the leading quadrant HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! (I guess that is still allowed on day 5...) Let's kick off the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Money rotating away from large-cap stocks * Re-distribution and new inflow to mid- and small-caps * Majority of sectors show preference for equal weight ETFs over Cap-Weighted counterparts I have used this Relative Rotation Graph regularly in the past few weeks to indicate the ongoing rotation out of large-cap stocks... READ MORE
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, the last one of the year 2023, I assess current rotations in asset classes, as well as US sectors. This big picture calls for a continued/renewed strength for stocks over bonds. As I observe, money is rotating out of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Growth and Value are moving together in an unusual rotation * Money from large-cap stocks being distributed into mid- and small-cap segments * Even all Mag7 names dropping in price is not enough to pull down benchmark indices Something Strange is Going On Or, at least, something unusual. On the... READ MORE
For the 200th episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I inviteWall Street legend Sam Stovall for an entertaining discussion. Before that, I starts the show with a short look at current market rotations, highlighting the increasing relative weakness for the Energy Sector. I also note money rotating out... READ MORE