KEY TAKEAWAYS * Asian stock markets showing strong relative trends. * Meanwhile, India, Mexico, and Brazil are nosediving. * Overall, the US is stull beating Europe. The global stock market is a big place, and it extends far beyond the borders of the United States. While the US market is undeniably the largest... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius begins by looking back at the completed monthly bars for October to assess the long term trends in the 11 S&P sectors. He follows that up with an updated view for SPY in coming weeks. After that, Julius looks forward using... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector Rotation Model and current sector rotation are not supporting broad market strength. * Plotting the members of $INDU on a Relative Rotation Graph helps find the best names in that universe. * TRV, WMT, and AXP are still strong, but now have too much risk for new positions. * CAT,... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius dives in to the sector rotation model, trying to find any alignment between theoretical and real-life rotations of sectors in combination with the economic cycle. The positions of the various sectors and the economic indicators that are part of this model are not... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY is starting to resolve its negative divergence with RSI. * Large-cap growth is coming back into favor. * Magnificent 7 stocks provided 2.9% of the S&P 50's 6.8% performance over the past five weeks. Where is the Recent Performance in the S&... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius presents a few conflicting rotations and signals that continue to warrant caution while the S&P 500 keeps hovering just above support. With the negative divergences between price and MACD/RSI remaining intact, SPY should not break 565. Julius looks at rotations... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius explores the October seasonal outlook for the S&P 500 and various sectors. Seasonality suggests a potential rise in the S&P 500, fueled by strength in technology, but there are still concerns about the ongoing negative divergence between price and... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a detailed look at the monthly charts for all US sectors and the S&P 500. With many sectors breaking to new highs, he highlights how the long-term uptrend for the S&P 500 remains intact. Julius also examines the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Negative divergence remains a distracting factor * Defensive rotation still present * Industrials and Materials on positive track toward leading RRG quadrant Despite a backdrop of conflicting market signals, there are still sectors within the S&P 500 that are showing promising movements and potential opportunities for investors. Today,... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses current rotations in asset classes and US sectors using Relative Rotation Graphs, finding a lot of contradictory behavior. Taking a step back, he focuses on the weekly timeframe to find some more meaningful trends and shy away from day-to-day noise. He then... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector Rotation remains defensive * S&P chart showing resemblence to late 2021 * Negative divergences still in play First of all, I apologize for my absence this week. I caught something that looked like Covid, and felt like Covid, but it did not identify (pun intended) as Covid.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Tech bounce is judged as recovery within downtrend. * XLP, XLF, and XLV are positioned for outperformance in coming weeks. * The XLP chart is showing interesting characteristics which we have seen before Tech Rallies, But Remains Inside the Lagging Quadrant A quick look at the Relative Rotation Graph for... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotations in an asset allocation RRG. He compares fixed-income-related asset classes, commodities, the US dollar, Bitcoin and stocks to a balanced portfolio of 60% stocks/40% bonds. The long-lasting outperformance of stocks seems to be coming to an end.... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius evaluates the completed monthly charts for August, noting the strength of defensive sectors. He then analyzes a monthly RRG and seeks alignment for the observations from the price charts. Could "sideways" be the most positive scenario for the S&P... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * SPY is pushing against resistance. * The technology sector is out of favor, and semiconductors are a drag for it. * NVDA is big, but it is not the only semiconductor stock. It's All Still Relative The weekly Relative Rotation Graph, as it looks toward the close of... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius addresses the expected sector rotation for the upcoming month of September which is traditionally the weakest month of the year. But what does it mean for sectors and how are current sector rotations shaping up on the Relative Rotation Graphs? Breaking down the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector rotation out of technology * All other sectors are picking up relative strength * Real-Estate, Utilities, and Financials showing strong rotations On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph, the rotation still favors almost every sector over Technology. I discussed the opposite rotations between weekly and daily RRGs in last week&... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the conflicting rotations in both asset classes and equity sectors. The weekly rotations differ significantly from their daily counterparts. What does it mean for the current rally in the S&P 500, and what does it mean for the relationship... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Rotation to large-cap growth is back * And so is the narrow foundation/breadth supporting this rally * Weekly and daily $SPX charts need to get in line Stronger than Expected The recent rally out of the August 5th low is definitely stronger than I had anticipated. I was watching... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses various rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, starting at asset class level and then moving to sectors. Julius zooms in on the industries of two sectors to get an idea of where pockets of out-performance may exist in the current market. He then... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Some real damage for the markets * Equal weight sector rotation paints a more realistic picture * The BIG ROTATION into small caps has come to a halt And then ..... all of a sudden..... things are heating up. Lots of (downside) market action in the past week. Let's... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Strong Sector Rotation Out Of Technology * Financials and Real Estate Lead * Stock/Bond Ratio Triggers Sell Signal Flying Financials In the recent sector rotation, basically OUT of technology and INTO anything else, Financials and Real-Estate led the relative move. On the RRG above, I have highlighted the (daily)... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the markets through the lens of the "market factors" panel you can find on your StockCharts dashboard. Starting from the RRG, he then moves to the individual charts for these factors and notes a low correlation for... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Technology is rotating out of favor * Market Capitalization is a two-edged sword * Negative divergences on Technology and S&P 500 charts are executing Strong Rotations on Daily RRG This daily RRG shows the sector rotation over the last five days. With only one more trading day to... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius looks at the markets from an asset allocation perspective using various RRGs. Stocks are (still) beating bonds, while commodities are rotating out of favor and the USD is losing steam. BTC is jumping higher off support, and the Yield Curve is steepening against... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius continues to look at the narrowing market breadth and puts things into (another) perspective. The conclusion remains the same: it's a Risk-ON market, but the Risk is BIG. This video was originally broadcast on July 9, 2024. Click anywhere on the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Today, we're looking at market breadth from a different perspective * In this article, we'll plot major US stockmarket indices on a Relative Rotation Graph * Even inside the NYFANG index, the base is narrow There's been much chatter and mentions of weak or... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the long-term trends as they are playing out on the monthly S&P 500 sector charts. He takes a look into the future using the expected seasonal trends for the month of July. Markets are still going higher, but the path... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at rotation among growth/value and size segments, followed by a look at current sector rotation. He detects an intraday sector rotation he has never seen before, which could be the prelude for a larger move. This video was originally... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The number of new 52-week highs is declining * The percentages of stocks trading above 200-,50-, and 20-day Exp Moving Averages are declining * Despiote narrowing breadth, the S&P continues higher While the S&P 500 continues to move higher, the number of stocks participating to... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius shares a rare RRG rotational pattern that he's never seen before! He then follows up with a breakdown of the current sector rotation into offensive, defensive, and sensitive, and finds that only one sector is on a positive relative trajectory... which... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius examines the theoretical sector rotation model and aligns it with current state of sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, and the phase of the economy. He makes some interesting observations and highlights some flashing warning signals. Check out Julius' Macroeconomic Variables/Metrics... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Only Large-Cap Growth is on a positive RRG-Heading * No segment, except LC Growth, has managed to take out its late March high * $DJUSGL setting up for negative divergences Breaking Down Into Growth / Value Using Relative Rotation Graphs to help break down the US stock market into various segments... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius uses the S&P 500 Sector Indexes to assess the long term price trends on the completed monthly charts for May, then discusses the long-term relative trends on a monthly RRG. Julius highlights the continued relative strength for Technology, Communication Services and... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius takes a look at the differences in rotation between cap-weighted and equal-weighted sectors and sees a warning signal for GOOGL. He also examines the Communications Sector vs. the Equal-Weighted ETF. This video was originally broadcast on May 28, 2024. Click anywhere on the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Defensive sector rotation remains a concern. * AMZN & TSLA are both strong, but XLY remains in relative downtrend. * Large Cap Growth is the only segment on a strong RRG-Heading. Concerns Remain My concerns about current market developments, which I voiced in last week's article, are still... READ MORE
In this video from StockCharts TV,Julius assesses the quality of the breakout in the S&P 500, using sector rotation on Relative Rotation Graphs, the volume pattern in the S&P 500 and the relationship between stocks and bonds. This video was originally broadcast on May 20,... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Sector rotation still pointing to defense * Upward break in SPY not supported by volume * Asset class rotation starting to rotate in favor of bonds No Confirmation In Volume This week, the S&P 500 is breaking out above its previous high, undeniably a bullish sign. After the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * XLF on strong RRG-Heading, rotating back into leading quadrant * XLF price approaching overhead resistance after short setback * Three major financial stocks ready for upward breaks to lead the sector higher The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors shows long tails for XLE and XLU. Both are on a... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Comparing equal-weighted and cap-weighted sectors on a Relative Rotation Graph can offer interesting insights * When the trajectory of the tails and their position on the chart differ significantly, further investigation is warranted * At the moment, two sectors are showing such divergences All on the Same Track... or? The... READ MORE