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This Is The Only Segment Of The Market Worth Paying Attention To Now
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Growth-Value Rotating Back in Favor of Growth
* Large-Cap stocks picking up Strength Over Mid- and Small-cap segments
* Hence, Large-Cap Growth Stands out Positively
RRG sending a clear message
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for the combined Size and Growth/Value segments in the market.
And...
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Sector Spotlight: The Current State of ARGoN -- Applying the Concept to 30 DOW Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I continue my chat with Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio.
After recording our previous video (see here!), I put Ralph on the spot, and together we flip through the 30 Dow stocks, calling the current price and relative...
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Sector Spotlight: The Story of ARGoN (Acampora's Relative Grid of Nine)
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I chat with guest Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio in Redmond, WA. We discuss the birth of ARGoN, a special way of looking at markets from both a price and a relative perspective.
Once upon a time, Ralph...
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Looks Like a Strong Rotation to The Leading RRG Quadrant is Around the Corner for Three Sectors
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Three Sectors Are Ready to Rotate Back Towards the Leading Quadrant
* Technology, Discretionary, and Communication Services Together Are Almost Half Of Total Market Cap
* Daily Tails for these sectors are supporting the looming positive rotation for their weekly counterparts
First of all, for those who are awaiting a...
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Sector Spotlight: Monthly RRG Shows Preference for Stocks Over Bonds
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The month of August has come to an end, and that means a focus on long-term trends, using monthly Relative Rotation Graphs in combination with the finalized price (bar-)charts for August, on this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. Julius de Kempenaer assesses the rotations of asset...
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Sector Spotlight: Three Takeaways from Seasonal Sector Rotation
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In August's last regular episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the seasonal patterns in sector rotation and looks to find alignment with the current rotations as they are playing out on the Relative Rotation Graph. September is not the strongest month in terms of...
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Watch These Four Horrible Charts in the Dow Jones Industrials Index
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* $INDU chart resting at double support and likely to bounce higher
* Outperform the index by avoiding four stocks
The Relative Rotation Graph above, which shows the rotations inside the DJ Industrials index, exhibits an evenly-spread-out universe of stocks. This is primarily the result of $INDU being a price-weighted...
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Sector Spotlight: This Powerful Use of RRG Will Make Your Head Spin
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at the Relative Rotation Graphs for cap-weighted and equal-weighted sectors side by side, then make an assessment regarding his preference for each of them. I then zoom in on the chart technical comparisons for four sectors. Finally, I...
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US Stocks Are Lagging The World For Now, But This Alternative Could Skyrocket
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* US stocks are lagging the world on RRG
* The Indonesian stock market looks ready to jump
* The iShares EIDO (MSCI Indonesia) ETF can be used to play that market
Let's take a look at the rotation of stock markets around the world. The Relative Rotation Graph...
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Sector Spotlight: Money Rotating Out of Large-Cap Growth Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after an assessment of weekly rotations on Relative Rotation Graphs for US sectors, I address the shorter rotations this week, trying to find whether some of these daily rotations managed to get in sync with their weekly counterparts (spoiler alert:...
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Sector Spotlight: Risk to S&P as Technology Under Pressure
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at the rotations for asset classes and sectors. The current state of the rotations in asset classes shows Bitcoin and Commodities far away from the benchmark, which could provide ample opportunities to benefit from larger moves...
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RRG Finds Three Strong Stocks in Materials Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Materials Sector Steering Towards Leading Quadrant at Strong RRG Heading
* Twelve Stocks In the Materials Sector are at a North Eastern Trajectory
* PKG, WRK, and NUE look particularly interesting
Looking at the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, we can see the Materials sector pops up as potentially...
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Sector Spotlight: Industrials & Tech Headed to Uncharted Territory
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, on this first day of of August, I go over the completed monthly sector charts for July, looking for trends and support/resistance levels. I then wrap all of this up in a table, and finally talks the monthly Relative...
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Sector Spotlight: Energy & Tech's Opposite Seasonal Rotations
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, on this last day of July, I look at the expected seasonal patterns for the coming month of August and examine whether the current sector rotation, as seen on the Relative Rotation Graphs for any of the sectors, lines up...
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Surging Trucks Are Driving The Industrials Sector Higher
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Industrials sector XLI broke to new highs and is on a strong rotational path on the Relative Rotation Graph
* Within the sector the groups "Commercial Vehicles & Trucks" and "Trucking" stand out
* These groups are taking over from Airlines and Construction which have been...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Says Bull Market in Full Swing
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, using the sector rotation model, I make an assessment of the current economic phase and how that aligns with the current sector rotation and alignment of four macroeconomic indicators. Along the way, I also show you where you can find...
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Sector Spotlight: Latest Drop in US Dollar Sending Markets Higher
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the recent drop in the US dollar and its effect on the US stock market. The asset class segment is then followed by a look at current sector rotation and the increasing number of stocks in the S&...
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Sector Spotlight Special: The Impact of Using Different Benchmarks for RRG!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this special episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the impact of using different benchmarks on Relative Rotation Graphs and the opportunities for investors to adapt the use of RRGs in different circumstances.
This video was originally broadcast on July 15, 2023. Click anywhere on the...
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Low Vol-to-High Beta Stock Rotation is Surging
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* High BETA vs Low Vol Comparison as an alternative Risk ON/OFF metric
* SPHB:SPLV showing strength for High BETA stocks in all three time frames (M,W,D)
* Preference for High BETA confirms current sector rotation out of defensive sectors
In this week's episode of...
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What The HECK?! Can an Inverted Yield Curve Really Be Bullish?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest host Julius de Kempenaer talks to Todd Gordon of TradingAnalysis.com. They cover a broad spectrum of topics, ranging from the big macro picture, to growth value rotation, to the current strength in the consumer discretionary. In the 3-in-3...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Out of Defensive into Offensive
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I go over the current status of asset class rotation, noting the ongoing strength for stocks vis-a-vis other asset classes. After that, he moves to sector rotation and uses the breakdown of the sector universe into offensive, defensive, and sensitive...
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Sector Spotlight: Two Sectors Hitting New All-Time Closing High
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I assess the monthly charts following the end of June. Bond-related asset classes remain vulnerable, while commodities are struggling to remain afloat. The stock/bond ratio is now sending a very clear signal. In US sectors, all eyes are on...
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Small-Cap Value Stocks Unexpected Driver for Market
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Rotation continues in favor of growth
* Large Cap Segments Generally Beating Value
* Small-Cap Value Stocks Stand Out
Growth, Value, Size
It has been a while since I addressed the rotations of Growth vs. Value and their different size variations. The RRG above shows these rotations on the weekly...
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Sector Spotlight: Stocks Lining Up for a Strong July
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look ahead to the month of July and what we can expect based on 20 years of seasonal performance. I then align that information with the current rotations for the various sectors in order to find interesting opportunities on...
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Sector Spotlight: Bonds Surrender to Strong US Stock Market
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at Asset Class rotations, highlighting the current strength of US stocks in comparison to Bonds. In the Sector Rotation segment, I address the differences between cap-weighted and equal-weighted sectors and find some interesting stocks inside the...
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Is There Big Tech Trouble in FANG(sta's) Paradise?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Near-Term Rotations
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the stock rotation inside the NYFANG index.
Semiconductor stocks AMD and NVDA have been the leaders over the past weeks/months, but they are now rolling over into weakening and heading toward the lagging quadrant. TSLA and NFLX are still inside the...
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Sector Spotlight: Remarkably Strong Sector Rotation Out of Defense
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I present an in-depth assessment of the current state of rotation in asset classes and sectors, and also share some background on where the split into three groups -- offensive, defensive, and sensitive -- is coming from. Spoiler alert: The...
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Sector Spotlight: May Was NOT a Good Month for Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, wrapping up the month of May, I look back at developments in May for Asset Classes and Sectors. Using Monthly Relative Rotation Graphs and monthly charts, I talk you through the good and the not-so-good parts of the markets, starting...
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How To Benefit From a Big Rotation in Asian Markets
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
It's been a while since we discussed international stock markets.
Above is the Relative Rotation Graph that shows the rotation for a group of international stock market indices against $DJW, The Dow Jones Global Index. Looking at this, chart I see two big(ger) rotations that are probably...
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Sector Spotlight: Will Tech Take a Seasonal Break in June?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, wrapping up the month of May, I dive into the seasonal characteristics of the markets. I start with a quick look back at seasonal rotation during the current month, then assess the seasonal expectation for the S&P 500...
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Sector Spotlight: Big Bases in Technology Support SPY
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at sector rotation while breaking down the universe into offensive, defensive, and sensitive sectors. I then zoom in on the groups that make up the technology sector and some of the stocks in them, where I find a...
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Superior NYFANG+ Performance Leaves S&P 500 in the dust
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The NYSE FANG+ index $NYFANG holds ten of the largest stocks in the US.
1. Alphabet - GOOGL
2. Snowflake - SNOW
3. META Platforms - META
4. NVIDIA Corp - NVDA
5. Amazon - AMZN
6. Microsoft - MSFT
7. Advanced Micro Devices - AMD
8. Apple - AAPL...
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Sector Spotlight: GOOGL and Double Benchmark RRGs
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at developments on asset class level and more specifically, the USD and BTC. I then compare current cap-weighted sector rotation with its equal-weight equivalent to find some interesting differences. Finally, I re-introduce the...
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Sector Spotlight: Sensitive Sectors Showing Strength
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
After looking at the Sector Rotation Model, Seasonality, and Monthly charts in recent episodes, it is time for an assessment of current market rotation again. In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at the rotations for asset classes on weekly...
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Market Holds Up Well as Money Rotates Out of Offensive Sectors
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
While the S&P 500 struggles to push beyond its overhead resistance in the area around 4200, money is rotating out of offensive sectors into defensive AND sensitive.
On the weekly chart, two trading ranges are starting to emerge. The first one is the more narrow one, between roughly...
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Sector Spotlight: Strong Seasonal Sector Rotation
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
This a packed episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight; as you'll notice from the different setup, Julius recorded IN the studio at the StockCharts.com headquarters! With the show on hiatus last and this week being the first Tuesday of the month, Julius covers both the...
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The Birth of Ralph Acampora's Brainchild; ARGoN
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
This journey started back in October 2022. After three years of no traveling and four years not having been to the US, it was finally possible to have an in-person event again, or at least partially.
StockCharts.com has been hosting its bi-annual conference, "ChartCon," since 2011. My...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Suggests Market Ready to Move
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I evaluate the current state of the Sector Rotation Model. Each quarter, I take the elements of the Model, as described by Sam Stovall, and use the charts of four macroeconomic indicators and the monthly RRG to determine where the...
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Sector Spotlight: Surge in Oil Revives Rotation to Energy Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I put the spotlight on Energy, starting off with a look at the rotation of various commodity groups and a focus on the group of Energy-related commodities. Following this assessment, I move to the Energy sector and the stocks inside...
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Sensitive Sectors are Holding the Keys to Unlock Upside Potential
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The daily RRG for US sectors is showing an interesting picture. Out of all eleven sectors, only four are on a negative trajectory.
Industrials is inside the lagging quadrant at a very short tail, and more or less in a static position, which means that the sector is in a...
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