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Sector Spotlight: The Market is Moving Higher, BUT Avoid Real Estate in February!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after a quick look at asset class rotation and sector rotation for US stocks, I dive into a comparison of cap-weighted sectors vs. equal-weighted sectors and find a big difference for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which underscores and supports the...
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Sector Spotlight: US Stocks Once Again Lead the World
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the short-term weakness in BTC, the price strength in USD, and the clear strength of stocks over all other asset classes. In sectors, I analyze the continuing rotation out of defensive sectors, which is another positive for stocks...
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Watch Stocks Triumph in Latest Asset Allocation Battle
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Commodities and USD rotating deep inside the lagging quadrant, indicating weak relative strength
* Bitcoin is in a strong relative uptrend vs all other asset classes, but going through a corrective phase
* Stocks are the clear winner in this asset allocation battle
The RRG above shows the rotation of...
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USD Strength Accelerates After Completing Bearish Flag in EUR/USD
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* EUR/USD executes bearish flag formation
* Leaves rising trend channel by breaking rising support line as a result
After a rally from $1.045 to a high of $1.1140 from October to December 2023, the EUR/USD exchange rate has now executed a bearish flag formation, which...
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Sector Spotlight: Is the S&P 500 Facing a Double Top?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at asset class rotation and examine the continued preference for stocks over bonds. After that, I move on to sector rotation and the Technology sector, breaking it down into industry groups and plotting them on a Relative Rotation...
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View The Large Cap - Small Cap Debate in a Direct Comparison on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Using RRG to see Large-Cap vs Small-Cap sector rotation
* The current strength for Small-Cap stocks vs Large-Caps is evident
At the end of last year, I wrote a blog article about the relationship between Large-Cap and Equal-Weight sectors. It involved plotting the ratios of the large-cap sector ETFs...
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Sector Spotlight: RRG Showing Strong Rotation For Stocks in All Time Frames
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks Showing Relative Strength in All Time Frames on RRG
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, 2024's first episode, I dive into both Asset Class and Sector Rotation to set the stage for 2024. Today, I focus on a synchronized rotation of...
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SPY Resting at Support, But Financials Showing Strength
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* SPY is testing, maybe breaking, short-term support
* Next support in 455 area
* Financials sector tails on daily and weekly RRG moving back in sync
* All banks inside the leading quadrant
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! (I guess that is still allowed on day 5...)
Let's kick off the...
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Which Sectors Benefit Most From the Large- to Mid- & Small-Cap Rotation?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Money rotating away from large-cap stocks
* Re-distribution and new inflow to mid- and small-caps
* Majority of sectors show preference for equal weight ETFs over Cap-Weighted counterparts
I have used this Relative Rotation Graph regularly in the past few weeks to indicate the ongoing rotation out of large-cap stocks...
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Sector Spotlight: Stocks vs. Bonds --The Clear Preference
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, the last one of the year 2023, I assess current rotations in asset classes, as well as US sectors. This big picture calls for a continued/renewed strength for stocks over bonds. As I observe, money is rotating out of...
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Size (Matters) Over Style!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Growth and Value are moving together in an unusual rotation
* Money from large-cap stocks being distributed into mid- and small-cap segments
* Even all Mag7 names dropping in price is not enough to pull down benchmark indices
Something Strange is Going On
Or, at least, something unusual.
On the...
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Sector Spotlight: Timeless Knowledge and Insights into Sector Rotation & Seasonality
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
For the 200th episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I inviteWall Street legend Sam Stovall for an entertaining discussion. Before that, I starts the show with a short look at current market rotations, highlighting the increasing relative weakness for the Energy Sector. I also note money rotating out...
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45% of Market Capitalization In S&P 500 Showing Strong Sector Rotation
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* RRG showing very distinct opposite rotations
* Once Sector Inside Leading and Two Sectors Inside Improving and Pushing toward Leading
* Energy Sector At Risk of Completing a Massive Double Top Formation
Usually, I would do this week's Sector Spotlight on the completed monthly charts for November. But...
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Sector Spotlight: Decoding The S&P's Monthly Behavior With Sector Rotation and Insights!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
It's the end of the month, which means it's time for me to take a look at the seasonal behavior for the S&P 500 and its sectors on this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. Is there is any alignment between historical...
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How RRG Helps Us Find Pair Trading Opportunities
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* DJ Industrials closing in on overhead resistance
* Weekly RRG showing some strong opposite rotations
* Identifying two potential pair trading setups (MSFT-MRK & NKE-CAT)
The Dow Jones Industrial Index ($INDU) is reaching overhead resistance between 35.5k and 35.7k, which means that upside potential is now limited. Even...
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Sector Spotlight: S&P 500 - Consumer Discretionary Sector Holds the Key
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I dive deep into rotations for asset classes and sectors. Bitcoin, as a proxy for crypto currencies as an asset class, is shooting off into the leading quadrant, while commodities are losing strength and stocks are back in the lead....
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation and Macro Insights for the Economic Cycle!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I update the current rotation in sectors and the positioning of macroeconomic variables to make an assessment of the positioning of the stock market within the economic cycle.
This video was originally broadcast on November 14, 2023. Click anywhere on...
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Find Great Trading Ideas By Combining SCTR Rankings and RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Combing Top SCTR rankings with Relative Rotation Graphs provides a powerful combination
* Confirmation between weekly and daily RRG tails sends strong signals
* PLTR, DKNG, COIN, ADBE, NVDA showing strong set-ups
One of the several widgets/panels I have on my dashboard is SCTR Reports. To visualize the group...
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Sector Spotlight: Unleash The Power of Sector Analysis by Plotting Ratio Symbols on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at current sector rotation while comparing cap-weighted sectors with equal weight sectors, trying to find areas of the market where either one of these is dominating. I then demonstrate how to use ratio symbols on Relative...
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Sector Spotlight: Monthly Charts Suggest Downside Risk is Limited
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the completed monthly charts for October and assess the condition of the long term trends, along with whether they are still in play or have shifted. As usual, I start with the long-term rotation and trends in asset...
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Sector Spotlight: Seasonality is Dropping Big Bomb on Real Estate Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the seasonality patterns that are likely to affect stock market and sector performance in the coming month. November is one of the strongest months in the year based on seasonality, but the Real Estate Sector looks to be...
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Bonds Now Beating Stocks While NVDA Goes into Tailspin
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Stock/Bond ratio is changing course
* SPY:IEF complets top formation
* NVDA completes large H&S formation unlocking 20% downside risk
SPY:IEF completes top formation
One of the metrics I keep a close eye on is the ratio between stocks and bonds. Most of the...
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RRG is Sending a Clear Message And Finds Two Stocks With Good Upside Potential
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* RRG is sending a strong message to prefer Growth over Value
* Putting the growth stocks from IVW through a scan and some thorough RRG analyses finds a handful of interesting names
* Two unexpected stocks are showing up as having good upside potential
* Especially growth stocks from Defensive sectors...
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Sector Spotlight: Sensitive Sectors Continue to Prop Up the S&P 500
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of absence, Julius de Kempenaer is back with an in-depth look at the current state of asset class rotation and sector rotation. By slicing sectors into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive groups, he paints a picture with an...
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Sector Rotation Makes Technology Line Up With Strong Seasonality Pattern
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Market is entering strongest period of the year
* Positive seasonal expectations for Technology and Financials
* Weaker outlook for Healthcare and Energy
* Current rotations for Tech and Healthcare are in line with seasonality
We are already in October .... How did that happen?
Also, I am writing this article while...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Sends Mixed Signals
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of non-regular market updates, I'm back with a regular episode. Here, I dive deep into the current state of rotation in asset classes, highlighting the strength of commodities and the opposing rotations for stocks and...
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Sector Rotation Signals an Important Week Ahead for Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Short Term, Risk-Off Sector Rotation While Heading into new week
* Did The Market Complete a H&S Top, or Is SPY Looking For Support?
* 430 Is The Crucial Level To Watch in SPY
First of all, my apologies for everybody who has been waiting for a Sector...
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This Is The Only Segment Of The Market Worth Paying Attention To Now
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Growth-Value Rotating Back in Favor of Growth
* Large-Cap stocks picking up Strength Over Mid- and Small-cap segments
* Hence, Large-Cap Growth Stands out Positively
RRG sending a clear message
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for the combined Size and Growth/Value segments in the market.
And...
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Sector Spotlight: The Current State of ARGoN -- Applying the Concept to 30 DOW Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I continue my chat with Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio.
After recording our previous video (see here!), I put Ralph on the spot, and together we flip through the 30 Dow stocks, calling the current price and relative...
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Sector Spotlight: The Story of ARGoN (Acampora's Relative Grid of Nine)
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I chat with guest Ralph Acampora in the StockCharts.com studio in Redmond, WA. We discuss the birth of ARGoN, a special way of looking at markets from both a price and a relative perspective.
Once upon a time, Ralph...
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Looks Like a Strong Rotation to The Leading RRG Quadrant is Around the Corner for Three Sectors
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Three Sectors Are Ready to Rotate Back Towards the Leading Quadrant
* Technology, Discretionary, and Communication Services Together Are Almost Half Of Total Market Cap
* Daily Tails for these sectors are supporting the looming positive rotation for their weekly counterparts
First of all, for those who are awaiting a...
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Sector Spotlight: Monthly RRG Shows Preference for Stocks Over Bonds
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The month of August has come to an end, and that means a focus on long-term trends, using monthly Relative Rotation Graphs in combination with the finalized price (bar-)charts for August, on this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. Julius de Kempenaer assesses the rotations of asset...
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Sector Spotlight: Three Takeaways from Seasonal Sector Rotation
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In August's last regular episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address the seasonal patterns in sector rotation and looks to find alignment with the current rotations as they are playing out on the Relative Rotation Graph. September is not the strongest month in terms of...
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Watch These Four Horrible Charts in the Dow Jones Industrials Index
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* $INDU chart resting at double support and likely to bounce higher
* Outperform the index by avoiding four stocks
The Relative Rotation Graph above, which shows the rotations inside the DJ Industrials index, exhibits an evenly-spread-out universe of stocks. This is primarily the result of $INDU being a price-weighted...
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Sector Spotlight: This Powerful Use of RRG Will Make Your Head Spin
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at the Relative Rotation Graphs for cap-weighted and equal-weighted sectors side by side, then make an assessment regarding his preference for each of them. I then zoom in on the chart technical comparisons for four sectors. Finally, I...
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US Stocks Are Lagging The World For Now, But This Alternative Could Skyrocket
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* US stocks are lagging the world on RRG
* The Indonesian stock market looks ready to jump
* The iShares EIDO (MSCI Indonesia) ETF can be used to play that market
Let's take a look at the rotation of stock markets around the world. The Relative Rotation Graph...
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Sector Spotlight: Money Rotating Out of Large-Cap Growth Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after an assessment of weekly rotations on Relative Rotation Graphs for US sectors, I address the shorter rotations this week, trying to find whether some of these daily rotations managed to get in sync with their weekly counterparts (spoiler alert:...
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Sector Spotlight: Risk to S&P as Technology Under Pressure
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at the rotations for asset classes and sectors. The current state of the rotations in asset classes shows Bitcoin and Commodities far away from the benchmark, which could provide ample opportunities to benefit from larger moves...
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RRG Finds Three Strong Stocks in Materials Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Materials Sector Steering Towards Leading Quadrant at Strong RRG Heading
* Twelve Stocks In the Materials Sector are at a North Eastern Trajectory
* PKG, WRK, and NUE look particularly interesting
Looking at the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, we can see the Materials sector pops up as potentially...
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Sector Spotlight: Industrials & Tech Headed to Uncharted Territory
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, on this first day of of August, I go over the completed monthly sector charts for July, looking for trends and support/resistance levels. I then wrap all of this up in a table, and finally talks the monthly Relative...
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