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Value Knocks Out Growth
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The RRG below shows the tails for the DJ Growth and -Value indexes against the DJ US index. In January of this year, the Value tail crossed over into the leading quadrant while, at the same time, Growth crossed into the lagging quadrant.
After a strong stint, the tails started...
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Sector Spotlight: It's Just a Bounce for Now
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I talk you through the rotations for asset classes and sectors as they are currently unfolding. At asset class level, the improvement for fixed-income-related assets is worth noticing, as it is pushing stocks (SPY) down and into the lagging quadrant...
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The US is Dragging Stock Markets Around the World Lower
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
For a bird's eye view of developments in international stock markets, I use a Relative Rotation Graph that shows the rotations for a group of international stock indexes.
The RRG below shows the weekly rotation for this group. You can find this under the pre-defined groups in the...
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Sector Spotlight: Bottom-Fishing with RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I very briefly touch on the rotation for asset classes, then spends a bit more time on sectors. I highlight how defensive sectors are still in the driving seat, but also alerting that one sector that could come up as...
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Is $ONE the Better Benchmark to Use With Relative Rotation Graphs?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Following my article "Which Stocks Inside The Dow Are Worth Holding?", I received a few questions on using $ONE as the benchmark for a Relative Rotation Graph and whether it would be the better benchmark to use. The honest answer to that question?
It depends.
Let Me Explain...
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Sector Spotlight: 50% Of Market Cap is Lagging SPY
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after looking at seasonality and long-term monthly charts in the last two episodes, I dive deep into the current sector rotation as it is playing out in the S&P 500 at the moment. The most important takeaway is...
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USD Strength Continues with EUR/USD Arriving at Critical Junction
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph that shows the rotation for currencies against the USD as the base is sending us a very clear picture!
USD Strength
The graph holds the G10 currencies. As we are plotting against the USD base, it means that there are nine tails on the canvas and...
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140 (XLK) And 160 (XLY) Are The Crucial Levels To Watch
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The current sector rotation still shows all defensive sectors inside the leading quadrant, albeit with a slight loss of relative momentum (JdK RS-Momentum scale). Nevertheless, the relative uptrends in those sectors are still intact.
Consumer Staples
Relative strength of the staples sector vs. SPY is in a clear pattern of...
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Sector Spotlight: Monthly Charts Resting at Support
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for this first Tuesday for the month of May, I review the completed monthly charts for April. This process takes up almost the entire show, so you will get a thorough feel for what's going on at the...
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Which Stocks Inside the DOW Are Worth Holding?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
With the general market going through a rough time at the moment, it makes sense to see if we can find pockets that are worth watching and potentially holding in portfolios.
For this occasion, I am using the DJ Industrials universe.
As you know Relative Rotation Graphs are based on...
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Sector Spotlight: Financials at Risk
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, as it is the last Tuesday of the month, I bring in my analysis of the seasonal patterns for sectors for the new month (of May) and try to align them with the current rotations as I see them unfolding...
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How to Ride Out the Bear Market
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
How can we ride out this bear market? Before we can answer that question, we first have to define what qualifies as a bear market. Very often, a decline of 20% or more from the most recent high is used as a yardstick to define a bear market. That seems...
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GOOGL On Track for $2000 Once This Support Level Breaks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
When I brought up the Relative Rotation Graph showing the NYFANG components against $SPX, I made a few interesting observations.
In general, the rotation of almost all tails looks horrible. They are either already inside the lagging quadrant (and) at a negative RRG-Heading, or rotating back to lagging. The two...
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After a Short Break, Value is Ready to Pick Up Again
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this week's episode of Sector Spotlight, I had planned to also do a review of the current growth/value rotation. Due to bad timing on my side, or talking too long on the breakdown of sectors into cyclical, defensive and sensitive in large-cap, equal-weight and small-cap universes,...
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Sector Spotlight: Defense, Defense, Defense!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I briefly look at the current rotations in asset classes, then dive into sectors. After a look at what happened last week, I break down the sector universes into cyclical/offensive, defensive and sensitive, then compare the rotations between large-cap,...
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Sector Spotlight: Market Past Top Shifting Towards Early Recession
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at last week's rotations for asset classes and sectors, noticing the improving relative strength for stocks vs. bonds but a general weakening of both stock and bond markets in price terms. The rapid rise...
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Sector Rotation Model Signals Economy Moving Towards Early Recession
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Every quarter, I try to do an update of the Sector Rotation Model. We have the framework as described by Sam Stovall here on the site. The image above shows my interpretation of the various factors that affect this model.
Across the top, you will find the eleven sectors. The...
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Who Is Swimming Against The Tide?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the members of the DJ Industrials index against $ONE as the benchmark. This way of looking at RRG helps us to gauge the price trends within the universe. You can see quite clearly that the majority of the tails are inside the lagging quadrant,...
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Sector Spotlight: A Killer Combination - Strong Utes and Weak Bonds
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for this first Tuesday in April, I present the monthly charts for asset classes and sectors to the forefront again. After a review of last week's rotations, I bring up the monthly charts for the most important asset...
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A Pretty Clear Message From The Dow Theory
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Sometimes less is more. When things are messy and there are a lot of things that are moving markets I usually like to take a step back and look at some of the very basic stuff to get rid of all the noise and clutter.
On this occasion, I thought...
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Sector Spotlight: Bonds Remain a Threat
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after having missed last week's show, I catch up with a discussion on rotations for asset classes and sectors, in particular pointing out the rapidly-rising interest rates and their potential impact on stocks. The near-term rotations are in...
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A New Round of Crypto Strength Seems to be Around the Corner!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The interest in Bitcoin or, more generally, cryptocurrencies comes and goes, and the moves are highly volatile from time to time. Nevertheless, this investment space is becoming more and more mainstream and, no matter what your personal opinion is, it is more and more a force to be reckoned with....
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Materials are Creeping Up, While PKG Breaks Higher
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The materials sector has recently started to pick up relative strength again following a loss of relative momentum while inside the leading quadrant. The RRG above, with the XLB tail highlighted, is a nice example of how RRG-Velocity, which measures the week-to-week distances on the tail, started to shrink before...
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Sector Spotlight: It's Not Over Yet for Slumping SPY!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I address last week's rotations for asset classes and sectors. After that, I look deeper into the current structure of the S&P 500 chart in combination with the RSI and discuss the interpretation of the current...
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Which Energy Stocks Should You Be Watching?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
It's very clear that the Energy sector is the strongest sector inside the S&P 500 over the last several months.
The tail on the Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation that the sector went through. The "hook" back up to leading from weakening...
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Monero (XMR) Starting To Lead Against BTC
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation for a group of cryptocurrencies against BTC on a daily time frame. Looking at this chart, the tail for $XMRUSD stands out. Almost all the tails are traveling in an NW direction, which means that they are improving against BTC. However, the...
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Don't Be Fooled by a One-Day 2.5% Jump
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Yesterday (Wed 3/9), the S&P bounced up around 2.5%... And although it is a nice jump after all the declines we have seen recently, it doesn't impress me much. At least not enough to get very bullish again all of a sudden.
Of course,...
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Sector Spotlight: Energy and Utilities Jump Amid Market Mayhem
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after another volatile week, I take a look at rotations as they unfolded in Asset Classes and sectors where I find defensive sectors topping the charts. Following the events in Eastern Europe between Russia and Ukraine, I take another look...
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Sector Spotlight: Long-Term Sector Trends are Fading
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, as it is the first Tuesday of the month, I take on the monthly charts for February. After a short look at the current rotations for Asset Classes and Sectors, I jump into the long-term trends as they are unfolding...
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Breaking Down Europe (On the Charts, That Is...)
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In my article for the ChartWatchers newsletter this weekend, I wrote about the rotation of various stock markets against the DJ Global Index. On that Relative Rotation Graph, Europe had moved into the leading quadrant, but has since almost immediately started to lose relative momentum. The US market (SPY) had...
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Waking Up in Europe on Thursday Morning
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
What a surreal experience it was waking up on Thursday morning. Switching on the news and seeing that Russia has actually invaded Ukraine. For us Europeans, wars since WWII have always been fought far away from home in Afghanistan, former Yugoslavia, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, etc. But this is literally in...
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SPY Closing in on Important Support
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this week's episode of Sector Spotlight, I discussed the chart of SPY, as it is approaching an important support area between 420-425. The updated version of this chart is printed above and, as you can see, the market is getting closer and closer to this important support...
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Sector Spotlight: Looking Abroad for Opportunities
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take on the rotations in asset classes and US sectors as they unfolded last week. Because it is the last Tuesday of the month, a look at seasonality, in combination with current rotations, is also on the menu. I...
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Discretionary and Tech Are Crucial for the Direction of the Market
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Correlation is a useful metric to use when trying to gauge the direction of the market.
The table above shows the correlations for the 12 sectors against the S&P 500. In this version, I used a 6-month period to calculate the correlation; the drop-down selector allows users to...
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Sector Spotlight: Old Support Returns as Resistance
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I go over last week's rotations in Asset Classes and Sectors and put these into a weekly perspective. In the Asset Class section, I zoom in on Stocks, Bonds and Commodities. In sectors, I look at rotations for...
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Trouble In FAANG(sta's) Paradise
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
This Relative Rotation Graph shows the rotation for the NYFANG+ members over the last thirteen weeks (quarter). Plotting this universe against the S&P 500 index clearly shows the weakness that crept into this universe recently.
Leading Quadrant
AAPL is the only stock that managed to keep up inside...
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Semiconductors at Risk!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Technology sector is under pressure for a few weeks already. We have seen a few attempts to bounce back but, so far, these have not been very successful.
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the groups within the technology sector. The Semiconductors group was a major contributor on the...
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Sector Spotlight: Bonds Take a Nosedive
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after last week's look at long-term trends on monthly charts, I focus on daily and weekly rotations as I see them in asset classes and sectors. In the asset class segment, developments in the bond markets play a...
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Sector Rotation to Defense Continues
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Big drops call for big recoveries, but it's dangerous to watch these moves in isolation.
The S&P 500 dropped roughly 60 points from its peak at 480 at the start of the year to find a low recently around 420. Out of that low, the market...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Charts Showing Nasty Reversal Bars
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after a volatile week in the markets and the completion of the monthly charts for January on Monday (1/31), now is a perfect moment to take a good look at the developments on these long-term charts. In the Asset...
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