Julius de Kempenaer

Julius de Kempenaer


Julius is a CMT and the creator of Relative Rotation Graphs™. This unique method to visualize relative strength within a universe of securities first launched on Bloomberg professional services terminals in 2011 and later on StockCharts in 2014. Learn More 

Archived News

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Sector Spotlight: Stocks Rally, But Monthly Trend Remains Down

Sector Spotlight: Stocks Rally, But Monthly Trend Remains Down

It's the 150th episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight! This week, I tackle the long-term trends in asset classes and sectors, looking at the monthly Relative Rotation Graphs and the monthly price charts. Despite the recent rally in stocks and the strong recovery for most...   READ MORE 

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Strong Rotation to Value Stocks

Strong Rotation to Value Stocks

Over the last 13 weeks, a notable shift from growth to value stocks has taken place. After a rotation from leading, through weakening, into lagging between April and mid-October, the tail for value stocks has re-entered the leading quadrant at a strong RRG-Heading. Generally, value stocks are...   READ MORE 

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SPY Rally While Technology and Discretionary Remain On Negative RRG-Heading

SPY Rally While Technology and Discretionary Remain On Negative RRG-Heading

I don't like it when parts of a puzzle don't match. You just don't get a clear picture. As participants in the markets, we are trying to solve the puzzle of the markets every day/week/month, and at the start of every new...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Inverted Yield Curve Looms Over Stock Market

Sector Spotlight: Inverted Yield Curve Looms Over Stock Market

After one week of hiatus, I'm back with a new episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. I'll be catching up with a refresher on asset class rotation, as well as sector rotation. In the AC segment, I point to the still-inverted yield curve...   READ MORE 

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About That Yield Curve Inversion

About That Yield Curve Inversion

In March 2021, lending money to the US Government for ten years would give you a return of around 1.7%/ann over the next 10 years. Lending money to the government for 2 years at the same time would give you roughly 0.1%/ann for the next 2...   READ MORE 

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Strong Sector Rotation To Financials, But Will It Be Enough to Turn the Market Back Up?

Strong Sector Rotation To Financials, But Will It Be Enough to Turn the Market Back Up?

On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph, the tail for XLF has just crossed over into the leading quadrant while keeping up its rising relative momentum. This makes the financials sector one of the leading sectors in the market at the moment. In the past week, XLF picked up 2.62%...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Stocks and Bonds Both Breaking Major Support Levels

Sector Spotlight: Stocks and Bonds Both Breaking Major Support Levels

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for the first show of October, I address long-term trends using monthly charts. In line with the longer-term perspective of this show, I start both the asset class and the sector rotation segments with a...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Back in Line

Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Back in Line

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I review the current rotations for asset classes, where we find continuing strength for the US dollar and fixed-income-related asset classes, while stocks are rotating back to the lagging quadrant. As it is the last...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Sinking Faster Than Dollar Can Rise -- Time to Broaden Your Horizon

Stocks Sinking Faster Than Dollar Can Rise -- Time to Broaden Your Horizon

When markets across the world and all asset classes are dropping, it's time to put things into (international) perspective and see if any alternatives to US stocks are available. I always keep an eye on this Relative Rotation Graph, which holds a group of international stock market indexes...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: This is Still a Bear Market, Right?

Sector Spotlight: This is Still a Bear Market, Right?

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, at asset class level, I highlight the strength of the USD, which also plays a role in the weakness of BTC. Stocks and bonds did not move much last week, while commodities seem to be turning. Sector...   READ MORE 

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Two Things I Don't Expect to See in a Bear Market

Two Things I Don't Expect to See in a Bear Market

I seriously hope that I was able to make clear in last Tuesday's Sector Spotlight that the market ($SPX) is still on shaky grounds and certainly not (back) in an uptrend. Sure, I mentioned the short-term improvement, which was undeniably there. But also that the upside was...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Picking Up Strength

Consumer Discretionary Picking Up Strength

On the weekly Relative Rotation Graph, the consumer discretionary sector continues to improve and is now pushing further into the leading quadrant. It is now the sector with the highest JdK RS-Momentum reading. The tail length is fairly long compared to the other tails in the universe. All in...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Money Moving Back to XLY and Bitcoin

Sector Spotlight: Money Moving Back to XLY and Bitcoin

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with an overview of the current asset class rotation, using daily and weekly Relative Rotation Graphs. In this segment, I replace VNQ (real estate) with BTC, which better represents the asset class landscape, as Real...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: 6/11 Sectors in Downtrend on Monthly Chart

Sector Spotlight: 6/11 Sectors in Downtrend on Monthly Chart

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for the first Tuesday of September, I dive into the monthly chart, which was completed last Thursday. We kick off with a view of sector rotation using the newly added monthly time frame on Relative Rotation Graphs;...   READ MORE 

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Inside Tech, It's Really AAPL vs. MSFT

Inside Tech, It's Really AAPL vs. MSFT

Plotting the components of the Information Technology Sector against $ONE provides us with a sobering picture. Pretty much every single stock in that index is in a downtrend, inside lagging, and/or inside weakening (and very close to entering lagging). Plotting that same graph on a weekly timeframe shows almost...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Weak Sector Rotation Puts $SPX on Track for 3900

Sector Spotlight: Weak Sector Rotation Puts $SPX on Track for 3900

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at seasonality and try to align the theoretical expectations for the relative performance of sectors against the S&P 500 going into September with the current reality as it is playing out on the...   READ MORE 

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Don't Even Think About Buying... (This Sector)

Don't Even Think About Buying... (This Sector)

Staying out of a sector can be as important as being in the right sector. This is particularly true for the Communication Services Sector, and has been for a long time already. The Relative Rotation Graph above shows the rotation over the last 30 weeks, starting the week of 1/...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Rotation to Utilities Signals Caution for S&P 500

Sector Spotlight: Rotation to Utilities Signals Caution for S&P 500

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I share my thoughts on potential developments for the S&P 500. First, from an asset allocation perspective, I focus on the development of the USD and interest rates in relation to the stock market. Then,...   READ MORE 

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Combining RRG with the Turtle Soup Scan is Now More Powerful

Combining RRG with the Turtle Soup Scan is Now More Powerful

Since my introductory article on the topic, 2018's "Combining Relative Rotation Graphs and the "Turtle Soup" setup", I have mentioned and used this strategy a few times in my articles and analyses. The main goal has been to combine the power of RRG and...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: End of Downtrend ≠ New Uptrend

Sector Spotlight: End of Downtrend ≠ New Uptrend

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at recent rotations in asset classes and sectors. The recent strength for stocks over bonds at asset class level is clear, but the rotational picture for the weekly and daily time frames is...   READ MORE 

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Only Two Sectors are Leading the Charge

Only Two Sectors are Leading the Charge

On the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, there are only two sectors that are leading the market higher. Not surprisingly, these are growth-related sectors, specifically XLK and XLY, which together make up 40% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500 index. In last Tuesday'...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Sectors Kissing Resistance

Sector Spotlight: Sectors Kissing Resistance

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with a look at Growth/Value and Size (Large-, Mid-, and Small-Cap) rotations. After that, I take an extensive look at the rotations of Offensive, Defensive and Sensitive sectors and their individual charts. The...   READ MORE 

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Disconnected EW Sector Rotation Offers Opportunities

Disconnected EW Sector Rotation Offers Opportunities

From time to time, I compare the rotations of the SPDR sectors that we usually use with their EW counterparts. The first RRG below shows the rotations for the SPDR sector spiders (cap-weighted). The second RRG shows the rotations of the Equal Weight sectors. In both, the Energy sector...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Downside Risk Beats Upside Potential

Sector Spotlight: Downside Risk Beats Upside Potential

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start with a look at the current state of Sector Rotation in US stocks. (Normally, I review seasonal patterns in sectors every last Tuesday of the month, but, last week, that segment had to make place...   READ MORE 

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Are You a Short-Term Trader? Watch This!

Are You a Short-Term Trader? Watch This!

Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) were introduced on StockCharts.com in July 2014. Since then, we have had the possibility to render the charts using weekly or daily data. Primarily, I think, because those were the time frames I was, and am, using most of the time for myself and in...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Bouncing Bonds and Intraday RRGs

Sector Spotlight: Bouncing Bonds and Intraday RRGs

This edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight marks an important milestone in the life of RRG on StockCharts.com. Following many user requests, the latest release of new functionalities and improvements (Bainbridge) of the website includes the support for intraday time frames on Relative Rotation Graphs. This addition...   READ MORE 

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5 Interesting Industries In Industrials

5 Interesting Industries In Industrials

In this article, I'd like to dig a bit deeper into the Industrial sector. Starting at the sector level, we find the tail for XLI inside the weakening quadrant and moving towards lagging. So definitely not one of the better sectors. As a matter of fact, it'...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Growth Takes Over (for Now)

Sector Spotlight: Growth Takes Over (for Now)

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I assess the current rotation in asset classes and sectors, highlighting the rotation for commodities, which are going through a setback but are likely to come back as the leading asset class. In equity sectors, I'm seeing an...   READ MORE 

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Sector Rotation (Model) vs Seasonality

Sector Rotation (Model) vs Seasonality

Those of you who regularly watch Sector Spotlight on StockchartsTV will know that I have a few segments that come back on a regular basis. Every last Tuesday of the month I discuss the seasonality for sectors going into the new month to see if the historical seasonal pattern aligns...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Model Says It's Not Over Yet

Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Model Says It's Not Over Yet

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after an update on the current rotations for various asset classes, I look at the sector rotation model and and try to make an assessment on where, and which phase, we currently are in the market cycle. I evaluate the...   READ MORE 

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This Industry Group is Facing 60% Downside Risk

This Industry Group is Facing 60% Downside Risk

The chart above is the monthly chart for the materials sector $SPM, which I discussed in this week's episode of Sector Spotlight while going through the completed monthly charts for June. Materials Sector Completing Big Top Formation $SPM especially stands out, as the sector very clearly completed a...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Bonds Drop, Money Leaves Materials Sector

Sector Spotlight: Bonds Drop, Money Leaves Materials Sector

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, to kick off the month of July, I dive into the status of the long-term trends as they are unfolding on the monthly charts. The main message from the asset classes is that the bond market is clear: Corporate-...   READ MORE 

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Money Rotating Out of Insurance Groups is Splitting The Financials Sector in Two

Money Rotating Out of Insurance Groups is Splitting The Financials Sector in Two

The Financial sector qualifies as an offensive, or cyclical, sector, together with Consumer Discretionary, Real-Estate and Materials. On the Relative Rotation Graph for sectors, XLF is showing up inside the lagging quadrant, signaling a relative downtrend vs. the benchmark (SPY). It is interesting to see that XLF is the...   READ MORE 

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Isn't That Beautiful?

Isn't That Beautiful?

Yes, Technical Analysis can be (very) subjective at times. Different (types of) investors interpret charts differently. And yes, more quant-based technical approaches can make interpretation of charts or time series less subjective. Personally, I am probably somewhere in the middle of the spectrum. BUT, looking at the chart of...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Out of Energy Stocks

Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Out of Energy Stocks

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for this last Tuesday of the month, I take a look at seasonal sector rotation and try to align that with the current reality to see if meaningful matches can be found. For this month, four sectors are providing potentially...   READ MORE 

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The Battle Between Musk & Ma

The Battle Between Musk & Ma

Following the recent bounce in the stock market, predominantly driven by growth stocks, I wanted to investigate the rotations within the NYFANG+ index (or should it be NYMANA, nowadays?). This is a group of mega-cap stocks from the technology, consumer discretionary and communication services sectors. When we look at...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: When Defensive Sectors Break Support...

Sector Spotlight: When Defensive Sectors Break Support...

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I kick off the show by answering two questions from the mailbag. I then move on to the current rotation of asset classes, observing that a more pronounced pause in the turnaround for commodities seems imminent. Meanwhile, signals suggesting a...   READ MORE 

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One Lone Ranger Inside the Technology Sector

One Lone Ranger Inside the Technology Sector

In my previous article, as well as in Tuesday's Sector Spotlight show, I touched on using Relative Rotation Graphs for gauging market breadth, showing this combination chart. This image combines 12 Relative Rotation Graphs using $ONE as the benchmark, and it tells me, and I hope you as...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Tracking the Stock Market Slide on RRG

Sector Spotlight: Tracking the Stock Market Slide on RRG

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I jump right into the rotations for asset classes and sectors. At asset class level, the only things that go up in price are commodities; the USD has made a strong move and is back on track. Meanwhile, both stocks...   READ MORE 

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Sector Rotation At Cross Roads, Defense Likely To Take Back The Lead.

Sector Rotation At Cross Roads, Defense Likely To Take Back The Lead.

Weekly The Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors is arriving at an important juncture. For months the defensive sectors have been the leading segment in the S&P, even before the peak was reached Utilities, Staples, and Healthcare started leading the market from a relative perspective. These sectors were...   READ MORE