* More stock market indicators showing weakness * Bonds close to a breakout * Commodity rally over? * Dollar bottoming or about to break down? More stock market indicators showing weakness Last week I made the case for a correction in the market based on some specific indicators that has started to flash some... READ MORE
* Bullish percent indicators are starting to deteriorate * Short-term confidence may be turning * Small caps getting smaller? * Oversold Dollar Index bounces from support Bullish Percent Index indicators are starting to deteriorate This week we saw the financial media and President Trump glorify the fact that the DJIA had exceeded 22,000... READ MORE
The Market Round Up Video Recording for August is available. Use the HD button for better clarity when viewing. Market Round Up Live With Martin Pring 2017-08-01 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Good luck and good charting, Martin J. Pring The views expressed in this article are those of the... READ MORE
* The longer-term indicators very finely balanced * The Gold/dollar ratio may be providing some leadership * Gold shares may have something to say in the matter The longer-term indicators very finely balanced The price of Gold has been in a trading range since late 2013, and has traded even more narrowly... READ MORE
* The US versus the world * Two reasons why US equities are likely to underperform * What does the rest of the world say? I have been writing for some time that, notwithstanding the inevitable but unpredictable near-term correction, the US market is in good technical shape and likely to work its... READ MORE
* What is a confidence indicator? * Credit Spreads to the rescue * Equity market spreads * Growth versus Value * Small caps: Are we there yet? Washington may be suffering from acute dysfunction but Wall Street doesn’t seem to care, or perhaps knows something that we mere mortals do not. Failure to agree... READ MORE
1. Some Global Equity Markets Getting Lift-off Again 2. US equities trying to follow the global lead 3. Relative trends favor emerging and Europe 4. Technology poised to move higher In terms of price, global equities have been in a corrective mode since late May, but now appear to be... READ MORE
* The Long-term indicators * Gold in Euro and Yen looking sick * Dollar based Gold completes head and shoulders top gold shares not quite there yet * Silver showing signs of tiredness * Stocks breaking out against Gold * The silver lining for Gold Several articles I have written in the last few weeks have... READ MORE
Here is the July video recording for Market Round Up Live 2017-07-05. 2017-07-05 08.02 @Test Market Round Up Live With Martin Pring 2017-07-05 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Good luck and good charting, Martin J. Pring... READ MORE
* Watch those small caps * Dr. Copper about to get better? * Wheat enters a primary bull market * The yen is getting close to a downside breakout * Gold is close to a breakdown Watch those small caps Chart 1 features the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, the IWM, together with its relative strength... READ MORE
* Technical condition poised for an upside breakout in the stock/Gold ratio * The significance for equities and gold from an upside or downside breakout. * Wither the tech stocks? Technical condition poised for an upside breakout in the stock/Gold ratio The ratio ($SPX:$GOLD) between the S&P 500... READ MORE
* The long-term setting * Short-term considerations * Some individual currencies are vulnerable over the short-term * Conclusion The long-term setting A few weeks ago I pointed out that the Dollar Index ($USD) had violated its bull market trendline, as well as the 65-week EMA and 12-month MA, two key long-term smoothings. That type... READ MORE
* Widespread dissemination of tech sell-off * Bears, not so fast * Not all tech sub groups experienced Friday’s selling spree * Commodities are down, but are they out? Widespread dissemination of tech sell-off In the last few days, we have seen a tremendous amount of financial media space alerting us to Friday&... READ MORE
* The head and shoulders that did not “work” * Inflation versus deflation sectors * Which are the financial sector stars? * Why financials matter The head and shoulders that did not “work” On this same date in May we published an article suggesting that financials could be an interesting area to monitor for... READ MORE
Here is the link to this months Market Round Up with Martin Pring for June 2017. Don't forget to use the HD button for better quality. Market Round Up Live With Martin Pring 2017-06-02 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Good luck and good trading, Martin J. Pring... READ MORE
* Long-term background for bonds * Bond Prices at a critical short-term juncture point * Is the 5-year yield forming a massive top? * Utilities moving in sympathy with bonds * Interest sensitive REITS starting to improve * Follow the commodities Long-term background for bonds A lot of people are betting that stronger economic data will... READ MORE
* Lots of supporting breakouts * Confidence ratio on the verge of a major bullish breakout? * Financials: trick or treat? * The US is due for a bounce against the rest of the world * Is it time to play the China card? Lots of supporting breakouts Last week I pointed out that the... READ MORE
* Dollar Index experiences major trendline breaks and MA crossovers * Dollar sympathy relationships confirm a weaker dollar * Emerging currencies are emerging * Some currencies remain in bear market against the dollar Dollar Index experiences major trendline breaks and MA crossovers This week, the US Dollar Index ($USD) violated several key benchmarks, leading... READ MORE
* 10-day ROC for the VIX may have a message for traders * Close that gap on your way out * Financials, a canary in the coal line for stocks in general Last week I wrote about the $VIX and concluded that a low reading, such as we recently saw, usually precedes a... READ MORE
* Trying to replicate the Shanghai Composite with a Chinese ETF * Global Update Years ago, investing in China was a challenging proposition for US based investors. In recent years though, a number of ETF’s have been listed that embrace Chinese Indexes as well as specific sectors. The big daddy of... READ MORE
* The VIX * The Dollar Index * The Euro * Swiss Franc * Japanese Yen The VIX Most of this piece is devoted to the dollar and some interesting looking currencies. However, I have been intrigued by a couple of articles and news stories recently appearing in the general purpose media. They have pointed... READ MORE
* $CRB and oil break to the downside * The stock market says commodities are headed lower * Bond market participants leaning in a deflationary way * Watch those commodity currencies The usual “Sell in May and Go Away” articles are starting to appear bigly, and a case can indeed be made in that... READ MORE
* A few words on long-term charts * US equities starting a period of underperformance? * Overcoming resistance * Chinese equities look vulnerable * Good looking country charts A few words on long-term charts I like looking at short-term charts because you can sometimes pick up some interesting psychological characteristics through divergences, candlesticks and one... READ MORE
Here is the link to the Market Roundup Live by Martin Pring 2017-05-02. Market Round Up Live With Martin Pring 2017-05-02 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Good luck and good charting, Martin J. Pring... READ MORE
* Gold’s long term trading range * Watch those Gold shares for clues about Gold * Hail Silver? Gold’s long term trading range Gold is often regarded as a safe-haven investment, but is more normally held as a hedge against inflation. Chart 1 deflates the price by the CPI, so you... READ MORE
* Bond yields sending a deflationary message * Intermarket signals from equities are close to deflationary signals * So are similar measures for bonds * More on confidence relationships Wednesday’s close saw a lot of key ratios and some markets resting on key trendlines and moving averages. Since these benchmarks represent potential support,... READ MORE
* Recent technical deterioration * Bonds and the recent false upside breakout * Gold’s false breakout also turned out to be “false” The long-term indicators for the equity market continue to look positive, as the major averages are comfortably above their key moving averages. Pretty well all measures of long-term smoothed momentum... READ MORE
1. False moves in the precious metal pits 2. Outside day in silver tips the near-term balance to the bears 3. More false breaks in the bond pits Late last week I wrote that several markets had recently experienced false moves, known as whipsaws. It seems that Friday saw this... READ MORE
* A few words on false moves * US market experiences false upside breakout this week * Whipsaws in the sectors * European currency whipsaws A few words on false moves Prices in financial markets are driven principally by psychology. They effectively reflect people in action. The problem is, that people can and do... READ MORE
Here is a link to this week's video. Market RoundUp With Martin Pring 2017-04-04 from StockCharts.com on Vimeo. Good luck and good charting, Martin J. Pring The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position or opinion of... READ MORE
* Two short-term indicators that can support higher prices * Global equities ex the US are poised for a mega breakout * Three markets poised for a major breakout * Commodities coming to life? It’s a well-known axiom on Wall Street that it’s not the news that is important but the market’... READ MORE
* The TIP/TLT Ratio reflects swings in commodity prices * Watch that Technology/Staples ratio for a possible bullish breakout * US breaking down against Global Equities The TIP/TLT ratio reflects swings in commodity prices When bond yields are compared to commodity prices there is definitely a connection, as we can... READ MORE
* US Dollar completes a head and shoulders top * Dollar right at key up trendline against the rest of the world * Gold caught in a tight trading range * West Texas oil also restrained in a tight trading range * Mexico---a chance to jump over the wall? * Emerging markets to the rescue It... READ MORE
* No consistent relationship between rates and equity prices * Three step and a stumble * Combining interest rate movements with equity trends No consistent relationship between rates and equity prices A lot of prognosticators have recently raised concerns that rising rates will soon affect equities in an adverse way. Last week at... READ MORE
* The global picture * Short-term rates * Longer-term rates * International rates The Global Picture When I talk about interest rates I am referring to a general advance that takes place at both ends of the yield spectrum. I make this reference because in many situations certain maturities and credit qualities do not... READ MORE
* The all-important trading range * The short-term trend for Gold * What’s going on with those Gold shares? * Hail Silver? $GOLD has been rallying of late and the question naturally arises as to whether this advance is for real or is a normal bear market counter-cyclical advance. The answer is not... READ MORE
* How to spot a secular reversal * Not all maturities are created equal * The near-term technical picture How to spot a secular reversal A secular, or very long-term, trend is one that exists over many business cycles or what are usually called primary bull and bear markets. They vary in length... READ MORE
* The Dollar Index -- primary trend * The Dollar Index viewed from the short-term trend * The euro * The yen * The Canadian dollar * Emerging market currencies Expectations were high for the US Dollar ($USD) following the election and indeed, the currency did rally for a while. However, the trend for most of... READ MORE
More stocks trading above their 150-day MA’s Last week I pointed out that many indicators were overstretched, thereby indicating the probability of a correction. I also stated that during a bull market, surprises typically develop on the upside. Consequently, if the market was able to shrug off its overbought... READ MORE
* Market still overstretched * Greater selectivity as the market moves higher * Whatever happened to China? Last week, I pointed out that several indicators were pointing to a short-term correction. I also said that counter-cyclical corrections are difficult to play, essentially because they are usually over before you realize it. To quote... READ MORE