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Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely to Stay in a Range; RRG Chart Shows These Sectors Staying Resilient
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After clocking robust gains in July, the NIFTY started off the first week of August on a positive note. Over the past five sessions, the markets traded in a 374-point range before closing the week with modest gains. The NIFTY stayed above its critical levels on both the daily and...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Makes Some Room for Consolidation at Higher Levels; Expect RRG Leadership From These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After testing a couple of important levels in the week before this one, the NIFTY took a breather and consolidated over the past five sessions. In the previous weekly note, we had highlighted that the momentum at higher levels is diminishing, which might lead to some consolidation at higher levels....
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This Telecom Stock Seems To Be Giving Up...
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The upper extended trend line shows that the Double Top breakout not only fizzled out, but the price action failed to move past that double top resistance several times. This has reinforced the credibility of this resistance.
Presently, the price has slipped below the 50-DMA.
The daily MACD has shown...
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Week Ahead: Chase Momentum Vigilantly If NIFTY Attempts Higher Levels; RRG Chart Show This Sector Taking a U-Turn
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The week before this one had seen the headline index testing a couple of important levels on daily and weekly timeframe charts. On the daily chart, the index had closed a notch above the 200-DMA; on the weekly chart, it had tested the 50-week MA. Over the past five session,...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY has Three Important Levels to Deal With; RRGs Clearly Show Change of Leadership
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous weekly note, we had mentioned that the markets were losing momentum in general despite some measured incremental up moves. The week that went by traded much on the anticipated lines. The trading range increased over the past couple of days as the NIFTY continued to witness selling...
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This Health Care Stock is Poised for a Breakout
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Price action has seen an Ascending Triangle formation in APOLLOHOSP.IN over the past several weeks. In this classically bullish formation, the 200-DMA appears to be acting as a proxy trend line.
The prices have tested the 200-DMA five times; any strong move above this could lead to a breakout....
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Displays Diminishing Momentum; RRG Chart has Only One Sector Comfortably in Leading Quadrant
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The Indian equity markets went on to end their fourth week in a row with gains as the NIFTY extended its up move. However, unlike the previous week, the trading range narrowed down considerably and momentum appeared to be losing its strength as well. As compared to the 400-point trading...
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Probable Breakout From A Bollinger Band Squeeze
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
SRF Ltd - SRF.IN
Over the past several weeks, this stock moved in a capped range which has been getting narrower. The price action has formed a bullish ascending triangle and has also resulted in a classic Bollinger Band Squeeze.
Bollinger bands are over 60% narrower than normal. This...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY To Make Measured Moves; RRG Chart Show Sector Rotation on Expected Lines
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The NIFTY continued its surge for the third week in a row as it extended its gains. In the previous weekly note, we had mentioned the possibilities of the mild extension of the up move. In the week that went by, the NIFTY saw itself oscillating in a slightly expanded...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Crucially Poised Amid Mixed Signals; RRG Chart Shows This Sector Topping Out
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In a relatively less volatile week, the Indian equities continued to surge higher amid liquidity-driven rally. After gaining 2.72% in the week before this one, the NIFTY extended its up move this week as well. The index saw range-bound movement of just 359 points over the past five session,...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY in Striking Distance of this Critical Resistance; RRG Charts Sectors Moving on Expected Lines
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After taking a breather during the week before this one, the Indian equity markets moved higher again and closed the week with decent gains. The trading range remained less wide than in the previous week. The earlier week had seen the NIFTY oscillating in a 784-point wide range; this time,...
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Why INR Is Resilient Against USD
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Despite rising over 20% from the low point seen in March 2020, the Indian equity markets have continued to underperform their global peers. The figures of the recent giant short-squeeze speak for itself. The headline index NIFTY50 has returned 12.99% over the past three months. However, on a year-to-date...
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Special Note: Why This Humble Indicator Should Not Be Ignored
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Moving Averages are one of the most simple and age-old tools within a technician's toolkit.
This humble indicator is nothing more than a smoothing tool, used for smoothing the price data to form a trend following indicator. It does not predict price direction, just the current trend and...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely to Struggle At Higher Levels; RRG Chart Shows Rotation Changing Hands
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After a strong gain of 5.86% in the week prior to this past one, the NIFTY took a breather after rising nearly 1000 points over the past couple of days following a strong liquidity gush fueled by global risk-on environment. The past couple of days stayed volatile, especially the...
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This Pharma Stocks Offers A Potentially Profitable Hedged Option Setup
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Piramal Enterprises Limited -- PEL.IN
The stock has under-performed the Pharma Index over the past couple of weeks. Against the broader markets as well, the stock has not performed while it stayed in a prolonged sideways consolidation.
Currently, it is just broken out on the upside with greater-than-average volumes....
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Week Ahead: These Things Happen in a Risk-On Setup: RRG Shows These Sectors Losing Relative Momentum
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In a yet another week where we witnessed a gush of liquidity continuing to chase the equities, the Indian equity markets saw a buoyant week and ended once again with an up week. The trading range of the week remained wider on the expected lines. The headline index oscillated over...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Moves Towards Major Resistance Zone; RRG Shows Diminishing Outperformance From these Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The previous week remained contrary to expectations; instead of staying within ranged movement, it was a wide-ranging one with the Index ending with robust gains. The NIFTY saw a 600-point wide trading range, much broader than expected. The NIFTY pulled back from the low point and finished on a strong...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May See Ranged Movements; RRG Chart Tells This Sector May Offer Maximum Alpha
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Markets ended a week that continued to play out much on the expected lines, except for the fact that the volatility was much less than what was expected. Also, the markets continued to display lack of directional bias throughout the week. Despite making a sharply lower top and lower bottom...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely to Continue Exhibiting Bearish Intent; RRG Shows This Sector Topping Out
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The past couple of days performed much along the anticipated lines as the markets, in general, continued to portray a bearish undertone and ended the weak on a negative note. After halting the pullback, the NIFTY has formed a lower top near 9900 levels and continued its slide, confirming the...
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Special Note: These 3 Charts Show Why You Should Choose NIFTY Next 50 over Small-Caps
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The global equity markets have seen the mother of all volatile times during the first five-and-a-half months of the year 2020. From the peak of early 2020, the key equity markets saw a sharp decline of over 35% in most cases. Following those lows, the stocks have also managed to...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Marks Important Technical Event; RRG Chart Shows Key Sectors Continuing to Lag
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets fared much along the expected lines over the past five sessions. In the previous weekly note, we had mentioned that if the NIFTY failed to move past the previous week's high, it might end up forming a lower top for itself. Things turned out on the...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Not Moving Past this Level, May Form Lower Top; RRG Suggests Underperformance May Continue in These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The previous week saw the markets trading on a much better-than-expected note as the headline index continued to surge higher, ending with strong gains. The markets had seen a loss of momentum in the week before this one; however, the truncated week saw the resumption of the technical rebound, which...
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With No Signs of Equities Bottoming Out, These Two Charts Tell an Interesting Story
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After declining over 35% from the 2020 peaks, the global equity markets found a temporary base, and, in the current technical pullback, have recouped over one-third of total losses. Traders and investors alike have formed differing opinions on whether the equities have bottomed out as they pulled back over the...
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Week Ahead: Upside in NIFTY May Stay Capped; RRG Chart Says it May Be Time to Reduce Weight on this Sector
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous weekly note, we mentioned the loss of momentum in the technical pullback that the markets had started to witness. In the week that followed that note, the loss of momentum became more evident. Despite a 500-point oscillation and a trading range, the NIFTY halted its pullback and...
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The Relationship Between Two Most Important Indian Indices Has Changed
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The front line index NIFTY50 ($NIFTY) and the Nifty Bank Index ($BANKNIFTY) have always shared a steady one-sided relationship since the inception the two indices.
The above chart shows the NIFTY and BankNifty's co-performance since inception. Right from the introduction of these two indices in the year 2000,...
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Opportunity To Collect Premiums By Writing Options In This Stock
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Titan Industries Limited - TITAN.IN
The chart above shows highest Put OI in Titan at 900 and maximum Call OI at 1100 for the April 30 expiry. To interpret this data, that means that it is highly unlikely that the stock will find strong support at 900 and strong...
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Week Ahead: Loss Of Momentum May Be a Slight Worry; RRG Chart Shows These Sectors Languishing
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After a sharp technical pullback in the week before this one, the Indian equities continued with the extension of the pullback, but on a very modest note. The trading range over the past five days remained broad, as the NIFTY oscillated in a 500-point range but kept the net incremental...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Get Vulnerable at Higher Levels; RRG Suggests Continued Focus on these Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After several negative weekly closes, the Indian equity markets finally ended their losing streak this truncated week as they finally finished with gains. In our previous weekly note, we had categorically mentioned the possibilities of a sharp technical pullback despite ongoing uncertainties because of the outbreak of COVID-19. While trading...
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This Pharma Stock May Be In For A Technical Pullback
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd (NSE) (GLENMARK.IN)
Along with underperforming the broader markets, Glenmark Pharmaceuticals has been underperforming the pharma group as well. Over the past couple of weeks, the stock has been consolidating in a 187-215 range while creating a congestion zone. Now, a few signals have appeared that point...
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Truncated Week May See Mild Technical Pullbacks; RRGs Show Strong Relative Momentum in these Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After taking a breather the week before this one, the Indian equity market resumed its downtrend again and ended this week with a net loss. With this week's decline, the NIFTY has, as of now, has declined nearly 35% on a closing basis. A week before, NIFTY had...
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Week Ahead: Avoid Getting Carried Away By Pullbacks, If Any; These Are Resilient Sectors, Says RRG
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
We are using Line Charts, as they enable us to take a look at the longer-term structure of the weekly charts. We do this so that we can examine the behavior of the markets against the decade-long trend line, which now stands violated. After a massive decline of over 12%...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Has Multiple Negatives to Deal With; RRG Chart Suggests Adopting a Defensive Play
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The unabated meltdown in the equities markets continued this week as well, which saw the NIFTY plunging to the fresh weekly lows. The Indian equities traded in line with the weak global setup and lost ground as rapidly as other global markets. The benchmark index NIFTY declined and ended in...
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Special Note: Know Where NIFTY Stands from a Broader Perspective; What RRG Says About the Week Ahead
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After the violation of critical near-term support a week before, the Indian equities suffered their worst-ever weekly decline of the decade. In line with the global mayhem, the Indian stock markets also saw an equally sharp meltdown, going on to end well below the key moving average and slipping further...
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Week Ahead: Avoid Chasing Technical Pullbacks, If Any; RRG Suggests Taking Refuge in These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The global scare of an economic slowdown following the outbreak of coronavirus saw the world markets taking a severe knock, and Indian equities were no exception. While trading on anticipated lines, the Indian equity markets saw a wide-ranging week wherein the headline index NIFTY moved in the range of 606...
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Week Ahead: After One of the Most Brutal Selloffs of the Decade, What Next?
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The previous week saw one of the worst sell-offs of the decade when the global markets reacted with absolute panic to the spread of the coronavirus, and the Indian markets were affected as well. The global financial markets went in disarray as the world grappled with the possibility of the...
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Week Ahead: Watching This Level Important; RRG Chart Show These Sectors Rotating Favorably
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
While trading just on the anticipated lines, the Indian equity markets continued to consolidate around critical levels throughout the previous week, ending flat with negligible loss. Just as mentioned and expected in the last weekly note, the NIFTY did not make any major headway; the upsides stayed limited and within...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Vulnerable at Current Levels; RRG Chart Shows These Groups Doing Relatively Better
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The previous week saw the markets consolidating in a 256-point move, as the headline index NIFTY50 ended flat with a negligible gain. After bouncing off from the 50-week MA in the earlier week, the NIFTY continued to trade near its critical zone of 12100-12225 throughout the week while making no...
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This Stock Looks Promising Over The Coming Days
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
VIPIND.IN - VIP Industries Limited
VIPIND.IN marked a peak near 641 in August 2018, formed a lower top 562 and saw a range-bound corrective move that took the stock to 342. The stock has attempted to form a base around that level - given the multiple pieces of...
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Consolidation May Spill Over To The Coming Week; RRG Chart Show These Pockets Staying Resilient
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The previous week remained a six-day trading week for the markets. Saturday, February 01, 2020, was a full-trading day because of the Union Budget that was presented. The day turned out to be a wide-ranging day for the markets on expected lines as Union Budget is one of the most...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Has a Stiff Overhead Resistance to Deal With; RRG Chart Show Mid-Caps to Outperform
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After starting the week on a corrective note, the market recouped some of its losses on the last two trading days of the week. The last few days have remained volatile for the markets as the headline index NIFTY traded in a wider-than-usual range. The index oscillated in an over-340-point...
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