TG Watkins

TG Watkins


TG started his career as a financial advisor before turning his attention to trading full-time. He developed his own indicator, the Moxie Indicator, and has made numerous media appearances. Learn More 

Archived News

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Larger Pullback Could Be Forming

Larger Pullback Could Be Forming

We got the little pullback to SPY D21 correct last week, which left us wondering if it was going to be major support, or just minor support before the bigger pullback. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG will show you what signs he sees that...   READ MORE 

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Ready for the Pullback

Ready for the Pullback

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains how we could see the pullback building this week, with breadth weakening and many stocks being in extended positions that made getting long a risky proposition. This is good though, and was needed. Now, we need to see...   READ MORE 

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The Market Liked FOMC

The Market Liked FOMC

Whether its a short squeeze or more buying, the market went up a few minutes after Jerome Powell started speaking today. Yes, there might be really negative economic data coming sometime in the future. But we don't know how much of that the market has already priced in,...   READ MORE 

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Many Stocks are Basing/Lifting

Many Stocks are Basing/Lifting

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG notes that there is a lot of negativity out there and concern about the effects the economy will have on the market. Yet GDP has come in strong, and many names have been basing, and some other names have...   READ MORE 

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Smashed Names Showing Life

Smashed Names Showing Life

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains that yes, we are still in a bear market, and yes, the indexes can still go lower. Heck, the SPY can still waterfall lower. But there are names that have been in their own bear market for a...   READ MORE 

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New Year Seeing Strength

New Year Seeing Strength

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, volatility products, breadth indicators, and individual tickers are showing TG that there is strength coming into the market. Is it the end of the Bear? We can't yet say, but there are trades setting up that you should...   READ MORE 

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Third Week of Chop

Third Week of Chop

The market got into its sideways range starting about December 16th and is still in that zone. They say don't short a quiet market, but it is also hard to see where strength will be coming in from. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes,...   READ MORE 

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Has the Market Priced in All the Bad News?

Has the Market Priced in All the Bad News?

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shares how there are two narratives out there for the future direction of the market, discussing both of them. Which one is true is what we are all debating and what the market is also trying to figure out....   READ MORE 

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Chop Going Into CPI and FOMC

Chop Going Into CPI and FOMC

The market has been flagging at its highs as it seems to be awaiting more economic data from CPI and direction from the Fed at FOMC. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains how he can see the case for both bullish and bearish outcomes,...   READ MORE 

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Fed Fallout: Why a Perfect UVXY Setup Failed to Perform

Fed Fallout: Why a Perfect UVXY Setup Failed to Perform

Setups are only as valid as the most recent data, and often times that data is greatly influenced by market news. This week was no exception when Jerome Powell rocked the market upon announcing the possible reduction of interest rate hikes. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator...   READ MORE 

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TG's Basic Chart Setups

TG's Basic Chart Setups

On this week's educational edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG goes over his basic chart setups, the indicators he uses, and some basic principles that he implements in his trading. This video was originally broadcast on November 25, 2022. Click this link to watch on YouTube. You can...   READ MORE 

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VIX and UVXY Near Buy Points

VIX and UVXY Near Buy Points

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains that the market has been pulling back after the 2-day jump from CPI, which makes sense considering how vertical the move was and unsupported. Now, with the pullback, we have to determine if it is into support or...   READ MORE 

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Markets Up from Cool CPI

Markets Up from Cool CPI

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shares how the CPI came in slightly cooler than expected and the market responded strongly. The questions he finds himself asking are "how far will it go?" and "for how long?" He is concerned that,...   READ MORE 

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The Fed Stays Hawkish

The Fed Stays Hawkish

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses the FOMC on 11.02.22 and how Jerome Powell stayed on course and hawkish for the Q&A session. With the market unable to find any hope to cling to regarding a pivot of easing conditions,...   READ MORE 

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Big-Cap Tech Gets Taken Down

Big-Cap Tech Gets Taken Down

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how nearly every big cap tech name got crushed on earnings this week which has weighed heavily on the QQQ. However, the IWM and DIA have done quite well with SPY in the middle. Will the market be...   READ MORE 

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Market Trying to Hammer Out a Bottom

Market Trying to Hammer Out a Bottom

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shares that there are indications that the market is trying to hammer out a near-term bottom in order to meet up with the Daily 50-SMA. He is unsure of how that path will unfold, other than price and D50...   READ MORE 

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Sell the Rumor, Buy the News

Sell the Rumor, Buy the News

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains that, while the market did gap down on the hot CPI number, that gap sparked a strong short squeeze all day on 10/13/22. That's all well and good, but can it sustain? Was it...   READ MORE 

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Pop or Implode?

Pop or Implode?

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how the market is at a very difficult spot to interpret right now. On one side, things are stretched and there is enough bearish kindling to set off a short squeeze. On the other, what reason do people...   READ MORE 

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Market Responds Bearish to the FOMC

Market Responds Bearish to the FOMC

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shares that the FOMC was wild as expected, and, with another 75 BPS rate raise, the market responded in a bearish way. For now, the downside has been the correct direction, but there are indications that fuel for a...   READ MORE 

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Markets Continue to Break Support

Markets Continue to Break Support

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains that the markets have remained weak since the CPI report, despite the Put/Call ratio being high. It looks like traders are correct with their positioning. Some of the news is coming from ADBE earnings, then FDX earnings...   READ MORE 

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Oversold Bounce

Oversold Bounce

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG reviews general markets and tickers which give us an idea of the overall weakness out there. We are prepared to have prices move up right now, since things are really oversold, but, based on the Moxie rules and trade...   READ MORE 

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Called the Top and the Destination

Called the Top and the Destination

Recently, the market has been moving in ways that perfectly capture the Moxie setups and rules that TG has developed. On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG stresses that when you see Moxie patterns line up in such clear ways, you really need to act on...   READ MORE 

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Running Up into Resistance

Running Up into Resistance

Jerome Powell speaks at Jackson Hole later today. If he is somewhat dovish, TG wonders, will the market pop a little? But that pop might be into some major resistance. On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG talks about how the Moxie Indicator is telling us...   READ MORE 

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Looking at Topping Patterns

Looking at Topping Patterns

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how the market has been on a bullish streak for several weeks now and run into several overhead MAs that will probably be resistance. This doesn't mean that the market has to fall apart right away...   READ MORE 

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How Far Will the SPY Push?

How Far Will the SPY Push?

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG goes through a few examples of how the market might continue before the 1-2 punch of a pullback and topping pattern. TG is seeing a ton of names that are in what he calls the Weekly Arch of the...   READ MORE 

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Stocks Hammering Out Bottoms

Stocks Hammering Out Bottoms

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG reviews the major indexes and large-cap stocks, which are in elevated areas that he's not comfortable putting new money to work on the long side. TG wants to see a pullback into support to see what the...   READ MORE 

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Market Stayed Strong During Difficult Week

Market Stayed Strong During Difficult Week

The market had the kitchen sink thrown at it this week, but it's closing on a high. On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how he believes this is a strong test, for now, and how we could see SPY eventually reach its...   READ MORE 

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The First Part of the Rally

The First Part of the Rally

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how the market and many names have done well over the last week or two, but are now reaching areas of resistance. If things setup the way TG expects them to, then the drop would be buyable and...   READ MORE 

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Inflation, Interest Rates and Chop

Inflation, Interest Rates and Chop

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how inflation is higher than expected across the board and how, even though the market didn't like it, things managed to stay afloat. He then explores how there continues to be chop in the major indexes,...   READ MORE 

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Markets Trying to Move Higher, But With Chop

Markets Trying to Move Higher, But With Chop

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG follows up on the PhD indicator theory, then discusses some paths for how the market could move higher. There are several names trending upward, but they sure aren't easy or smooth. While he can point out many...   READ MORE 

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Markets Choppy Going into the 4th of July Weekend

Markets Choppy Going into the 4th of July Weekend

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, the markets pulled back the way TG was expecting them to; since then, he's been looking to see if the pullback was into strength. Typically, the market is bullish going into the 4th of July weekend, which is...   READ MORE 

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Commodities are Getting Hit Hard

Commodities are Getting Hit Hard

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains that, while the SPY seems like it is trying to hammer out a local bottom, other bullish areas of the market are getting hit hard. The main thing we are seeing there is that commodities are showing significant...   READ MORE 

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Market Doesn't Like an Aggressive Fed

Market Doesn't Like an Aggressive Fed

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG dives into the charts after the Fed raised rates by more than 50 bps to 75 bps. While this means the Fed is being more aggressive about inflation, it also means they are playing catch up. The VIX and...   READ MORE 

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Markets Moved Down Ahead of CPI

Markets Moved Down Ahead of CPI

Previously, TG has said that we should be prepared for the markets to resolve lower instead of higher, as many were thinking. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, now that the move down has occurred, he explains that it will probably be based on the CPI...   READ MORE 

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Trading with Quick Exits

Trading with Quick Exits

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG takes a look at the market's overall sentiment by examining the SPY price action. He then points out patterns that he is seeing, including short squeezes and double bottoms. This video was originally broadcast on June 3,...   READ MORE 

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Can We Hammer Out a Bottom?

Can We Hammer Out a Bottom?

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses the bear market sentiment in the market and the factors that got us here. He then explains why he thinks we should prepare for choppy price action ahead. This video was originally broadcast on May 27, 2022. Click...   READ MORE 

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What Does Sideways Chop Mean for Market Direction?

What Does Sideways Chop Mean for Market Direction?

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG starts out with a deep dive of the SPY's price action. What does yesterday's sideways chop mean for the direction of the market? TG then talks about the recent 20% overall correction we have seen....   READ MORE 

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Will We See a Reversal?

Will We See a Reversal?

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG talks about the air pockets he has been seeing, including one on the SPY and IWM. He then talks about his next target and why he is waiting for the SPY to hit 380. This video was originally broadcast...   READ MORE 

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Is the Market Meltdown Only the Beginning?

Is the Market Meltdown Only the Beginning?

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG outlines the market action post-Fed meeting. He does this by deep-diving into the SPY's price action and comparing it to previous market conditions. Then, he will explain why this may only be the beginning to bear market...   READ MORE 

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Which Path Forward After Earnings?

Which Path Forward After Earnings?

In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG covers the overall market action after some key players reported their earnings. How did Google, Facebook, Amazon, and Apple affect the market? He then goes into detail on where he thinks the market is headed next. This video was...   READ MORE