Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

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Volatility And Treasury Yields: The Two Beasts Of Burden

Volatility And Treasury Yields: The Two Beasts Of Burden

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 27, 2019 U.S. equities were strong out of the gate on Tuesday, but had little follow-through as sellers re-emerged.  Early gains on our major indices quickly vanished and these key indices were left trying to minimize losses into the close.  There were no significant...   READ MORE 

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Here's The Driving Force Behind My Bullishness

Here's The Driving Force Behind My Bullishness

Market Recap for Monday, August 26, 2019 All eleven sectors advanced on Monday as U.S. equities staged a rally following Friday's selloff.  It wasn't overly impressive in my view as most of the gains came at the opening bell.  There wasn't much follow...   READ MORE 

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Trade War Escalates, Key Price Support Revisited

Trade War Escalates, Key Price Support Revisited

Market Recap for Friday, August 23, 2019 Friday was another trade war disaster.  It's almost as if we're getting numb to it.  Dow Jones down 600.  Ho-hum.  Technically, there wasn't even a short-term violation as the S&P 500 simply moved back down...   READ MORE 

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Summing Up The Transportation Group And Its Impact

Summing Up The Transportation Group And Its Impact

Market Recap for Thursday, August 22, 2019 U.S. equities began Thursday on mostly a positive note, but reservations from Fed officials and a manufacturing report that showed weakness weighed on sentiment as stocks gave back earlier gains, finishing mixed.  The Dow Jones was able to end the session in...   READ MORE 

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Target And Lowes Deliver The Goods; Equities Surge

Target And Lowes Deliver The Goods; Equities Surge

Market Recap for Wednesday, August 21, 2019 It was a big day for broadline retail ($DJUSRB, +1.91%) and home improvement ($DJUSHI, +3.68%) as strong earnings from Target (TGT, +20.43%) and Lowes Companies (LOW, +10.35%), respectively, sent both groups higher, along with the overall market.  All of...   READ MORE 

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Tuesday's Weak Close Has Very Little Impact On Market Outlook

Tuesday's Weak Close Has Very Little Impact On Market Outlook

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 20, 2019 It was another day of consolidation for U.S. equities.  That's not a bad thing.  Let's establish a base, allowing the weak hands to get out before the next push higher.  If we break those recent lows, we'...   READ MORE 

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A Birds-Eye View Of The S&P 500 Weekly Chart; The Bulls Are In Charge

A Birds-Eye View Of The S&P 500 Weekly Chart; The Bulls Are In Charge

Market Recap for Monday, August 19, 2019 The S&P 500 rallied for a third consecutive day, this time rising 1.21% and closing back above its 20 day EMA for the first time in August.  The other major indices also rallied, including leadership from the NASDAQ and Russell...   READ MORE 

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A Mystery Group Emerges To Lead Friday's Stock Market Rally

A Mystery Group Emerges To Lead Friday's Stock Market Rally

Special Event Today Every quarter, I announce my Top 10 Stocks (equally-weighted) for my Model, Aggressive and Income portfolios.  Today's the day!  It all starts at 4:30pm EST.  CLICK HERE for portfolio performance and registration information. Market Recap for Friday, August 16, 2019 Industrials (XLI, +1.93%...   READ MORE 

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The Results Are In, Here Are The Winners And Losers

The Results Are In, Here Are The Winners And Losers

Monday will mark the end of my third quarter of performance for the Model Portfolio.  I've easily surpassed the benchmark S&P 500 in each quarter and this last quarter was certainly no exception.  The average return of the 10 equal-weighted stocks in this portfolio was 12....   READ MORE 

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Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com

Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com

Wow, it's been a great ride here at StockCharts.com! I posted essentially this same article in my Trading Places blog a week ago, but I'm not sure how many of you follow me there.  I want to make sure I reach out to everyone who...   READ MORE 

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Why Looking At Germany Provides Us An S&P 500 Crystal Ball

Why Looking At Germany Provides Us An S&P 500 Crystal Ball

Market Recap for Thursday, August 15, 2019 There were a ton of economic reports out on Thursday, mostly positive, and that seemed to slow the onslaught of selling as our major indices finished mixed on the session.  Walmart, Inc. (WMT, +6.11%) surged following better-than-expected earnings to lift the Dow...   READ MORE 

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Futures Rally As Wall Street Tries To Show A Little "Sole"

Futures Rally As Wall Street Tries To Show A Little "Sole"

Special Event I am hosting a HUGE event on Monday, August 19th at 4:30pm EST as I release my Top 10 Stocks for my Model, Aggressive and Income portfolios.  Each of these portfolios has crushed the benchmark S&P 500 since their respective inceptions and for a mere...   READ MORE 

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Tuesday Was Nothing More Than A Bounce In A Market Downtrend

Tuesday Was Nothing More Than A Bounce In A Market Downtrend

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 13, 2019 I received an email the other day after I discussed the rising volatility ($VIX) and likely move lower and it stated "Tom, I thought you were bullish.  Why the bearish view now?".  Let me address this because maybe some others are...   READ MORE 

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Starting To Shape Up Like An ABC Correction

Starting To Shape Up Like An ABC Correction

Market Recap for Monday, August 12, 2019 The flight to safety was clear on Monday.  The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) tumbled once again, falling 9 basis points to 1.63%, inching closer and closer to the historic TNX lows that were set in 2012 and 2016.  The all-time low...   READ MORE 

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Energy Failing To Show Absolute Or Relative Strength....With One Exception

Energy Failing To Show Absolute Or Relative Strength....With One Exception

Special Note If you didn't have a chance to read my blog post from Saturday, "I'm Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com", be sure to check it out.  I'll be explaining a lot more about my decision and discussing my three...   READ MORE 

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I'm Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com!

I'm Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com!

Wow, it's been a great ride here at StockCharts.com! The ride's not completely over, but I'm making a big change (and with mixed emotions) as I leave my role as Sr. Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com, effective September 15, 2019, and return to...   READ MORE 

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It's Make Or Break Time For Telecommunications Equipment Stocks

It's Make Or Break Time For Telecommunications Equipment Stocks

Market Recap for Thursday, August 8, 2019 Thursday was a trend day for U.S. stocks, one in which the action was positive from start to finish.  It's generally viewed bullishly and as a sign of accumulation.  However, I don't know if I'd grow...   READ MORE 

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This Is How To Pick Relative Strength Stocks To Improve Your Performance

This Is How To Pick Relative Strength Stocks To Improve Your Performance

Market Recap for Wednesday, August 7, 2019 It appeared as though we were heading for another big down day as our major indices opened down 2% or thereabouts.  There was a huge rush into treasuries with the 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) dropping to an almost unfathomable 1.59% shortly...   READ MORE 

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The S&P 500 Must Clear These 3 Levels

The S&P 500 Must Clear These 3 Levels

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 6, 2019 Ok, let's start with the good news.  Our major indices all finished higher on Tuesday, rebounding from their worst day of 2019.  Every sector except energy (XLE, -0.12%) finished the day higher and our 5 aggressive sectors were the 5...   READ MORE 

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Selloffs Are All About Emotion; Watch These Sentiment Readings

Selloffs Are All About Emotion; Watch These Sentiment Readings

Market Recap for Monday, August 5, 2019 It was a very bad day on Wall Street with our major indices having their worst day of 2019.  Panic is setting in as the U.S. and China shoot trade war bullets back and forth at each other.  China's Shanghai...   READ MORE 

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Growing Cautious Is Fine, But I'd Avoid Being Bearish

Growing Cautious Is Fine, But I'd Avoid Being Bearish

Market Recap for Friday, August 2, 2019 The latest nonfarm payrolls report came in, but quite honestly no one seemed to care.  The Fed has already said its piece and was rather noncommittal to another rate cut and both bond and equity markets are fixated on the US-China trade war....   READ MORE 

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My Philosophy: Creating Portfolios To Beat The Benchmark S&P 500

My Philosophy: Creating Portfolios To Beat The Benchmark S&P 500

(This is a reprint of a Trading Places blog article written a week ago. I've updated the performance and charts to include last week's selloff.) Beating the S&P 500 is my #1 goal. If I didn't believe I could beat the S&...   READ MORE 

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Three Tweets And You're OUT

Three Tweets And You're OUT

Market Recap for August 1, 2019 Today's article will be very brief. The whole Fed deal and now another trade tweet.  Really?  Can we all just get along?  It reminds me of that old Jackson 5 song, Rockin Robin (sing along if you'd like....and yes...   READ MORE 

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Fed Lowers Rates, But Creates Utter Confusion; Thanks For Nothing

Fed Lowers Rates, But Creates Utter Confusion; Thanks For Nothing

Market Recap for Wednesday, July 31, 2019 To say that this current Fed is transparent would be the equivalent of saying I'm a marine biologist (a Seinfeldism for those of you that are fans).  What the heck are they doing?  Seriously, what is going on in those meetings?...   READ MORE 

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Traders Await Fed, Apple Blows Away Estimates

Traders Await Fed, Apple Blows Away Estimates

Market Recap for Tuesday, July 30, 2019 For a second straight day, traders opted for safety ahead of today's FOMC policy statement.  It was once again apparent in the sector leaderboard, which ended the session on Tuesday as follows: Industrials (XLI, +0.43%) became the first aggressive sector...   READ MORE 

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FOMC Meets, Will They Get It Right This Time?

FOMC Meets, Will They Get It Right This Time?

Market Recap for Monday, July 29, 2019 I am not at all surprised by Wall Street's action on Monday.  The current Fed has not exactly been dependable in terms of following the lead of the treasury market, so short-term trading ahead of this week's Fed meeting...   READ MORE 

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The Stars Are Aligning; Look Out Above

The Stars Are Aligning; Look Out Above

Market Recap for Friday, July 26, 2019 Communication services (XLC, +2.86%) exploded higher on Friday, thanks in large part to a blowout quarterly earnings report from Alphabet (GOOGL, +9.62%) after the bell on Thursday.  They apparently kept their good news to themselves because Wall Street didn't...   READ MORE 

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My Philosophy: Creating Portfolios To Beat The Benchmark S&P 500

My Philosophy: Creating Portfolios To Beat The Benchmark S&P 500

That is my #1 goal.  If I didn't believe I could beat the S&P 500, I'd simply buy the SPY (ETF that tracks the S&P 500) and call it a day.  But I know I can beat the S&P 500...   READ MORE 

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Blowout Earnings Overnight To Lift U.S. Equities

Blowout Earnings Overnight To Lift U.S. Equities

Market Recap for Thursday, July 25, 2019 Dow Holdings (DOW, -3.83%) and Boeing (BA, -3.69%) weighed on the Dow Jones ($INDU, -0.47%) on Thursday, but this index of conglomerates still managed to outperform its major index counterparts.  The big technical issue with DOW is that it ran...   READ MORE 

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Earnings And Semiconductors Drive New Record Highs

Earnings And Semiconductors Drive New Record Highs

Special Note I will be joining John Hopkins of EarningsBeats.com for a webinar on Monday, July 29th after the bell.  It's the quarterly earnings webinar where I'll point out some of the biggest winners of earnings season to date.  Those will be stocks that you...   READ MORE 

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Facebook, Internet Stocks Looking To Provide Catalyst For Big Market Advance

Facebook, Internet Stocks Looking To Provide Catalyst For Big Market Advance

Market Recap for Tuesday, July 23, 2019 Utilities (XLU, -0.63%) was the only sector to end Tuesday's session in negative territory as most groups and stocks advanced.  The XLU has been faltering on a relative basis ever since the overall market bottomed in early June.  That has...   READ MORE 

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Truckers And Airlines Sending Bullish Market Signal

Truckers And Airlines Sending Bullish Market Signal

Market Recap for Monday, July 22, 2019 Technology (XLK, +1.15%) was the undisputed leader on Monday, helping the NASDAQ gain 0.71% and within 1% of its all-time high.  There were several reasons for the strength, but Goldman Sachs had positive commentary for the semiconductors ($DJUSSC, +2.03%), which...   READ MORE 

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Keep An Eye On Short-Term NASDAQ Support In This Zone

Keep An Eye On Short-Term NASDAQ Support In This Zone

Market Recap for Friday, July 19, 2019 Wall Street finished on a very weak note on Friday as hopes for a 50 basis point reduction in the fed funds rate decreased.  There is now a much stronger likelihood of a 25 basis point drop when the Fed meets for two...   READ MORE 

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Building A Sound Portfolio Using Relative Strength Leaders

Building A Sound Portfolio Using Relative Strength Leaders

As you may already know, I've developed multiple portfolios using fundamental strength and technical price action, including relative strength, that have wildly outperformed the benchmark S&P 500 since their inception dates. I'm very excited about that, as well as the prospect of helping thousands...   READ MORE 

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Netflix (NFLX) Gets Crushed And Here Was Our Clue

Netflix (NFLX) Gets Crushed And Here Was Our Clue

Special Note I'm on vacation this week so I'm writing brief articles and in a different format.  There will be no article tomorrow, Friday, July 19th. Netflix (NFLX) Hammered In After Hours Despite topping both revenue and EPS estimates, NFLX is trading lower by nearly 11%...   READ MORE 

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Scanning For High SCTRs And Dividend Yield

Scanning For High SCTRs And Dividend Yield

Special Note I'm on vacation this week, so my articles are in a different format and generally shorter.  There will be no blog article on Friday. I've created three portfolios over the past year.  My Model Portfolio began on November 19, 2018 and my Aggressive Portfolio...   READ MORE 

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We're Off To The Races If These 3 Break Out

We're Off To The Races If These 3 Break Out

Special Note I'm on vacation this week so I'll post mostly abbreviated articles.  There will be no blog article on Friday. Current Outlook One confirmation signal that I always look for during a bull market is leadership from our 5 aggressive sectors - technology (XLK), consumer...   READ MORE 

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Transports Soar To Lift Wall Street To Yet Another Record

Transports Soar To Lift Wall Street To Yet Another Record

Special Note I am on vacation this week so I'll post mostly abbreviated blog articles.  There will be no blog article on Friday morning. Market Recap for Friday, July 12, 2019 Industrials (XLI, +1.75%) powered our major indices to fresh new all-time highs.  Transports ($TRAN) were particularly...   READ MORE 

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It Was A Record-Breaking Day On Wall Street

It Was A Record-Breaking Day On Wall Street

Market Recap for Thursday, July 11, 2019 Dow Jones ($INDU, +0.85%) 27000 is in the record books as another milestone has been reached on Wall Street.  The S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.23%) also set another record high close, but fell just short of closing above the psychological...   READ MORE 

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Why The Bullish Argument REQUIRES Strengthening Of Transportation Stocks

Why The Bullish Argument REQUIRES Strengthening Of Transportation Stocks

Market Recap for Wednesday, July 10, 2019 The S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.45%) surpassed 3000 on an intraday basis for the first time in history on Wednesday, although it failed to close there.  Permabears don't understand how this is even possible, with the ongoing trade war...   READ MORE