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The Ultimate Test For The Bears Is Here
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, January 17, 2019
Word that the U.S. would ease Chinese tariffs as negotiations wear on helped to reduce stock market stress and resulted in an intraday surge in U.S. equity prices on Thursday afternoon. Quick profit taking followed, but strength resumed into the close...
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Solid Earnings Lift Financials, Wall Street
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, January 16, 2019
Late-day selling cut into some of Wall Street's gains, but the bear market rally continued. It's left many wondering whether we're still in a bear market. The technical answer to that question is yes, we're...
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10 S&P 500 Stocks That Seasonally Outperform From February Through April
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, January 15, 2019
We saw an across-the-board advance led by healthcare (XLV, +1.80%), communication services (XLC, +1.66%) and technology (XLK, +1.51%). All of our major indices jumped as NASDAQ shares soared by 1.71%. The S&P 500 rose 1.07%. After...
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Banks Rally On Citigroup's Results, But Likely To Struggle Today With JP Morgan's
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, January 14, 2019
The losses on Monday were not huge, but there did seem to be selling in most areas of the market. 10 of 11 sectors finished lower as financials (XLF, +0.69%) was the only sector to finish in positive territory. That sector'...
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Will Earnings Sustain The Current Rally? Probably Not
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, January 11, 2019
Healthcare (XLV, +0.33%) and consumer staples (XLP, +0.29%) paced a bifurcated market on Friday as the Russell 2000 eked out a 2 point gain. Despite rallying most of the session after a poor start, the Dow Jones, S&P 500...
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Correlation Suggests That We Monitor Treasury Yields Closely
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, January 10, 2019
There was both good and bad action on Thursday. Yes, the bulls should be excited as a short-term price and trendline breakdown did not result in panic or a Volatility Index ($VIX) that surged. Also, all of our major indices remained above their...
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Crude Oil Surges, Energy Paces Wall Street Advance; Negative Divergences Loom
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, January 9, 2019
Crude oil ($WTIC, +5.18%) continued rolling higher on Wednesday, buoyed at least in part from its positive divergence. Recently, I discussed the likelihood that crude oil prices would move back into the $50-$54 per barrel range and you can see from...
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Bear Market Rally Likely Nearing Its End
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, January 8, 2019
It was another broad-based rally on Wall Street with 10 of 11 sectors finishing higher. Small caps powered ahead 1.53% to lead the action, but the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ gained 1.09%, 0.97% and 1.08%...
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Consumer Discretionary Makes Relative Breakout, Poised To Lead In 2019
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, January 7, 2019
Crude oil prices ($WTIC, +1.17%) rallied on Monday, helping energy (XLE, +1.49%) continue its recent surge, but the day clearly belonged to consumer discretionary stocks (XLY, +2.26%) as retail (XRT, +3.10%) and home construction ($DJUSHB, +2.43%) were among...
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One Industry Group Has Quietly Been "Building" Relative Strength
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, January 4, 2019
Friday was a HUGE day for the bulls as nonfarm payrolls came in well ahead of expectations (312,000 vs 180,000), which in no way reflects what the stock market has been saying since Q4 2018 began - that we were heading...
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2019 Stock Market Forecast And My Report Card For 2018 Forecast
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Before I look ahead to what we might expect in 2019, let me rewind for a bit and check out last year's forecast. Here's a recap, summarizing a few of my "expectations". I've graded my predictions with a slight curve. Feel free...
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Apple's (AAPL) Guidance Wasn't As Shocking As Facebook's (FB)
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, January 3, 2019
Just about every market-related discussion since Wednesday's close has centered around Apple (AAPL, -9.96%)....and for good reason. AAPL is a U.S. stock market icon. Some might argue it is THE icon. When they lowered their revenue guidance substantially...
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Just Two Days After The Ball Drops, The Bomb Drops
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, January 2, 2019
On a day filled with hope, as traders rang in the new year on Wall Street, the biggest news came after the market closed as Apple (AAPL) warned regarding its upcoming quarter. During the trading day, we saw resiliency for one of the...
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2019 Will Be A Cyclical Bear Market Within A Secular Bull Market
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 31, 2018
December 2018 was a rough month to end a very difficult Q4. It was very unusual in terms of historical perspective as we're accustomed to seeing mostly solid action in early December followed by a Santa Claus rally into year end....
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Utilities Is The Lone Bullish Sector As We Move Into 2019
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 28, 2018
Let's start with the bright spots from Friday's market action. The more aggressive NASDAQ and Russell 2000 ended the session in positive territory, gaining 0.08% and 0.46%, respectively. They both closed higher for the third consecutive day...
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Afternoon Strength Lifts Wall Street For 2nd Consecutive Session
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 27, 2018
The final two hours on Wall Street yesterday was quite the finish. After languishing deep in red territory throughout much of the session, the bulls took complete charge into the close. The Dow Jones, down more than 600 points just past 2pm EST,...
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Support Has Been Established, Now How High Might We Bounce?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 26, 2018
After gapping higher on Wednesday, our major indices retreated initially to lose all of its opening gains. The Dow Jones traded approximately 300 points higher right out of the gates, but within 90 minutes had lost those gains and was down 80 points....
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We're Nearing Our First Major Bear Market Bottom
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 24, 2018
It was an abbreviated session on Monday, but the losses were not abbreviated. The Dow Jones lost another 653 points, or 2.91%, while the S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 posted losses of 2.71%, 2.21% and 1.95%...
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"How The Grinch Stole Christmas" Featuring Jerome Powell
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 21, 2018
Growth stocks remain under significant pressure as the stock market is quickly repricing them based on bear market rules. While I believe the sudden drop in so many critical areas simultaneously told us of the impending S&P 500 breakdown and ensuing...
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We're Looking At A Category 3 Stock Market Hurricane Making Landfall
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 20, 2018
If you haven't noticed, I use a lot of weather analogies in describing the stock market. It's by design as forecasting the stock market has a lot of similarities to forecasting the weather. Meteorologists are often scrutinized as weather...
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Fed Hikes, Promises More In 2019; Banks In Big Trouble
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 19, 2018
This was a Fed day that could have lasting damaging effects. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his band of cronies decided to ignore the one piece of data that's probably the best leading indicator - the U.S. stock market. The...
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On Fed Day, The Treasury Market Is Painting A Bearish Picture
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Special Event
At 4:30pm EST today, I'll be joining John Hopkins, President of EarningsBeats.com, for a special "2019 Stock Market Outlook" webinar. It's a FREE event where I'll be discussing likely market direction in 2019 and areas of the market...
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It Was Just Another Manic Monday
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 17, 2018
Every component stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell on Monday as the index dropped another 500 points. The S&P 500 lost major closing price support at 2581, crude oil ($WTIC) threatened to break below $50 per barrel, small caps...
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S&P 500 Nearing Significant Breakdown, Bull Market Running Out Of Steam
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 14, 2018
The U.S. stock market suffered another big blow to its current 9+ year bull market on Friday. Culprits for the selling included Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, -10.30%) in the healthcare space (XLV, -3.37%), easily the worst performing sector, Adobe Systems...
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Want To Know The Difference Between A Correction And A Bear Market?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Not a whole lot.
I guess there are three primary differences. First, there's the percentage drop as corrections are generally considered to see a drop of less than 20%, while bear markets tend to see declines well in excess of 20%. Second, a bear market tends to last...
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Here's A Bear Market Chart You Can't Afford To Miss!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 13, 2018
The U.S. stock market attempted to stage rallies on Thursday, initially in the morning session and then again in the final hour. But astute technicians that follow more than the headline Dow Jones and S&P 500 numbers realized it was...
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A Great Day Turns Good With Afternoon Selling; Internet Stocks Bottoming?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 12, 2018
The opening gap higher on Wednesday added to the recent stock market advance and the bulls stretched those early morning gains into the afternoon session. But much of those intraday profits faded as the session wore on and an across-the-board advance really didn&...
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Early Gains Wiped Out As U.S. Equities Finish In Bifurcated Fashion
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Volatile action on Tuesday resulted in a bifurcated market. The NASDAQ managed to cling to gains at the close, while the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 saw early morning gains turn into losses by the close. Leadership came mostly...
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S&P 500 Touches MAJOR Price Support; One Ingredient Missing For Bear Market
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 10, 2018
Yesterday was significant for one very important technical development. The February 2018 low close of 2582 was within a whisker on Monday as the S&P 500 hit an intraday low of 2583 before rallying strongly. Technology (XLK, +1.38%) led the...
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Falling Transports Lead To Further Losses On Wall Street
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 7, 2018
Friday marked the end of a rough day and a rough week for U.S. equities. Strength was found in utilities (XLU, +0.37%), the only sector to end in positive territory to close out the week. Gold miners ($DJUSPM, +2.36%) and...
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Big Recovery Temporarily Halts Slide; Nonfarm Payrolls Weak
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 6, 2018
The Dow Jones and S&P 500 were both on a crash course for key February price support until buyers re-emerged just past 11am EST. At the low yesterday, the Dow Jones was down nearly 800 points and it had tumbled more...
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U.S. Stock Futures Plummeting; Caution Is The Word
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 5, 2018
The U.S. stock market was closed.
Pre-Market Action
U.S. futures look set to continue Tuesday's rout. The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) is lower by 3 basis points to 2.89% as money seeks out safety in the defensive...
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Impulsive Selling Dominates, Dow Jones Drops 800....What Does It Mean?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 4, 2018
Don't be swayed by market commentary that discusses lack of volume yesterday as a positive. First of all, the Dow Jones fell 800 points. 800!!! And that's somehow a positive? We lost 20 hour EMA support on the intraday...
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As We Head Into Winter, We Should Buy.....Home Construction Stocks?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 3, 2018
Global stocks were buoyed on Monday by the United States and China agreeing to delay further tariffs for 90 days to provide the two countries an opportunity to work through its trade differences. Obviously, nothing has been resolved and it simply pushes back...
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Here's A Bear Market Signal That's Yet To Turn Bearish
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, November 30, 2018
Friday's strength capped off a very solid week for the bulls, one in which the Dow Jones gained more than 1250 points. Strength was found everywhere although healthcare (XLV, +2.03%) and utilities (XLU, +1.48%) were the big winners to...
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Combining Strong Technicals And Fundamentals To Wildly Outperform The S&P 500
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Everybody wants the secret formula. You know, the one where you never lose money. Well, I haven't found THAT one yet, but trading companies that have recently beaten Wall Street revenue and EPS estimates is a fairly solid runner-up strategy. A company that produces results in excess of...
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Volatility Index Suggests That Impulsive Selling Could Return
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, November 29, 2018
Before I discuss strength and weakness from the mixed action on Thursday, let me first say that the Volatility Index ($VIX) remains one of my biggest fears about the current state of the market. In the morning yesterday, the VIX touched its high...
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U.S. Equities Rally Big Time, But I Remain Very Cautious
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 28, 2018
Wall Street finally (!) had a day where the bulls could smile at 4pm EST. It was a trend day where the buying begins early and continues throughout the trading day. These days tend to be very bullish, although there is still plenty to...
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Here's What's Wrong With Commodities....And Are Renewable Energy Stocks Finally Bottoming?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 27, 2018
One highlight from Tuesday's action is that the U.S. Dollar ($USD, +0.31%) remains in favor as it nears yet another breakout. This is important on a number of fronts, especially with respect to gold ($GOLD, -0.74%). There'...
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Home Construction Has Bottomed And Here's An Unrelated Stock To Bolster Your Holidays
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, November 26, 2018
Yesterday marked the first day in quite awhile where we saw all of our major indices higher, along with all of our sectors. All eleven sectors gained ground, even the defensive sectors - though they lagged badly on a relative basis. Leading the...
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