Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

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The Ultimate Test For The Bears Is Here

The Ultimate Test For The Bears Is Here

Market Recap for Thursday, January 17, 2019 Word that the U.S. would ease Chinese tariffs as negotiations wear on helped to reduce stock market stress and resulted in an intraday surge in U.S. equity prices on Thursday afternoon.  Quick profit taking followed, but strength resumed into the close...   READ MORE 

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Solid Earnings Lift Financials, Wall Street

Solid Earnings Lift Financials, Wall Street

Market Recap for Wednesday, January 16, 2019 Late-day selling cut into some of Wall Street's gains, but the bear market rally continued.  It's left many wondering whether we're still in a bear market.  The technical answer to that question is yes, we're...   READ MORE 

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10 S&P 500 Stocks That Seasonally Outperform From February Through April

10 S&P 500 Stocks That Seasonally Outperform From February Through April

Market Recap for Tuesday, January 15, 2019 We saw an across-the-board advance led by healthcare (XLV, +1.80%), communication services (XLC, +1.66%) and technology (XLK, +1.51%).  All of our major indices jumped as NASDAQ shares soared by 1.71%.  The S&P 500 rose 1.07%.  After...   READ MORE 

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Banks Rally On Citigroup's Results, But Likely To Struggle Today With JP Morgan's

Banks Rally On Citigroup's Results, But Likely To Struggle Today With JP Morgan's

Market Recap for Monday, January 14, 2019 The losses on Monday were not huge, but there did seem to be selling in most areas of the market.  10 of 11 sectors finished lower as financials (XLF, +0.69%) was the only sector to finish in positive territory.  That sector'...   READ MORE 

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Will Earnings Sustain The Current Rally? Probably Not

Will Earnings Sustain The Current Rally? Probably Not

Market Recap for Friday, January 11, 2019 Healthcare (XLV, +0.33%) and consumer staples (XLP, +0.29%) paced a bifurcated market on Friday as the Russell 2000 eked out a 2 point gain.  Despite rallying most of the session after a poor start, the Dow Jones, S&P 500...   READ MORE 

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Correlation Suggests That We Monitor Treasury Yields Closely

Correlation Suggests That We Monitor Treasury Yields Closely

Market Recap for Thursday, January 10, 2019 There was both good and bad action on Thursday.  Yes, the bulls should be excited as a short-term price and trendline breakdown did not result in panic or a Volatility Index ($VIX) that surged.  Also, all of our major indices remained above their...   READ MORE 

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Crude Oil Surges, Energy Paces Wall Street Advance; Negative Divergences Loom

Crude Oil Surges, Energy Paces Wall Street Advance; Negative Divergences Loom

Market Recap for Wednesday, January 9, 2019 Crude oil ($WTIC, +5.18%) continued rolling higher on Wednesday, buoyed at least in part from its positive divergence.  Recently, I discussed the likelihood that crude oil prices would move back into the $50-$54 per barrel range and you can see from...   READ MORE 

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Bear Market Rally Likely Nearing Its End

Bear Market Rally Likely Nearing Its End

Market Recap for Tuesday, January 8, 2019 It was another broad-based rally on Wall Street with 10 of 11 sectors finishing higher.  Small caps powered ahead 1.53% to lead the action, but the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and NASDAQ gained 1.09%, 0.97% and 1.08%...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Discretionary Makes Relative Breakout, Poised To Lead In 2019

Consumer Discretionary Makes Relative Breakout, Poised To Lead In 2019

Market Recap for Monday, January 7, 2019 Crude oil prices ($WTIC, +1.17%) rallied on Monday, helping energy (XLE, +1.49%) continue its recent surge, but the day clearly belonged to consumer discretionary stocks (XLY, +2.26%) as retail (XRT, +3.10%) and home construction ($DJUSHB, +2.43%) were among...   READ MORE 

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One Industry Group Has Quietly Been "Building" Relative Strength

One Industry Group Has Quietly Been "Building" Relative Strength

Market Recap for Friday, January 4, 2019 Friday was a HUGE day for the bulls as nonfarm payrolls came in well ahead of expectations (312,000 vs 180,000), which in no way reflects what the stock market has been saying since Q4 2018 began - that we were heading...   READ MORE 

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2019 Stock Market Forecast And My Report Card For 2018 Forecast

2019 Stock Market Forecast And My Report Card For 2018 Forecast

Before I look ahead to what we might expect in 2019, let me rewind for a bit and check out last year's forecast.  Here's a recap, summarizing a few of my "expectations".  I've graded my predictions with a slight curve.  Feel free...   READ MORE 

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Apple's (AAPL) Guidance Wasn't As Shocking As Facebook's (FB)

Apple's (AAPL) Guidance Wasn't As Shocking As Facebook's (FB)

Market Recap for Thursday, January 3, 2019 Just about every market-related discussion since Wednesday's close has centered around Apple (AAPL, -9.96%)....and for good reason.  AAPL is a U.S. stock market icon.  Some might argue it is THE icon.  When they lowered their revenue guidance substantially...   READ MORE 

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Just Two Days After The Ball Drops, The Bomb Drops

Just Two Days After The Ball Drops, The Bomb Drops

Market Recap for Wednesday, January 2, 2019 On a day filled with hope, as traders rang in the new year on Wall Street, the biggest news came after the market closed as Apple (AAPL) warned regarding its upcoming quarter.  During the trading day, we saw resiliency for one of the...   READ MORE 

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2019 Will Be A Cyclical Bear Market Within A Secular Bull Market

2019 Will Be A Cyclical Bear Market Within A Secular Bull Market

Market Recap for Monday, December 31, 2018 December 2018 was a rough month to end a very difficult Q4.  It was very unusual in terms of historical perspective as we're accustomed to seeing mostly solid action in early December followed by a Santa Claus rally into year end....   READ MORE 

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Utilities Is The Lone Bullish Sector As We Move Into 2019

Utilities Is The Lone Bullish Sector As We Move Into 2019

Market Recap for Friday, December 28, 2018 Let's start with the bright spots from Friday's market action.  The more aggressive NASDAQ and Russell 2000 ended the session in positive territory, gaining 0.08% and 0.46%, respectively.  They both closed higher for the third consecutive day...   READ MORE 

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Afternoon Strength Lifts Wall Street For 2nd Consecutive Session

Afternoon Strength Lifts Wall Street For 2nd Consecutive Session

Market Recap for Thursday, December 27, 2018 The final two hours on Wall Street yesterday was quite the finish.  After languishing deep in red territory throughout much of the session, the bulls took complete charge into the close.  The Dow Jones, down more than 600 points just past 2pm EST,...   READ MORE 

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Support Has Been Established, Now How High Might We Bounce?

Support Has Been Established, Now How High Might We Bounce?

Market Recap for Wednesday, December 26, 2018 After gapping higher on Wednesday, our major indices retreated initially to lose all of its opening gains.  The Dow Jones traded approximately 300 points higher right out of the gates, but within 90 minutes had lost those gains and was down 80 points....   READ MORE 

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We're Nearing Our First Major Bear Market Bottom

We're Nearing Our First Major Bear Market Bottom

Market Recap for Monday, December 24, 2018 It was an abbreviated session on Monday, but the losses were not abbreviated.  The Dow Jones lost another 653 points, or 2.91%, while the S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 posted losses of 2.71%, 2.21% and 1.95%...   READ MORE 

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"How The Grinch Stole Christmas" Featuring Jerome Powell

"How The Grinch Stole Christmas" Featuring Jerome Powell

Market Recap for Friday, December 21, 2018 Growth stocks remain under significant pressure as the stock market is quickly repricing them based on bear market rules.  While I believe the sudden drop in so many critical areas simultaneously told us of the impending S&P 500 breakdown and ensuing...   READ MORE 

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We're Looking At A Category 3 Stock Market Hurricane Making Landfall

We're Looking At A Category 3 Stock Market Hurricane Making Landfall

Market Recap for Thursday, December 20, 2018 If you haven't noticed, I use a lot of weather analogies in describing the stock market.  It's by design as forecasting the stock market has a lot of similarities to forecasting the weather.  Meteorologists are often scrutinized as weather...   READ MORE 

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Fed Hikes, Promises More In 2019; Banks In Big Trouble

Fed Hikes, Promises More In 2019; Banks In Big Trouble

Market Recap for Wednesday, December 19, 2018 This was a Fed day that could have lasting damaging effects.  Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his band of cronies decided to ignore the one piece of data that's probably the best leading indicator - the U.S. stock market.  The...   READ MORE 

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On Fed Day, The Treasury Market Is Painting A Bearish Picture

On Fed Day, The Treasury Market Is Painting A Bearish Picture

Special Event At 4:30pm EST today, I'll be joining John Hopkins, President of EarningsBeats.com, for a special "2019 Stock Market Outlook" webinar.  It's a FREE event where I'll be discussing likely market direction in 2019 and areas of the market...   READ MORE 

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It Was Just Another Manic Monday

It Was Just Another Manic Monday

Market Recap for Monday, December 17, 2018 Every component stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell on Monday as the index dropped another 500 points.  The S&P 500 lost major closing price support at 2581, crude oil ($WTIC) threatened to break below $50 per barrel, small caps...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Nearing Significant Breakdown, Bull Market Running Out Of Steam

S&P 500 Nearing Significant Breakdown, Bull Market Running Out Of Steam

Market Recap for Friday, December 14, 2018 The U.S. stock market suffered another big blow to its current 9+ year bull market on Friday.  Culprits for the selling included Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, -10.30%) in the healthcare space (XLV, -3.37%), easily the worst performing sector, Adobe Systems...   READ MORE 

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Want To Know The Difference Between A Correction And A Bear Market?

Want To Know The Difference Between A Correction And A Bear Market?

Not a whole lot. I guess there are three primary differences.  First, there's the percentage drop as corrections are generally considered to see a drop of less than 20%, while bear markets tend to see declines well in excess of 20%.  Second, a bear market tends to last...   READ MORE 

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Here's A Bear Market Chart You Can't Afford To Miss!

Here's A Bear Market Chart You Can't Afford To Miss!

Market Recap for Thursday, December 13, 2018 The U.S. stock market attempted to stage rallies on Thursday, initially in the morning session and then again in the final hour.  But astute technicians that follow more than the headline Dow Jones and S&P 500 numbers realized it was...   READ MORE 

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A Great Day Turns Good With Afternoon Selling; Internet Stocks Bottoming?

A Great Day Turns Good With Afternoon Selling; Internet Stocks Bottoming?

Market Recap for Wednesday, December 12, 2018 The opening gap higher on Wednesday added to the recent stock market advance and the bulls stretched those early morning gains into the afternoon session.  But much of those intraday profits faded as the session wore on and an across-the-board advance really didn&...   READ MORE 

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Early Gains Wiped Out As U.S. Equities Finish In Bifurcated Fashion

Early Gains Wiped Out As U.S. Equities Finish In Bifurcated Fashion

Market Recap for Tuesday, December 11, 2018 Volatile action on Tuesday resulted in a bifurcated market.  The NASDAQ managed to cling to gains at the close, while the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 saw early morning gains turn into losses by the close.  Leadership came mostly...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 Touches MAJOR Price Support; One Ingredient Missing For Bear Market

S&P 500 Touches MAJOR Price Support; One Ingredient Missing For Bear Market

Market Recap for Monday, December 10, 2018 Yesterday was significant for one very important technical development.  The February 2018 low close of 2582 was within a whisker on Monday as the S&P 500 hit an intraday low of 2583 before rallying strongly.  Technology (XLK, +1.38%) led the...   READ MORE 

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Falling Transports Lead To Further Losses On Wall Street

Falling Transports Lead To Further Losses On Wall Street

Market Recap for Friday, December 7, 2018 Friday marked the end of a rough day and a rough week for U.S. equities.  Strength was found in utilities (XLU, +0.37%), the only sector to end in positive territory to close out the week.  Gold miners ($DJUSPM, +2.36%) and...   READ MORE 

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Big Recovery Temporarily Halts Slide; Nonfarm Payrolls Weak

Big Recovery Temporarily Halts Slide; Nonfarm Payrolls Weak

Market Recap for Thursday, December 6, 2018 The Dow Jones and S&P 500 were both on a crash course for key February price support until buyers re-emerged just past 11am EST.  At the low yesterday, the Dow Jones was down nearly 800 points and it had tumbled more...   READ MORE 

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U.S. Stock Futures Plummeting; Caution Is The Word

U.S. Stock Futures Plummeting; Caution Is The Word

Market Recap for Wednesday, December 5, 2018 The U.S. stock market was closed. Pre-Market Action U.S. futures look set to continue Tuesday's rout.  The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) is lower by 3 basis points to 2.89% as money seeks out safety in the defensive...   READ MORE 

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Impulsive Selling Dominates, Dow Jones Drops 800....What Does It Mean?

Impulsive Selling Dominates, Dow Jones Drops 800....What Does It Mean?

Market Recap for Tuesday, December 4, 2018 Don't be swayed by market commentary that discusses lack of volume yesterday as a positive.  First of all, the Dow Jones fell 800 points.  800!!!  And that's somehow a positive?  We lost 20 hour EMA support on the intraday...   READ MORE 

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As We Head Into Winter, We Should Buy.....Home Construction Stocks?

As We Head Into Winter, We Should Buy.....Home Construction Stocks?

Market Recap for Monday, December 3, 2018 Global stocks were buoyed on Monday by the United States and China agreeing to delay further tariffs for 90 days to provide the two countries an opportunity to work through its trade differences.  Obviously, nothing has been resolved and it simply pushes back...   READ MORE 

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Here's A Bear Market Signal That's Yet To Turn Bearish

Here's A Bear Market Signal That's Yet To Turn Bearish

Market Recap for Friday, November 30, 2018 Friday's strength capped off a very solid week for the bulls, one in which the Dow Jones gained more than 1250 points.  Strength was found everywhere although healthcare (XLV, +2.03%) and utilities (XLU, +1.48%) were the big winners to...   READ MORE 

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Combining Strong Technicals And Fundamentals To Wildly Outperform The S&P 500

Combining Strong Technicals And Fundamentals To Wildly Outperform The S&P 500

Everybody wants the secret formula.  You know, the one where you never lose money.  Well, I haven't found THAT one yet, but trading companies that have recently beaten Wall Street revenue and EPS estimates is a fairly solid runner-up strategy.  A company that produces results in excess of...   READ MORE 

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Volatility Index Suggests That Impulsive Selling Could Return

Volatility Index Suggests That Impulsive Selling Could Return

Market Recap for Thursday, November 29, 2018 Before I discuss strength and weakness from the mixed action on Thursday, let me first say that the Volatility Index ($VIX) remains one of my biggest fears about the current state of the market.  In the morning yesterday, the VIX touched its high...   READ MORE 

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U.S. Equities Rally Big Time, But I Remain Very Cautious

U.S. Equities Rally Big Time, But I Remain Very Cautious

Market Recap for Wednesday, November 28, 2018 Wall Street finally (!) had a day where the bulls could smile at 4pm EST.  It was a trend day where the buying begins early and continues throughout the trading day.  These days tend to be very bullish, although there is still plenty to...   READ MORE 

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Here's What's Wrong With Commodities....And Are Renewable Energy Stocks Finally Bottoming?

Here's What's Wrong With Commodities....And Are Renewable Energy Stocks Finally Bottoming?

Market Recap for Tuesday, November 27, 2018 One highlight from Tuesday's action is that the U.S. Dollar ($USD, +0.31%) remains in favor as it nears yet another breakout.  This is important on a number of fronts, especially with respect to gold ($GOLD, -0.74%).  There'...   READ MORE 

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Home Construction Has Bottomed And Here's An Unrelated Stock To Bolster Your Holidays

Home Construction Has Bottomed And Here's An Unrelated Stock To Bolster Your Holidays

Market Recap for Monday, November 26, 2018 Yesterday marked the first day in quite awhile where we saw all of our major indices higher, along with all of our sectors.  All eleven sectors gained ground, even the defensive sectors - though they lagged badly on a relative basis.  Leading the...   READ MORE