Tom Bowley

Tom Bowley


Tom is the Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats.com, a research and education platform for both financial professionals and individual investors. His comprehensive Daily Market Report provides insightful guidance to EB members every trading day. Learn More 

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Railroads Provide Us Market Clues And Right Now They're Bullish

Railroads Provide Us Market Clues And Right Now They're Bullish

Market Recap for Tuesday, November 6, 2018 All eleven sectors rose on Tuesday with materials (XLB, +1.64%) leading as the U.S. Dollar Index ($USD) closed at its lowest level in nearly two weeks.  All of our major indices had similar gains, from 0.55% to 0.68%, as...   READ MORE 

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Bulls Avert Near-Term Breakdown But Caution Prevails

Bulls Avert Near-Term Breakdown But Caution Prevails

Market Recap for Monday, November 5, 2018 Bifurcated market action dominated on Monday.  The Dow Jones and S&P 500 gapped higher and traded higher throughout nearly all of the session.  The NASDAQ and Russell 2000, on the other hand, struggled throughout most of the day with an afternoon...   READ MORE 

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Transports Are A Big Deal And Here's What The Chart Is Saying

Transports Are A Big Deal And Here's What The Chart Is Saying

Market Recap for Friday, November 2, 2018 Traders were anxiously awaiting jobs data last week.  First, it was a solid ADP employment report on Wednesday morning that helped to lift U.S. equities.  But the biggie was on Friday and we all held our collective breath as the numbers were...   READ MORE 

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3 Upcoming Earnings Reports I Can't Wait To See

3 Upcoming Earnings Reports I Can't Wait To See

I'm not a fan of buying (or short selling) stocks and holding them into quarterly earnings reports.  It's simply too difficult to manage risk.  Yes, there are options strategies that you can employ to reduce risk so we could debate back and forth the merits of...   READ MORE 

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Apple (AAPL) Disappoints, But Nonfarm Payrolls Soar Past Estimates

Apple (AAPL) Disappoints, But Nonfarm Payrolls Soar Past Estimates

Market Recap for Thursday, November 1, 2018 The U.S. Dollar Index ($USD) absorbed its largest decline in several months and that finally triggered buying in the materials sector (XLB, +2.81%).  Gold ($GOLD) was a big beneficiary for sure as it climbed nearly 2%, one of its largest advances...   READ MORE 

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Software Hits Key Resistance....And Fails; S&P 500 Shares Similar Fate

Software Hits Key Resistance....And Fails; S&P 500 Shares Similar Fate

Market Recap for Wednesday, October 31, 2018 Let's start with the positives from Wednesday's action.  First, all of our major indices rebounded and finished higher on the session, led by the more aggressive NASDAQ and NASDAQ 100.  These two indices had been crushed both on an...   READ MORE 

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Relief Rally Begins, How Long Might This Last?

Market Recap for Tuesday, October 30, 2018 Today's article will be limited as I'm having technical difficulties sharing charts, but I'll give you my thoughts.  Yesterday's action and reversal was important as our volatility measures - VIX and VXN - are at...   READ MORE 

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Impulsive Selling Returns, More Rotation To Defensive Areas

Impulsive Selling Returns, More Rotation To Defensive Areas

Market Recap for Monday, October 29, 2018 Early on Monday morning, it looked like stocks were trying to carve out a bottom, but by the afternoon, big time selling resumed and prior support levels were lost - all with rapidly rising volatility.  That is a recipe for short-term stock market...   READ MORE 

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NASDAQ Volatility Measure Suggests Market Bottom

NASDAQ Volatility Measure Suggests Market Bottom

Market Recap for Friday, October 26, 2018 All of our major indices finished lower on Friday and all of our major sectors did the same.  It's difficult to paint a bullish picture after such selling, but I'm going to do just that.  On Friday, despite selling...   READ MORE 

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History Says BUY NOW, But Here's When The Charts Say To Buy

History Says BUY NOW, But Here's When The Charts Say To Buy

Market Recap for Thursday, October 25, 2018 Obviously, the numbers from Thursday tell us that we had a very strong day.  But the "under the surface" signals really underscored that strength.  Transports ($TRAN) gained 1.88% after nearly touching the February low.  Technology (XLK, +3.44%), communication services...   READ MORE 

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Fear Gauge Soars As Dow Jones Posts 600 Point Loss

Fear Gauge Soars As Dow Jones Posts 600 Point Loss

Market Recap for October 24, 2018 When the Volatility Index ($VIX, +21.83%) is elevated, like it's been throughout much of October, it should be no shock when Wall Street has a day like it did yesterday.  There was a buyers strike and the Dow Jones lost 500...   READ MORE 

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Wild Ride On Wall Street Ends With Minor Losses

Wild Ride On Wall Street Ends With Minor Losses

Market Recap For October 23, 2018 It was a crazy day on Wall Street which, quite honestly, we should expect with a Volatility Index ($VIX) in the 20s.  Jitters in global markets saw U.S. futures plunge yesterday morning.  Our major indices opened more than 2% lower and it appeared...   READ MORE 

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Banks, Financials Drop To 2018 Lows, Futures Tumble As Risk Grows

Banks, Financials Drop To 2018 Lows, Futures Tumble As Risk Grows

Subscribe For FREE Below If you enjoy my daily blog article that summarizes recent action, current outlook and provides a historical perspective, please subscribe below.  It's 100% FREE, no strings attached, and is much appreciated.  Simply scroll to the bottom of my article and type in your email...   READ MORE 

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Here's What To Expect Going Forward And It May Not Be Pretty Short-Term

Here's What To Expect Going Forward And It May Not Be Pretty Short-Term

Special Note I will be joining John Hopkins, President of EarningsBeats.com, for a special webinar later this afternoon at 4:30pm EST.  I will be discussing my trading strategy during a volatile market like the one we have now, including some tips and tricks to manage risk during these...   READ MORE 

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Sector Relative Performance Suggesting Caution, Not Bear Market

Sector Relative Performance Suggesting Caution, Not Bear Market

There are plenty of reasons why we should be cautious given the current market environment, but I'm not in the camp that believes we've entered a bear market.  It's simply too early to make that call, in my opinion.  Most corrections and bear markets...   READ MORE 

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A Consumer Discretionary Group Has Been Sending Warning Signs For Two Years

A Consumer Discretionary Group Has Been Sending Warning Signs For Two Years

Market Recap for Thursday, October 18, 2018 Impulsive selling seemed to return to Wall Street on Thursday as the Dow Jones had a couple of intraday bouts where the index declined 200-300 points in just an hour or so.  That sent the Volatility Index ($VIX, +15.29%) scurrying higher once...   READ MORE 

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Financials Continue To Bounce Off Support, Market Choppy

Financials Continue To Bounce Off Support, Market Choppy

Market Recap for Wednesday, October 17, 2018 There was a lot of back and forth action in our major indices on Wednesday.  For instance, in the span of just 2 1/2 hours, the Dow Jones lost more than 300 points, then recovered them all, moving slightly into positive territory....   READ MORE 

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Dow Jones Gains Over 500 On Strong Earnings

Dow Jones Gains Over 500 On Strong Earnings

Market Recap for Tuesday, October 16, 2018 Wall Street welcomed a trend day to at least temporarily pause the violent downtrend we've experienced the past couple weeks.  A trend day typically starts with a gap higher and then gains are extended throughout the session.  We clearly saw that...   READ MORE 

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The Yield Spread (Curve) Is Worrisome For Banks

The Yield Spread (Curve) Is Worrisome For Banks

Market Recap for Monday, October 15, 2018 A late afternoon selling binge pushed our major indices into negative territory by the close, with the lone exception being the small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT), which avoided a relative breakdown vs. the benchmark S&P 500.  Small caps have been languishing...   READ MORE 

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History Says To Watch Those 60 Minute Charts For Bottoming Clues

History Says To Watch Those 60 Minute Charts For Bottoming Clues

Market Recap for Friday, October 12, 2018 Finally, Wall Street saw buying pressure to end a trading session.  That certainly felt great psychologically, although as I point out below, I doubt that the short-term bottom is in.  It's possible, but the odds favor another short-term plunge.  For now,...   READ MORE 

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Bears Retain Grip on Wall Street as Fears Grow

Bears Retain Grip on Wall Street as Fears Grow

Special Note I will be speaking to the Charlotte Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) tomorrow Saturday, October 13th at 10:00am EST.  I plan to discuss how to evaluate the sustainability of a bull market, relative strength and gap trading strategies.  The first meeting is FREE...   READ MORE 

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VIX Surges 43% To Lead Major Selloff

VIX Surges 43% To Lead Major Selloff

Special Note I will be speaking to the Charlotte Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) this Saturday, October 13th at 10:00am EST.  I plan to discuss how to evaluate the sustainability of a bull market, relative strength and gap trading strategies.  The first meeting is FREE...   READ MORE 

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Energy Continues To Lead But Failed At Key Resistance

Energy Continues To Lead But Failed At Key Resistance

Special Note I will be speaking to the Charlotte Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) this Saturday, October 13th at 10:00am EST.  I plan to discuss how to evaluate the sustainability of a bull market, relative strength and gap trading strategies.  The first meeting is FREE...   READ MORE 

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Consumer Staples And Real Estate Lead Rally

Consumer Staples And Real Estate Lead Rally

Market Recap for Monday, October 8, 2018 Consumer staples (XLP, +1.38%) and real estate (XLRE, +1.29%) helped to power Monday's reversal, but that was not enough to turn around the fortunes for the NASDAQ, which still dropped more than 50 points as technology (XLK, -1.13%...   READ MORE 

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VIX Hits Highest Level In 3 Months - What That Means

VIX Hits Highest Level In 3 Months - What That Means

Market Recap for Friday, October 5, 2018 There was good news and bad news Friday on the volatility front.  The Volatility Index ($VIX) hit 17.36 intraday on Friday, the highest level of expected volatility since the late-June swoon, and it closed another 4% higher after a big spike on...   READ MORE 

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When Panicked Selling Kicks In, Look To The VIX For A Bottom Call

When Panicked Selling Kicks In, Look To The VIX For A Bottom Call

It was a brutal week for many areas of the stock market, but mostly those areas that have led the charge for so long.  Stocks that for one to two years or more rarely saw a significant pullback suddenly couldn't find buyers this week.  Unfortunately, that's...   READ MORE 

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Deep Selling Grips Wall Street, Support Levels To Watch

Deep Selling Grips Wall Street, Support Levels To Watch

Market Recap for Thursday, October 4, 2018 While we've seen plenty of market rotation over the past several months, there hasn't been much outright selling.  Yesterday changed that.  The NASDAQ recovered off of its intraday lows a bit to "only" close down 1.81%...   READ MORE 

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10 Year Treasury Yield Explodes To 7 Year High; Financials Lead

10 Year Treasury Yield Explodes To 7 Year High; Financials Lead

Market Recap for Wednesday, October 3, 2018 The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) did the inevitable - it closed above 3.11% and the TNX now resides at a level not seen since 2011.  There will be those who say that higher interest rates will be the beginning of our...   READ MORE 

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Defensive Stocks Lead Bifurcated Market

Defensive Stocks Lead Bifurcated Market

Market Recap for Tuesday, October 2, 2018 The Dow Jones rallied for a fourth consecutive day to close in all-time record high territory, eclipsing the previous high set on September 21st.  Unfortunately, the rest of the market didn't get the memo as small cap stocks, in particular, were...   READ MORE 

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New Trade Deal Leads Autos And Dow Jones Higher

New Trade Deal Leads Autos And Dow Jones Higher

Market Recap for Monday, October 1, 2018 The big news was the United States, Canada and Mexico agreeing to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and automobile manufacturers ($DJUSAU, +5.84%) were the clear winners.  The group also benefited from a quick settlement between the SEC and Tesla&...   READ MORE 

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This Software Company Blew Out Earnings In August, Could Be Bottoming Short-Term

This Software Company Blew Out Earnings In August, Could Be Bottoming Short-Term

Market Recap for Friday, September 28, 2018 Friday saw very choppy action to close out the 3rd quarter.  The good news is that Q3 typically represents the U.S. market's weakest quarter in terms of performance.  However, this year saw significant gains over the summer months as the...   READ MORE 

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Apple Nears Breakout, Leads NASDAQ; Small Caps Lag

Apple Nears Breakout, Leads NASDAQ; Small Caps Lag

Market Recap for Thursday, September 27, 2018 Utilities (XLU, +1.03%) rebounded solidly on Thursday after trending lower most of September.  The group appeared to benefit from the failure of the 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) to break out.  3.11% is yield resistance on the TNX from the May...   READ MORE 

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The Fed Takes A Stand....And It's Not Accommodative

The Fed Takes A Stand....And It's Not Accommodative

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 26, 2018 The FOMC raised its fed funds rate a quarter point at 2pm EST yesterday as expected, but as usual, it's not what the Fed does, it's what it says.  Perhaps the most significant part of the Fed's...   READ MORE 

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Energy Leads; Exploration & Production Stocks Test Major Resistance

Energy Leads; Exploration & Production Stocks Test Major Resistance

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 25, 2018 Almost.  That's the word that came to mind while watching energy stocks into the close on Tuesday.  Yes, the group is in the midst of a significant short-term rally, but when given the opportunity to clear multi-month price resistance, they came...   READ MORE 

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Steel Quietly Resting, But Looking Solid For Q4 Run

Steel Quietly Resting, But Looking Solid For Q4 Run

Market Recap for Monday, September 24, 2018 Energy (XLE, +1.46%) had a very strong day on Monday, helping to offset what was otherwise a rather poor day for U.S. equities.  Technology (XLK, +0.50%) was aided by its four key components - computer hardware ($DJUSCR, +1.17%), internet...   READ MORE 

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This NASDAQ Support Zone Is Important And Needs To Hold

This NASDAQ Support Zone Is Important And Needs To Hold

Market Recap for Friday, September 21, 2018 Bifurcation was once again apparent on Wall Street to close out last week.  The Dow Jones was able to finish higher and extend its trek into record high territory, while the S&P 500 was essentially flat.  The NASDAQ and Russell 2000,...   READ MORE 

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Can You Correctly Answer This Historical Tendencies Trivia Question? I Doubt It

Can You Correctly Answer This Historical Tendencies Trivia Question? I Doubt It

Market Recap for Thursday, September 20, 2018 Dow Jones, welcome to the party!  It's been eight months since the Dow Jones could say it closed in record all-time high territory, but that's what happened at yesterday's close.  The Dow Jones joined the S&...   READ MORE 

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Traders Are High On Cannabis Stocks, But Life Insurance Is the Safer Bet

Traders Are High On Cannabis Stocks, But Life Insurance Is the Safer Bet

Market Recap for Wednesday, September 19, 2018 The biggest news stories technically-speaking yesterday were the breakout in financials (XLF, +1.70%) and the rising 10 year treasury yield ($TNX), which closed at 3.08% and is just 3 basis points from testing a 7 year high.  But September 19, 2018...   READ MORE 

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Rising Treasury Yields Portend Much Higher S&P 500, But Short-Term....

Rising Treasury Yields Portend Much Higher S&P 500, But Short-Term....

Market Recap for Tuesday, September 18, 2018 It was a solid day on Wall Street.  One day after seeing weakness in key areas like technology, consumer discretionary and tranportation stocks and the increasing historical likelihood of further downside action, stocks rebounded....in a big way.  Leading the charge were our...   READ MORE 

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Technology Is Teetering; How Much More Selling Is Healthy?

Technology Is Teetering; How Much More Selling Is Healthy?

Market Recap for Monday, September 17, 2018 Selling in technology (XLK, -1.25%) and consumer discretionary (XLY, -1.24%) resulted in losses across our major indices on Monday.  The NASDAQ, understandably, felt the brunt of the selling as this tech-laden index dropped 1.43%.  The Russell 2000 ($RUT) suffered the...   READ MORE