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Global Markets Mostly Bullish But Mixed
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 22, 2016
Yesterday's action here in the U.S. had a short-term bearish tone to it, but there were certainly no price breakdowns and no reason to believe it was anything other than a bout of profit taking during a continuing bull...
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AMAT's Candle Suggests A Reversal Is Imminent
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Applied Materials (AMAT) printed a shooting star candlestick on Thursday, with a long-term negative divergence in play on both its daily and weekly charts, signs of slowing momentum to the upside from both an intermediate- and long-term perspective. AMAT, just a few days ago, printed a reversing dark...
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Energy Looks To Lead In 2017 For Multiple Reasons, Here's Why
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 21, 2016
Energy (XLE, +0.16%) was one of just two sectors that headed higher on Wednesday with materials (XLB, +0.4%) being the only other. That wasn't enough to carry the market higher as our major indices all finished fractionally lower on...
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Dow Nears 20,000, Crude Oil Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 20, 2016
Treasuries were sold off on Tuesday with the corresponding 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) moving back up to 2.57%. The recent high was 2.60% so the TNX is not far from another new high. Of course, the bounce in the TNX...
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Technology Leads U.S. Stocks; Out Of Their Funk Now?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for December 19, 2016
Over the past three months, technology (XLK) has been the 6th best performing industry group, beating out only the three defensive groups - consumer staples (XLP), utilities (XLU) and healthcare (XLV). But the XLK is not in bad shape technically. Instead, we've simply...
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Defensive Sectors And Energy Lead On Friday
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 16, 2016
Utilities (XLU, +1.22%) soared on Friday and came very close to a breakout above reverse head & shoulders neckline resistance. This is also very near overhead trendline resistance as well. While we don't want to see the defensive utilities sector...
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Ryder Driving The Wrong Way
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Ryder System (R) was having a huge 2016 until the past several days. Profit taking has kicked in and R has dropped 10% in that brief span. The obvious question from a trader's perspective is.....when does it make sense to jump in on the long side. Well,...
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The Best And Worst Of 2016; Watch This One In 2017
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We're two weeks away from another stock market year in the books. Where does the time go? Anyhow, since this is the last ChartWatchers newsletter of 2016, it would be an appropriate time to check out the best and worst industry group awards for 2016.
Drum roll please!...
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Weekly Negative Divergences A Problem For A Few Key Groups
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 15, 2016
With treasury yields on the rise again, it wasn't surprising to see financials (XLF, +0.85%) on top of the sector leaderboard. The problem, however, is that we're beginning to see slowing price momentum on key industry groups - some...
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Medical Supplies Breaks Out Of Bullish Wedge
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Healthcare stocks (XLV) have been underperforming the benchmark S&P 500 for the past 4-5 months, but they're beginning to show some life as the XLV has been the best performing sector ETF over the last week. Recently, I noticed pharmaceuticals testing a major price support...
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Fed Raises Rates, Says More To Come
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 14, 2016
As expected, volatility kicked in around 2pm EST yesterday as the Fed delivered what traders most likely anticipated, but still didn't want to hear. Rates are going higher. Everyone was looking for the 25 basis point hike so that didn'...
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Traders Await Latest From The Fed
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Well it's Fed day and both equity and bond markets are prepared for a quarter point rate hike. The big question, however, is whether the market is ready to hear what the Fed has to say about future policy guidance. Will...
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Defense Leads Dow Jones To Another Record
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 12, 2016
The Dow Jones advanced for the 21st time in the last 25 trading days on Monday, capturing yet another record high close on Monday. While it was led by mostly defensive areas like utilities, REITs and pharmaceuticals, offensive areas didn't exactly...
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Big Day In Oil Awaits Energy Sector
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 9, 2016
Gains permeated our major indices on Friday, but it was difficult to overlook the flight to safety. Perhaps traders were just growing a bit more cautious after the huge run higher the past month or maybe it was big money knowing that the...
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A Bottom May Be Brewing In BUD
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The U.S. stock market has been flying high over the past month, but shares of Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) have fallen close to 30% since reaching an all-time high in late September. Technically, there's hope that BUD is at or approaching a very significant bottom, however....
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Transports And Financials Lifting Dow Jones Near 20000
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 8, 2016
The Dow Jones Transportation Average ($TRAN) finished higher once again on Thursday and has now risen more than 4% this week. In addition, the TRAN has climbed 16.7% since the close on November 4th. It's been an amazing run for...
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Measuring An Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It took two months of consolidation, but Cabot Corp (CBT) finally pulled it off. It cleared neckline resistance in its inverse head & shoulders pattern at the 52.50 level. One of the keys of any continuation pattern is that it requires a prior trend in place to continue. CBT...
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Rallies Don't Get Any Stronger Than This One
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, December 7, 2016
Money poured into risk yesterday as global markets rallied in anticipation of strengthening economies worldwide. Here in the U.S., nearly every single industry group pushed higher, many of them 1%-2% higher or more. Significant leadership came in the form of consumer...
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The German DAX Surges, Joins S&P 500 In Breakout Mode
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, December 6, 2016
I've been waiting to see if the German DAX would join the S&P 500 in breakout territory and, thus far, I'm getting my answer today with the DAX currently up 155 points, or 1.44%, this morning...
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Crude Oil Again Challenging Major Breakout; Renewables Bottoming
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, December 5, 2016
Financials (XLF, +1.19%) were back on top of the sector leaderboard on Monday after taking a "lengthy" one day pause. It's been a crazy run for financial stocks and we're growing accustomed to the almost daily...
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TNX Hits Resistance, Financials Sell
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, December 2, 2016
Friday saw continuing bifurcation, but with this time the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 leading while the Dow Jones and S&P 500 lagged. Rotation wasn't all positive, however, as utilities (XLU, +0.91%) and consumer staples (XLP, +0.64%) led...
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Weekly MACD Turns Negative On This Group For First Time In Five Years
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I pulled up one month returns for all industry groups and there were several groups that have performed quite poorly over this period, despite the overall market strength. Toys ($DJUSTY) are down 6.78% over the last month, but a negative divergence on its weekly chart is likely the culprit....
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ChartLists Are The Key To Disciplined And Successful Trading
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I spend a great deal of time scouring the market and looking for interesting trade setups. It's quite often that I see a stock that I really like, but it's not at a price level where I'm ready to pull the trigger. If I...
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Technology Crushed, NASDAQ Lags Badly
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, December 1, 2016
It was another very strange day on Wall Street. The Dow Jones finished the session Thursday with a gain of 68 points, closing at 19192 and another all-time high. The NASDAQ appeared to be trading in another world as technology was crushed,...
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Waiting On This Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Xilinx (XLNX) is a $13.5 billion semiconductor company and it nearly broke out of a very bullish inverse head & shoulders pattern on heavy volume today. But it didn't. Instead, it reversed lower along with most semiconductor stocks and tested its rising 20 day EMA. The technical...
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Crude Oil Surges 9%, Lifts Energy Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 30, 2016
Crude oil ($WTIC) rose more than 9% on Wednesday and energy shares (XLE, +5.08%) were the beneficiary. Rising treasury yields also helped to lift the financial sector (XLF, +1.35%) with banks ($DJUSBK) storming to another high. But the bifurcation was quite...
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Gold Jumps As U.S. Stocks Take A Breather
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Note
I'll be out for personal reasons on Wednesday so I'll not likely be able to post a blog article Wednesday morning. Also, the Bowley Briefing webinar, scheduled for Wednesday at noon EST, has been cancelled as well. I should be back in full swing Thursday....
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Friday's Action Follows History, Ends Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, November 25, 2016
It was a shortened trading session on Friday, but that didn't stop the bulls. Our major indices all gapped higher and finished there as well. There was little volatility during the day as the S&P 500 spent most of...
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Ignore Renewable Energy Stocks Until This Happens
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Renewable energy ($DWCREE) has been among the worst areas of the stock market to invest since topping over two years ago. There could be reason for hope, however, as rising crude oil prices ($WTIC) could trigger interest in the group again. There's a potential bottoming reverse head &...
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Dow Jones Tops 19000, S&P 500 Rolls Through 2200
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, my article will be abbreviated today. I hope everyone is able to enjoy the long weekend with family and friends. I'll be back on Monday with my regular Trading Places blog article.
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 23, 2016
It was another record...
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Give American Express Some Credit
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
After a double top and nearly two years of downtrending price, American Express (AXP) has finally turned the corner and its stock price is rising. Based on improving volume trends, strengthening momentum, and a hot financial sector, I look for the recent price strength to continue. Check out the AXP...
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Small Caps Lead Another Surge, Bull Rages On
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 22, 2016
You can't keep the bulls down right now, it's that simple. Yesterday, leadership turned to consumer discretionary (XLY, +1.19%) and materials (XLB, +0.61%) as small caps led a surge that took all of our major indices to...
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S&P 500 Hits All-Time High, NASDAQ Rolls, Energy Breaks Out
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, November 21, 2016
It took months, but the S&P 500 finally did what bulls had been hoping for - it closed at an all-time high, breaking above the previous record of 2190. If there was one negative, it was that volume finished below its...
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S&P 500 On Brink Of Milestone Breakout
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, November 18, 2016
Friday was mostly a day of profit taking - nothing horrible but down nonetheless. Energy (XLE, +0.41%) was able to avoid the downdraft and financials (XLF, +0.00%) broke even, but the other seven sectors finished down, led by healthcare (XLV, -1.06%...
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There's Only One Thing That Slows Starbucks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
One of the best stock market stories of this century has been the remarkable growth of Starbucks (SBUX) and over the past five years, I can only point to one thing that slows the price appreciation. Coffee prices. That seems simple enough to understand, but the chart below brings it...
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Small Caps Flying High, Now Feeling Historical Tailwinds
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The Russell 2000 is a small cap index and it had been lagging for quite awhile....until 2016. This year the Russell 2000 is wildly outperforming the S&P 500 and now we're heading into December, its most bullish calendar month of the year by far. Since...
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This Ag Stock Appears To Be Bottoming
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's been downhill for a long time for CF Industries (CF), but finally its downtrend was broken and volume has been pouring into the stock at these lower prices. CF's short-term strength has taken it to a 50 week SMA test for the first time...
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Home Construction Stocks Surge, Look To Move Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, November 17, 2016
U.S. stocks posted gains once again on Thursday, this time with the benchmark S&P 500 closing within a whisker of an all-time high. Strength came from all the right areas too with financials (XLF, +1.37%), consumer discretionary (XLY,...
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Apple Establishes Inverse Right Shoulder, Leads Tech Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, November 16, 2016
Computer hardware ($DJUSCR) led a tech-fueled rally on Wednesday that resulted in bifurcated action in our major indices. The NASDAQ finished with a nice 0.36% gain while the Russell 2000 was flat and the Dow Jones and S&P 500...
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Energy And Internet Stocks Fuel Latest Rally
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, November 15, 2016
In my blog article yesterday morning, I pointed out that both crude oil ($WTIC) and internet stocks ($DJUSNS) hit significant price support. In the case of the WTIC, there was a big reversal in place that suggested we'd see continuing strength...
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