KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Consumer Discretionary sector has underperformed the Consumer Staples sector since February, indicating defensive positioning for investors. * The Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show a clear rotation from "things you want" to "things you need" as investors fear weakening economic conditions. * We remain focused on... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The bond market has been as volatile as the equity market, as indicated by the Move Index. * The price action in bonds will alert you to stability returning to equities. * Investors should not rush to add positions until stability returns to the stock market. It was another erratic... READ MORE
In this video, Grayson unveils StockCharts' new Market Summary ChartPack—an incredibly valuable new ChartPack packed full of pre-built charts covering breadth, sentiment, volatility data and MUCH MORE! From there, Grayson then breaks down what he's seeing on the current Market Summary dashboard, illustrating how he'... READ MORE
Stocks vs. bonds? In this video, Julius breaks down the asset allocation outlook and why defensive sectors, large-cap value, and bonds may continue to outperform in this volatile market. He starts at the asset allocation level using Relative Rotation Graphs (RRGs) to analyze stocks vs bonds performance, then highlights the... READ MORE
Technically, it's rather clear that we remain in a downtrend. However, not all downtrends are created equal. Some are built to last, while others can turn around quickly. Recognizing the difference is obviously quite important. What most traders/investors cannot grasp is that secular (long-term) bull markets often... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The S&P 500 currently sits about 8% below its 200-day moving average, even with a strong upswing on last week's tariff news. * The newly updated Market Summary page on StockCharts.com allows investors to compare key market indexes to their 200-day moving averages. * Three... READ MORE
Moving average strategy, trend trading, and multi-timeframe analysis are essential tools for traders. In this video, Joe demonstrates how to use two key moving averages to determine if a stock is in an uptrend, downtrend, or sideways phase. He then expands on applying this concept across multiple timeframes to gain... READ MORE
When working with probabilities, you want to place trades that maximize your returns while minimizing your risks. In this OptionsPlay members-only video, Tony Zhang walks you through the techniques professional traders use to identify optimal entry points. Explore how you can apply those same strategies in the StockCharts.com OptionsPlay... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * When the stock market is erratic you should evaluate your 401(k). * The S&P 500 is trading below its 200-day moving average. * The general sentiment continues to be bearish. With so many articles and videos on popular media channels advising you not to look at your... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Despite extreme market volatility, the broader market's uptrend may still be intact. * Defensive sectors like Consumer Staples and Utilities are flashing bullish signals. * Defensive sectors don't typically drive uptrends so, depending on your time horizon, you will need to create an appropriate strategy. If... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The Bullish Percent Index for both the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have made moves similar to previous swing lows. * A long-term review of these signals yields mixed results, especially during sustained bearish market regimes. One of my favorite market breadth indicators remained in an extreme... READ MORE
The recent rally in the gold price has not yet attracted the kind of gold fever associated with the 1980 peak. At that time, there were numerous reports of unusual action, such as customers forming huge lines to buy the stuff at Canadian banks, an event that to my knowledge... READ MORE
The market has been overvalued for some time but how overvalued is it? Today Carl brings his earnings chart to demonstrate how overvalued the market is right now. We have the final data for Q4 2024. The market continues to show high volatility but it did calm down somewhat Monday.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The entire top 5 has now changed positions. * All defensive sectors are now in the top 5, while Healthcare has reentered. * Portfolio is now lagging S&P 500. Healthcare Re-Enters the Top 5 After a wild week in the markets, the sector ranking got quite a shake-up.... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Price and breadth fell to extremes in early April as the market panicked. * These extremes produced an oversold bounce, but this is still within a bear market. * Follow through is what separates bear market bounces from bullish breadth thrusts. Panic selling and oversold extremes gave way to a... READ MORE
I pay attention to technical support levels as the combination of price support/resistance is always my primary stock market indicator. We're in a downtrend and, in my opinion, the trading range is very, very clear on the S&P 500 right now: I think most everyone... READ MORE
In 2024-2025, the United States significantly escalated its trade conflict with China through new tariffs, including a substantial 100% tariff on electric vehicles and 50% on essential technologies like semiconductors and solar products. These measures amplify the existing trade tensions and represent a profound shift towards economic decoupling between the... READ MORE
The previous weekly note categorically mentioned that while the markets may continue to decline, the Indian equities are set to outperform its global peers relatively. In line with this analysis, the market saw wide swings owing to prevailing global uncertainties but continued showing remarkable resilience against other global indices. The... READ MORE
Stock market rally, sector rotation, and earnings movers dominate this week's analysis with Mary Ellen McGonagle. In this video, Mary Ellen reviews where the market stands after last week's bounce and explains how White House activity drove major price action. Mary Ellen also highlights two top-performing... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Declining equities, bonds, and the US dollar is making Wall Street nervous. * Investors will need to look at market price action through the lens of macro factors. * View longer-term charts, keep an eye on bond prices, and watch the US dollar's price action. Another interesting week... READ MORE
This week, we're getting back to earnings season during the shortened four-day period. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) reports on the heels of JP Morgan's solid results that saw its shares rally by 12.3% and recapture its 200-day moving average. Watch the trading revenue numbers... READ MORE
Stock market analysis, technical indicators, and market trends are crucial for informed investing. StockCharts is making those things easier, and Grayson Roze is here to show you how. In this video, Grayson provides an in-depth walk-through of the all-new Market Summary Page. This comprehensive tool offers a top-down overview of... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Trade war-driven volatility has made short-term market forecasts highly unreliable. * Despite near-term turbulence, long-term breadth indicators may offer clear insights. * The McClellan Summation Index can help identify favorable entry points—but use it with caution and confirmation. The current tariff environment is full of sudden moves that could... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * With fast-moving markets, this report is vulnerable to self-destruction within 5 days. * The bond vigilantes sent a message as long-term yields surged and bonds plunged. * Unless reversed, these developments are negative for stocks, especially rate sensitive stocks. In the opening scene of Mission Impossible 2, Ethan Hunt receives... READ MORE
When the stock market slides significantly, it's natural to question if the market has bottomed and getting ready to bounce. In this video, David Keller, CMT highlights the Bullish Percent Index (BPI) as a key indicator to monitor during corrective moves. Learn more about how the BPI is... READ MORE
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2024 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis. The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 index ($SPX), indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be to have an overvalued P/E of... READ MORE
Is the stock market volatility making you nervous? In this video, Grayson Roze and Julius de Kempenaer unpack the volatile market environment and discuss pain points, some of the "bright spots" they are seeing in the market, and the StockCharts tools they are using to identify shifts in... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The stock market indexes bounced back with the largest one-day gains. * Technology and Consumer Discretionary stocks were the best-performing S&P sectors. * Bonds had the most interesting price in Wednesday's trading. Tariff turmoil continues sending the stock market into a turbulent spin. Tariffs went into... READ MORE
Tariffs have been front and center of market attention, but one asset class that has been relatively subdued in its response has been the US Dollar Index. It has declined in recent weeks, but a review of the technical picture suggests that the sell-off is part of an overall corrective... READ MORE
Is the stock market on the verge of crashing or has it bottomed? In this video, Joe Rabil uses moving averages and Fibonacci retracement levels on a longer-term chart of the S&P 500 to identify support levels that could serve as potential bottoms for the current market correction.... READ MORE
The market is in a tailspin as tariffs add volatility to the market. Carl and Erin believe the SPY is in a bear market given key indexes like the Nasdaq are already in bear markets. It's time to consider where the key support levels are. Carl addressed his... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Consumer Staples replaces Healthcare in top 5 * More defensive rotation underway * RRG portfolio remains in line with market performance This article was first posted on 4/4/2025 and contained only rankings and charts. Then updated with comments 4/7/2025 I am attending and speaking at the... READ MORE
How low can the S&P and the Nasdaq fall? More importantly, how can an investor navigate this volatile environment? In this eye-opening video, Mary Ellen McGonagle delves into the stock market's fall, identifies key support levels, and compares them to past bear markets. She also discusses... READ MORE
The previous week was short; the Indian markets traded for four days owing to one trading holiday on account of Ramadan Id. However, while staying largely bearish, the markets weathered the storm inflicted by the US announcing reciprocal tariffs on almost everyone and kicking off a serious trade war. The... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * The broader stock market indexes are all trading below their 100-week moving averages. * The Bullish Percent Index (BPI) indicates sellers are dominant. * The AAII Sentiment Survey reveals extreme bearishness among investors. The stock market hoped for curtailment of tariffs on Wednesday, but that didn't happen. Even... READ MORE
When markets are sliding lower, where should you be investing? Here are three stocks to consider. American Water Works (AWK) Why focus on a utility company that isn't reporting earnings this week? It's because the biggest question of the week is where should you put your... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Traders may consider alternatives, such as Bitcoin, in bear markets. * Bitcoin and SPY are positively correlated long-term, but one period stands out. * Even though Bitcoin shows short-term relative strength, it is short of a relative breakout. Stocks are in a freefall with selling pressure spreading into industrial metals... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Kroger remains in a primary uptrend of higher highs and higher lows, a rare feature for S&P 500 members in April 2025. * Keurig Dr Pepper has overcome gap resistance and now demonstrates strong technical characteristics. * The Utilities sector has show improving relative strength in 2025, outperforming... READ MORE
In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe Rabil shows you how to use the ADX on monthly and weekly charts to find stocks with massive breakout potential. Joe walks you through several examples of stocks and ETFs that broke out of an extended period of trading sideways. He also discusses the... READ MORE
KEY TAKEAWAYS * Several sentiment indicators have reached levels that usually fuel a worthwhile rally or jump-started a new bull market. * Sentiment indicators could be at levels that are ripe for a rally but keep an eye on them. * The absence of a rally could increase the odds of a bull... READ MORE