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Stocks at a Crossroad

Stocks at a Crossroad

Determining the stride of an uptrend or downtrend is an essential Wyckoff technique. The stride of a trend is often set early in that trend and then prices can adhere to that pace of advance or decline for the majority of the bull or bear run. Trend determination techniques have...   READ MORE 

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GNG TV: Cross Asset Trends as the Summer Ends

GNG TV: Cross Asset Trends as the Summer Ends

In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler review the important macro forces influencing equity performance this week. As rising rates resume and the dollar churns higher, short-term headwinds for risk assets deliver consolidation within our recent "Go" trend. The blended...   READ MORE 

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MACD Trading Technique in Multiple Timeframes

MACD Trading Technique in Multiple Timeframes

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how he learned to trade in multiple timeframes. He shows how the simplicity of MACD can be a great launching pad for understanding multiple timeframe confluence. Joe then covers the stock requests that came through this...   READ MORE 

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Mish's Daily Video: Granny Retail -- Can the Consumer Hang in There?

Mish's Daily Video: Granny Retail -- Can the Consumer Hang in There?

I have created another video recap for today's Daily. The link to watch is below. The focus is on our Grandma of the Economic Modern Family -- Granny Retail. I use the ETF XRT as the benchmark. XRT is the largest retail ETF, but not the only one by...   READ MORE 

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Conditions That Influence Your Trades

Conditions That Influence Your Trades

On this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave continues his "Next 100 Trades" series by showing a mystery chart for his next trade and following up on recent trades, warts and all. He then continues his "Mind The Trade" (trading psychology) segment. This week,...   READ MORE 

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Energy Gets a New Lease on Life

Energy Gets a New Lease on Life

Back in June, I wrote an article entitled Are Commodities Losing their Mojo?It drew attention to the fact that some long-term indicators were pointing to at least a temporarypull-back in prices. That process is already underway, but the article also pointed out that energy usually lags other...   READ MORE 

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Mish's Daily: Grain Prices Suggest Inflation Far From Peaking

Mish's Daily: Grain Prices Suggest Inflation Far From Peaking

The chart above is the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, and reflects that inflation is historically high. The Fed has been trying to get a handle on the inflation problem, but the graph seems to illustrate that inflation may not be contained. The Fed has had to act....   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Rotation to Utilities Signals Caution for S&P 500

Sector Spotlight: Rotation to Utilities Signals Caution for S&P 500

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I share my thoughts on potential developments for the S&P 500. First, from an asset allocation perspective, I focus on the development of the USD and interest rates in relation to the stock market. Then,...   READ MORE 

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Using Options-Related Weakness To Find Excellent Trades

Using Options-Related Weakness To Find Excellent Trades

I alerted EarningsBeats.com members to the probability of short-term weakness at the start of options expiration week last Monday.  There are plenty of short-term inefficiencies in the stock market and none are bigger than the manipulation around options-expiration week.  It's the primary reason why...   READ MORE 

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Mish's Daily: Granddad Russell 2000 and His Best Friend

Mish's Daily: Granddad Russell 2000 and His Best Friend

Now that I am back from vacation, I thought we would mix it up for you all and do the Daily as a video a couple of times per week, so that I can explain the charts in more detail and speak directly to all of you. We will continue...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: DP Indicators Called It!

DP Trading Room: DP Indicators Called It!

On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens this week's show by covering the major markets and asset classes. He reviews the mega-cap stocks that are leading the market lower. DP indicators came through on warning that there was trouble ahead; Carl...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Stares at Potential Stalling of Rally; Upsides (If Any) to Stay Capped at This Level

Week Ahead: NIFTY Stares at Potential Stalling of Rally; Upsides (If Any) to Stay Capped at This Level

After continuing to rise in an unabated manner for three sessions out of four in the truncated week, the Indian equity markets managed to end the week on a positive note, but also witnessed a sharp profit-taking bout in the last trading session. The markets began the week a...   READ MORE 

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Five Decades Of Personal Stock Market Passages, Tools, Lessons And Stories: Part 1

Five Decades Of Personal Stock Market Passages, Tools, Lessons And Stories: Part 1

Successful investing calls for much the same prerequisites as those required to become a professional athlete. Fortunately, we investors have a much longer shelf life than pro athletes. Here's how I took advantage of this reality. Maturing as an investor does not automatically mean you are becoming a...   READ MORE 

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I'm Calling the Top in the S&P 500

I'm Calling the Top in the S&P 500

A key breadth indicator, which has indicated every swing top thus far in 2022, generated another sell signal on Friday. By the way, in case you're wondering, today's title is a direct reference to my friend Tom Bowley's quite well-timed show on StockCharts...   READ MORE 

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MEM TV: Is It Time to Get Defensive?

MEM TV: Is It Time to Get Defensive?

In this special presentation courtesy of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews last week's stalling action in the broader markets, as well as the rotation into more defensive areas. She also highlights 2 key metrics to pay close attention to determine if it's...   READ MORE 

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Combining RRG with the Turtle Soup Scan is Now More Powerful

Combining RRG with the Turtle Soup Scan is Now More Powerful

Since my introductory article on the topic, 2018's "Combining Relative Rotation Graphs and the "Turtle Soup" setup", I have mentioned and used this strategy a few times in my articles and analyses. The main goal has been to combine the power of RRG and...   READ MORE 

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Quantifying the Battle for the 200-day – It's Elementary

Quantifying the Battle for the 200-day – It's Elementary

The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) surged to its falling 200-day SMA here in August and even edged above this key level intraday on Tuesday. Even though the ETF is close to crossing above the 200-day, chartists would be better off taking a step back to avoid...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500 MEETS RESISTANCE AT ITS 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE AS BOND YIELDS REBOUND -- SUMMER STOCK RALLY HAS REACHED CRITICAL JUNCTURE AS IT TESTS MAJOR RESISTANCE LINES

S&P 500 MEETS RESISTANCE AT ITS 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE AS BOND YIELDS REBOUND -- SUMMER STOCK RALLY HAS REACHED CRITICAL JUNCTURE AS IT TESTS MAJOR RESISTANCE LINES

S&P 500 STALLS AT 200-DAY AVERAGE...The two month rally in stocks has run into a couple of formidable resistance lines while in an overbought condition.   Last week's message showed the S&P 500 nearing a test of its 200-day moving average and...   READ MORE 

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Looking at Topping Patterns

Looking at Topping Patterns

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how the market has been on a bullish streak for several weeks now and run into several overhead MAs that will probably be resistance. This doesn't mean that the market has to fall apart right away...   READ MORE 

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4 Signs to Anticipate a Reversal

4 Signs to Anticipate a Reversal

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows 4 patterns that can be helpful in looking for a reversal when a trend still appears to be in place. He shows the different patterns, along with Moving Average and MACD configuration. Since there were lots...   READ MORE 

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Continue to Learn from My Trades

Continue to Learn from My Trades

On this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave continues his "My Next 100 Trades" series with some trades and follows up on existing trades. He also touches upon nuances of trend following, stock selection, money management and the psychology of sticking with the methodology vs. the...   READ MORE 

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Dollar Bull Market Due for an Intermediate Correction, But It's Not an Easy Call

Dollar Bull Market Due for an Intermediate Correction, But It's Not an Easy Call

It's a Primary Bull Market for the Dollar Chart 1 shows that the US Dollar Index is very much in a primary bull market, having violated a (dashed) secular down trendline a few months ago and, more recently, completed a 7-year rectangle formation. The green-shaded areas...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: End of Downtrend ≠ New Uptrend

Sector Spotlight: End of Downtrend ≠ New Uptrend

In this week's edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take a look at recent rotations in asset classes and sectors. The recent strength for stocks over bonds at asset class level is clear, but the rotational picture for the weekly and daily time frames is...   READ MORE 

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This Is What Overbought Looks Like

This Is What Overbought Looks Like

It occurred to me that some of our primary indicators have created a teachable moment. Specifically, our short-term and intermediate-term indicators are both at fairly extreme overbought levels, and now is a good time to talk about what that means. The Swenlin Trading Oscillators for breadth and volume...   READ MORE 

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Zeroing In On Renewed Relative Strength

Zeroing In On Renewed Relative Strength

In the very near-term, we have options issues that could take a toll on key technology (XLK) and consumer discretionary (XLY) stocks.  If those options issues kick in this week, the overall market is likely to struggle.  That will definitely be one headwind as we start the new week....   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: Short Trading Week May Offer Nifty Resistance In This Zone; RRG Shows These Sectors Rolling Inside Leading Quadrant

Week Ahead: Short Trading Week May Offer Nifty Resistance In This Zone; RRG Shows These Sectors Rolling Inside Leading Quadrant

The Indian equity markets had a definite directional move over the past five days; it practically nullified the potentially bearish setup that indicated a likely stalling of the present up-move as it trended during the week to end with gains. The markets saw themselves inching higher and opening up...   READ MORE 

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Is the Bear Market Really Over?

Is the Bear Market Really Over?

Last week's rally in the Nasdaq marked a 21% rise from its June 16th closing low and, according to widely-followed criteria, this signals the end of its bear market status. The gains occurred following news of a slight easing of inflation in July and, if we continue...   READ MORE 

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Can The Final Bear Turn Out the Lights?

Can The Final Bear Turn Out the Lights?

Since the initial rally off the June low, we've been reinforcing the importance of upside resistance in the 4150-4200 range. This is based on an initial Fibonacci retracement off the lows, and also happens to be the peak from early June. On Wednesday, we finally closed above...   READ MORE 

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Two Indicators that are Acting Like It's 2020

Two Indicators that are Acting Like It's 2020

We decided to take a look at our Silver Cross Index (SCI) and Golden Cross Index (GCI) across the broad markets. They were startling, to say the least. As we all debate whether this is the end of the Bear Market of 2022, these two indicators suggest it just might...   READ MORE 

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MEM TV: What's Driving the Biggest Market Movers?

MEM TV: What's Driving the Biggest Market Movers?

In this special presentation courtesy of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews why select stocks are trading higher than the markets. She also highlights the rotation into Small Caps and shares ways to capitalize. This video was originally broadcast on August 12, 2022. Click on the above...   READ MORE 

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How Far Will the SPY Push?

How Far Will the SPY Push?

On this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG goes through a few examples of how the market might continue before the 1-2 punch of a pullback and topping pattern. TG is seeing a ton of names that are in what he calls the Weekly Arch of...   READ MORE 

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STOCK INDEXES CLEAR JUNE HIGH -- TEST OF 200-DAY AVERAGES MAY BE NEXT

STOCK INDEXES CLEAR JUNE HIGH -- TEST OF 200-DAY AVERAGES MAY BE NEXT

JUNE HIGHS CLEARED... Last week's message showed major stock indexes testing initial resistance at their June highs, and suggested that an upside penetration of that resistance could lead to a possible test of their 200-day moving averages.  Those June highs have since been exceeded.    Chart 1 shows...   READ MORE 

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Overbought and Staying Overbought

Overbought and Staying Overbought

The S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) is in the midst of a strong advance since mid July as it became "overbought" on July 20th and remains overbought. Today's article will show how to measure overbought and oversold levels using StochClose, which is a version of...   READ MORE 

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Can the Stock Market Overcome This MAJOR Issue?

Can the Stock Market Overcome This MAJOR Issue?

I'm a believer that Wall Street will eventually overcome all obstacles and move back to all-time highs. It's a big "wall of worry", but the bulls are up to the task. The cyclical bear market is over, and we've resumed the...   READ MORE 

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GNG TV: Equities Rally Through Resistance, Dollar Now a "NoGo"

GNG TV: Equities Rally Through Resistance, Dollar Now a "NoGo"

As US Equity indices broke through overhead supply, trend conditions strengthened to strong blue "Go" bars. In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler review the intermarket headwinds for risk assets including treasury rates ($TNX), the US Dollar index ($UUP) and high...   READ MORE 

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What to Ask Before Each Trade

What to Ask Before Each Trade

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses some of the key aspects to trading psychology. He goes through a trade setup that has all the characteristics he is looking for, then explains the potential pitfalls on the mental side of trading. Joe talks...   READ MORE 

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This One Would Make A Great Short Candidate

This One Would Make A Great Short Candidate

I'm very much in the bullish camp and have been for weeks now. However, there are isolated situations where I'd consider a short position. Netflix (NFLX) is on that list. I believe the reward-to-risk is set up beautifully right now on NFLX. Remember the...   READ MORE 

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Only Two Sectors are Leading the Charge

Only Two Sectors are Leading the Charge

On the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, there are only two sectors that are leading the market higher. Not surprisingly, these are growth-related sectors, specifically XLK and XLY, which together make up 40% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500 index. In last Tuesday'...   READ MORE 

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Good Inflation News is Helping Stocks Move Through Resistance -- But is It Enough?

Good Inflation News is Helping Stocks Move Through Resistance -- But is It Enough?

The summer rally has enabled several indexes to push through important resistance, but, since there was a lot of backing and filling at higher levels earlier this year, there are several places where even more resistance is apparent. If you want to be bullish, for instance, take a look at...   READ MORE 

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Learn From Dave's Trades

Learn From Dave's Trades

On this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave continues his series of showing you his "next 100 trades." Even better, he shows why he picked them, how he managed the positions (which returned both good and bad results) and how he used discretion in an attempt...   READ MORE