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Ten Questions to Ask Yourself at Year-End
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The week between Christmas and New Year's is a special week for me. I actually call it "Power Week", and it is basically a week-long process of taking a step back from the "flickering ticks" of day-to-day life to focus on the long-term.
Part...
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Ready for New RRG Rotations into 2022
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Here we are, on the last day of the year, writing my last ChartWatchers newsletter contribution for 2021.
By the time you are reading this, it will be 2022. So let me kick off by...
wishing you a very happy and above all healthy new year!!
Given the situation the...
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Learn the Key Details About MACD & ADX
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's special edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses MACD and ADX in detail, defining how they are calculated and why there may be some lag in them when volatility increases. He spends time showing the specifics in the DI line calculation and how...
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Three Groups to Watch Inside the Materials Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Over the past several weeks, the materials sector has continued to improve very gradually and is now on the verge of crossing over into the leading quadrant.
The bottoming process of relative strength against SPY is still ongoing and has been picked up by the RRG-Lines, which are both rising....
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Placed at Key Juncture; RRG Chart Shows Likely Outperformance from These Pockets
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Over the past five days, the Indian equity markets struggled to maintain their closing levels from the previous week. The beginning of the week was on a steeply negative note; the following four trading days after that were spent recouping from those lower levels. This ensured that, despite decent pullbacks,...
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Two Intermarket Relationships Worth Monitoring for Early 2022
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last week, I pointed out three charts that had triggered bullish signals and suggested that these characteristics were strong enough to power the market higher. Prices immediately sold off, but have subsequently rebounded. Since those charts are still positive, I am sticking to the higher market over the next 2-4...
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Theme of 2021? Market Resilience. Theme for 2022? TBD
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
When the S&P hit a record high on November 22, then proceeded to fall over 5% in just over a week, a lot of pundits declared the market was dead. The S&P had simply risen too much for the year and fallen below key technical levels,...
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Sorry, But I Don't Believe in This Santa Claus Rally
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It might take more than Old Saint Nick to sustain this current stock market rally. I'm not a believer this year. It reminds me of that catchy holiday tune:
"StockCharts is making a chart and I've checked it twice, gonna find out that Wall Street&...
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Networking Leads and this Stock Could be Next
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The Networking ETF (IGN) is leading the market with a solid uptrend and a new high this week. Diving into the group, I found a stock that recently broke out and formed a short-term bullish continuation pattern. The stock is also in an uptrend and I expect a breakout to...
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Top Five Charts of 2021
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Try to summarize 2021 in one word.
"Rotational."
"Uncertain."
"Volatile."
Perhaps all of the above?
This year has been all about leadership rotation, with growth names, value stocks and even defensive sectors all spending some time as the strongest performers in a given month....
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Key Areas to Watch This Weekend and Into the New Year
With the holiday weekend upon us, let's take a quick review of Mish's Economic Modern Family for new trends and ideas as we head into the new year.
The Family consists of 7 symbols that show a complete view of the overall market.
To start with,...
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These Two Industry Groups Offer Excellent Opportunities
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
This week in the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Diamond Mine trading room Thursday morning, I found two industry groups to watch. Interestingly, one of those groups I had brought to the table last Friday for my DP Diamonds subscribers and, on Monday, I brought it to the attention of the DP Alert...
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STOCKS ENDING TRADING WEEK ON A STRONG NOTE -- S&P 500 NEARS OLD HIGH -- SEASONAL TREND REMAINS POSITIVE -- BUT MARKET BREADTH LAGS BEHIND
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES GAIN GROUND... Stocks are ending the trading week on a strong note as shown in the three charts below. The most notable one belongs to the S&P 500 in Chart 2 which is nearing a test of its old high. Ten of eleven stock sectors are...
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Is Everyone Loading Up on Trades Before Christmas?
High-yield corporate bonds ETF (JNK) cleared its 50-day moving average at $108.24, but sits in a pivotal resistance zone. Along with JNK, the major indices are sitting near overhead resistance from recent highs or, in the case of the Russell 2000 (IWM), the middle of the trading range. At...
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Two Intermarket Relationships Worth Monitoring for Early 2022
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last week, I pointed out three charts that had triggered bullish signals and suggested that these characteristics were strong enough to power the market higher. Prices immediately sold off, but have subsequently rebounded. Since those charts are still positive, I am sticking to the higher market over the next 2-4...
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Providers and Pharmaceuticals Looking Strong Inside Healthcare
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
My longer-term outlook for the general market is still based on a continuing uptrend. However, over the last few weeks, defensive sectors picked up on the Relative Rotation Graph against the S&P 500.
Of these three sectors, Healthcare (XLV) is the biggest in terms of market capitalization at...
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Is the Santa Claus Rally Finally Here?
As the year nears its end, we have a lot of ideas to keep watch of.
Tuesday's price action could be the late Santa rally people were hoping for. Though it's better late than never, we should watch for the major indices to hold up through...
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Is This Pharma The Next GameStop (GME) Short Squeeze?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It's been quite a volatile ride today, but one pharmaceutical stock has made 5 years' worth of returns in a couple hours. It's what happens when there's a huge imbalance in demand vs. supply on a stock and it breaks out to new...
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DP TV: Determining Biases in Indexes, Stocks and ETFs
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On this special episode of DecisionPoint, Erin explains how you can determine the "bias" of an index, as well as a stock or ETF. Using moving averages, participation and the Golden/Silver Cross Index for sectors and the broad market, you can determine whether the market, a sector...
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Is it Time to Start Range Trading?
Currently, the major indices are trading near the lows of December or, in the case of IWM, near the bottom of its trading range, around $208.
With 2021 wrapping up, there is still a lot of uncertainty in the market. The past month has been tough from a trading standpoint,...
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Week Ahead: Crucial Days Ahead for NIFTY; RRG Chart Shows This Sector Ending Relative Underperformance
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In predominantly weak trading days over the entire past week, the Indian equity markets not only violated a few important levels, but also grossly underperformed the global markets. All of the last five trading days remained weak as the NIFTY failed to move past the 17500 level. After a failed...
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In Search of Some Inflation Protection? Check Out These Considerations
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Last week, the Federal Reserve announced plans to shift to a tighter monetary policy to allow for interest rate hikes sooner than expected. The move is in an effort to keep inflation from spiraling out of control and was in response to reports of a surge in inflation. November'...
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Bearish Divergence Continues for S&P 500
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Something changed on November 5, 2021.
The S&P 500 had successfully broken up through the previous resistance level around 4550; early November saw the benchmark continue higher to finally reach 2700 on November 5th. Until that first Friday in November, the S&P 500 appeared to be...
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Markets Close Down, But These Areas are Up!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
On this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews where the relative strength is in the markets and shares individual stocks that are expected to remain strong into next year.
This video was originally recorded on December 17, 2021. Click on the above image to watch...
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See the Growth -- Value Dance on Relative Rotation Graphs
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
One of the predefined universes/groups on the RRG page is for Growth/Value. Many investors look at this relationship to help them determine whether the market is in a risk-on or risk-off mode. Just pull down the "Groups" selection box and look for Growth / Value.
When browsing...
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Is the ARKK ETF Showing Big Potential Going into 2022?
While the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is down 0.3% on Friday's close, Cathy Woods Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) closed over 6% on the day. Additionally, ARKK made a strong close over yesterday's high, showing added strength when compared to the major indices. With that said, this...
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How to Avoid Failing Stocks
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains how sometimes a move to the upside is really just a bounce into resistance. He will walk you through how to spot this and show how to not get caught in failing stocks and downtrends.
This video was...
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The Evolution And Essential Foundations Of The Stock Market Mastery Methodology
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
This past week, Grayson and I had the special pleasure of being interviewed by David Keller who, in the video, posed many pithy questions as to the evolution of our Stock Market Mastery methodology.
We each reflected on the investing foundations differently, but all three of us agreed on the...
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STOCKS STRUGGLE WITH RATE HIKES AND OMICRON --STOCK INDEXES TEST 50-DAY AVERAGES --DEFENSIVE STOCK SECTORS HIT NEW RECORDS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES WEAKEN... Stock prices are ending a volatile week on the downside. So far, no serious chart damage has been done as the three major stock indexes shown below are testing potential support at their 50-day moving averages. Stocks are struggling with the spread of the omicron virus (and...
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Industrial & Office REITs are Shining in the Real Estate Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Watching the rotation of the Real Estate sector (XLRE) on a Relative Rotation Graph shows the tail inside the lagging quadrant after a long rotation through leading and weakening.
Six weeks ago, XLRE moved into the lagging quadrant, but quite rapidly started to pick up relative momentum again, pushing the...
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Three Charts That Suggests This Rally Has Legs.... For the Time Being
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
A lot of indicators, such as the percentage of NYSE stocks above their 200-day MA and the NYSE bullish percentage, remain in confirmed downtrends that will take time to reverse. However, some of the shorter-term charts that have proved reliable in the past have just begun to offer some bullish...
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Chartwise Women: The Power of Chart Patterns
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It's that time of year again! On this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Erin and Mary Ellen talk about their favorite chart patterns, with Mary Ellen going in-depth on Base Breakout patterns while Erin covers the Double Bottom, Ascending Triangle, Falling Wedge, Bull Flag and Triple...
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Strategies for Taking Profits
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe Rabil discusses how he takes profits. He recommends defining who you are as a trader/investor, then shows how to go about taking profits whether you are a short-term trader or a Trend player. Joe then goes...
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Is The S&P 500 Setting Up for a Break to New Highs?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
After dipping to 4500, the development of a potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern started to take shape on the price chart of the S&P 500.
The overhead resistance just above 4700 has already been developing since the market first reached that area at the start of November. Very recently,...
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Will Wednesday's Momentum Continue or Fade?
On Wednesday, investors waited for the FOMC minutes release at 2 PM EST to see whether the Fed would be hawkish or dovish in its response to the recent Producer Price Index report (PPI). With the PPI showing inflation rising rapidly, the market gapped lower Tuesday on an expectation that...
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10 Things You Must Know About Crypto
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave briefly covers Mystery Chart updates and analyzes what has happened there. Next up, he covers the 10 things you must know about Crypto and any other market.
This video was originally broadcast on December 15, 2021. Click anywhere on the Trading Simplified logo...
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ETFs to Hedge Against Increasing Inflation
The Producer Price Index is accelerating at a quick pace, with a 0.8% increase this November. For the year, producer prices are up 9.6%. As the media and market digest the increase in prices, the stagflation narrative becomes more realistic.
With that said, this gives us more confirmation...
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Is Dr. Copper About to Make a Diagnosis?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The copper price is reputed to have a "Ph.D. in economics" because of its ability to predict turning points in the global economy. That role is justified due to copper's widespread use in most sectors of the economy, from homes and factories to electronics, power...
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Sector Spotlight: US Leads Internationally and XLRE Stands Out
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take on the asset class and sector rotation as it played out last week. The relationship between stocks and bonds continues to be in favour for stocks while, at the sector level, Real Estate seems to be making an...
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Fireworks in December? Monthly Options Expire Friday
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The Tuesday before the third Friday of each month gets the blood pumping at EarningsBeats.com. As momentum traders, it's EXTREMELY important to be aware as monthly options expiration approaches. We have seen time and time again how crazy the short-term market action can be when market makers...
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