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Keep Your Eyes on Junk and Treasury Bonds
The stock market sits in a dicey situation, with not only the Omicron variant adding stress to economic growth, but the Fed chair Jerome Powell also commenting on the possibility of speeding up tapering. Though the Fed has long stressed inflation to be transitory, it seems as though their tune...
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Divergence is Back
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
First of all, I need to apologize for the absence of writing a blog article (and publishing a Sector Spotlight Video). In the intro of today's episode of Sector Spotlight, I explain a bit about what happened. But to make a long story very short, on Wednesday evening,...
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DP TV: Market Bias Bearish in All Timeframes
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl walks viewers through the broad markets using the Golden Cross Index and Silver Cross Index. As part of the indicator review today, Carl and Erin discuss how to determine market bias using participation and the Golden Cross/Silver Cross Indexes. Currently, the bias is...
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Is the Stock Market Turning Over?
Besides the Russell 2000 (IWM), the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), S&P 500 (SPY) and the Dow Jones (DIA) have closed over Friday's high, creating a decent reversal. This has placed the four major indices in an interesting spot, as they were showing technical weakness before news surfaced...
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QQQ Teetering + Point & Figure Workshop TV Special
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The Point and Figure charting engine at StockCharts.com is an outstanding tool. It provides incredible flexibility to draw many varied types of PnF charts. Navigating the PnF chart controls is easy once they are understood.
Wyckoffians use these charts to estimate price objectives using a horizontal counting method. There...
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How Did Friday's Selling Compare To March 2020 Selling? My Takeaways
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
News that a new COVID-19 variant has surfaced in South Africa spooked global equity markets on Friday. Was it an overreaction and an opportunity to buy some of your favorite stocks cheaper? Or is the start of a much deeper, panic-driven selloff. Unless you're a scientist with inside...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Set to Have Jittery Days Ahead; RRG Charts Show No Major Change in Sectoral Setup
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The Indian equity markets were just consolidating and trying to find a base for themselves in the first four of the last five trading sessions. However, it was the last session of the week, on Friday, that did much of the undoing for the markets. Even though there were no...
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Trouble Ahead? Or Just a Hiccup?
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
The news that a new variant has popped up spooked the market on Friday, with all of the major indexes getting hit hard. But the truth is the market had gotten overextended and really was in need of a pullback. It just so happens to be that the news about...
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Eight Things You Can Do To Boost The Profitability Of Your Own ChartLists
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
Yes - believe it!
The organization of your ChartLists is an extremely high leverage investing activity that YOU control. It does and will determine your profitability. Hence, it's worthy of your time and effort. As I often quote the entrepreneur and investor Michael Dell, "You don'...
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DP WEEKLY WRAP: Gray Swan? - Black Friday/Cyber Monday Sale is ON!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
(Our holiday gift to you... today's ChartWatchers article is a reprint of today's subscriber-only DP Weekly Wrap.)
Today, it was announced that we are faced with another COVID variant. This was not exactly a "black swan" event, something no one imagined, but maybe we...
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STOCKS PLUNGE ON NEW COVID VARIANT -- ALL ELEVEN SECTORS LOSE GROUND -- TREASURY YIELDS ALSO PLUNGE IN FLIGHT TO SAFETY
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES PLUNGE... Reports of a new covid variant in South Africa pushed stocks sharply lower the day after Thanksgiving. As a result, all three major U.S. stock indexes suffered short-term technical damage. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials falling -904 points (-2.5%) and ending the day well...
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Trend Monitoring and Setup Phases for SPY
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Note that this article has been revised to account for Friday's price action. Stocks were slammed on Black Friday with small-caps leading the way lower and stay-at-home stocks bouncing. The declines were big, but they should be put into perspective. First, Black Friday is pretty much a holiday...
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Giving Thanks!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Thanksgiving is celebrated here in the US on the 4th Thursday of November and is a day to give thanks. Let me say that I'm very thankful for God and family. I was blessed with my first grandchild a little over a year ago and she's...
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What Is Going On With the Oil Market?
The oil market has the media spotlight, with projected prices continuing to rise. Shortages, inflation and economic growth have all been major factors in oil trending higher throughout this year. With gas at a 7-year high, pressure has been mounting on the Biden administration to ease the consistent price climb....
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Can the Market Bounce if Junk Bonds Sell Off?
The small-cap index Russell 2000 (IWM) looks hopeful for a Wednesday bounce, while the High-Yield Corporate Debt ETF (JNK) sends another warning sign. Though we are watching all major indices, IWM is the most interesting since it found intraday support near its 50-day moving average at $228.06. It should...
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Key Index Experiences a Bearish Outside Day: Could There Be More Downside to Come?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
One piece of Monday's market action that really stood out to me was a bearish outside day in the NASDAQ, as shown in Chart 1. A classic outside day develops after a persistent short-term rally and signals a short-term reversal in sentiment. The outside part refers to the...
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DP TV: Focus on Defensive Utilities
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl walks viewers through the market and the DecisionPoint indicators on the broad markets, as well as the S&P 400/600. Get his thoughts on shrinking participation! He covers 10-year yield and long Bonds (TLT), along with Bitcoin, Crude Oil, the Dollar and...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY's Price Behavior Against This Zone Crucial; RRG Chart Shows This Sector Rolling Inside Leading Quadrant
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets had a truncated week, with Friday being a trading holiday on account of Gurunanak Jayanti. In the four-day trading week, the NIFTY remained in corrective mode and ended on a negative note all four trading days of the week. In the process, the Index has violated important supports...
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2 Wall Street Upgrades and 1 Activist-Led Shakeup - These 3 Stocks are on the Move!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Last week, the S&P 500 traded mostly sideways despite outsized gains in several heavyweight FAANMG stocks. In fact, most of the underlying sectors in this Index were down over 1% for the week while investors sorted through news, such as a potential shift in the Federal Reserve'...
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Five Stocks I'm Watching Next Week
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
My Market Trend Modelremains positive on all three time frames, which means I focus on three main goals: identify breakout opportunities with upside potential, lean into positive trends that continue to work and, lastly, look for signs of weakness that may indicate thebull market phase is exhausted.
On Friday'...
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The Biggest Update In A Decade - Introducing The Totally New, Totally Revamped "Stock Market Mastery" ChartPack!
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
It's not often you get to say something is the biggest moment in a decade – the biggest change, the biggest update, the biggest overhaul. But here we are, introducing the most monumental evolution of our "Tensile Trading" ChartPack since the launch of the original version. In...
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Top Stock Picks Revealed
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
This past Thursday evening, our Chief Market Strategist Tom Bowley unveiled his "Top 10 Stock Picks" for our 4 portfolios, 40 stocks in all. These stocks are meant to be held for the subsequent 90 days, when a new batch of stocks will be unveiled and the process...
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Playing the Pullback in Big Movers
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
On this episode StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares how to trade stocks after they have big gaps up. She also reviews signals that a downtrend reversal has further upside potential, as well as SmallCap stocks in bullish positions.
This video was originally recorded on November 19,...
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Mish: The Key Market Relationships -- Love or Rancor?
This past week, the market found both love and irreconcilable differences.
The love came from the big cap tech stocks. Nvidia, Apple, Google, Microsoft all gave investors hearts and flowers. On the flip side, small caps, energy, industrial metals, and transportation stocks gave investors indigestion, inconveniently ahead of Thanksgiving.
It&...
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Broad Market Participation is Drying Up
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Here is part of the opening paragraph from yesterday's subscriber-only DP Diamonds Report:
"I am still not in favor of expanding exposure. Big reason would be the diminishing participation within the major indexes. It's going to get harder and harder to find solid winners as...
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BREADTH FIGURES WEAKEN -- MARKET MAY BE DUE FOR A PULLBACK
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
S&P 500 SHOWS SOME NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE... Stocks are ending the week in a mixed fashion. The Dow Jones Industrials are weakening, while the Nasdaq 100 is hitting a new record. That being the case, this message will focus on the S&P 500 which is in the...
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Chartwise Women: Muted Black Friday & Cyber Monday + Retail Stock Talk
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin talk about the new dynamics taking place among the retail group. As consumers are starting their shopping early, "Black Friday" and "Cyber Monday" are expected to be rather muted due to supply chain...
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Key Candlestick and Moving Average Setups
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses key candlestick patterns that he uses in his analysis. He then takes these individual bars and explains their importance based on the relationship to the moving average lines. Joe also analyzes the stock requests from viewers...
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Understanding Irrational Market Behavior Through Your Own Behavior
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave explains how markets are irrational and emotional - just like you. Many times traders make trades that have nothing to do with the underlying security. Wrapping your head around this through the lens of your own personal behavior will help you understand and...
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It's Draft Day for EarningsBeats.com; Will This HUGE Winner Remain in Our Portfolio?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I have a favorite day each quarter. It's the day that I set aside hours to reassess the overall market to determine what I believe will take place over the next three months, focus on the best areas of the market, and ultimately select 10 equal-weighted stocks to...
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CryptoPulse Daily Report: Cryptocurrencies Get a Healthy Reset
Pretty much everyone in crypto is hurting this week, with the overall Cryptocurrency market cap decreasing by over $300 billion since Sunday 11/14. The first domino to fall was Bitcoin (BTC), as the coin sold off 3% on Monday and then another 8% Tuesday, finally finding support at its...
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Sector Spotlight: Railroad Group Pops on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I take my usual look at last week's rotation in Asset Classes and put that into longer-term perspective. From this universe, I highlight the strength of the US dollar and take a closer look at the relationship between...
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Did the Long-Term Treasury Bonds (TLT) Turn Risk On?
On Tuesday, the Long-Term Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) closed underneath its 50-day moving average for two consecutive days confirming a cautionary phase. TLT's trend has been relatively dormant for the past four months with multiple failed attempts to clear the $151.80 price area. However, this recent breakdown...
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After Seven Months of Consolidation Food Prices are Starting to Resume their Advance
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The Invesco DB Agricultural Fund (DBA) consists of grains (37%), softs (sugar, coffee and cocoa; 35%) and livestock (24%). A small allocation is also given to cotton. Chart 1 shows that this ETF began a bull market back in the spring of last year. Late 2020 also saw it break...
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Railroads are On Track
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Two sectors that have my attention at the moment are Industrials (XLI) and Materials (XLB).
Looking at the Relative Rotation Graph above, we can see how similar the rotation for both sectors has been over the last 23 weeks, and still is. A few weeks ago, both tails rotated back...
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Dark Clouds Are Engulfing Wall Street; Bulls, Strike Three You're Out!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Before I begin this article, let me be clear that I remain extremely bullish for the long-term. We're nowhere close to where we're going, which is much, much higher. But in the very near-term, I'm growing increasingly bearish. There are a few reasons, which...
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Is The Retail Sector (XRT) Stronger Than Investors Expect?
As of Monday, the strongest sector within Mish's Economic Modern Family is the Retail space (XRT). Though we will look at other key sectors in the Family, XRT is of special interest with the upcoming holiday season.
Struggling from limited employees, companies are feverishly attempting to keep an...
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Is This Stock Being Accumulated or Distributed?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Sometimes, when I look at a chart, I see conflicting signals. That is definitely the case for 10x Genomics Inc. (TXG), an $18.1 billion medical equipment company. Medical equipment stocks ($DJUSAM) have been consolidating for the past 2-3 months, which has led to relative underperformance by the group as...
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These 2 Breakouts Should Lead To A Strong 2021 Finish
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I'm partial to the formation of long bases, followed by breakouts, and breakouts of bullish continuation patterns. Well, I have two of these to share with you. Let me first start with CNH Industrial (CNHI), a $25.3 billion commercial vehicles & trucks company ($DJUSHR). They absolutely crushed...
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Week Ahead: Truncated Week to See NIFTY Defending Crucial Levels; RRG Chart Show These Sectors Continuing to Outperform
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Over the past five days, the somewhat volatile NIFTY oscillated in a defined range before ending the week with modest gains. Throughout the week, the majority of the time was spent on a corrective note. It was only the last day of the trading week that saw massive short-covering and...
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