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Gold Miners Have a Pulse - My Top Three Right Now
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is a copy of last night's DecisionPoint Diamonds Report. I promised in today's Chartwise Women show that I would give some examples of how I set stops.)
One of the charts that I review every market day in the DP Alert is the Gold Miners...
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Important Zero Line MACD Signals You Can Use to Improve Timing
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains several different MACD signals that can be used to improve timing during a pullback. He discusses Zero Line Reversals, Zero Line/Reverse Divergence, Zero Line Overrun vs. Zero Line Breaks, Counter Trend Lines, Momentum Divergence and...
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Has The September Swoon Ended? Well....
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
That's never an easy question to answer while you're in the midst of a downtrend. It's a whole lot easier to be a Monday Morning Quarterback and say it's over when you've returned to a new all-time high. That'...
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Simple Techniques to Stay on the Right Side of the Trend
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave shows his methodology in action, with an emphasis on waiting for entries, sticking with positions even during adverse conditions (unless stopped out) and how, sometimes, you can just buy markets when they are going up. He then went on to discuss simple techniques...
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How to Predict Short-Term Price Direction With Two Special ETFs
On Tuesday, we talked about the 6-month calendar range as a support level to hold in both the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). On Wednesday, both indices were able to hold support from their calendar range lows around $427 (for the SPY) and $352 (for...
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NYFANG, The Index and ETF Nobody Talks About
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In a recent conversation, somebody mentioned "New York Fang" to me. I was under the impression he was referring to the FANG stocks. Only later did I understand that he was talking about an ETF and an associated index which is a bit broader than "just"...
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STOCK INDEXES FALL BELOW 100-DAY AVERAGES -- FOUR SECTORS ARE TESTING THEIR 200-DAY LINES
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
WATCHING 100-DAY AVERAGES...Stocks remain in a short- to intermediate term downturn that started during September. And moving average lines are being broken. It started with stock indexes falling below their 50-day moving averages. And then falling below their 100-day lines. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials trading below its...
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The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 Bounce Off Their 6-Month Calendar Range
Calendar ranges have been used for a long time in charting as important levels to clear or break down from. Investors can view price as bullish when over the range and bearish when trading under. We like to use the 6-month calendar range, as it shows long-term support or resistance...
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This Sector is Likely to Outperform the NASDAQ in a Major Way
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Back in AprilandMay, I wrote about the possibility that the tech-dominated NASDAQ had begun to lose its mojo. The argument was based more on relative action than the absolute price, as I was, and still am, bullish on the primary trend.
Recent NASDAQ Underperformance is Likely to Extend
Chart 1...
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Sector Spotlight: Bearish Engulfing Candle for S&P
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start the month by evaluating the monthly charts for asset classes and sectors. Despite the weak ending of the month in September, three sectors managed to squeeze out a new all-time-high. However, none of them were able to hold...
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Which Commodities Are Countering the Market?
While the major indices continue to weaken, U.S factories have seen a 1.2% increase in orders in August. This shows that although equities are struggling, the demand for goods is steady. Therefore, now is the time to pay close attention to which spaces are holding up while the...
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DP TV: SPY Loses Its "Silver Cross" Buy Signal!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
An eventful day of trading provides an excellent backdrop for this episode of DecisionPoint. Carl starts with an "inside baseball" look at the small-caps vs large-caps, explaining in charts the downward pressure the mega-cap stocks are having on the broad markets. He then reviews our indicators and identifies...
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2021 Q2 Earnings: Market Still Overvalued
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The following chart shows us the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E of 20 (red line), a fairly valued P/E of 15 (blue line), or an...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Stares at Important Support Levels; RRG Charts Show These Sectors Lending Inherent Strength to the Markets
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The week that went by remained on much of the analyzed lines. In the previous weekly note, it was mentioned that the NIFTY is unlikely to see any runaway rise as per the technical setup, as well as the Options data that point in time. It was also mentioned that...
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Step Aside Chairman Powell, Mr. Market is Tightening for You
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last week, the Fed announced that tapering is likely to begin later in the year, to be later followed by a leisurely hike in rates. As usual, those pesky impatient markets have decided to raise rates now rather than wait for the clobbering they know they will get later. It...
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Two More Climax Days Last Week That Were on the Mark
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In last week's ChartWatchers newsletter, I wrote about the climax days that occurred the previous week. We saw two more last week and I'll give you the heads up that today we saw an upside initiation climax.
Here's a refresher on what a "...
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Let Charts Help You Identify Possible Winners - And Losers
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
With Q3 earnings season kicking off over the next few weeks, it's important to try to identify those companies that might shine and those that might suffer once they release their earnings. It's true that you cannot rely solely on one company's chart to...
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Mish: The U.S. Dollar Has Had Its Day
The U.S. Dollar chart, as represented by the Invesco DB US Dollar ETF (UUP), shows some classic signs of a top.
Before I delve deeper into the technicals though, let's look at the fundamental reasons for the dollar rally last week. For starters, China's slowing...
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Reviewing the "Weight of the Evidence"
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
In this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe spends a few minutes reviewing his "weight of the evidence" by briefly going through all the indicators in his arsenal. He then spends the bulk of the show going through the stock requests that came...
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A Strong Uptrend and Bullish Continuation Pattern for this Agriculture ETF
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists looking to trade in the direction of the bigger trend have two options. First, take trend signals and act when the trend turns up. Once an uptrend is underway, chartists must then rely on pullbacks, short-term oversold conditions and bullish continuation patterns to hitch a ride. Today's...
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Chartwise Women: Power Up Your Investments by Using Momentum
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The premiere of an all-new, all-different Chartwise Women is here! Mary Ellen and Erin kick things off by talking about momentum investing, their experience with it and show you some charts demonstrating how powerful momentum can be in your investing. They also share their own "runway stories" that...
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Double Tops Could Become "A Thing" in the Bond Market
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Bond Market Holds all the keys. And one of the key charts here is TLT.
After setting a big double top in 2020 and completing it at the end of the year, the start of 2021 was characterized by an acceleration lower, pushing yields higher. Support was found around...
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Strength Rotates Into the Financial Sector
Wednesday showed weakness in key sectors, including biotech (IBB), semiconductor (SMH) and transportation (IYT). We have closely been watching the transportation sector for improving strength as it has attempted to clear its 50-day moving average (DMA). However, IYT has instead broken underneath the 200-DMA and, though it sits in a...
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Hybrid Money Management and Strategies for Finding Hot IPOs
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave starts out with Mystery Charts and Mystery Chart reveals while covering methodology in Action. Next, he discusses "Hybrid Money Management" and whether or not it is psychological or statistical. Finally, he shares his strategies for finding hot IPOs.
This video was...
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Mish - Stock Traders: Buy the Dip or Buy Some Dip?
As many of you know, I am on many media outlets talking about the market, commodities, the state of the economy, and - yes - I was one of the first to talk about stagflation.
Oftentimes, I am joined by other investors, traders, analysts and financial consultants. What I and...
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RISE IN 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HURTS STOCKS -- TECH IS TAKING THE BIGGEST HIT -- ENERGY IS TOP SECTOR -- BANKS SHOULD BENEFIT FROM HIGHER YIELDS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITS 3-MONTH HIGH...The steep rise in Treasury yields that started last week continued again today. Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury yield climbing 5 basis points today to 1.53%. That puts the TNX at the highest level in three months. Yields are being pushed higher...
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Sector Spotlight: Does The Bond Market Hold All the Keys?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I review the current rotations for Asset Classes and Sectors. As it is the last Tuesday of the month, I bring in the seasonality segment to find out if there are any meaningful seasonal patterns coinciding with current rotations on...
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This Tech Stock Breaks Out And Is Added To The RRG Long Basket
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
After the last update of the RRG Baskets we were left with 3 shorts and 3 longs:
LONG : EXR, WM, CRM
SHORT: XLY, SWKS, PSX
LONG
Looking at the recent performance for the members of the long basket we see CRM and WM holding up well vs the S&...
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Rising Yields Have A History Of Favoring These Stocks; One Such Stock Is Being Heavily Accumulated
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Rising treasury yields can have a tremendous impact on which groups outperform and underperform. Many of us here at StockCharts.com write about the positive impact that rising yields can have on financials (XLF), especially banks ($DJUSBK) and life insurance companies ($DJUSIL). Because rising yields normally reflect Wall Street'...
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DP TV: Sky's the Limit on Energy and Oil ETFs
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl covers the major markets with a peek at mid- and small-cap ETFs. Indicators are positive, so certainly a bullish bias. There were two new IT Trend Model signal changes on XLE and XLU. Additionally, Carl and Erin review the Financial sector "under the...
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Step Aside Chairman Powell, Mr. Market is Tightening for You
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last week, the Fed announced that tapering is likely to begin later in the year, to be later followed by a leisurely hike in rates. As usual, those pesky impatient markets have decided to raise rates now rather than wait for the clobbering they know they will get later. It...
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Mish - Transportation Sector, Budgets, Debts and Stocks
The key sector to reflect optimism/pessimism about consumers, industrial demand, supply chain issues and the upcoming budget proposals is Transportation (IYT).
The Retail sector improved to start the week. As measured by XRT, we see an improved phase back to bullish, but still a very much rangebound sector. We...
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Week Ahead: Buoyant NIFTY May Face Consolidation at Higher Levels; Expect Outperformance from These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Much on the expected lines, the Indian equity markets had a strong week. Despite being overbought and a bit overextended on the charts, the stocks put up a resilient show while the NIFTY tested and closed at a fresh lifetime high point. The Indian market was one of the most...
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Bonds Throw a Tantrum and Banks Cheer
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The 20+ Yr Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) threw a tantrum this week with the biggest two day decline since March 2020, which was a very chaotic month. With a sharp decline in bonds, the 10-yr Treasury Yield broke above its summer highs and the bulls stampeded into the Regional Bank...
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A Hundred Large Cap Stocks are in a Bear Market - And Wall Street is Looking for 35 of Them to Soar
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
While the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are in striking distance of their early September highs in price, over 20% of the Large Cap stocks within these Indices are in a bear market.* That is to say, they're down at least 20% from their...
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Why Gold Remains Bearish
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Gold has captivated human beings for millennia, infatuated with its appearance and it scarcity. Gold has also attracted investors for its value in hedging inflation and providing a stable store of wealth during periods of uncertainty.
While there are many narratives for gold related to transitory inflation, the Fed'...
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Three Climax Days This Week That Were Right On
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Climax analysis is something unique to DecisionPoint and we've found that "climax days" are highly accurate in determining market bottoms and tops in the very short term.
A climax is a one-day event when market action generates very high readings in (primarily) breadth and volume indicators....
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Breaking Down the Financials Sector on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On the Relative Rotation Graph for sectors, the Financials sector, XLF, is positioned inside the lagging quadrant and heading upwards to the improving quadrant. The sector is gaining on the vertical JdK RS-Momentum axis, but not so much (yet) on the horizontal Jdk RS-Ratio axis.
On the price chart, XLF...
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Markets Regain Upside Momentum
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
This week on StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the broader markets and highlights a shift into newer sectors. She also reviews stocks that had major moves last week which, in turn, impacted other stocks in their group.
This video was originally recorded on September 24, 2021....
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Are Transportation Stocks Setting up for Monday?
On Friday, the transportation (IYT) sector made a comeback from this week's lows, along with clearing resistance from its 200-day moving average (DMA) at $249.46. Next, it will need to clear its 50-DMA at $252.16.
A strong transportation sector is important because this sector helps show...
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