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While Everything is Going Digital, This Stock is Breaking Higher
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph for sectors shows XLB, the Materials sector, powering into the leading quadrant.
The RRG at the top of the article shows the rotations of the individual stocks in the Industrials sector, with the tail for IP highlighted. After entering the leading quadrant in October, IP traveled...
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Europe is Ready to Turn Around a Long Period of Underperformance
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
From time to time, I keep an eye on the Relative Rotation Graph showing the rotations of various world markets against the DJ Global Index. The tail on Europe ($E1DOW) has just crossed into the leading quadrant after a quick improving-lagging-improving rotation, setting it up for a powerful rotation into...
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Which Commodities are the Safest Play to Combat Inflation?
Recently, there has been a surge of articles pertaining to rising inflation, as the Federal Government plans to add more debt with upcoming spending from the infrastructure bill and another stimulus package. Inflation has also become an increasingly touchy topic.
On Wednesday, Janet Yellen (Treasury Secretary) backtracked her recent comments...
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How to Hunt and Trade Alt-Coins
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave focuses on Profit Centers, what they are, and their dangers and pitfalls. He combines this lesson with one for hunting and trading hot Alt-Coins! Learn more about Landry Light Pullbacks, profit centers, and more in this new episode!
This video was originally broadcast...
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Power Charting TV: Inflation Nation
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
Materials prices are screaming higher and higher and this is emphasizing to investors that inflation is surging. Eventually raw and intermediate materials price increases work their way into the Consumer Price Index (C.P.I.) trend. The Federal Reserve acknowledged as much last week, using the term ‘frothy' to...
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Putting Forward a Candidate to Take Over from Tech Leadership
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
A couple of weeks ago, I posted an article questioning whether the tech-dominated NASDAQ still had the mojo to lead the market higher. At the time, many sub-surface indicators, such as breadth, volume and relative action, looked weak. Several charts indicated that many of them had experienced multiple negative divergences,...
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ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) Reaches Important Support Level
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
This is an excerpt from today's subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert report:
The family of ARK funds have received quite a bit of attention lately. In particular, the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) managed by phenom Cathie Wood, has been in the news for months. The fund is in what she...
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Can the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Hold its Main Support Area?
On Tuesday, Janet Yellen commented that "[i]t may be that interest rates will have to rise somewhat to make sure that our economy doesn't overheat." The market was already trending lower on the day after its recent teetering around new high territory. Clearly, Yellen did...
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Sector Spotlight: Short-Term Weakness Ahead
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I start the month with an overview of rotations in asset classes and sectors last week using Relative Rotation Graphs. The main theme remains intact; the stock market is in a long-term uptrend and stocks continue to outperform bonds. However,...
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TECH STOCKS LEAD MARKET LOWER -- TECH SPDR TESTS ITS 50-DAY AVERAGE -- SEMICONDUCTORS LOSE 50-DAY SUPPORT
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
NASDAQ BACKS OFF FROM PREVIOUS HIGH... Chart 1 shows the recent rally in the Nasdaq Composite meeting new selling near its mid-February peak which was the first warning that its uptrend might be losing upside momentum (red line). Today's lower gap confirms the idea that a short-term top...
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Retail and Transportation Attempt to Lead the Market Higher
On Monday, the transportation sector (IYT) closed the day +1.4%, along with the Retail sector (XRT) also performing well, up +2.11%. These two sectors are currently attempting to lead the market higher, but are having trouble getting other members of the Economic Modern Family to join in.
The...
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DP TV: New Market Sell Signals
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl starts off by discussing outrageous market valuations and giving his thoughts on Gold and Gold Miners, as well as the Dollar, Treasury Yields, Crude Oil and the Bonds. Erin alerts viewers to new Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) SELL signals on three major indexes. There...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Has a Challenging Phase To Navigate; RRG Points at Likely Relative Underperformance From These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In a week where the trading range remained wider than usual, the Indian equities took a serious cut on the Friday's session; however, they managed to close the week on a positive note. In the previous weekly note, it was mentioned that the NIFTY was trading inside the...
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Is This A "Sell On News" Top? Five Warning Signs
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
It very well could be. In my Daily Market Report (DMR) to EarningsBeats.com members on Thursday, I discussed this very possibility. I do not believe we're at any MAJOR top, but our major indices have had a significant "pre-earnings" run higher since late March and...
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Bullish Breakouts for Financials
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Last month, we recognized a bearish divergence on the chart of the 10-year Treasury Yield ($TNX). Soon after, bond prices rallied, pushing interest rates down to an ascending 50-day moving average. Now that this pullback has completed, we're seeing signs of rising rates, which has ripple effects for...
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Major Index Support and Resistance Levels
Last Thursday, the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) tested new highs and then gapped lower on Friday, showing that the market still had some overhead resistance. Driving reasons could be related to fears of inflation raising, as the U.S pushes to take on more...
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Take Advantage of Record Earnings!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen highlights the best ways to take advantage of companies responding to strong earnings. She also shares recovery plays as the U.S. economy continues to reopen amid strong consumer confidence
This video was originally recorded on April 30th,...
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Sell in May and Go Away? - Greg Schnell in Monday's Free Trading Room!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We've all heard the saying, "Sell in May and Go Away." This describes a phenomena that implies that investors, in preparation for summer, will sell in May and then take a break from the market over the summer. If only it were that easy!
2020 was...
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Strong Earnings = Fresh Opportunities to Make Money
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
Last week was chock-full of blockbuster earnings reports, including AAPL, AMZN, FB, GOOGL and MSFT. Together, those five companies have a combined market cap of over $8 trillion. That's a lot of earnings fire power! Overall, the five companies in total had superb earnings including top line, bottom...
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Semis Lose Their Shine
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The long-term trend for the Semiconductor ETF (SMH) remains up, but the ETF is coming under some selling pressure and underperforming the broader market. While this is not enough reason to turn long-term bearish, it does increase the odds of corrective period in the coming weeks.
First, let's...
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Your Dashboard To Profits In 2021: Stock Market Mastery ChartPack - Update #31 (Q1 / 2021)
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
Welcome to a virtual SWAT team of elite charts and essential organized routines. This Stock Market Mastery ChartPack is now 15 years in existence. Eight years ago we made it available to the public but prior to that, I used it in my college investment courses. The point being, that...
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AMAZON TESTS OLD HIGH ON STRONG EARNINGS -- THE NASDAQ TESTING SEPTEMBER HIGH -- SLIGHT NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE FOR THE SPX -- SELL IN MAY?
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
AMAZON RALLIES ON STRONG EARNINGS... Amazon was the last of the big five tech stocks that reported earnings this week. And it reported strong quarterly profits as did the other big tech stocks. Of those four, Facebook and Alphabet gained ground while Apple and Microsoft pulled back on the strong...
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Chartwise Women: More Upside for These Big Movers
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin review stocks that have had explosive moves after reporting strong earnings. From there, they share how to pinpoint upside potential, as well how to use a pullback for entry points.
This video was originally recorded on April...
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Eli Lilly: Perfect Example of Price Distribution
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
I look at hundreds of charts every single day. Every once in a while, I come upon a chart that I feel should be in future textbooks on technical analysis. One chart that seems to provide a perfect example of best practices in price analysis and investor behavior.
This week&...
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Seasonality Shows Weakness Ahead For Financials
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Looking at the 3D visualization for US sectors going into May, one sector stands out negatively. That sector is Financials, the fourth largest sector at ~11% of market cap.
For May and June, the historical record is that the Financial sector outperforms the S&P 500 only 35% of...
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Has Earnings Season Slowed Market Volatility?
The first half of Wednesday saw minimal movement in the major indices, due in large part to the anticipation for the FOMC minutes that were later released at 2pm ET. However, like the prior FOMC report, it stuck to the same slate of ideas. Interest rates will stay near zero...
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Are Rising Commodities Causing Investors to Worry About Inflation?
This week, three of the major indices, including the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Dow Jones (DIA) and S&P 500 (SPY), have been lingering near highs without the ability to break out. However, food commodities, such as corn (CORN), sugar (CANE), soybeans (SOYB) and more, have seen a consistent rise...
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TESLA DROPS AFTER RECORD EARNINGS -- BIG TECHS REPORT THIS WEEK
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
TESLA DROPS AFTER REPORTING RECORD EARNINGS... How stocks react to earnings reports often tells us something about their technical condition. Tesla (TSLA) is a good example. Two weeks ago I showed Tesla rising decisively above its 50-day moving average which suggested that the stock might be bottoming. That interpretation is...
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Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Stars Aligning
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
It's all about tails on this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight. For the last Tuesday of the month, I examine the seasonal patterns for sectors and compare them to the current rotations on Relative Rotation Graphs. Five sectors are worth a further investigation based on...
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Is the Russell 2000 (IWM) Back on Track to New Highs?
On Sunday, we concluded that if most of the major indices could clear to new highs, along with the Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking out of resistance from $226.69, the market had the potential to make a powerful move up. However, while none of the indices broke out to new...
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DP TV: Market Needs Strong Participation
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Erin takes the wheel and steers us through the broad market using "participation" as her guide. She details what "participation" means and how DecisionPoint indicators measure it. The market still is showing strong participation with price, but not momentum. The Dollar...
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Commodities are Breaking Out All Over
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The Fed has pumped a lot of money into the system -- and that liquidity has to go somewhere. We know a lot of it has already been flowing into stocks. Now it looks like it's time for commodities to participate. So much money, combined with bottlenecks in...
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Nasdaq Internals Are Truly Dismal
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
A DecisionPoint IT Trend Model (ITTM) BUY signal is generated when the 20EMA crosses up through the 50EMA, what we call a "Silver Cross." A few years ago we developed the Silver Cross Index, which tracks the percentage of stocks in a given index that have a silver...
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Small-caps Keep Everyone Guessing - Here's Mine
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The S&P SmallCap 600 SPDR (IJR) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) are lagging the market, but they are still in uptrends and the noose is tightening. Today we will look at the volatility contraction in IJR and the loss of trend in IWM, and then show what to...
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How To Keep Up With Hundreds Of Daily Earnings Reports
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Right now, we're seeing dozens of companies report quarterly results each day. That's going to change this week as hundreds of companies get set to report earnings every day. How can you keep up with all of it? Well, StockCharts.com's platform provides the...
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NIO Takes First Few Steps to Reverse Downtrend
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Once a previously-leading stock begins a journey to the downside, you want to be careful pulling the buy trigger too soon. These downtrends can last awhile, so expecting a quick recovery and buying a pullback can create a lot of short-term pain in your pocketbook. The better option is to...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Mildly Violates This Important Pattern Support; May Relatively Underperform Broader Indices
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In a week where the trading range stayed narrower than the earlier week, the Indian equities saw a corrective decline. The current week was also a truncated one with just four trading sessions. The headline index saw itself oscillating in a 375-point range. Though the range stayed less wide, the...
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Earnings Drive Equity Prices; Here Are My Two Favorite Earnings Reports This Quarter
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Over the long haul, earnings and Fed policy have more to do with stock market direction than anything. Focus on these two and you'll be just fine. Tune everything else OUT. President Biden's possible tax hike on capital gains was a problem..... for an hour on...
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Will a Capital Gains Tax Take the Markets Down?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Next week, in a speech to Congress, Biden is likely to detail the tax plan he outlined during his campaign. Reports suggest that the capital-gains tax rate on people earning more than $1 million a year would increase from 20% to 39.6%. That would be the highest tax rate...
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Are the Major Indices Poised for a Powerful Up Move Monday?
The Russell 2000 (IWM), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Dow Jones (DIA) and S&P 500 (SPY) all have the potential to make large moves Monday, if they clear their resistance levels together.
This month, the SPY, QQQ and DIA were able to make substantial gains. Currently, they sit close to...
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