Recently, I have been talking and writing about small-cap sectors and especially how the small cap segment in the consumer discretionary sector, the PSCD ETF, is currently diverging from its large cap counterpart, XLY. For this article I have collected the top 50 members in PSCD (Invesco), and there are... READ MORE
BOND YIELD JUMPS... Bond yields are spiking higher again today following dovish remarks from Jerome Powell. Chart 1 shows the 10-Year Treasury yield jumping 7 basis points to 1.54% and putting in on track for the highest close in more than a year. As a result, stocks are coming... READ MORE
Wednesday was another disappointing day for the market as many short-term buyers from Tuesday got flushed out in the move lower. However, with a second down day, should we be worried about a potential correction? Or is the market still holding its main support? To answer this, first let us... READ MORE
NASDAQ 100 FALLS BACK BELOW 50-DAY LINE... Chart 1 shows the Invesco QQQ Trust losing -2.8% today and falling further below its 50-day moving average. Technology was the day's weakest sector along with consumer discretionary stocks. Eight of the eleven market sectors ended lower. More cyclical parts... READ MORE
Tuesday was a choppy day for the market, which had sporadic price swings plus a large amount of volatility. These days are tough to trade, as they can make it hard to see the daily trend direction. One tool that can help you decide whether you want to trade the... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I go over the rotations for asset classes and sectors as they were traced out last week. While talking about the short-term rotations, I bring in the weekly RRGs and charts to find matching and therefore more reliable trends. After... READ MORE
Technology, as reflected in the tech-dominated NASDAQ Composite, peaked as a group in 2000 and sank in popularity for the next 3 years. Since then, as shown by the relative graph in Chart 1, it has recaptured all of that lost ground. Now, its long-term KST may have started to... READ MORE
GOLD SPDR CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...With all the talk about rising inflation and rising commodity prices, it may seem strange to see the gold market still in a downtrend. But it is. The daily bars in Chart 1 shows the Gold SPDR (GLD) falling to the lowest level since last... READ MORE
In my article for last weekend's ChartWatchers newsletter, I wrote about a set of ETFs representing small-cap sectors and how they can be used in a Relative Rotation Graph. I also talk about it in this week's episode of Sector Spotlight. The crux is that looking... READ MORE
Last Friday, the market ended on a cliffhanger. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) closed under its 50-day moving average, while the S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones (DIA) teetered on the edge of their 50-DMAs. Not only did the market gap higher Monday, but the QQQs ended the day... READ MORE
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin discuss not only the current market conditions and indicators, but share "Farrell's Ten Rules" for all investors to know and remember! Carl gives us the current read on Bitcoin and GME, while Erin looks at the Dollar, Gold,... READ MORE
With a pullback led by QQQ and the high flyers, several ETFs have become short-term oversold in a longer term uptrend. In Dow Theory terms, the primary trend for these ETFs is up and the secondary trend is down. A secondary downtrend within a primary uptrend is considered a correction... READ MORE
When you look into a technician's "tool kit", you'll likely find a divergence analysis. Generally speaking, any time you have higher prices and lower (fill in the blank) or lower prices and higher (fill in the blank), there's either a negative divergence... READ MORE
In the previous weekly note, we had expected the markets to show limited upsides and had also noted some possibility of the NIFTY slipping into some consolidation. The previous week remained quite volatile and the NIFTY oscillated in a violent and volatile way for the first four days of the... READ MORE
Every bull market cycle has its set of big, winning stocks – companies with strong fundamentals and increasing mutual fund sponsorship which helps propel these select stocks higher for huge gains. These leading names don't go up forever however, and it's important to know when to sell... READ MORE
I recently tweeted the three steps for the S&P to signal a rotation from bullish phase to bearish phase, especially on the tactical time frame. After taking some time to digest this week's distribution, I wanted to update that thesis with a four step "bull... READ MORE
I know it was a rough week last week; I only need to take one look at my own portfolio to figure that out. But the stock market doesn't go up in a straight line. There will ALWAYS be pullbacks. But be careful which "stories" you... READ MORE
With all but one member of the Economic Modern Family in a bullish phase, should we be worried? Or does Monday hold the next piece of pivotal price action? Before we attempt to answer this question, we should first know where each member stands and if anyone sits in a... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews areas of the market and stocks that will help buffer you from the selloff in Growth stocks. She also covers eye-opening base breakouts in a tough market environment. This video was originally recorded on February 26th, 2021.... READ MORE
Last week, Friday 2/19, Tom Bowley invited me to be his guest in a webinar he did with EarningsBeats.com. Of course, I talked about RRG in general and we applied it to international markets, crypto-currencies and US sectors. All good fun. After I presented my bit on sectors... READ MORE
In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Erin and Mary Ellen show how you can find the best performers in the market using Relative Strength and the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR). Erin educates us on what "price relative" is and how to include it on your... READ MORE
10-YEAR YIELD REACHES 1.50%... The 10-Year Treasury yield is spiking above 1.50% today for the first time in a year. The size and speed of the yield advance is putting downside pressure on stocks, and technology stocks in particular. Chart 1 shows the Invesco QQQ Trust trading below... READ MORE
One of the predefined RRGs allows you to bring up a universe of growth, value and size indexes, and this can help you to spot how the various parts of the market are positioned against each other and how they are rotating. Ths small RRG shows the tail of the... READ MORE
On Tuesday, we talked about a reversal chat pattern in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) that was created from the price clearing over the 50-day moving average. Although today began with price under the 50-DMA, QQQs turned around, closing over Tuesdays high. Hence, the reversal pattern has confirmed right by a... READ MORE
ROTATION FROM GROWTH TO VALUE... One of the side-effects of rising bond yields has been a rotation out of technology-dominated growth shares into more cyclical value shares. Chart 1 shows the S&P 500 Growth iShares (IVW) pulling back over the last week and trying to stay above its... READ MORE
In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, since it's the last Tuesday of the month, I dive into the seasonal outlook for the month(s) ahead. Communication Services seems on track with its current rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph. But a surprise could be... READ MORE
On Tuesday, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) broke the 50-day moving average before the end-of-day rally brought it back over. This created a reversal pattern we like to call an expansion day. An expansion day is formed when a large range day crosses over a major moving average, in this case... READ MORE
Many confidence relationships I follow have been confined to multi-year trading ranges, as investors have consistently swung between optimism and fear. The latest data show that many have rallied sharply and reached the upper region of this rangebound activity. That either means it's time to regroup and launch... READ MORE
Looking at the 3-D seasonality chart above, most of the sectors have a 50/50 history of outperforming SPY in the coming month of March. Both Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary are showing an upcoming string of months that are historically strong for them. XLC starts with 62% in March,... READ MORE
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin present their unique analysis of the market. Carl concentrates on the SPY and "The Big Four" - Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil and Bonds. Erin zeroes in on the best sectors going into the next week, then focuses in on the... READ MORE
The pandemic has brought a multitude of supply chain disruptions reaching not only into the tech space, but also into the agricultural space. The Invesco Agricultural Fund (DBA) recently cleared major resistance at 16.87 from the 200-week moving average, plus resistance going back from highs of 2019. Participating in... READ MORE
This is an exciting day for EarningsBeats.com and its members. It's the day when we select the 10 equal-weighted stocks for each of our 4 portfolios - Model, Aggressive, Income, and Strong AD. Portfolio results-to-date have been superb and you can check out our holdings the past... READ MORE
I believe the bull market vs. bear market debate has ended. We've been through a trade war, 100-year pandemic, an economic shutdown, a very divisive political battle, mountains of debt, etc., and where do we stand? At an all-time high. That should convince you that we're... READ MORE
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares new groups that are coming into favor while recently leading areas come under pressure. She also reviews currently attractive stocks, as well as how to tell if your stock is pulling back or has more downside ahead.... READ MORE
Despite worry of a pending market correction, talks of stimulus and an infrastructure package paired with a supportive Federal Reserve helped boost market morale this week. However, specific sectors which suffered are now looking to make a comeback and, with correct positioning, anyone can jump on the trend train. From... READ MORE
Semiconductors are outperforming the market, but not all Semiconductors are enjoying the strong rally that's been ongoing since September. Some of the more popular names have underperformed within their industry group and against the SPX. However, two are outshining the rest and have room to move higher. Looking... READ MORE
The Nasdaq 100 has been on a tear the last few months with a move to new highs, but a medium-term breadth indicator is not keeping pace here in February. This indicator is simply flashing the yellow caution sign right now and we have yet to see an actual signal... READ MORE
DOW TRANSPORTS HIT NEW RECORD...While looking through today's sector charts, I was struck by the differing performance between transportation stocks and utilities. And that difference should carry good news for stocks in general. Chart 1 shows the Dow Jones Transportation Average rising into record territory today. It&... READ MORE
We've seen a hiccup the past few days, but overall money has rotated strongly into small caps. There are a couple ways to visualize this rotation. I tend to use price relative charts so that I can view the relative momentum on a historical basis. To do this,... READ MORE
In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin share their wishlist plans for the eventual post-pandemic period and the stocks that tie in with their dream trips! They also review their favorite Oil stocks, as well as the recently strong rally in Energy. This video... READ MORE