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DP Show: 20% of SPX Stocks May Be Cut Next Year
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin's topic of the day was bankruptcy and the S&P 500. They discuss the difference between Chapter 11 and Chapter 7 bankruptcies and how that could affect the make up of the S&P 500. They discussed the...
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Another Explosive Move Due To Extreme Short Squeeze
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Trading success, to some degree, is simply understanding the laws of supply and demand. There is a finite supply of shares available to buy of every stock traded on the various public exchanges. When the demand to buy those shares exceeds the supply available, price rises. Many of those involved...
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Random Thoughts: Take These Simple Steps to Overcome Your Trading Temptations
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
Below, I explore some of my more recent discoveries into trading psychology, with a focus on the importance of resisting short-term temptations - the micro is so much more important than the macro. I explain how this applies to you (and me!). And, most importantly, I discuss what we can...
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How's the Market? Depends on Whose Room You Visit
To follow up on the daily article featuring the weekly channel in Biotechnology (IBB):
Since this is a weekly chart, what matters most is the weekly close. That means that, intra-week, we can consider price movements, but cannot consider a legitimate channel break up or down until the closing price...
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Bear Market Update, Trading Rules Part 4
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave gives a bear market update including tools you can use for this time, and the next. He then continues on with his Trading Rules and coverage of the "Battle Within," trading psychology and how it all relates to you as a...
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The Beauty of the Biotechnology ETF Channel
If there is one area to watch should the market have another run up, it is Biotechnology (IBB).
The channel lines that are perfectly parallel, going back to 2015. Since this is a weekly chart, what matters most is the weekly close. That means that, intraweek, we can consider price...
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Sector Spotlight: Seasonality and Sector Rotation in US Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of Sector Spotlight, I walk through asset classes and US sectors using RRG in combination with monthly charts. Afterwards, I answer a question from the mailbag regarding the alignment of weekly and daily RRGs. In the seasonality segment, I highlight two sectors that are showing a strong...
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Exponential Averages: Sometimes the More Rational Choice
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
I was indoctrinated into using exponential moving averages (EMAs) out of necessity, back when I was generating data for the old DecisionPoint.com website. I was generating and maintaining data on Excel spreadsheets, and, if I wanted a 200-day simple moving average (SMA), I would need to keep 200 days...
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Here's The Most Proven Method I Know To Catch Key Market Tops And Bottoms
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Happy Cinco de Mayo to all! Below is my Daily Market Report that is sent out every day to EarningsBeats.com members. If you'd like to subscribe, I'd love to have you join our growing community! Here's a link:
Fully refundable $7 30-day trial...
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STOCKS OPEN HIGHER -- NASDAQ CONTINUES TO LEAD -- CHIPS REGAIN 200-DAY LINE -- MICROSOFT AND APPLE REMAIN STRONG -- ALHPABET AND FACEBOOK LEAD COMMUNICATION SERVICES SPDR HIGHER
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCKS OPEN ON A STRONG NOTE... Stock prices opened much higher this morning. And all three major stock indexes are bouncing off some moving average lines. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials bouncing off their 20- and 50-day moving averages which is usually their first line of support. Chart 2...
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Current Sector Rotation for These Two Sectors is Lining Up with Their Seasonality!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
At the end of the month, or the beginning of a new month, I like to look at the expected strength for sectors based on seasonality.
The chart above visualizes the seasonal strength for US sectors in one 3D image. The numbers in the table represent the % of occurrences for...
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Big Earnings Tuesday in Two Different Megatrends
In the transportation sector, which is weakening partly because of Buffett's weekend comments, there is one area that is doing a lot better.
Want to fly coast to coast? Not so much.
Want to go to outer space? Sign me up!
Virgin Galactic (SPCE) reports May 5th. The...
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This Big League Stock Just Received A Buy Recommendation From 12 Wall Street Firms
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
When the CEO of a major corporation states: "You may want to take a seat" during their quarterly earnings report, you can bet that some serious news is about to be shared. And indeed, Jeff Bezos of Amazon (AMZN) dropped a bomb when he stated that the company...
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STOCK INDEXES MAY HAVE PEAKED -- THE QUESTION IS HOW MUCH WILL THEY RETRACE -- FALLING CHIP STOCKS THREATEN NASDAQ UPTREND -- AMAZON IS THE FIRST OF BIG FIVE TO BE SOLD
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK RALLY MAY HAVE PEAKED... A number of short-term technical indicators suggest that the spring rebound in stocks may have peaked this past week. The daily bars in Chart 1 show the S&P 500 selling off on Thursday and Friday after touching its 62% Fibonnaci retracement line (purple...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Not Moving Past this Level, May Form Lower Top; RRG Suggests Underperformance May Continue in These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The previous week saw the markets trading on a much better-than-expected note as the headline index continued to surge higher, ending with strong gains. The markets had seen a loss of momentum in the week before this one; however, the truncated week saw the resumption of the technical rebound, which...
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Amazon Weighs on Consumer Cyclicals
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Stocks in general are undergoing some profit-taking today. And consumer cyclicals are one of the day's weakest groups. A big reason for that is today's big drop in Amazon.com (AMZN). Chart 1 shows that influential stock dropping -7% today on last evening's reported...
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Bull Rally Under Pressure?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the impact of a late-week selloff on the broader markets. She also discusses the move within various sectors, with a spotlight on Gold stocks.
This video was originally recorded on May 1st, 2020. Click on the above...
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Don't Let the Disconnect Between Wall Street and Main Street Derail You
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
Last Wednesday, the NASDAQ got within just a few very strong sessions of reaching its all-time high. Let me repeat; it's All-Time High! Notwithstanding the much-needed pullback on Friday, how is this even possible, with millions of people out of work, most of America shut down and most...
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Swenlin Trading Oscillators Gave Warning... Again!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Yet again, the Swenlin Trading Oscillators gave our readers early warning for today's decline. I have written about their previous successes in ChartWatchers, but I wanted to report back to you that they are continuing to be leading indicators. Below is an excerpt from yesterday's DecisionPoint...
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A Trip to the 70s Using Old-School Charting (+ Video)
In my April 31st presentation on StockCharts (which aired earlier today on StockCharts TV), I begin by walking you through the Economic Modern Family (Russell 2000, Retail, Biotechnology, Regional Banks, Transportation, Semiconductors) using nothing but pure price. I used trendlines and channels I learned from my days trading on the...
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Pro Sports Drafts: 7 Essential Lessons Investors Should Learn From The NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
In a recent survey of serious investors, it was uncovered that a majority are earnest sports fans. Count me guilty. As I write this, we just completed the National Football League's (NFL) draft. But the focus here is not on simply one sport. All the major pro sports...
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Putting the Big Bounces into Perspective
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Despite a massive advance the last six weeks, the bulk of the evidence indicates that we are still in a bear market environment. The advance off the March low, while impressive on its own, still pales in comparison to the prior decline. The S&P 500 SPDR retraced around...
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AMAZON WEIGHS ON CONSUMER CYCLICALS -- LAM RESEARCH LEADS SEMIS LOWER -- EXCEPT FOR AMAZON, BIG TECH STOCKS ARE HAVING A RELATIVELY STRONG WEEK
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
AMAZON SELLOFF HURTS CONSUMER CYCLICALS... Stocks in general are undergoing some profit-taking today. And consumer cyclicals are one of the day's weakest groups. A big reason for that is today's big drop in Amazon.com (AMZN). Chart 1 shows that influential stock dropping -7% today on...
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Will The S&P 500 Be Able To Clear This Key Level? And What Will Next Week's Big Winner Be?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
The S&P 500 has rallied more off the March 23rd bottom than just about anyone could have predicted and it's done it in record time. I've remained bullish from a longer-term perspective, relying on the secular bull market advance that began in 2013 when...
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Is It Time For a Commodity Rally?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Commodities have been badly beaten up in the last few months, but no market goes down for ever, so it's natural to ask the question of whether it's time for an upside reversal. The evidence for that is not conclusive yet, but there are some very...
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XOM is Turning Around Back Into Leading vs. $INDU
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Energy sector keeps coming back on my radar as a sector that's potentially turning around. The sector has been in a relative downtrend for ages already and, from a long-term perspective, things still do not look very good. However, things never look good just before or in...
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Creating A ChartList To Identify Excellent Reward To Risk Trading Candidates
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I haven't abandoned my philosophy of trading stocks of companies whose recent quarterly revenues and EPS beat Wall Street consensus estimates. Such companies are included on my Strong Earnings ChartList (SECL), which up until recently, I traded from exclusively. I still believe it's incredibly important for...
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DP Show: Eye-Popping Rally on Possible Treatment
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin reviewed everything from the Case-Schiller Home Price Index to SPX Earnings Estimates and Gilead Sciences (GILD). Erin covered brand new scan results that uncovered a few names you might want to consider. Big-name companies reported earnings today, so they revealed the charts...
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12+1 Trading Rules - Part 3
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
In this edition of Trading Simplified, Dave begins with a bear market update, then continues his discussion of the 12+1 trading rules he follows and the trading psychology behind them. For this episode, Dave focuses on the final rule, namely "The Battle is Within".
This video was...
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Sugar - Is It Bottoming Again?
Sugar futures, or the sugar continuous contract (you can also check out the July contract SBN20), rallied 4.5% today, leaving a potential bottoming pattern. Again.
This is important for 2 reasons. First, sugar is tied to ethanol, so that could signal that the worst of the oil debacle is...
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The Rally Could Continue, But I Wouldn't Bet My House on It
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
Editor's Note: This article was originally published on Tuesday, April 28th at DaveLandry.com.
In my 04/20/20 Bear Market Update, I wrote about the man on the street as a microcosm. In that article, I mentioned that one of the contractors for my house (the "...
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STOCKS CLIMB ON ENCOURAGING DRUG NEWS -- S&P 500 APPROACHES 200-DAY AVERAGE -- GOOGLE AND FACEBOOK LEAD XLC HIGHER -- XLY NEARS ITS 200-DAY LINE
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
S&P 500 NEARS TEST OF 200-DAY AVERAGE...A positive report by Gilead Sciences on its Covid-19 drug helped stocks get off to a strong start today. The biotech stock is up 3% this morning on that report. Chart 1 shows the S&P 500 gaining more than...
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Technology Sector on the Verge of a BUY Signal, Maybe Too Late.
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The Technology Sector (XLK) 20EMA is on the verge of crossing up through the 50EMA, a Silver Cross, which will generate an IT Trend Model BUY signal. Since price is well above the 20EMA, the crossover will probably take place tomorrow, or the day after. One thing that could prevent...
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Gold - From Monthly Dojis to Today
On March 31st, I tweeted about the gold ETF (GLD). Let me just say, it is a good thing I do not rate my trading advice on the number of likes I get.
So, with the tweet spot on, the very next day, me and my MMM Advantage members entered...
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Sector Spotlight: What Sectors are Rotating This Week?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of Sector Spotlight, I begin with a quick overview of what happened with asset classes and sectors in the markets last week. Afterwards, I take a look at the current state of sector rotation and finish up with an in-depth look at the relative rotation for all...
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The Simplest & Most Rounded Way to Look at Price
Back in the days, on the Commodities Exchanges, we had no social media and little in the way of technical indicators. But what we had was PURE price action.
In that spirit, today, we have everything a trader could hope for, and probably too much of it.
That does not...
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DOW AND S&P 500 CLEAR 50-DAY LINES -- SMALL CAPS HAVE A STRONG DAY -- FALLING VIX ALSO SUPPORTS HIGHER STOCK PRICES
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
DOW AND S&P 500 CLEAR 50-DAY LINES...Stocks spent Monday extending the rebound that started two months ago. And they continue to overcome some overhead resistance barriers. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials trading back above its 50-average for the first time since February. While Chart 2 shows...
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Stop Listening To The Pessimists; Wall Street Continues To Accumulate Your Shares
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Below is the Daily Market Report (DMR) that I send out to EarningsBeats.com members every day that the stock market is open. I keep our members posted as to key developments, including what's driving the stock market in both the short-term and long-term. One key factor is...
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With No Signs of Equities Bottoming Out, These Two Charts Tell an Interesting Story
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After declining over 35% from the 2020 peaks, the global equity markets found a temporary base, and, in the current technical pullback, have recouped over one-third of total losses. Traders and investors alike have formed differing opinions on whether the equities have bottomed out as they pulled back over the...
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Stride of the Market in Peril?
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
Wyckoffian trendline analysis is a very powerful and useful tool. The stride of a trend is often set very early in the uptrend. This analysis is fractal in nature and can be employed in timeframes from very short term to very long term. If the stride is set early a...
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