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Measuring Offensive vs Defensive Sectors Using BETA
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
We, including myself, are always talking about offensive and defensive sectors, sector rotation from offensive to defensive, etc. Offensive sectors are the sectors that will do very well - and usually outperform - when the market goes up, while defensive sectors are the sectors that outperform when the market goes...
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DecisionPoint Diamonds - Home Builders Breaking Out
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The "Chart Breakouts" Scan returned about nine different home builder stocks. I didn't care for all of them, but I did pick out three for your review. This scan generally pulls stocks that had monster days. Consequently, you may need to wait for a pullback to...
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DP Mid-Week Alert: Swenlin Trading Oscillators Leave Doubt About Reaching All-Time Highs
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
It's only Wednesday, but we've already had quite a few Scoreboard changes this week - BUY signals all around. The Scoreboards would suggest all-time highs should be no sweat, but the short-term indicators aren't on board with that analysis. The VIX is also beginning...
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British Pound Clears Its 200-day MA for an Initial Sign of a New Bull Market
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* Pound is in a Long-Term Secular Bear Market
* Crossing of the 200-Day Starts the Ball Rolling for a Primary Bull Market
* Pound Set to Break Against the Euro
Pound is in a Long-Term Secular Bear Market
Chart 1 shows that the British Pound has been in a secular bear market...
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DP Show: Indicators Don't Support All Time Highs
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's episode of DecisionPoint, Carl spent a few minutes analyzing a six-month chart of the SPX, after which Erin and Carl discussed the lack of support this recent rally is showing. Erin followed up with sentiment and DecisionPoint indicators, while Carl took his discussion of the...
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Uniquely Bullish Opportunity Emerges With This Week's Rally
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Software stocks peaked in late July after posting phenomenal year-to-date returns. The August dip in the markets hit this group particularly hard and, unlike other areas, it has been slow to recover.
The good news, as you can see below, is that these stocks are beginning to reverse their 10-week...
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DP Diamonds - These Stocks Look Good in All Timeframes with Great Seasonality Too!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today, I had a plethora of results from my DP Diamond Scan - 83, to be exact! So it took me a bit longer to find today's diamonds, as I studied not only the daily and weekly charts but also seasonality in order to pare down to the...
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FACEBOOK AND GOOGLE LEAD COMMUNICATIONS TO ONE OF DAY'S STRONGEST SECTORS -- BOUNCING BOND YIELDS ARE PUSHING TREASURY BOND PRICES LOWER -- BUT HIGH YIELD BONDS ARE RISING
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
COMMUNICATIONS SPDR HAS STRONG DAY...While healthcare and financials have been leading for most of the day, communication stocks have crept into second place in afternoon trading. Chart 1 shows the Communication Services SPDR (XLC) bouncing impressively off its 50-day average that it cleared just last week. It's...
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MAJOR STOCK INDEXES BUILD ON LAST WEEK'S GAINS -- HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS LEAD HEALTHCARE SPDR HIGHER LED BY UNITEDHEALTH -- RECORD HIGH BY JP MORGAN CHASE LEADS BANKS AND FINANCIALS HIGHER -- FALLING VIX ALSO SUPPORTS HIGHER STOCK PRICES
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
MAJOR STOCK INDEXES BUILD ON RECENT GAINS...After a modest pullback yesterday, major U.S. stock indexes are building on last week's trade-inspired gains. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials trading at the highest level of the month this morning. The Dow appears headed toward the top of...
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JP Morgan Chase (JPM) Banks A Huge Report
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
JPM did not disappoint Wall Street. The Street had been "banking" on a solid report, as evidenced by its solid relative performance to its banking peers and to the benchmark S&P 500. And wow did they get it! JPM reported revenues of $30.06 billion and...
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Trend Following Strategies
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Our rules-based trend following model is the foundation for three different money management strategies. This article will introduce you to two of them. Our model uses a weight-of-the-evidence approach to measure the strength of up-trends in the U.S. equity markets and is primarily focused on the Nasdaq Composite Index...
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DecisionPoint Diamonds - Daily and Weekly Charts of Three Diamonds in the Rough
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In today's Diamond Report, I decided to look at only three stocks as I want to discuss not only their daily charts, but their weekly charts as well. Seeing strength in both timeframes can provide the option to trade in the shorter term or in the longer term....
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Consumer Discretionary Poised To Lead Market Higher
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Last week, there were eight industry groups within consumer discretionary (XLY) that gained 2% or more, lead by the rapidly-improving apparel retailers ($DJUSRA), which gained 4.57% and broke out to 5 month absolute and relative highs:
The strength in the DJUSRA helped the XLY bounce off trendline support this...
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You Should Be Watching This Earnings Report On Tuesday
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Every earnings season, there are a few key reports that I focus on. It could be that an industry group is beginning to show strength and a key component is reporting that could influence the direction of the group for the entire upcoming quarter. Or it could be that a...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Take A While To Establish A Confident Directional Bias; Upsides To Stay Capped
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
While trading in a broad range, the NIFTY struggled to find some base and managed to end the week with modest gains. The trading range of the NIFTY remained just moderately broad, but it oscillated quite a lot, infusing intraday volatility during the trading sessions. While holding on to its...
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Follow Through Day or Not?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Follow Through Day or Not? Stocks started Friday with a bang as the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) gapped above 296 and held this gap throughout the day, despite a sell off in the final 30 minutes. Does this count as a "follow through" day? It is...
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Eight Stock Setups for the Coming Week
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
It is time for another round of weekend stock setups. Last weekend I featured seven semiconductor stocks and these are performing well. Two weeks ago I featured a hodgepodge of stocks with mixed results.
The S&P 500 is trending higher, the Index and Sector Breadth Models are net...
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Markets Uptrend May Continue - Let The Leaders Reveal Themselves To You.
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The markets closed out the week strong, with the S&P 500 jumping back above its key 50-day moving average on news of a partial US-China trade war deal. While constructive, we remain in a fragile period where the possibility of a phased trade deal may not be enough...
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Three Ways to Think About Relative Strength
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We just completed our second week of The Final Bar, the new closing bell show on StockCharts TV. During our Friday mailbag segment, I was asked about how institutional investors think about relative strength.
To be honest, relative strength is of vital importance to institutions because, well, that is how...
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DP WEEKLY WRAP: Can't Fight the News
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
Last week I said, "There is a declining trend line drawn from the mid-September top. If that is taken out, I will pretty much give up on the double top idea." When I wrote that, I had in mind a solid, deliberate advance to new, all-time highs. What...
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Short-Term Indicators Behave Differently in Bull and Bear Markets
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in Martin Pring's Market Roundup on Tuesday, October 8th at 12:48pm ET.
Short-term oscillators behave differently depending on the direction of the primary trend. In bull markets, prices are very sensitive to oversold conditions and quickly bounce. We...
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STOCKS SOAR ON EXPECTED PARTIAL TRADE ACCORD BETWEEN U.S. AND CHINA -- INDUSTRIAL MINING SHARES LEAD MATERIALS HIGHER -- INDUSTRIALS, ENERGY, AND FINANCIALS ALSO LEAD -- BRITISH POUND HAS BIGGEST GAIN IN YEARS ON POSSIBLE BREXIT BREAKTHROUGH
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES SOAR ON TRADE HOPES...Stocks around the world are jumping sharply today on reports of a partial trade deal reached between the U.S. and China. Chart 1 shows the S&P 500 surging to the highest level this month to put it well above its 50-day...
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Industries Most Likely To Produce Blow Out Earnings Results
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Wall Street has placed its bets as we work our way into earnings season. It's very easy to see which groups are favored by big money - just look where that money has been going. Today, I'll give you my top 2 industry groups at the...
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Buying the Top SIX Stocks in The DJ Industrials Index (on a Monthly Basis) Can Keep You Ahead Of The Market
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
What Is Our Track Record?
Ever since the launch of Relative Rotation Graphs on the Bloomberg professional terminal in 2011, some of the most frequently asked questions we've received have been "What's their track record", "How well do they perform?" and "...
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Banks Likely To Be Big Part Of Q4 Surge
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Earnings season officially starts this morning, in my opinion, with quarterly results coming in from Citigroup (C). While C may provide the banking group a lift today, the bigger report comes on Tuesday when JP Morgan Chase (JPM) reports its numbers. Why is JPM more important? Because Wall Street has...
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State of the Stock Market - Key Assumptions Determine Probabilities
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
My assumptions and biases are based on the bigger trend because it is the dominant force at work. When the trend is up, I view the cup as half full and expect more bullish resolutions than bearish resolutions. This means I favor bullish setups over bearish setups, successful support tests...
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DP Daily Diamonds - Glittering with Gold
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
In yesterday's DP Alert Mid-Week, I discussing the bullish prospects for Gold moving forward. Consequently, it was not surprising to see some Gold stocks on my various scans. I have a couple of these listed below, along with a semiconductor and solar company. The market is still quite...
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TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD IS BOUNCING TODAY -- LONG-TERM CHARTS SHOW TNX IN A LONG-TERM SUPPORT ZONE AND VERY OVERSOLD -- HIGHER BOND YIELDS ARE BOOSTING BANKS AND FINANCIAL STOCKS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
TEN-YEAR BOND YIELD IS BOUNCING OFF CHART SUPPORT...Global bond yields are bouncing today. The daily bars in Chart 1 show the 10-Year Treasury Yield rising 6 basis points to 1.65%. What makes that meaningful is that the TNX bounce is taking place from just above the previous low...
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More Data, Better Charts, ChartList Actions and New Content: 5 Major Additions to Your StockCharts Dashboard
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Hello Fellow ChartWatchers!
Earlier this week, we released another round of upgrades and additions to your StockCharts Dashboard. I've always referred to the Dashboard as "the heart and soul of your StockCharts account". Sure, it provides easy access to our many tools and features via the...
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RRG Signals Risk-Off on Daily Chart
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The monthly charts for major markets like the S&P 500 Index are still in clear uptrends - that has not changed. But, in shorter timeframes, things have started to shift with regard to preference for asset classes.
In the first episode of my new StockCharts TV series Sector...
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Ranking and Grouping ETFs - Key Large-cap ETFs at Moment of Truth - Many More Downtrends than Uptrends
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The goal of this commentary is to cut through the day-to-day noise and focus on price action that actually matters. Noise can be in the form of news or random price fluctuations. Either way, we are often better off when we filter the noise and focus on what really matters....
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Daily Market Report - Wednesday, October 9, 2019
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Note
The following is the EB Daily Market Report for yesterday. It is sent out each day (usually between 11am and noon EST) to our members at EarningsBeats.com. It's one of several new products and services that we've unveiled over the past month. If you&...
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DP Daily Diamonds - Spotlight on Five REITs
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
The Diamond Scan presented only six candidates for review, one of which I wrote about yesterday (COST). I opted to run one of my less restrictive scans to see if there were a few hiding out there that my Diamond Scan doesn't normally pick out. That gave me...
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DP Alert Mid-Week: Bull Flag on Gold with Goldbugs Fueling the Fire
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We had a great rally in the markets today, but the DP Scoreboards clearly tell the tale that problems remain. In fact, yesterday we got an Intermediate-Term Trend Model Neutral signal on the NDX - and we will see the same signals on the other three shortly. These signals are...
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STOCK INDEXES FLUCTUATE BETWEEN MOVING AVERAGE LINES AS TRADING RANGE CONTINUES -- TECH SECTOR SHOWS UPSIDE LEADERSHIP -- APPLIED MATERIALS AND LAM RESEARCH LEAD CHIPS HIGHER -- FINANCIALS NEED A BOOST FROM BOND YIELDS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES REMAIN IN TRADING RANGE...The three major U.S. stock indexes shown below remain in a sideways trading range between their 50-day moving averages on top and 200-day lines below. And they continue to trade between their July highs and August lows. While the short-term picture remains indecisive,...
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Can Banks Be The Catalyst For A Strong Quarter?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Technically-speaking, things are about to get very interesting for U.S. stocks. We've seen two economic reports out in the past two weeks that beg for at least a 25 basis point Fed rate cut. There was the weak ISM manufacturing data out last week and then yesterday...
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DP Daily Diamonds - Defensive Sectors Lead the Charge
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
I have decided to add my own (not yet charted) Diamond Index section as part of the Market Outlook section below. Basically, I will list the number of results that the Diamond Scan (formerly my General PMO Scan) returns, as well as the inverse Diamond Dog Scan. I then calculate...
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DP Show: Market Still Tenuous - Indicators Show Bearish Divergence
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's episode of DecisionPoint, Erin reviewed the major market indexes as well as the DecisionPoint indicators. Meanwhile, Carl added the Percent of Stocks Below their 20-EMA and the Silver Cross Index on our standard indicator charts. It made it quite clear that not all companies participated...
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More Range-Bound Activity Ahead For US Equities?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
* Short-Term Indicators Behave Differently in Bull and Bear Markets
* Three Charts to Watch for a Potential Bearish Scenario
Short-Term Indicators Behave Differently in Bull and Bear Markets
Short-term oscillators behave differently depending on the direction of the primary trend. In bull markets, prices are very sensitive to oversold conditions and...
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Daily Charts vs. Weekly Charts: Which Are Better?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
That answer depends on your trading strategy quite honestly. Day traders likely don't care too much about technical indications on weekly charts whereas longer-term investors probably aren't going to grow too concerned by looking at charts day-to-day. Having said that, I put a lot more weight...
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