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Week Ahead: Mild Pullbacks Likely; NIFTY Continues To Remain Vulnerable To Sell-Offs At Higher Level
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After meeting resistance around 11800-11840 for seven weeks, the markets loosened up a bit over the past week while ending with losses. NIFTY spent the previous couple of weeks in a defined range as it remained indecisive and did not make any convincing directional call. This week, the NIFTY witnessed...
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Chartwise Women's "Pink Line"
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Chartwise Women is a new show on StockCharts TV featuring myself and Mary Ellen McGonagle. Our mission is encompassed in three "E's": Engagement, Education and Empowerment. During each show, we talk conversationally about our "Wisdom of the Week", followed by "What's...
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My Personal Story And Why I Ask For Your Help
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
This is a true story about someone whom I’ll refer to as an investing “refutenik”. But first, a bit of background. The long-term financial viability of Social Security is questionable, yet some politicians like to toss around the idea of delegating more accountability to John Q. Public for taking...
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Two Stocks Setting Up To Report Blowout Earnings Next Week
by John Hopkins,
President and Co-founder, EarningsBeats.com
On Thursday morning, Delta Airlines (DAL) blew past revenue and EPS estimates, despite a challenging environment for airline stocks ($DJUSAR) in 2019. While DAL's results may have surprised quite a few people, they didn't surprise me. The best way to follow where Wall Street is placing...
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DP WEEKLY WRAP: New All-Time Highs, but Not for Small-Cap Stocks
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
While the broad market indexes are currently making all-time highs, the S&P 600 Small-Cap Index (IJR) is struggling and remains about -14% below its all-time highs. This lack of small-cap participation is a concern, because the large-caps can't carry the market forever. The OBV is currently...
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Charting Robust AD Lines that Truly Reflect the Broader Market
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The NYSE and Nasdaq are fine as exchanges, but their AD Lines do not tell the entire story when it comes to breadth. The major stock indexes, such as the S&P 500 and S&P Small-cap 600, contain stocks from both exchanges. As such, robust breadth indicators...
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Gold is Doing Better Than The World's Major Currencies
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, July 12th at 11:39am ET.
Gold is more than just a commodity. Gold is sometimes also viewed as an alternate currency. When global traders lose confidence in their currency, they often...
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GOLD IS THE WORLD'S STRONGEST CURRENCY -- GOLD HAS HIT A SIX-YEAR HIGH QUOTED IN DOLLARS -- AND IS HITTING MULTI-YEAR HIGHS WHEN QUOTED IN MAJOR FOREIGN CURRENCIES AS WELL
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
GOLD IS DOING BETTER THAN THE WORLD'S MAJOR CURRENCIES... Gold is more than just a commodity. Gold is sometimes also viewed as an alternate currency. When global traders lose confidence in their currency, they often turn to gold as an alternative store of value. Since gold is quoted...
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The State of the Stock Market - Large Getting Larger
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
* Large-caps Continue to Lead.
* New Highs Follow Moving Average Signals.
* Index Breadth Table Remains Bullish.
* Sector Breadth Table Remains Bullish.
* Tech-Related ETFs Continue to Lead.
* Biotech ETFs Stutter after Breakouts.
* Art's Charts ChartList Update.
... Large-caps Continue to Lead
The week so far is mixed for stocks with small-caps...
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Volatility and Emotions
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
This is part of a client letter I wrote when running MurphyMorris Money Management about 20 years ago. The message is the same today. Market volatility has an emotional cost. It causes investors to make irrational decisions that are usually based on either fear or greed. Volatility also carries a...
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It Was A Record-Breaking Day On Wall Street
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Thursday, July 11, 2019
Dow Jones ($INDU, +0.85%) 27000 is in the record books as another milestone has been reached on Wall Street. The S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.23%) also set another record high close, but fell just short of closing above the psychological...
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The Most Productive Stock in My Portfolio...and How I Found It
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Sometimes, you get more than you bargained for. That said, you stand a much better chance of finding those successful (and many times parabolic) stocks when you start with a good analysis process. The DecisionPoint Analysis Process does just that. I find my prospective investments using various technical scans, but...
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Why The Bullish Argument REQUIRES Strengthening Of Transportation Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, July 10, 2019
The S&P 500 ($SPX, +0.45%) surpassed 3000 on an intraday basis for the first time in history on Wednesday, although it failed to close there. Permabears don't understand how this is even possible, with the ongoing trade war...
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A Strong Rotation on RRG and a Break to New Highs Make For a Killer Combination
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
At present, the Technology sector is rotating through the weakening quadrant on the Relative Rotation Graph. Following a strong move in the first months of this year, relative strength for XLK started to level off and has remained more or less flat since April. We'll have to wait...
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RENEWED HOPE FOR JULY RATE CUT PUSHES STOCK INDEXES TO RECORD HIGHS -- TECHNOLOGY LEADS NASDAQ HIGHER -- UTILITIES HIT NEW HIGH WITH STAPLES AND REITS RIGHT BEHIND -- HOMEBUILDERS LEAD CYCLICALS TO NEW RECORD -- WEAK DOLLAR BOOSTS EMERGING MARKETS
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
POWELL TESTIMONY MAKES JULY RATE CUT MORE LIKELY...Last Friday's strong jobs report raised concerns about a July rate cut later this month, which boosted interest rates and caused some profit-taking in stocks. Mr. Powell today put the July rate cut back on the table. Traders are now...
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Will The FAANG Stocks Report Blowout Earnings? 2 Will, But Not This One
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, July 9, 2019
Despite the Dow Jones ($INDU, -0.08%) finishing in negative territory, I'd argue it was a pretty solid day on Wall Street. All of our major indices opened lower, but there was buying throughout the session, much like Friday. We saw...
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This Cannabis Stock is Higher than the Rest
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Sorry, I could not resist the pun in that head line. Relative and absolute strength is often dependent on timeframe. One stock may show upside leadership on a one month timeframe, but be lagging on the three and six month timeframes. For example, Tilray (TLRY) is up 16.37% over...
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Four Growth Stocks with Bullish Chart Setups
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Finding stocks with strong uptrends is the first step to stock selection during bull markets, and we are in a bull market. The S&P 500 hit a new all time high just last week, the largest sector (technology) is leading with XLK also hitting a new high last...
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Apple Downgraded To Sell, Likely Becomes A Buy
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Monday, July 8, 2019
Materials (XLB, -1.15%) led the Monday decline as the U.S. Dollar Index ($USD, +0.10%) extended its recent gains, climbing for the 7th time in the last 9 sessions. Given the strong jobs report on Friday, fewer market participants are expecting...
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Three Sectors And Five Industry Groups Poised To Move Higher
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Market Tentatively Triggers a Long-Term Buy Signal
Chart 1 features a Coppock indicator for the NYSE Composite, which triggers buy signals by reversing to the upside from a position at or below the equilibrium level. Since 1970, there have been thirteen such signals and only one failure (in 2002). That&...
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Martin Pring's Monthly Market Roundup 2019-07-03
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
The monthly Market Roundup video for July is now available.
Good luck and good charting, Martin J. Pring
The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position or opinion of Pring Turner Capital Group of Walnut Creek or its affiliates....
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Team USA Wins the Soccer Final, But Three International Markets Beat the S&P
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Last night (Sunday 7/7) the Dutch women's soccer team played the World Cup final against Team USA. I am not a huge soccer fan but, as a Dutchie, you have to catch at least part of that event! It did not work out for us, so congrats...
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Various Strategies
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
This article follows the concepts laid out in the previous article about Passive versus Active Management. The comments below give brief pro, con, and comments on the various strategies. With the benefit of hindsight, the market can seem predictable; however, many of these strategies are more useful in describing the...
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Leading 1st Half Industry Group Breaks Out Again
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Friday, July 5, 2019
The small cap Russell 2000 ($RUT, +0.22%) led bifurcated action on a very quiet Friday as many market participants were on an extended vacation spanning the July 4th holiday. Strength was seen in financials (XLF, +0.28%) as the 10 year treasury...
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This Stock has a New High in its Sights
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks that hit new highs are in clear uptrends and show upside leadership. A new high does not have to be within a few days or even a few weeks. Sometimes stocks hit new highs and then correct for a few months to digest prior gains. It is all part...
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On the Razor's Edge
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
The S&P 500 Index appreciated 17.35% in the first half of 2019. But from the climax high close in January 2018 the S&P 500 has risen only 2.4%. Despite the stellar performance during 2019 the large capitalization indexes have remained ‘range-bound’ during the past...
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Week Ahead: Markets Have A Difficult Terrain To Negotiate; Will Continue To Resist At Higher Levels
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The markets were range-bound over the course of the week, but remained volatile on anticipated lines while digesting the Union Budget on Friday. As expected, the event failed to infuse any cheer in the markets, with the NIFTY remaining within a defined range and oscillating in a limited band. The...
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Mindful Investors Minimize Distractions
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
When you're a student pilot, your first couple of solo flights remain very close to your home airport. Basically, you get up in the air and do a couple laps around the landing pattern. This is meant to get you comfortable being in the plane by yourself, as...
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Alert Yourself To Pullback Opportunities In Fast-Moving Stocks
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
It’s been quite a star-spangled week for the markets, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting a new high 3 out of their 4 sessions. One sector showing particular strength has been Technology, which also reached a new high as many underlying stocks are posting significant returns....
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Why U.S. Equities Are Poised For Another 40-50% Surge
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I want to discuss two charts that really need to be monitored closely as we enter the second half of 2019. A rise in these charts is synonymous with massive bull market rallies. They both make great common sense, so let's discuss them before visualizing the charts.
1....
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DP WEEKLY WRAP: Watch Out For BPI Trend Breaks
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
With the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite making or equaling all-time highs, it would be appropriate to check the participation behind this up surge. The Bullish Percent Index (BPI) measures the percentage of stocks in a given index that have point & figure BUY signals. In January of...
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CRB Still Caught in a Trading Range
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Editor's Note: This article was originally published in Martin Pring's Market Roundup on Tuesday, July 2nd at 12:36pm ET.
Back in May, I wrote an article entitled “Commodities: Down Now, Up Later?" in which I pointed out some of the long-term technical bullish potential...
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EARNINGS: 2019 Q1 Finalized; S&P 500 Still Overvalued
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The S&P 500 earnings for 2019 Q1 have been finalized. The following chart shows us the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, as well as where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E of...
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The S&P Just Broke Out of a Two-Year Consolidation, But There are Still Some Pockets of Concern
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
A short, but strong, trading session just before the Fourth of July holiday pushed the S&P, along with the Nasdaq 100 and the DJ Industrials indexes, to new highs.
Breaks to new highs are pretty strong signs and should not be ignored. At the end of the day,...
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STRONG JOBS REPORT SENDS BOND YIELDS HIGHER ON DIMINISHED HOPE FOR JULY RATE CUT -- DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS ARE LEADING TODAY'S MARKET RETREAT -- RISING YIELDS ARE BOOSTING BANKS AND FINANCIALS -- A STRONGER DOLLAR IS CAUSING PROFIT-TAKING IN GOLD
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STRONGER THAN EXPECTED JOBS REPORT BOOSTS YIELDS...A increase of 224,000 jobs in June was much higher than expected, and may have diminished hopes for a July rate cut. That can be seen by rising bond yields today. The 10-Year Treasury yield is rising 11 basis points to 2....
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Dow Jones Sets New Record To Join S&P 500
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Wednesday, July 3, 2019
26 of 30 Dow Jones component stocks advanced as the most widely known stock index set all-time intraday and closing highs one day before Independence Day and during an abbreviated session. It gives traders an extra day to relax and reflect on the...
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Investors' Expectations: Knee-Jerk Reactions And Volatile Oscillations Aside, Budget May Remain A Non-Event
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After claiming an absolute majority again in the 2019 General Election, the Narendra Modi Government is slated to come up with their first budget of the second term on Friday, the 4th of July, 2019. Many expectations have been building up around this event, which has always been one of...
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Brexit is SOOO 1776!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
Happy Fourth of July!
On this public holiday - for the US, anyway; not so much for me ;) - I looked up a bit more about the history of Independence Day and, while doing so, it occurred to me that even back then, the British were involved in a separation....
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DOW AND S&P 500 ARE POISED TO CLOSE AT RECORD HIGHS -- DROP IN BOND YIELDS CONTINUES TO SUPPORT DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS -- CONSUMER CYCLICALS ARE TRADING AT RECORD HIGHS TODAY -- BUT STAPLES HAVE DONE BETTER THAN CYCLICALS SINCE LATE APRIL
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
S&P 500 SETS NEW RECORD... DOW IS GETTING CLOSE...Stocks are trading higher again today in a shortened pre-holiday trading session. Chart 1 shows the S&P 500 trading well above its late-April high and trading in new record territory again today. The SPX is trading well...
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S&P 500 Sets A New All-Time High; Get Used To It
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Market Recap for Tuesday, July 2, 2019
I saw a headline Tuesday morning when all of our major indices were lower that suggested "renewed trade fears" were impacting the stock market in negative fashion. When will the insanity stop? So Monday the market moved higher on trade relief...
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