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META Stock in Limbo: What You Need to Know Before the Next Big Price Swing
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Meta's prospects look bullish mostly due to the rollout of Meta AI, which is expected to lead to substantial growth in ad revenue
* While analyst price predictions show a wide range, consensus ratings lean towards a "Buy" to a "Strong Buy"
* Technically,...
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Equity Markets Struggle to Hold onto "Go" trend as Industrials Try to Lead | Apr 15 2024
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
Good morning and welcome to this week's Flight Path. The equity "Go" trend continued this week but we saw some weakness as GoNoGo Trend paints a string of weaker aqua bars to close out the week. We haven't seen a new high in a...
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Charts Flashing "No Go" for S&P 500!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Tyler Wood, CMT of GoNoGo Charts. Tyler walks through their proprietary momentum model which confirms a bearish rotation for the major equity benchmarks yet a bullish rotation for the commodity space. David walks through key earnings names...
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Rocks over Stocks | GoNoGo Show 041824
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* New Risk Off Environment for Equities
* Commodities Leading
The S&P500 trend conditions have reversed into "NoGo" and strengthened to purple bars. Alex Cole and Tyler Wood, CMT identify intermarket forces including rising rates ($TNX) and a strong US Dollar (UUP) that can provide headwinds...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" April 18, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Right now, there's lots of room for a downside in the market. Do we really want a rate cut?
In this video, Larry talks about past interest rate cuts from the Fed, and what happens to stock prices as a result. Historically, we've seen these cuts...
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Intraday Trading Entry and Exit Strategies
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe details a trade setup in the QQQ that demonstrates how he uses MACD and ADX in multiple timeframes for his trading. He gives detail on the entry and exit for this trade. Joe then covers the stock...
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Rules-Based Money Management - Part 1: Popular Indicators and Their Uses
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the seventeenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2:00 PM Eastern
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Daylight Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join:
Link to Join Webinar:...
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Semiconductors are at CRITICAL Level!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Danielle Shay of Simpler Trading. Danielle speaks to the downside rotation for the QQQ, SMH, and leading growth stocks, including why the $210 level is so crucial for the SMH. Dave highlights the recent downswing for Bitcoin,...
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Important Inflection Point in FXI: Is It Time To Accumulate?
by Stewart Taylor,
Retired Technical Analyst
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A successful test of FXI's secondary test of its 2022 low will show strength
* If FXI's secondary test fails, weakness could result in the ETF
* Looking at ratio charts, a potential FXI:EWJ spread trade could present lucrative trading opportunities
The iShares China Large-Cap...
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Will NFLX Pierce Through Resistance With Breakthrough Earnings? Here's What You Need to Know
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NFLX is close to a strong resistance level and could break above it if the company beats earnings estimates
* Netflix's stock price has been trending higher since July 22 after the stock took a deep plunge
* Expect a lot of volatility after NFLX announces earnings on...
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Larry's LIVE "Family Gathering" Webinar Airs TOMORROW - Thursday, April 18 at 2:00pm EDT!
Larry is going LIVE! Don't miss the upcoming "Family Gathering" webinar with Larry Williams, airing live through Zoom on Thursday, April 18 at 2:00pm Eastern Daylight Time.
In this must-see event, Larry will be presenting his current opinions on a broad variety of current market...
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Bitcoin Halving Could Bring Massive Upside!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares a brief history of Bitcoin halving and relates it to the short-term and long-term technical outlook on this significant development for cryptocurrencies. He also focuses on stocks testing their 50-day moving averages, including NFLX, SMCI, and MSTR.
This...
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AMD Plunges to a Critical Support Level: Is Now the Time to Go Long?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* AMD is in a technical (near-term) downtrend, but its fundamentals promise otherwise
* AMD's stock price is trailing NVDA, though its lead over the rest of the industry appears to be waning
* AMD is in a technical "buy" range and the potential for a bullish...
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Is Market Breadth Signaling THE TOP?!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shows how bearish short-term breadth combined with the deterioration in long-term breadth lines up well with previous market tops. He then breaks down key levels for the S&P 500 index as well as MSFT, TSLA, and more....
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DP Trading Room: Final Earnings are In for 2023 Q4!
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Carl opens the show with a view of the final earnings results for 2023 Q4! His chart reveals whether stocks are fair valued, overvalued or undervalued. Get his take on the current readings.
Carl gave us his market overview including Bitcoin, Gold Miners, Gold and Crude Oil and many more....
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Precious Metals Reach Exhaustion
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
In the last couple of weeks, I have been reading stories about shoppers picking up gold bars in, of all places, Costco. According to Gemini, the AI branch of Google, "Reports indicate they may be selling up to $200 million worth of gold bars every month."
Normally, thin...
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Are The Financials Sending Us A Major Warning Signal?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I've said for awhile that we could use some short-term selling to unwind overbought conditions and even negative divergences in some cases. I was looking for perhaps 4-5%, but it's really difficult to predict the kind and depth of selling that we'll see when...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Stay Subdued Over the Truncated Week; Defensive Play May Seem Evident
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
Going into the previous week, the markets had been expected to inch higher; however, at the same time, while it was believed that incremental highs may be formed, it was also expected that a runaway move would not happen. Over the past four trading sessions, the markets traded precisely on...
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S&P 500 Flashes Major Topping Signals
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The weekly RSI has signaled an exit from overbought conditions, but the weekly PPO has not yet indicated a bearish reversal.
* A break below the 200-day moving average would validate the weekly sell signals, and align with previous market tops since the 2009 market bottom.
Toward the bottom...
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Keeping Up With The Jones - How Weakness in This Index May Foretell a Broader Market Correction
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.4% last week in a move that pushes this index further below its key 50-day simple moving average. While not the most widely followed index, the Dow has continued to evolve so that its 30 components more closely represent the current economy. Amazon&...
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Stay Ahead of the Markets with AUTOMATED Portfolio Reports
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
Staying on top of your portfolio in a fast-moving market can be a challenge. On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to make things easier on yourself with automated ChartList Reports for your portfolio. You'll learn how to...
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MEM TV: Time To SELL EVERYTHING?!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares key signals that it's time to sell a stock, using INTC as an example. She also reviews a key area of support for the markets, and new sectors that have entered a downtrend. She finishes...
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Stock Market Indexes Plunge After Hitting Resistance -- Support Levels You Need to Watch
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite dropped
* Gold keeps hitting new highs
* The VIX spiked above 18 but closed at 17.31
Now that earnings season has begun, what can you expect the stock market to do, especially after its stellar Q1 run?...
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The Day the Yields Broke Out
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Wednesday brought an unexpected firming up of the inflation figures, causing analysts and commentators to trim the number of times they expect interest rates to be cut this year. Whenever it is that the questions turn away from whether to when and by how much, as was the case until...
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Using Outsized Moves to Identify Trend Reversals - Checking in on Housing and Semis
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Outsized Moves Can Jump Start Trends
* Chartists can use ATR-SAR to Identify Outsized Moves
* Housing and Retail are Leading Lower with Outsized Declines
Trends often start with outsized moves. But how do we measure and identify such moves? Chartists can measure moves in Average True Range (ATR) terms...
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From Relic To Reckoning: Can Gold Surge To $3,000?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Gold is at record highs with retail investors buying despite sky-high valuations
* Fiscal, monetary, and geopolitical uncertainties are driving this "relic" turned "alternative currency"
* The technical context reveals a few strategic insights for anyone bullish on the yellow metal
The strange thing about gold...
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RRG Indicates That Non-Mega Cap Technology Stocks are Improving
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The energy sector remains on a very strong rotational path
* A completed top formation in Healthcare opens up significant downside risk
* Smaller Technology stocks are taking over from mega-cap names
A Sector Rotation Summary
A quick assessment of current sector rotation on the weekly Relative Rotation Graph:
XLB:...
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NVDA is Holding Strong: It's Time to Think About Accumulating this Stock
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NVDA stock is rising as the broader market sells off
* NVDA is technically and fundamentally strong and is outperforming the S&P 500
* NVDA's stock price has broken above a downward channel, which could be the start of the next uptrend
Sometimes, it helps to...
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Master Market Entry with This RSI Strategy!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use the RSI along with the MACD and ADX indicators. RSI is used as a timing tool when things are lined up. Joe goes through some of the key elements he looks for when...
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Market Research and Analysis - Part 5: Drawdown Analysis
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the sixteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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2023 Q4 Earnings Analysis and Projections Through 2024 Q4
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
S&P 500 earnings are in for 2023 Q4, and here is our valuation analysis.
The following chart shows the normal value range of the S&P 500 Index, indicating where the S&P 500 would have to be in order to have an overvalued P/E...
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Is the Banking System on the Verge of Systemic Implosion? What to Look Out For
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A few fringe economists are sounding the alarm on a looming series of banking collapses
* With bank holdings of government debt now underwater, some claim that banks are virtually insolvent as a result
* Whether any of this takes place, even partially, technical levels on the charts can help...
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This Sector is Breaking Up and Down Simultaneously
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
This may seem like a contradiction, but it is possible for two different things to be true at the same time.
What I am referring to is the fact that the health care sector (XLV) recently broke out from a consolidation reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, as we can see from the...
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Despite Stable Markets, Breadth Says Danger
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops a market update, with a focus on Bitcoin's rebound above 70K, deteriorating short-term breadth conditions, and stocks still making new highs despite the market consolidation phase.
This video originally premiered on April 8, 2024. Watch on...
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2 Consolidating Stocks Ready To Resume Their Uptrends
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
My preference is to trade strong stocks that are simply consolidating and ridding themselves of weak hands, hopefully just in time to ride the next wave higher. Software ($DJUSSW) has been consolidating for the past couple months and appears poised to rebound from its latest 50-day SMA test:
Software is...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY May Continue Finding Resistance at Higher Levels; These Sectors May Relatively Outperform
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that, while the markets may attempt to inch higher, they may not form anything beyond minor incremental highs and could largely continue to stay under consolidation. In line with the analysis, the Nifty did form a new lifetime high, but eventually...
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MEM TV: Is It Safe To Reenter The Markets?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares what to be on the lookout for to tell if it's safe to put new money to work. She also shares the weakness in select sectors and which areas she suggests to underweight. Last up,...
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Double Top Forming in Growth vs. Value?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers questions from The Final Bar Mailbag. Today he talks about how to use the ADX indicator, how growth vs. value may have formed a double top pattern, how to use VWAP for intraday and historical analysis, and what...
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VIX Spikes Above 16 - Is This the End?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
The VIX ended the week just above 16, bringing it to its highest level in 2024. What does this tell us about investor sentiment, and how does this compare to previous market cycles?
Let's take a quick tour of market history through the lens of the VIX, focusing...
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