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The False Flag of Fed Rate Cuts | Focus on Stocks: March 2024

The False Flag of Fed Rate Cuts | Focus on Stocks: March 2024

Let's begin this month with a look at... The False Flag of Fed Rate Cuts Day after day, we hear how the Fed will embark on a series of rate cuts this year "because inflation has peaked" and is heading lower. The drop in inflation is...   READ MORE 

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Flip the Script: Defense as Your New Offensive Playbook

Flip the Script: Defense as Your New Offensive Playbook

KEY TAKEAWAYS * March is a strong seasonal month for Utilities and Consumer Staples in relation to the broader market * Utilities and Consumer Staples are defensive plays which, if timed correctly, can result in a positive market outcome * The StockCharts Seasonality charts can help you identify sector plays that may not...   READ MORE 

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BITCOIN Rally Picks Up Steam, What's Next?

BITCOIN Rally Picks Up Steam, What's Next?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave shares his first market update from Dubai with a recap of Bitcoin's electrifying rally, Tesla's bounce higher, and Alphabet's pullback.  The S&P 500 remains above 5K with plenty of new 52-week...   READ MORE 

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DP Trading Room: The PMO Versus the MACD!

DP Trading Room: The PMO Versus the MACD!

Today Carl explains the benefits of using the Price Momentum Oscillator versus the MACD. They are not the same! Carl then gives us his insights on the market in general as well as Bitcoin news, Magnificent 7 overview, as well as Crude Oil and Interest Rates. Erin gives us an...   READ MORE 

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Evaluating Risk is a Key Difference Between Successful and Unsuccessful Traders

Evaluating Risk is a Key Difference Between Successful and Unsuccessful Traders

This secular bull market advance is running over everyone attempting to get in its way.  It's why I always say never to bet against one.  Trying to short this type of bull market is the equivalent of financial suicide.  I usually have music playing in the background while...   READ MORE 

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Finding Leaders and Bullish Signals on the Price Chart

Finding Leaders and Bullish Signals on the Price Chart

Chartists can improve their odds by focusing on stocks that are in long-term uptrends and showing upside leadership. This is similar to a dual-momentum approach, which was covered last week. Today's example will use the 40-week SMA to define the trend, a 52-week high to confirm upside leadership...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely to Continue Consolidating; Finding Relative Outperformance

Week Ahead: NIFTY Likely to Continue Consolidating; Finding Relative Outperformance

In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that, while the overall trend may stay intact, the markets could continue to largely consolidate. In line with the analysis, the markets kept consolidating, staying in a broad but defined trading range. That range, over the past week, was 422 points;...   READ MORE 

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How Overextended Are You, QQQ?

How Overextended Are You, QQQ?

We've highlighted all the warning signs as this bull market phase has seemed to near an exhaustion point. We shared bearish market tells, including the dreaded Hindenburg Omen,and how leading growth stocks have beendemonstrating questionable patterns. But despite all of those signs of market exhaustion, our growth-led...   READ MORE 

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MEM TV: Simple Way to Identify a Buy Point in NVDA

MEM TV: Simple Way to Identify a Buy Point in NVDA

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the markets to new highs and what areas are outperforming. She also shares how to identify a buy point in NVDA after its gap up following earnings, as well as how to determine when a...   READ MORE 

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AMD's Sensational Halt — What You Need to Watch

AMD's Sensational Halt — What You Need to Watch

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) recovered quickly from a post-earnings slump * Its longer term price action suggests indecision and the current pattern can also break either way * This can either be a short-term trade or an investment; both scenarios will require different strategies If you ran a StockCharts Gap...   READ MORE 

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The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

The Best Technical Indicator for Long-Term Investors

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave drops an all-mailbag episode featuring viewer questions on the Hindenburg Omen, ascending triangle patterns, Fibonacci Retracements, projecting upside targets for stocks like NVDA, and the best technical indicator long-term investors should use! This video originally premiered on February 23,...   READ MORE 

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Is Energy About to Undergo a Strong Seasonal Sector Surge?

Is Energy About to Undergo a Strong Seasonal Sector Surge?

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Combining fundamental forecasts with seasonality patterns offers a potent strategy for identifying tradable opportunities in specific sectors * The Energy (XLE), Utilities (XLU), and Materials (XLB) sectors exhibit the strongest seasonal performance in the near-term * Seasonality charts provide valuable insights, but checking overall stock market conditions and technical trading...   READ MORE 

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NVDA SCREAMS BULL With Earnings Breakout

NVDA SCREAMS BULL With Earnings Breakout

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave identifies key resistance levels for QQQ and HYG, along with a technical analysis downtrend checklist for charts in confirmed bear phases. Guest Larry Tentarelli of Blue Chip Daily Trend Report shares two stocks he's tracking along with...   READ MORE 

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S&P 500's Sensational Rally Keeps On Going Thanks to NVDA — What You Need to Watch

S&P 500's Sensational Rally Keeps On Going Thanks to NVDA — What You Need to Watch

KEY TAKEAWAYS * S&P 500 hits a new all-time high and could keep on going * NVIDIA's stellar earnings report was a catalyst to the rise in the S&P 500 * Volatility declined, indicating that investors are still relatively calm Well, Nvidia did it! A stellar earnings...   READ MORE 

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3 Unique RSI Techniques to Maximize Your Investments

3 Unique RSI Techniques to Maximize Your Investments

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe dives into the world of technical analysis by sharing three unique ways to utilize the RSI indicator alongside MACD and ADX -- the Pullback Trade, Confirming a Breakout and 2nd Chance Entry. He then covers the symbol...   READ MORE 

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The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 9: Market Facts — Bull and Bear Markets

The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 9: Market Facts — Bull and Bear Markets

Note to the reader: This is the ninth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...   READ MORE 

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Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings

Markets Bracing for NVDA Earnings

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave breaks down the latest market breadth indicators, ranging from bullish (S&P 500 advance-decline line) to bearish (Bullish Percent Indexes breaking down) to everything in between.  He also analyzes key growth names including SMCI, PANW, AMZN, and NVDA....   READ MORE 

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Emerging Markets Getting Closer to a Breakout

Emerging Markets Getting Closer to a Breakout

Last November I asked the question "Are emerging markets about to emerge?"Using the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) as our benchmark, I concluded that more strength was needed in order to push the indicators into a bullish mode. In the intervening period, things have improved, but...   READ MORE 

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The Halftime Show: Don't Box the Invisible Man -- EPS Reports

The Halftime Show: Don't Box the Invisible Man -- EPS Reports

On this week's edition ofStockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete takes a look at long-term trends. Semiconductors taking it on the chin. Inflation is still a problem. Bonds are selling off, and the Fed isn't cutting rates until, in Pete's opinion, the unemployment rate falls....   READ MORE 

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Decoding 10-Year Treasury Yields: A Monthly/Secular Perspective Overview

Decoding 10-Year Treasury Yields: A Monthly/Secular Perspective Overview

I begin each year by reviewing the long-term technical positions and behaviors of the "Big Four" — 10-year yields, S&P 500 ($SPX), Commodities, and the US Dollar. I believe that interest rates, particularly in a credit-dependent/leveraged system, generally drive economic and market cycles. And, since by...   READ MORE 

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The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!

The Titanic Syndrome Indicator Issues a WARNING!

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave focuses on AAPL which closed below its 200-day moving average as it tests key price support. Guest Jesse Felder of The Felder Report reports on the Titanic Syndrome, a market breadth indicator similar to the Hindenburg Omen that suggests...   READ MORE 

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Sector Spotlight: Dominant Trend for Stocks Still UP

Sector Spotlight: Dominant Trend for Stocks Still UP

On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I separate the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 into Offensive, Defensive, and Sensitive, assessing their group rotational patterns to see if there is any alignment with the current technical condition of the S&P 500. After...   READ MORE 

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SPY Uptrend Intact, But Mixed Sector Rotation Signals Hesitation

SPY Uptrend Intact, But Mixed Sector Rotation Signals Hesitation

KEY TAKEAWAYS * Looking at Risk ON / OFF through BETA * RRG shows mixed rotations * SPY Uptrend intact with limited downside risk BETA One of the Risk ON/OFF metrics I like to keep an eye on is BETA. From Investopedia: —systematic risk— I have updated my spreadsheet with last year'...   READ MORE 

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With The Top 10 Picks In The Stock Market DRAFT, EarningsBeats.com Selects...

With The Top 10 Picks In The Stock Market DRAFT, EarningsBeats.com Selects...

We're one day away from "DRAFT Day"!  Every quarter, we select the 10 equal-weighted stocks that will comprise our 3 portfolios - Model, Aggressive, and Income.  My background is in public accounting as I audited companies in the Washington, DC - Baltimore, MD metropolitan area for...   READ MORE 

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Capturing the Momentum Phenomenon - Nvidia vs Tesla

Capturing the Momentum Phenomenon - Nvidia vs Tesla

The momentum phenomenon has been a fixture in the US equity markets for decades. There are two types of momentum to consider: absolute momentum and relative momentum. Absolute momentum refers to the underlying trend, up or down. Relative momentum quantifies the strength of the uptrend and compares it to other...   READ MORE 

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What Lies Ahead? Will Early 2024 Strength Continue?

What Lies Ahead? Will Early 2024 Strength Continue?

A Buying Climax typically concludes a long term uptrend. The rally phase from the October low of 2023 has these climactic characteristics. This advance comes after a major trend that began in late 2022. The steady upward march in the 4th quarter of 2023 was broad and powerful, which created...   READ MORE 

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Week Ahead: NIFTY Stays In A Defined Range; Expect Directional Moves Only Outside These Levels

Week Ahead: NIFTY Stays In A Defined Range; Expect Directional Moves Only Outside These Levels

Some serious consolidation continued in the markets as the Nifty oscillated in a defined range before closing the week with modest gains. Examination of daily charts shows that the Nifty tested its 50-DMA again and rebounded from that level while defending that point as important support. The trading range widened...   READ MORE 

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A Very Accurate Sentiment Reading That Is Flashing A RED Light For Bulls

A Very Accurate Sentiment Reading That Is Flashing A RED Light For Bulls

While many analysts follow sentiment signals that involve feelings about market direction, I prefer one that follows the MONEY.  I want to know what retail traders are doing with their money with respect to options.  Extreme readings provide eerily accurate reversals in trend, which are obviously very important to any...   READ MORE 

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There Remain A Lot Of Mixed Signals, But One Bullish Signal That We Cannot Ignore

There Remain A Lot Of Mixed Signals, But One Bullish Signal That We Cannot Ignore

The masses have been confounded by the strength of this current secular bull market.  Too many keep betting against it and they've cost themselves a huge opportunity for profit as prices have soared.  I've pointed out on many occasions that the biggest stock market gains have...   READ MORE 

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This Beaten-Down Magnificent Seven Stock is Poised to Regain Its Leadership Status

This Beaten-Down Magnificent Seven Stock is Poised to Regain Its Leadership Status

Going into last week, the Magnificent Seven stocks were looking more like the Magnificent Four. Leadership within the group became more concentrated, with Amazon, Meta, Microsoft and Nvidia having done most of the heavy lifting. This is far different from the first 6 weeks of 2023, when gains among these...   READ MORE 

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Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support

Three Leading Growth Stocks Testing Gap Support

KEY TAKEAWAYS * The NYFANG+ index of leading growth stocks is up about 12% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have gained only 5%. * All three of these growth stocks show similar patterns, with a recent gap higher.  But they have now all stalled out. * If these...   READ MORE 

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MEM TV: Risk-On Trades Emerge Amid Big Tech Selloff

MEM TV: Risk-On Trades Emerge Amid Big Tech Selloff

In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the sloppy week for the markets, driven by the key economic data that was released. We saw interest rates rise, which had some other carry-on impact. While the S&P 500 saw a bit of a...   READ MORE 

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What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)

What to Do With NVDA (And Others Like It)

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave answers viewer questions on the Money Flow Index, using RSP vs. SPY for relative strength analysis, strategies for names in extended uptrends like NVDA, applying Fibonacci retracements to charts like KRE, and more. This video originally premiered on February...   READ MORE 

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Discover the Power of These 2 Cutting-Edge Tools!

Discover the Power of These 2 Cutting-Edge Tools!

It's all about groups on this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus! In this video, Grayson shows you how to take your market analysis to the next with level with some of the latest enhancements on the StockCharts platform -- new features added...   READ MORE 

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DraftKings' Stock Overheating? Here's What You Need to Do Now

DraftKings' Stock Overheating? Here's What You Need to Do Now

KEY TAKEAWAYS * DraftKings has demonstrated significant revenue growth following a lengthy period of outperformance relative to the S&P 500 and its respective sector and industry * DraftKings' stock is overbought, with a declining RSI suggesting near term market correction * Set a price alert to measure an anticipated pullback...   READ MORE 

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BUY Signals Continue to Diminish

BUY Signals Continue to Diminish

A Golden Cross BUY Signal is generated when the 50-day EMA of a price index crosses up through its 200-day EMA. DecisionPoint's Golden Cross Index (GCI) shows the percentage of stocks in a price index that have a Golden Cross BUY Signal, and is an expression of long-term...   READ MORE 

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SMCI Breaks $1,000 Level - What's Next?

SMCI Breaks $1,000 Level - What's Next?

In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Bob Lang of Explosive Options shares three charts he's following as the S&P 500 continues to hold the crucial 5,000 level. Host David Keller, CMT highlights key stocks on the earnings list, including DKNG, COIN,...   READ MORE 

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Identifying Powerful Trends with This Game-Changing ADX Setup

Identifying Powerful Trends with This Game-Changing ADX Setup

On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shares the criteria for his favorite ADX setup. He explains what he needs to see on 2 different timeframes to put a stock into position for a powerful trend that can last a long time. Joe closes...   READ MORE 

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Larry's "Family Gathering" February 15, 2024 Recording

Larry's "Family Gathering" February 15, 2024 Recording

In this video, Larry begins by presenting two trade recommendations, then digs into AI stocks, Bitcoin, and what you should be doing right now. Is it time to go long? Go short? Or wait for a decline? He explains the difference between FOMO and actually losing money, and how pain...   READ MORE 

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The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 8: The Enemy in the Mirror

The Hoax of Modern Finance - Part 8: The Enemy in the Mirror

Note to the reader: This is the eighth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...   READ MORE