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DJT Has Closed Last Week's Gap, But is It Enough?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Sometimes, simple indicators like bar or candlesticks operate just as the textbooks tell us they should. I don't normally follow individual stocks, but the hype surrounding last week's listing of Trump Media piqued my interest to see if the technical position squared with what the many...
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DP Trading Room: On-Balance Volume (OBV) Explained
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl and Erin cover the topic of On-Balance Volume (OBV) as a representation of volume trends. This came to their attention as they uncovered an OBV negative divergence on the SPY chart.
Carl completes a review of the weekly charts for the Magnificent 7 stocks, giving us a more...
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Business Confidence and Stocks | Focus on Stocks: April 2024
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Here comes the answer to a very old question, "Do stocks lead the economy, does the economy lead the stock market, or is there something else?"
My work has shown numerous times that GDP is not a good predictor of the Dow Jones. Also, business inventories and a...
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Q1 Ends With A Small Cap Attack! One Small Cap Sector is EXPLODING Higher!
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Let's start off by reviewing a quarterly chart of the S&P 500 ($SPX), NASDAQ 100 ($NDX), and Russell 2000 (IWM) since this secular bull market began in early-April 2013 (44 quarters ago):
S&P 500:
NASDAQ 100:
Russell 2000:
When you look at these 3...
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Overbought Conditions Reflect Strength and Said Strength Drives Momentum Rotation Strategies
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Overbought is just another term for strong. RSI above 70 shows strong upside momentum, which his bullish. Stocks can become overbought (strong) and remain strong.
Momentum and trend strategies are off to a roaring start here in 2024. More often than not, these strategies buy leading stocks that...
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Core PCE Data Has Powell Pleased - May Set Tone For Q2
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The Fed's preferred gauge of inflation was released today and, according to Fed chief Jerome Powell, "it was good," as there were no ugly surprises. This news could boost the markets, as sticky inflation data has had investors on edge amid interest rates that have remained...
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MEM TV: Small Cap STOCKS SHINE! 4 Names to Play the Strength
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what's shaping up in the broader markets after the Fed announced their rate cut plans. She also shares how to use ETFs to shape your investment decisions for the longer term. In addition, Mary Ellen...
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Which Magnificent 7 Stock Would You Pick for Q2?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
This article represents an exercise I like to call the "Single Stock Portfolio". In this scenario, you can only own one stock in your portfolio for the next three months, and you can pick any one of the following eight stocks. Which one would you select, and why?...
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Buy Breakout or Fade Divergence on Growth Stocks?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave presents a mailbag show discussing key technical analysis topics. He covers breakouts, the role of TSX, CCI signals, Gartner Group (IT) strategies, seasonal patterns, ATR use, NVDA Fibonacci retracements, and managing high-yield stocks like GLP. You don't...
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The Fourth Bitcoin Halving Is Upon Us: Is Now the Time to Go Long?
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Bitcoin halving are often considered pivotal events for the cryptocurrency
* Bitcoin prices are rising, but momentum appears to be dwindling
* If Bitcoin stalls and reverse, there are a few potential support levels to watch
Bitcoin is about to undergo its fourth halving on April 19. For crypto enthusiasts,...
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These Breadth Charts PROVE How Strong This Bull Market Is
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson explains the importance of market breadth and shares some of the most crucial charts for understanding what's truly happening beneath the surface of the market. Using the Sample Chart Gallery, you'll see...
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How to Analyze Volume Trends on Multiple Time Frames
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave highlights charts breaking above resistance levels, including Gold Shares (GLD), Phillips 66 (PSX), Capital One Fence Corp (COF), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), and DraftKings (DKNG). Dave also interviews Buff Dormeier of Kingsview Investment Management, who shows how he uses RSI, the...
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Market Research and Analysis - Part 3: Market Trend Analysis
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the fourteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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One Month of Positive Seasonality Remaining -- OBV Says, "Maybe Not."
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The late Yale Hirsch (Stock Trader's Almanac) has long been known for identifying the six-month periods of positive and negative seasonality in the stock market. The positive period is November through April, and the negative period is May through October. We are currently in a positive period, which...
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Return of the Meme Stock Frenzy: Is Now the Time to Shift Your Investment Focus?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Wednesday's broad stock market rally shows that investors are still willing to take chances in the stock market
* Even though the stock market rallied, Communication Services and Technology were the worst performing S&P 500 sectors on Wednesday
* Gold prices have been on a tear...
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S&P 7000 By End of 2024?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors shares his updated target for the S&P 500, and makes the case for a bullish melt-up phase for stocks, bonds, and gold. Dave Keller focuses in on the relative performance of...
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When These Levels Break, The S&P 500 is Going to Explode Higher
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Consumer Discretionary Beating Staples
* Sectors Pushing Against Major Resistance Levels
Summary
The Relative Rotation Graph for US Sectors for this week mainly shows a continuation of the rotations as they were underway last week.
XLB: This is moving from lagging into improving at a strong RRG-Heading, underscoring the...
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KRE's Impending Plunge: What This Emerging Crisis Means
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* KRE (the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF) is trading within a fairly wide uptrend channel
* Momentum in KRE appears to be waning which could uncover short-term trading opportunities
* Many regional banks can face increasing debt delinquencies and may be on the brink of collapse
Full disclosure:...
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Three Industrial Stocks With Room to Run!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Mary Ellen McGonagle of MEM Investment Research. David compares two stocks in the same industry group with dramatically different chart patterns. Which one would you want to own here and why? Mary Ellen shares three stocks with...
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Surprise Negative Divergence on Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We were perusing the Advance-Decline Line charts that we have and noticed something that surprised us. The Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line is trending lower while prices continue higher. This is negative divergence we didn't expect to see.
What makes that negative divergence even more interesting is looking at the...
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Don't Bet on Lower Rates
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
To paraphrase the late great contrarian Humphrey Neil: When everyone thinks alike, it's usually time to look for a turn in the market.
It seems to me, after reviewing an unscientific survey of the financial media, that everyone and his dog (no disrespect to our canine friends) is...
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DP Trading Room: Shake Up at Boeing (BA)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
Today Carl and Erin reviewed the Boeing (BA) chart together discussing the technical ramifications of the step down of the CEO and two other board members. We do note that the CEO will finish out the year so problems could continue throughout the year. The technicals on the chart are...
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Week Ahead: Short Week May Not See NIFTY Adopting Sustained Directional Bias; Volatility May Return
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After a corrective action the week before, the markets continued to wear a tentative look throughout this past week as well.
In the previous technical note, it was mentioned that the level of 22525 has become an intermediate top for the markets, and any runway upsides should not be expected....
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You Need To Understand NOW What Changed After The Fed Announcement
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I've always liked to look at certain points during a bull market or bear market where the character of the market could change based on key fundamental news. We were at one of those points on Wednesday as 2 o'clock approached. The Fed was about to...
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Stocks Are Going UP "With or Without You"
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
U2 is one of my favorite bands and I can't help but think of their song, "With or Without You", when I look at an S&P 500 chart. This secular bull market is waiting for no one. You're either in it or...
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An Indicator to Define the Trend and Quantify Momentum
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The 200-day SMA is perhaps the most widely used long-term moving average. As its name implies, it is a simple indicator that chartists can use for trend-following and momentum strategies. For trend-following, we just need to know where prices stand relative to the 200-day SMA. For momentum, we need to...
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Look Out Below! The Bear Case For Apple
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* While the long-term trend in Apple has been quite strong, the weekly charts shows a clear double-top pattern with declining momentum.
* Our Market Trend Model currently reads short-term bearish, medium-term bearish, and long-term bullish.
* A break below price support around $169 could open the door to further downside,...
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The Stock Market This Week: What This Surging Bull Means
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite are holding strong
* Gold and the US dollar trend higher in spite of dovish Fed comments
* Cannabis stocks trade higher on news of partial legalization in Germany
It was an action-packed week in the stock market....
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MEM TV: Get In EARLY! These Areas Are Seeing LIFT OFF
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what's shaping up in the broader markets after the Fed announced their rate cut plans. She also shares how to use ETFs to shape your investment decisions for the longer term. In addition, Mary Ellen...
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The Best Leading Indicator for Stocks
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave brings you another mailbag show! Explore the differences between RSI and Accumulation Distribution for stocks. Compare the benefits of SharpCharts or ACP on StockCharts. Understand the nuances between Keltner and Bollinger Bands. Discover why considering sector trends and using...
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Energy Heats Up
by Bruce Fraser,
Industry-leading "Wyckoffian"
Crude Oil struck an intraday low on December 13th of 2023, the same day as Fed Chair Powell's notable press conference. This concluded a decline from approximately $95 (at the end of the 3rd quarter) to under $68 (near the end of the 4th quarter). After that Fed...
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Post-Fed Rally Ignites Flurry of New Highs
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave comments on AAPL's breakdown on antitrust legislation, the breakouts occurring in the homebuilder space, and how to play names like WDC gapping into key resistance levels. Guest Chris Verrone of Strategas Research Partners compares the S&...
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Is China a Basket Case or a Screaming Buy?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
By now it's common knowledge that the Chinese property sector is in crisis, foreign investment has slowed, and youth unemployment is at record levels. Should be time to sell Chinese equities, right? After all, we don't know when the other shoe is going to drop. They...
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Market Research and Analysis - Part 2: Using Technical Indicators
by Greg Morris,
Veteran Technical Analyst, Investor, and Author
Note to the reader: This is the thirteenth in a series of articles I'm publishing here taken from my book, "Investing with the Trend." Hopefully, you will find this content useful. Market myths are generally perpetuated by repetition, misleading symbolic connections, and the complete ignorance of...
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The Top Candlestick Pattern For Entries
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe demonstrates how to use the "Big Green Bar" candlestick pattern. This candlestick provides great confirmation on certain types of entry points, and can also be helpful for exits. Joe finishes up the show covering the...
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Market Rips Higher After Fed Announcement
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave tracks the S&P 500's first close above the 5200 level as risk assets pop higher following Fed Chair Powell's comments this afternoon. He digs into market breadth indicators, which remain bullish on short-term,...
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Coinbase Stock Didn't Crash, But the Trade Still Raked in Cash
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Technical indicators suggested that Coinbase stock was due for a pullback
* The scenario identified a clear short setup with multiple price targets and stop-loss levels
* Coinbase eventually dipped but the risk may have been greater than the reward
As a trader, calling market tops (or bottoms) is a...
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Downside Risk in a Bullish Market
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave welcomes guest Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital Management. David focuses on downside risk for GOOGL and AMZN, and shares one utility name that should be on your radar! Chris updates a weekly S&P 500 chart he first...
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Energy: A Long-Term Turnaround in Relative Strength is Brewing
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy sector showing relative strength in three timeframes
* The sector is nearing a heavy resistance area
* A long-term turnaround in relative strength appears to be underway
Energy Improving in Three Time Frames
Watching the sector rotation at the start of this week shows a continued improvement for the...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" March 19, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
It's March Madness in the stock market!
In this video, Larry begins by presenting his Trading Days of the Month (TDOM) for the rest of March, as well as the days to hold back on trading. He also presents what he dubs his "Machu Picchu" trade....
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