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Time for Sweet Talk: Sugar Futures
The biggest mover so far in one month's time is sugar futures, up over 16%.
As I am a big follower of weather patterns and have predicted weather could be a huge factor on several crops this year, one major concern for sugar is that the current El...
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Sector Spotlight: US Stocks Once Again Lead the World
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I highlight the short-term weakness in BTC, the price strength in USD, and the clear strength of stocks over all other asset classes. In sectors, I analyze the continuing rotation out of defensive sectors, which is another positive for stocks...
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Economic Modern Family Has Divisive Weekly Charts
Over the weekend, I covered the daily charts on the Economic Modern Family, featuring the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Retail (XRT). Both are lagging the benchmark and in the middle of their January trend calendar ranges.
As Semiconductors, NASDAQ, the Dow, and S&P 500 continue to post new...
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Small Caps Surge Higher As S&P 500 Stalls
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave observes the S&P 500 index pressing higher after achieving new all-time highs on Friday. While large caps have dominated small caps so far in January, days like today suggest small-cap strength as a potential emerging trend. He...
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MEM TV: Tech Stocks Blast Higher! S&P 500 Bull Market Confirmed!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the bullish price action in the markets and shares her longer-term outlook. She also highlights the primary driver of last week's rally and which areas and stocks pushed the S&P 500 higher. In...
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Finding Pure Strength Using the PMO (DP Trading Room Video)
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We are getting our DecisionPoint YouTube channel up and running and will be posting our newest Trading Room videos each week there. We invite you to subscribe to our YouTube channel @decisionpointcom!
FINDING PURE STRENGTH USING THE PMO!
After doing the market overview and sector rotation discussion, Erin shows viewers...
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Your Money And You: This Investment Strategy May Very Well Be Your Best Choice?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Every one of us faces this question as we look to the stock market for a better financial future. Let me first start this article with the understanding that the stock market isn't your only choice in terms of investing in your future (or your child's...
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A Biotech Stock with a Breakout on the Weekly and a Classic Retracement on the Daily
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
This week's analysis will stick with the multiple timeframe approach. Today we are featuring a biotech stock with a channel breakout on the weekly chart and a classic retracement on the daily chart. Moreover, a larger bullish reversal pattern could be forming on the daily chart.
The weekly...
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Three Behavioral Biases You're Probably Struggling With Right Now
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
I've spent much of my career helping investors become more like pilots. Why is this such an important mindset to adopt? Well, pilots have to maintain good situational awareness, understanding what is happening around them. They need to make difficult decisions and recognize when conditions are changing. And,...
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Don't Ignore This Unusual Event on the Market's March to New Highs
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The S&P 500 gained 1.1% last week in a move that puts this Index at a record high. While this is exciting news for investors, those that owned some of last week's top performers are in even better spirits, as the average gain for the...
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Dow Jones and S&P 500 Close At Record High -- Time to Add Tech Stocks To Your Portfolio?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 close at record highs
* Technology stocks are back in the spotlight, with the Nasdaq 100 closing up 1.95%
* Keep an eye on momentum and volatility as earnings reports continue to pour in
Tech stocks are striking back after...
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Tech and Semis Leading from the Dip
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market was severely overbought going into the new year, so some steam was left off, which, as TG Watkins notes, we can see in the breadth readings. Now with notable names in the tech space leading and taking off, its time to get back in and see if the...
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These Stocks Have the HIGHEST PROBABILITY of Being Big Winning Trades -- and You Can Find 'Em in One Click
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you the simplest way to find the market's strongest stocks with the highest probability of becoming big winners -- the Sample Scan Library. With this tool, you can scan for stocks making new...
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Economic Modern Family's Engine Idles While Growth Goes Fast and Furious
Let's get right to it. The charts and our tools are telling.
To start, I always look at moving averages and phases. Then I look at Real Motion and momentum to see if there is a divergence to price. After that, I check out our Leadership indicator which...
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Viewer Questions: How Does the Fed Manipulate the Yield Curve?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave hosts a special all-mailbag edition, answering viewer questions on leading vs. lagging indicators, arithmetic vs. log scale charts, and how the Fed manipulates the yield curve. He digs into specific trading strategies using RSI, MACD, On Balance Volume, and...
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Watch Stocks Triumph in Latest Asset Allocation Battle
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Commodities and USD rotating deep inside the lagging quadrant, indicating weak relative strength
* Bitcoin is in a strong relative uptrend vs all other asset classes, but going through a corrective phase
* Stocks are the clear winner in this asset allocation battle
The RRG above shows the rotation of...
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Technology Stocks Rise, but Market Internals Look Vulnerable
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Nasdaq Composite index rises 1.35% thanks to semiconductor stocks and an upgrade for Apple
* The Nasdaq Composite is trading close to its 52-week high, but market breadth isn't sharing the bullish sentiment
* Market breadth indicators, such as the advance-decline issues and percent above moving average,...
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GNG TV: Active vs. Passive Investing
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
As the S&P 500 digests the rally to all time highs, Alex and Tyler take a look at GoNoGo Trend® conditions of several areas of the market on this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show. Amongst US equity indices, the Nasdaq and S&P offer more constructive...
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Why SMALL CAPS MATTER in January 2024
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest John Kolovos, CFA CMT of Macro Risk Advisors describes how the market is reacting to "good overbought" conditions in late 2023, and why the Russell 2000 small cap ETF may be the chart to watch in Q1...
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Utilities' Unique Seasonal Powers: The Best Months to Invest
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The Utilities sector has periods of cyclical outperformance
* Seasonality charts in StockCharts can identify which months Utilities are likely to outperform
* Analyzing a price chart of the XLU ETF can help time your entries so they coincide with seasonal patterns
The Utilities sector is known as a defensive...
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The Biggest Mistake Traders Make!
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the number one mistake he sees traders make. He shows how both day traders and swing traders can get so laser-focused that they miss key components necessary for a successful trade; he then discusses why he...
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Has Rate Cut Anticipation Run Its Course?
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
The Fed stopped raising rates in July, and, by mid-October, yields had peaked. Since then, yields have begun to decline in anticipation of the Fed beginning rate cuts this year. At this point, it appears that yields have found support and may possibly bounce, or begin moving sideways. This chart...
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Trend Trade: January 6-Month Calendar Range Reset!
We are super excited to announce that today starts the official January 6-month calendar range!
As you can see in the chart for Apple, the small red and green horizontal lines have appeared on one of our favorite platforms at StockCharts.com. In fact, Geoff Bysshe and I recently did...
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USD Strength Accelerates After Completing Bearish Flag in EUR/USD
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* EUR/USD executes bearish flag formation
* Leaves rising trend channel by breaking rising support line as a result
After a rally from $1.045 to a high of $1.1140 from October to December 2023, the EUR/USD exchange rate has now executed a bearish flag formation, which...
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Sector Spotlight: Is the S&P 500 Facing a Double Top?
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I look at asset class rotation and examine the continued preference for stocks over bonds. After that, I move on to sector rotation and the Technology sector, breaking it down into industry groups and plotting them on a Relative Rotation...
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The Case for a Tactical Stock Selloff
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, guest Adam Turnquist of LPL Financial lays out the case for a tactical selloff for stocks, as well as why long-term indicators remain constructive in early 2024. Dave breaks down the bearish momentum divergence prevalent in the technology sector, and...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" January 16, 2024 Recording
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
In this video, Larry digs into rate cuts and how they affect the markets. When interest rates are high, money is in circulation. He's been watching the rate of inflation; as he notes, an object in motion tends to stay on the same path. He also warns against...
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Are Key Commodities Decoupling from Equities?
After a long weekend, the market action on January 16th held some surprises.
The Bullish Trends, or gainers, were the dollar and -- here is the surprise for some -- many different commodities. The Bearish Trends, or losers, were foreign currencies, long bonds, and (not shown on the chart) US...
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"Family Gathering" Meeting Today at 2:00 PM Eastern
Today, Larry Williams will be hosting a "Family Gathering" meeting at 2pm Eastern Standard Time (11am Pacific). Sign-in in begins 5 minutes prior. The show will be recorded and posted online for those of you who cannot attend. Use the link below to join:
Link to Join Webinar:...
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Buying Bitcoin ETFs is the Easy Part, But What Comes Next?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last week, eight new Bitcoin-based ETFs began trading courtesy of recent SEC approval. This launch was well anticipated, as the price had already run up in the hope that these new buyers would push it to an even higher level. The thought occurred to me that the situation is not...
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View The Large Cap - Small Cap Debate in a Direct Comparison on RRG
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Using RRG to see Large-Cap vs Small-Cap sector rotation
* The current strength for Small-Cap stocks vs Large-Caps is evident
At the end of last year, I wrote a blog article about the relationship between Large-Cap and Equal-Weight sectors. It involved plotting the ratios of the large-cap sector ETFs...
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Sector Spotlight: RRG Showing Strong Rotation For Stocks in All Time Frames
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Stocks Showing Relative Strength in All Time Frames on RRG
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, 2024's first episode, I dive into both Asset Class and Sector Rotation to set the stage for 2024. Today, I focus on a synchronized rotation of...
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Perspective And History Tell Us To Lower Our Expectations For Technology Stocks
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
No one loves a good bull market more than me. History tells us that we want remain mostly on the side of the bulls. Perma-bears have an awful long-term track record. They've called 30 of the last 3 secular bear markets. Honestly, those who cannot ever see anything...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY In Uncharted Territory; Adopt This Simple Approach Towards Markets
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
After consolidating for most of the week, the markets extended their upmove and ended at yet another record lifetime high. In the past four out of five sessions, the markets were seen consolidating and staying under limited corrective retracement. However, they did find themselves taking support at the short-term 20-Day...
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Using Two Timeframes to Increase the Odds - Starting with the Strategic View
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Chartists looking to increase their odds should consider two timeframes for their analysis. The longer timeframe sets the strategic tone, while the shorter timeframe defines the trading tactics. Strategically, I am interested in stocks with long-term uptrends. Tactically, I am looking for bullish continuation patterns to trade after a correction....
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The Secret Sauce! Expert Investors Use This to Anticipate Market Moves
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shows you how to dig deeper into the markets like a true veteran chartist and put price history to work for you using Seasonality Charts. These simple, yet powerful historical charts let you see past price...
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MEM TV: The Easy Way to Uncover Stocks Poised to Outperform
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen takes a look at some of the items that drove price action last week. Growth stocks came roaring back for week two of 2024, which is great news for those that were believers last year. They can renew...
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S&P 4300 by End of February?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
We kicked off the new year of 2024 with an overheated stock market, excessively bullish breadth indicators, and euphoric sentiment levels. While the first week in January felt like a "wake-up call" pullback for awestruck bulls, this last week saw the S&P 500 push right back...
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Dramatic Bearish Bias Shift on Major Market Indexes This Week
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
(This is an excerpt from the subscriber-only DecisionPoint Alert on DecisionPoint.com)
This week, the markets experienced a dramatic bias shift. We measure the Intermediate-Term Bias using our Silver Cross Index (SCI). The SCI measures how many stocks within an index, sector, or industry group hold "silver crosses"...
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Stock Market Was Tentative This Week: S&P 500 Tested New High But Pulled Back
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The stock market exhibited tentative behavior this week probably due to uncertainty about inflation and geopolitical developments
* S&P 500 index touched a high but pulled back to close slightly higher
* Crude oil prices broke above $75 but pulled back and is holding support at its 200-week...
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