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Will the Market Internals Turn More Bearish?
Jerome Powell brought reality to the market.
"The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated," Powell told the Senate Banking Committee in prepared remarks. "If the totality of...
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Is Bitcoin Ready for Prime Time Again?
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Last May, I wrote an article entitled "Bitcoin Bubble Finally Bursts", where I laid out the technical case for substantially lower prices. It was partially based on the fact that the 18-month ROC had peaked from a level in excess of 200%. My research, featuring 26 case...
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Danielle Shay: Applying Her Love of Education to Trade Options
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
In honor of Women's History Month and International Women's Day, we continue our series of articles highlighting women traders who have overcome personal and professional challenges to achieve their personal and financial goals.
In this installment, we hear from Danielle Shay, a self-made trader, market...
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Sector Spotlight: Strong Rotation to High Beta Sectors
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, for this first Tuesday of the month, I take a look at the completed monthly charts for February for both Asset Classes and Stock sectors. While evaluating last month's performance for the individual sectors, I include the February...
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Gold Rushed by a Wave of Economic Data
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
This week's a big one for gold. A steep wave of fear, greed, and data is about to hit the gold market. It begins with two Congressional testimonies by Fed Chair Jay Powell on Tuesday and Wednesday, the ADP Employment report and JOLTS report on Wednesday, the weekly...
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Retail and Regional Banks Will Call the Shots
The 23-month moving average or a two-year business cycle is particularly important this year after a big up then down year-looms large.
Looking at Granny Retail, that business cycle not only leaves investors with the trading range resistance, it also shows how the Retail sector could be...
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DP Trading Room: Reading the Silver Cross Index
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the show with a detailed discussion of how we measure participation using %Stocks > 20/50/200-day EMAs and the Silver Cross Index/Golden Cross Index. We can see where the strength lies and whether it...
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The Halftime Show: Sectors Bullish Percent Index
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete gives his rundown of the current market, before moving on to a discussion about combining trendlines and looking at the bullish percent on the big three indexes. He then takes a look at the bullish percent on some...
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Carley Garner: How I Survived in the Commodities World
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
Several recent surveys have shown that women tend to avoid investing in the stock market. That may be changing as women start realizing the importance of financial wellness. In honor of Women's History Month and International Women's Day, StockCharts is running a series of articles highlighting...
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Find the Strongest Price Charts With the StochClose Rank
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trading at or near new highs lead with clear uptrends. These are the names you'd want on your ChartLists or portfolio. You can find leaders by checking the list of 52-week highs or by using the StochClose indicator, which is part...
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Is the Economic Modern Family Ready to Howl?
This past week, our Daily content proved itself invaluable. We directed our readers to look at buying Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Steel, Aluminum, Corn, Sugar, and NASDAQ. Now, we would like to turn our attention to the Economic Modern Family.
On Tuesday, March 7, there will be perfect alignment of...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Holds 50-Week MA; Low VIX Calls for Vigilant Approach at Higher Levels
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
It was largely a troubled week for the Indian equities, as the markets spent four out of five days struggling to keep their head above the crucial 200-DMA, which currently stands at 17404. Had it not been for Friday, which saw a sharp surge in the Indices, the week...
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Many Stocks in This Industry Popped After Strong Earnings Results: This Similar Company Due to Report Next Week!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
The markets closed the week on a strong note, with a rally that pushed the S&P 500 back above its 21-day moving average. With the relative strength index (RSI) now back in positive territory as well, the S&P 500 is back in an uptrend. The...
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The Road to SPX 5000
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
My conversations with Chris Verrone, Adrian Zduńczyk, and Mary Ellen McGonagle this week on The Final Barleft me striving to simplify my analysis of the S&P 500.
It's been a confusing time for stocks and as a result, my main daily chart of the S&...
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Market in New Uptrend After Late-Week Rally
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the downtrend reversal in the markets and what areas came on the strongest last week. She also highlights best practices for putting new money to work.
This video was originally broadcast on March 3, 2023. Click on...
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Pullback Finding Support
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG discusses how we are starting to see the market find support from its mid-February pullback. TG expects a small bounce, but it is not a confirmation of a long yet. The Hourly will still need to setup for...
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This Semiconductor ETF is Hitting a Critical Juncture
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
In the next few days, SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF), along with other similar "chip index" funds, may see a strong bounce toward the upside.
What's going on? Technically speaking, the semiconductor index just broke out of a head and shoulders bottomon January 23, and now the...
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STOCK INDEXES HOLD 200-DAY LINES -- VIX INDEX RETREATS -- TWO-YEAR YIELD HITS 16 YEAR HIGH
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES HOLD 200-DAY LINES...After a weak month of February, major stock indexes are finally attracting some new buying. More importantly, this week's rebound is happening at some important moving average lines. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials bouncing off potential chart support along its late...
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Bullish Reversals
Those of you who read our Daily are by now, learning about the value of our scanning tools, quants and the Complete Trader.What we are trying to accomplish is to show not only how best to use the product, but how to focus on key patterns, especially those that...
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GNG TV: Equities Turn "NoGo" as Weight of Macro Factors Takes Toll
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex takes a look at the major assets, noting that Equities have surrendered to a NoGo trend this week. Treasury rates rising, along with the dollar, could be acting as a headwind for stocks. Within the S&P...
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#1 Rule in Multiple Timeframes
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe discusses the first rule in multiple timeframe trading and analysis. He explains why the trend can be different on different timeframes and why the turning points on each timeframe are so important. He then covers the stock...
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Target: Poised for an Explosive Breakout?
by Karl Montevirgen,
The StockCharts Insider
Target (TGT)'s stock has been bouncing back and forth within a wide eight-month trading range. This happened right after its -44% plunge between April and May last year. Since then, it's been stuck in a $45 range, forming an extremely long rectangle pattern.
Why'...
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The Trend of This Metal Could Have Immense Consequences if It Breaks Out
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Commodity prices are an imperfect but useful forecaster of consumer price inflation. A key secular trend indicator that I use for industrial commodity prices went bullish last year. Since then, prices have corrected. However, it makes sense to take the pulse of the commodity markets from time to time, in...
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Industrial Metals Outperforming the S&P 500
Why are Large Cap Leadersleading?
While the major indices still try to sort out the next interest rate direction, soft, hard or no landing, and/or if inflation has peaked, a few stocks have dominated. Companies like Steel Dynamics (both holdings in the quant model) are in the manufacturing and...
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Stock Market Waiting Game: What You Should Be Watching
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
February, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac 2023, tends to be a weak month, especially in pre-election years. Now that February is behind us, does it mean the worst is over? Not necessarily. Each year comes with unique scenarios and challenges; this year, all else being equal,...
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The War of Art (and Trading)
by Dave Landry,
Founder, Sentive Trading, LLC
If you trade, you must deal with bad times to get to the good. In this week's edition of Trading Simplified, Dave discusses how Steven Pressfield's "War Of Art" can help you to cope with these less-than-ideal conditions, and how you must...
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Are We Staring at a Technical Rebound on This Metal Stock?
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The Metals and Commodities stocks have been relatively outperforming the broader markets for a couple of months now. This was the period when the US Dollar Index (DXY) underwent a strong corrective move after testing the highs of 114.77 in September. The retracement in the Dollar Index was a...
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A Breakout May Be in the Offing in This Engineering Stock
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
The Indian equities have been quite jittery over the past couple of weeks. Broadly speaking, the headline index NIFTY50 ($NIFTY) has been oscillating between its 50-day moving average (MA) and 200-day MA during February. These MAs are placed at 17885 and 17302 respectively. Lately, the index has made...
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NASDAQ New High/New Low Ratio and Risk
Stuck is a word we have used a lot lately.
Some common synonyms for stuck are jammed, trapped, put, pushed, and caught.
Nasdaq is stuck, jammed, or whichever word one wishes to use. And that's price. Traders are also trapped and caught, considering that the market breadth is...
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Sector Spotlight: Market Entering Period of Strong Seasonality
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I assess the current state of sector rotation, highlighting the ongoing rotation out of defense in favor of more offensive and economically-sensitive sectors. As it is the last Tuesday of the month, seasonality make ups a big part of...
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Century Aluminum Pops Up as Bullish
The week is starting out exactly how we expect.
* The SPY and indices stuck in the trading range within a trading range.
* The latest economic data weak, hence causing buyers to return to the market, figuring bad news is good news.
* Four of the 6 Economic Modern Family members in...
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DP Trading Room: Not Too Late for Natural Gas
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens the trading room by discussing how the Silver Cross Index works and its superior representation of market participation. He also reviews the market and "S&P 10". Both he and Erin discuss Natural Gas...
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The Halftime Show: Soft Landing, No Landing, Fly By?
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime,with all of the talking heads and the "Wall Street" headlines throwing uncertainty into the mix (soft landing, no landing, and fly by, anyone?), Pete takes the time to find things that are more certain. He analyzes...
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Let The Charts Do The Talking
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
We are provided constant reminders that important company information is reflected in the absolute and relative performance of the company's stock price. That may go against common sense in a few instances, especially when it comes to earnings. After all, the company is supposed to be delivering fresh...
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Oil, Energy, and Related Stocks of Interest
After the CORE PCE numbers came out on Friday, the market had the expected reaction of selling off in anticipation of a more aggressive Fed.
We find the reaction less than surprising. But what we do find more surprising is that the metals sank along with equities, although gold fell...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Draws Closer To Potential Support; RRG Charts Show Defensive Setup
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
It was a weak performance for the equity markets; after heading nowhere over the past two weeks despite staying volatile, the markets gave up some strength as they closed the week on a negative note. In the previous technical note, it was mentioned about the VIX, i.e., INDIAVIX was...
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Should we Continue Taking Trend Signals after Whipsaws?
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The stock market has been a tough place for trend-following since January 2022, which is when the S&P 500 first triggered a bearish trend signal. The bearish signal in question is the humble 5/200 day SMA cross. There were whipsaws in the first quarter of 2022...
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Nothing Good Happens Below the 200-Day
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
One of my early mentors often remarked, "Nothing good happens below the 200-day."This was his way of recognizing that, while stocks can certainly pop higher from beaten down levels, you're more likely to experience sustained advances once the price is above the 200-day...
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MEM TV: Negative Momentum Amid Rising Rates
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the markets' break below key support as inflation remains elevated. She also shares stocks from her watchlist that are trending higher amid a tough market.
This video was originally broadcast on February 24, 2023. Click on...
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Looks Like a Major Shift in Leadership in the Energy Sector
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Energy Sector Seems to be Coming Back to Life
On the Relative Rotation Graph (RRG), a long tail is visible starting in July 2022, traveling from weakening back up towards and into leading in October 2022. After another rotation through the leading quadrant, the tail for XLE crossed into...
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