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Investor Lessons from the World Cup in Qatar
by Gatis Roze,
Author, "Tensile Trading"
Excellence that we investors can learn from and utilize in our trades is all around us. I encourage you to harness that energy. Here's how to use it to motivate yourself to become better as a trader and investor.
As I watched the World Cup Soccer matches in...
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Mish's Daily: Don't Miss Out on the Next Gold Rush
Gold always has been and will always be a controversial asset within investment circles. Its proponents can't agree on why it deserves a place in portfolios or how much to allocate to gold in various risk-based portfolio models.
But gold can be used as insurance against macroeconomic...
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Mish's Daily: Is the Santa Claus Rally Over?
Bond prices plummeted, yields increased, and U.S. indexes fell again Monday.
The major U.S. indexes have fallen for the past two weeks, and, on Monday, most markets closed near their lows. The S&P 500 Index, represented by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) above,...
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Santa Comes Up Empty-Handed
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
Statistically speaking, the last half of December is the best seasonal period of the year, part of which serves as what is popularly known as the Santa Claus rally. The first half of the month also has a slight edge to the upside, though that has not worked out so...
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DP Trading Room: Silver Cross Index Warning Signals
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl reignites his discussion on watershed events, showing us how the Hunt Brothers' attempt to corner the market in Silver also raised Gold prices to historic levels. Of course, we know how this ended... not well for investors...
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The Halftime Show: Yet Another Sell-Off
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
Coming to the end of the year on this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime (presented by Chaikin Analytics), Pete's focus is primarily on the market and the mechanics of the market in general. Another sell off is in progress today, as the indices and...
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Will This Major Support Level Hold?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Semiconductors hold the key to a major market advance, in my opinion, as they're a critical part of the NASDAQ 100 ($NDX). There are 16 semiconductor companies in the NDX, including NVIDIA (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Texas Instruments (TXN), Applied Materials (AMAT), QUALCOMM, Inc. (QCOM), and Intel...
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Small Cap Stocks: Is This Group Friend or Foe?
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
Since the S&P 500 Index ($SPX) broke out above price resistance that was established in 2000 and 2007, the secular bull market rally has been led by the Nasdaq 100's influence. If you compare relative performance (to the benchmark S&P 500 Index), small caps...
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The Markets Are Oversold : Will This Provide a Window For Santa?
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Statistics show that December has the highest probability of a positive return over every other month of the year, and by a fair margin. Using data from 1926 to 2020, the odds of a positive return for U.S. large-cap stocks are 77.9%.
However, the markets will have...
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Weekend Daily: Wall Street Banks Favored Over Main Street's Regional Banks
The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is a key member of Mish's Modern Family. Why? Because KRE measures the health the U.S. financial system and the overall economic activity of rural America.
Regional banks have performed relatively well compared to larger, more prominent banking...
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MEM TV: S&P 500 Breaks Key Support!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews where the next area of possible support is for the markets, as well as what to be on the lookout for going into next week's normally bullish period. She also highlights price action in Value...
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The End of Another Bear Market Rally?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
Charts give you a window into the collective psychological state of investors. Are people excited or panicky? Euphoric or despondent? Optimistic or pessimistic? All of that is embedded in price action if you know how to analyze the trends.
As the market rallied strongly off the October lows, fueled by...
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How to Benefit From a Two-Stock Wrecking Ball
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
The Relative Rotation Graph above shows an intriguing picture.
Opposite Rotations
Last week in Sector Spotlight, I discussed the opposite rotations for XLY and its equal-weight counterpart RSP vs. their respective benchmarks (SPY and RSP). When you bring up the Relative Rotation Graphs for cap-weighted S&P...
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Has the Market Priced in All the Bad News?
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG shares how there are two narratives out there for the future direction of the market, discussing both of them. Which one is true is what we are all debating and what the market is also trying to figure out....
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It's Like Déjà Vu, All Over Again for SPY
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
The SPDR S&P 500 exchange-traded fund (SPY) surged from mid-October to early December, but this advance was considered a counter-trend bounce within a bigger downtrend. And this week, SPY reversed its short-term uptrend and the bearish technical setup was similar to the last two...
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GNG TV: US Equity "Go" Trend Wobbles
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler review markets following the recent 50-basis-point hike from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. While the relief rally in the S&P 500 has retained its "Go" trend conditions, early warning signs from...
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Using MACD to Pinpoint Reversals
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe shows how to use MACD to look for reversal signals. By using two timeframes, an investor can identify when momentum is shifting in one of them. Then, you can use the lower timeframe to point the timing....
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Stocks Fall Sharply at Key Resistance Levels: Year End Rally May Have Run Its Course
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES ARE FAILING AT OVERHEAD RESISTANCE LEVELS...
The year-end stock market rally appears to have run its course. A more hawkish Fed on Wednesday suggesting that rates will be higher for longer started the stock selling. This mornings's economic reports for November showed a drop in...
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Short-Term Traders: Beware of This Flaw In Leveraged ETFs
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
I've written many articles and discussed several times that it's unwise to buy and hold leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) unless you're at a major support level or you catch an uptrend. Buying and holding through volatile periods results in erosion. In other words,...
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Here's A Chart That's Flashing a Major Buy Signal During This Selloff
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
You've probably heard the adage, "Don't judge a book by its cover?" Well, it's tempting to say that when you look at the possible Fed-induced selloff in the stock market. While we're seeing a lot of negativity, let'...
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The January Effect: Will Small-Cap Stocks Outperform Large Caps?
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
You've probably heard of the January effect—that is, when small-cap stocks show strong performance during the first trading month of the year. But don't let it throw you off; it doesn't necessarily mean you'll see the action in January. According...
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Mish's Daily: The Battle Against Inflation May Have Only Just Begun
The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by 50 basis points, as the market was expecting. Major U.S. indices turned red on the news with a modest day of losses. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) closed in negative territory, but stayed above its 50- and 200-day...
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Mish's Daily: Grandpa Russell Might Be Running Into Trouble
While we follow the Fed announcement tomorrow, we'll closely watch Grandpa Russell's (IWM) reaction.
As the patriarch in charge of Mish's Modern Family, it's a good idea to meticulously monitor Grandpa Russell's pricing daily and weekly. IWM is also the...
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Sector Spotlight: Stealth Sector Rotation for XLY
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
In this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, I present a thorough review of the current state of sector rotation in the US market. Materials and Industrials are showing strong tails on the Relative Rotation Graph, but the most interesting -- Under The Hood Rotation -- is showing up in...
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The Business Cycle Is Poised for a Stage 1 Signal
by Martin Pring,
President, Pring Research
One of my favorite chart lists is one called Interasset Ratios. As the name implies, it contains a library of charts that plot various long-term relationships between asset classes, such as the stock/bond ratio, bond/commodity relationship, and so forth. It's not something you want to...
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Mish's Daily: How to Trade a Golden Cross in a Bear Market
Investors will watch closely tomorrow, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) print is released, and Wednesday, when the Fed announces its latest rate hike. The expectation is for CPI to be lower and for the Fed to raise interest rates a half-percentage point.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (represented...
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Two Index ETFs with Rising Momentum
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
We were somewhat surprised today when we reviewed the index ETFs. Two ETFs actually show rising momentum. Don't get too excited, there are problems on both of their charts. For comparison, SP500 (SPY), Dow (DIA), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), SP100 (OEX) and Nasdaq (COMPQ) all have negative momentum and...
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DP Trading Room: Watershed Events in Gold & Crypto
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
On this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl answers the question: "How do we find overbought/oversold levels on the PMO?". Both he and Erin discuss rounded tops found throughout the market. Additionally, they talk the importance of knowing the trend and condition of...
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The Halftime Show: Trend Changes and Buy Zones
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
Right now, the markets are green across the screen, but on this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime (presented by Chaikin Analytics), Pete urges caution due to the CPI coming out tomorrow. Pete takes a look at trends today, including the oil market looking at a pullback...
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Keeping 2022 In Perspective Will Help You in 2023
by Tom Bowley,
Chief Market Strategist, EarningsBeats.com
At our MarketVision 2022 event on Saturday, January 8, 2022, I said stock market bulls would need patience—a lot of it—because it was going to take some time for sentiment, which was ridiculously bullish, to reset. I also said at the time that we should expect a minimum...
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Week Ahead: NIFTY Needs to Move Past This Point; Continue Focusing on These Sectors
by Milan Vaishnav,
Founder and Technical Analyst, EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae
In the previous technical note, it was categorically mentioned that it would be crucial to see if NIFTY could keep its head above 18600 levels to extend and confirm the breakout that it has attempted. However, despite a strong relative outperformance from the NIFTY Bank Index, the NIFTY has delayed...
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Grayson's Top 5 Most Valuable New Features & a Sneak Peek for Next Release!
by Grayson Roze,
Chief Strategist, StockCharts.com
On this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sStockCharts in Focus, Grayson shares his top 5 favorite new features and gives a quick sneak peek of what's coming in the next product release.
This video was originally broadcast on December 9, 2022. Click on the above...
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Weekend Daily: Mish's Modern Economic Family -- A Blueprint for Trading like a Pro
Looking at Modern Economic Family member charts and connecting the different members shows a unique market vantage point.
The Modern Family has continued to serve as a reliable indicator for market direction through the years. The Family gives you an overall gauge of how aggressive or conservative you can be...
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And That's Why We Wait for the Close
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
I've now been hosting our closing bell show, The Final Bar, for over three years. It's been such a fascinating experience to use my daily show as a way to focus my own analytical process, and I truly believe that hosting a show like this has...
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MEM TV: Growth Falters, But These Areas Shine
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews key price action ahead of next week's pivotal period of key economic data and Fed Chair comments. She also highlights pockets of strength and why these areas will remain strong into next year.
This video...
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Chop Going Into CPI and FOMC
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market has been flagging at its highs as it seems to be awaiting more economic data from CPI and direction from the Fed at FOMC. In this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes, TG explains how he can see the case for both bullish and bearish outcomes,...
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STOCK INDEXES STRUGGLE BELOW RESISTANCE LEVELS --YEAREND RALLY IS RUNNING OUT OF TIME -- WHY FALLING COMMODITIES ARE A BAD SIGN
by John Murphy,
Chief Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
STOCK INDEXES CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH OVERHEAD RESISTANCE... The expected yearend rally has taken major stock indexes up against some formidable overhead resistance barriers. So far, the rally hasn't been enough to reverse the market's major downtrend. While seasonal trends are usually favorable during the fourth...
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GNG TV: Markets Try to Rally Into End of Week
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo Charts®
In this week's edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, following a heavy day earlier in the week, Alex looks at how the U.S. Equity markets seem to have found support. He walks through charts over multiple timeframes of several macro factors that impact risk assets such as...
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Using ADX to Trend Trade
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains how to use ADX to identify the best periods to play trend trades. This can be used for swing trades or position trades. By using ADX, we can avoid the noisy periods and improve our chances...
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Stock Market View: Look Beyond The Length of Your Nose!
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
EUR/USD Under Pressure From Long-Term Resistance
The EUR/USD ($EURUSD) relationship has been under pressure since late 2021, when a peak was set at 1.2350. In a steady downtrend, EUR/USD declined to a recent low of 0.9540. During this decline, a significant support level around...
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