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3 Key Relationships to Help Assess Market Direction
If you are finding yourself fluctuating between bullishness and bearishness, then congratulations! Hopefully, that also means you are waiting for certain signals to help you commit to one way or another.
Here are the signals we are waiting for before overly committing to a bias:
1. As we wrote over...
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DP Trading Room: This is the ONLY Sector Showing STRENGTH Right Now
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl, after a walkthrough of the Magnificent 7+ stocks, examines how, while it was clear that there's some strength to be had in the Nasdaq, one look at the Ultrashort for Dow 30 (SDOW) and an internal...
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MEM TV: Here's Why the Nasdaq OUTPERFORMED Last Week
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews areas of the market that are bucking the downtrend pressure elsewhere, as those often go on to provide leadership once the markets turn. She also shares how to use ETFs to uncover rotation taking place beneath the...
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Risk-Neutral Market Gauges Ahead of Sunday Deadline
We do not want to walk down the political aisle. Nonetheless, what person can turn their heads away from the Sunday deadline on funding the government?
The aftermath of a shutdown will most likely include a credit downgrade for the US. Do Americans need another reason to distrust the politicos?...
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Boyz to Men -- Step Back to Small Caps & Growth Stocks
We started this year looking at the monthly charts and the 2 moving averages that depict business cycles.
Back in February, we wrote:
All in all, the key sectors (retail, transportation) have more to prove, especially by clearing the 23-month moving average or 2-year business cycle. This is a significant...
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Sector Spotlight: Sector Rotation Sends Mixed Signals
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
On this episode of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, after two weeks of non-regular market updates, I'm back with a regular episode. Here, I dive deep into the current state of rotation in asset classes, highlighting the strength of commodities and the opposing rotations for stocks and...
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DP Trading Room: Don't Forget The MONTHLY CHARTS! Earnings Spotlight
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
by Carl Swenlin,
President and Founder, DecisionPoint.com
In this week's edition of The DecisionPoint Trading Room, Carl opens with a discussion on why you should use monthly charts even if you are investing in the shorter term. He gives us insight into the market as a whole and reviews the Magnificent 7 stocks and Tesla...
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The Halftime Show: Fixed Income Continues To Fall, Can't Say I Didn't WARN You!
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
Pete has been monitoring and calling out the downfall of TLT for nearly 20 months. In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete explains why the ETF broke below $90 and how the US 10-year is over 4.5% on the same day. He dives into...
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MEM TV: How to Tell When It's Safe to Get Back Into the Markets
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews what drove the previous week's sharp pullback and what we'll need to see before the markets can turn positive again. She also highlights recession-proof stocks that are currently attractive as well as high...
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Nvidia Stock: Why It's Screaming a Spectacular Buy Signal
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* NVDA stock is holding on to the support of its 100-day moving average
* NVDA has maintained a high StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) since early 2023
* NVDA's relative strength with respect to the S&P 500 is approaching 200%
Nvidia's stock has maintained a...
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Market Begs: Tell Us Something Good!
We compiled a list of the 10 biggest uncertainties in the stock market right now.
In no particular order:
1. China-trade wars and chip wars
2. Oil and food inflation
3. Strikes
4. Government shutdown
5. Corporate and individual bankruptcies on the rise
6. Commercial real estate and banking
7....
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Energy Sector Roulette: Bullish Signals, Sluggish Projections
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) shows some promising technicals, signaling room for a potential climb and a strong chance for a breakout to the upside
* Technical indicators suggest that the Energy sector has a high probability of breaking out to the upside
* A breakout above its all-time...
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S&P 500 Turnaround: 3 Charts You Need To Watch
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Rising Treasury yields have hurt growth stocks but buying opportunities could lie ahead
* The stock market could bottom at the end of September and present buying opportunities
* Watch Fibonacci levels, Equal Weighted S&P 500 Index, and market breadth for a reversal
Last week wasn't...
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Volatility Taunting Fresh Equity Buyers
This week I appeared with David Keller on Stockcharts Final Bar. We discussed how the market is at a precipice. And no doubt, the words I wrote on April 20th Daily "Now That "Stagflation" Has Gone Mainstream"some five months later are buzzing in my head:...
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Sector Rotation Signals an Important Week Ahead for Stocks
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Short Term, Risk-Off Sector Rotation While Heading into new week
* Did The Market Complete a H&S Top, or Is SPY Looking For Support?
* 430 Is The Crucial Level To Watch in SPY
First of all, my apologies for everybody who has been waiting for a Sector...
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Confirmed! Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern for the S&P 500!
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Mish Schneider of MarketGauge shares why the most important ETFs to watch are Retailers (XRT) and Small Caps (IWM) and also shares their latest plugin on the StockCharts ACP platform. Host David Keller, CMT tracks today's risk-off move...
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Seasonality and Fundamentals Converging on GLD
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* A convergence of fundamental and seasonality data predicts a potential decline in gold prices by the end of the year
* Demand for gold has decreased by about 5% year-over-year in the first half of 2023, with central banks being the primary buyers
* The Williams True Seasonal indicator aligns...
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1-2-3 Change in Trend Setup
by Joe Rabil,
President, Rabil Stock Research
On this week's edition of Stock Talk with Joe Rabil, Joe explains the 1-2-3 change in trend sequence in multiple timeframes. First, he discusses focuses on the higher timeframe and how to identify a zone or a pool of support. Then, he shows how to take advantage of...
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When Calendar Ranges, Leadership, Momentum and Price Align
We are so excited that StockCharts.com is now offering you our ACP plugins, we had to write about it for today's Daily, especially since you can read anywhere the thousands of differing opinions on what Powell said today and the implications for the market. Simply put, these...
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Timing the Market With the WillTrend Indicator
by Karl Montevirgen,
Financial Writer
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* The WillTrend indicator helps identify stock trends and optimal entry and exit points
* The WillTrend indicator provides clear signals in weekly and daily charts that help determine actionable trading scenarios
* It's important to take each signal within the context of the stock's current technical...
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Two Key Groups Take a Turn for the Worse
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
A few large-caps and large-cap techs are holding up, but other areas of the market are showing weakness. Namely, the Retail SPDR (XRT) and Regional Bank ETF (KRE) are two of the weakest groups right now. These two groups are under selling pressure and this could bode ill for the...
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History Rhymes: 1974-1976 vs. 2022-2024?
How many of you have heard me say that commodities are inherently volatile?
Clearly, from this chart, you can see that after the oil rally in the mid 1970s, the CPI went from nearly 9% in 1974 down to 2% in 1976. Sugar, my favorite barometer of inflation, ran to...
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Q4 Stock Market Outlook: 3 Analysts, 3 Insights
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Although September is considered a seasonally weak period for the stock market the fourth quarter is typically a strong period
* There's a high probability of the S&P 500 Index reaching a new high in Q4
* Growth stocks, Industrials, Financials, and Commodities could all see...
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Market Up & Down -- Don't Try to Push Your Trades
by TG Watkins,
Director of Stocks, Simpler Trading
The market continues to be weak and thin, as TG explains in this week's edition of Moxie Indicator Minutes. There are a few stocks moving up, but the majority are going sideways or down. This is not a great environment for going long, so don't try...
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Three ETFs Suggest Further Downside
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
This past week had all the potential to see a revival of the great bull market of 2023. The September inflation data, Apple's latest product announcements, and Arm's IPO all seemed had the possibility to reignite the fire of bullishness for investors.
By Friday's...
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Larry's "Family Gathering" Full September Webinar -- AVAILABLE NOW!
by Larry Williams,
Veteran Investor and Author
Larry's "Family Gathering" webinar is now available! Whether you missed it and need to catch up, or just want to review the information Larry presented, you can now see the full recording below.
In this special presentation, Larry coaches viewers for success and explains his strategies...
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GNG TV: Growth & Energy LEAD as S&P Chops Around
by Alex Cole,
Co-founder, GoNoGo ChartsĀ®
by Tyler Wood,
Co-founder, GoNoGo ChartsĀ®
In this edition of the GoNoGo Charts show, Alex and Tyler present trend analysis across the asset classes, sectors, and individual securities. The continued strong "Go" conditions in the US Dollar index (UUP) and US Treasury rates ($TNX) on both the daily and weekly timeframes highlights some headwinds...
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The Halftime Show: 6 ETFs That Are on My Radar
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete reviews 6 ETFs that are in different stages of trends. Two in the banking sector are in downtrends that are undeniable: KRE and KBE. This review ties in the recent commentary from Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JP...
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Finding and Trading Instrument Bottoms
In June, we wrote about the bottom in oil and cannabis through USO and MSOS (ETFs) respectively. In July, we wrote about the potential top in NASDAQ and SPY. In August, we wrote about the importance of the retail sector; XRT is below the July calendar range and a major...
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Chesapeake Energy: A Stock That Could Pump Much More
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Chesapeake Energy stock has been trending higher since June 2023
* Chesapeake Energy stock has room for upside growth
* CHK could benefit from the rise in crude oil prices
In addition to analyzing the stock market's overall performance, running scans when the market opens and after it...
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Looks Like a Strong Rotation to The Leading RRG Quadrant is Around the Corner for Three Sectors
by Julius de Kempenaer,
Senior Technical Analyst, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Three Sectors Are Ready to Rotate Back Towards the Leading Quadrant
* Technology, Discretionary, and Communication Services Together Are Almost Half Of Total Market Cap
* Daily Tails for these sectors are supporting the looming positive rotation for their weekly counterparts
First of all, for those who are awaiting a...
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Energy Sector (XLE) Hits All-Time High, Should We Worry?
by Erin Swenlin,
Vice President, DecisionPoint.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy (XLE) Logs New All-Time High
* XLE "Bearish Shift" on Silver Cross Index
The Energy sector (XLE) has been enjoying a rally throughout the summer. Today. it logged a new all-time high on a small breakout. While the sector looks impervious, there are a few concerns...
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BONDS & CASH - But Can We Find Better Income Alternatives?
by David Keller,
President and Chief Strategist, Sierra Alpha Research
In this edition of StockCharts TV'sThe Final Bar, Dave wraps the week with a focus on weakening breadth conditions, the Russell 2000 and underperformance of small caps, and strong energy stocks driven by stronger crude oil prices. He answers viewer questions on using ETFs instead of bonds or...
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Can the Windowmaker Natural Gas Resuscitate?
Probably the worst or at least one of the worst performers in the overall market and in the commodities market, natural gas is choppy and lifeless. So why write about it?
For starters, we love an underdog. Perhaps a bit too contrarian, as the reasons for the decline in natural...
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The Halftime Show: Energy Sector Continues Uptrend
by Pete Carmasino,
Chief Market Strategist, Chaikin Analytics
In this week's edition of StockCharts TV'sHalftime, Pete goes over the usual suspects in the markets. He presents a review of both the SPX and the NDX indexes, followed by a review of the US Dollar and a quick look at bonds using the TLT ETF....
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Energy Stocks in the Spotlight: A Look at Diamondback Energy
by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan,
Director of Site Content, StockCharts.com
KEY TAKEAWAYS
* Energy stocks are in focus as US crude oil prices continue rising higher
* Oil prices have more room to rise but if prices go too high there may be demand pressures
* Diamondback Energy is getting close to its 52-week high
With Labor Day weekend behind us, it'...
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Technical Correction? Or Return of the Bear Market?
On July 5th, Mish wrote an article called "Sell in July and Go Away? Calendar Range Reset".
In that article, she noted, "should IWM fail to clear the calendar range high and worse, break down under a new 6-month calendar range low[...] it would be hard to...
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The Key to the August Breakouts
by Arthur Hill,
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Stocks surged in the second half of August with several ETFs breaking out of corrective patterns, such as falling flags or falling wedges. Even though September is a seasonally weak month, these breakouts are bullish until proven otherwise. Today's commentary will analyze the breakout in the Technology SPDR...
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Plenty of Setups Emerge as Bulls Regain Control
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
Last week, the broader markets regained their uptrend, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Indexes both closing above their key 50-day moving averages on Tuesday. In addition, the RSI and Stochastics turned positive as well. This price action indicates that the 3-week pullback which began in late July...
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MEM TV: Bullish Week Provides Perfect Setups!
by Mary Ellen McGonagle,
President, MEM Investment Research
In this episode of StockCharts TV'sThe MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews the new uptrend in the markets and shares where the current strength is, as well as the best ways for you to participate. She also highlights the move back into earnings winners from last month as the...
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